Two-sample spiked model is an important issue in multivariate statistical inference. This paper focuses on testing the number of spikes in a high-dimensional generalized two-sample spiked model, which is free of Gaussian population assumption and the diagonal or block-wise diagonal restriction of population covariance matrix, and the spiked eigenvalues are not necessary required to be bounded. In order to determine the number of spikes, we first propose a general test, which relies on the partial linear spectral statistics. We establish its asymptotic normality under the null hypothesis. Then we apply the conclusion to two statistical problem, variable selection in large-dimensional linear regression and change point detection when change points and additive outliers exist simultaneously. Simulations and empirical analysis are conducted to illustrate the good performance of our methods.
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Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions, and construct likelihood-based loss by approximating the transition density to train these networks. However, these methods often rely on one-step stochastic numerical schemes, necessitating data with sufficiently high time resolution. In this paper, we introduce novel approximations to the transition density of the parameterized SDE: a Gaussian density approximation inspired by the random perturbation theory of dynamical systems, and its extension, the dynamical Gaussian mixture approximation (DynGMA). Benefiting from the robust density approximation, our method exhibits superior accuracy compared to baseline methods in learning the fully unknown drift and diffusion functions and computing the invariant distribution from trajectory data. And it is capable of handling trajectory data with low time resolution and variable, even uncontrollable, time step sizes, such as data generated from Gillespie's stochastic simulations. We then conduct several experiments across various scenarios to verify the advantages and robustness of the proposed method.
This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an analysis of the stochastic and approximation errors associated with both procedures, along with an examination of certain minimax lower bounds. In particular, we show that there is a natural metric under which the corresponding minimax estimation error of the interaction function converges to zero with parametric rate. This result is rather suprising given complexity of the underlying estimation problem and rather large classes of interaction functions for which the above parametric rate holds.
Several mixed-effects models for longitudinal data have been proposed to accommodate the non-linearity of late-life cognitive trajectories and assess the putative influence of covariates on it. No prior research provides a side-by-side examination of these models to offer guidance on their proper application and interpretation. In this work, we examined five statistical approaches previously used to answer research questions related to non-linear changes in cognitive aging: the linear mixed model (LMM) with a quadratic term, LMM with splines, the functional mixed model, the piecewise linear mixed model, and the sigmoidal mixed model. We first theoretically describe the models. Next, using data from two prospective cohorts with annual cognitive testing, we compared the interpretation of the models by investigating associations of education on cognitive change before death. Lastly, we performed a simulation study to empirically evaluate the models and provide practical recommendations. Except for the LMM-quadratic, the fit of all models was generally adequate to capture non-linearity of cognitive change and models were relatively robust. Although spline-based models have no interpretable nonlinearity parameters, their convergence was easier to achieve, and they allow graphical interpretation. In contrast, piecewise and sigmoidal models, with interpretable non-linear parameters, may require more data to achieve convergence.
Electromagnetic forming and perforations (EMFP) are complex and innovative high strain rate processes that involve electromagnetic-mechanical interactions for simultaneous metal forming and perforations. Instead of spending costly resources on repetitive experimental work, a properly designed numerical model can be effectively used for detailed analysis and characterization of the complex process. A coupled finite element (FE) model is considered for analyzing the multi-physics of the EMFP because of its robustness and improved accuracy. In this work, a detailed understanding of the process has been achieved by numerically simulating forming and perforations of Al6061-T6 tube for 12 holes and 36 holes with two different punches, i.e., pointed and concave punches using Ls-Dyna software. In order to shed light on EMFP physics, a comparison between experimental data and the formulated numerical simulation has been carried out to compare the average hole diameter and the number of perforated holes, for different types of punches and a range of discharge energies. The simulated results show acceptable agreement with experimental studies, with maximum deviations being less than or equal to 6%, which clearly illustrates the efficacy and capability of the developed coupled Multi-physics FE model.
This paper focuses on coordinating a robot swarm orbiting a convex path without collisions among the individuals. The individual robots lack braking capabilities and can only adjust their courses while maintaining their constant but different speeds. Instead of controlling the spatial relations between the robots, our formation control algorithm aims to deploy a dense robot swarm that mimics the behavior of tornado schooling fish. To achieve this objective safely, we employ a combination of a scalable overtaking rule, a guiding vector field, and a control barrier function with an adaptive radius to facilitate smooth overtakes. The decision-making process of the robots is distributed, relying only on local information. Practical applications include defensive structures or escorting missions with the added resiliency of a swarm without a centralized command. We provide a rigorous analysis of the proposed strategy and validate its effectiveness through numerical simulations involving a high density of unicycles.
The scale function holds significant importance within the fluctuation theory of Levy processes, particularly in addressing exit problems. However, its definition is established through the Laplace transform, thereby lacking explicit representations in general. This paper introduces a novel series representation for this scale function, employing Laguerre polynomials to construct a uniformly convergent approximate sequence. Additionally, we derive statistical inference based on specific discrete observations, presenting estimators of scale functions that are asymptotically normal.
This paper is concerned with an inverse wave-number-dependent/frequency-dependent source problem for the Helmholtz equation. In d-dimensions (d = 2,3), the unknown source term is supposed to be compactly supported in spatial variables but independent on x_d. The dependance of the source function on k is supposed to be unknown. Based on the Dirichlet-Laplacian method and the Fourier-Transform method, we develop two effcient non-iterative numerical algorithms to recover the wave-number-dependent source. Uniqueness and increasing stability analysis are proved. Numerical experiments are conducted to illustrate the effctiveness and effciency of the proposed method.
Accurate triangulation of the domain plays a pivotal role in computing the numerical approximation of the differential operators. A good triangulation is the one which aids in reducing discretization errors. In a standard collocation technique, the smooth curved domain is typically triangulated with a mesh by taking points on the boundary to approximate them by polygons. However, such an approach often leads to geometrical errors which directly affect the accuracy of the numerical approximation. To restrict such geometrical errors, \textit{isoparametric}, \textit{subparametric}, and \textit{iso-geometric} methods were introduced which allow the approximation of the curved surfaces (or curved line segments). In this paper, we present an efficient finite element method to approximate the solution to the elliptic boundary value problem (BVP), which governs the response of an elastic solid containing a v-notch and inclusions. The algebraically nonlinear constitutive equation along with the balance of linear momentum reduces to second-order quasi-linear elliptic partial differential equation. Our approach allows us to represent the complex curved boundaries by smooth \textit{one-of-its-kind} point transformation. The main idea is to obtain higher-order shape functions which enable us to accurately compute the entries in the finite element matrices and vectors. A Picard-type linearization is utilized to handle the nonlinearities in the governing differential equation. The numerical results for the test cases show considerable improvement in the accuracy.
Missing data often result in undesirable bias and loss of efficiency. These become substantial problems when the response mechanism is nonignorable, such that the response model depends on unobserved variables. It is necessary to estimate the joint distribution of unobserved variables and response indicators to manage nonignorable nonresponse. However, model misspecification and identification issues prevent robust estimates despite careful estimation of the target joint distribution. In this study, we modelled the distribution of the observed parts and derived sufficient conditions for model identifiability, assuming a logistic regression model as the response mechanism and generalised linear models as the main outcome model of interest. More importantly, the derived sufficient conditions are testable with the observed data and do not require any instrumental variables, which are often assumed to guarantee model identifiability but cannot be practically determined beforehand. To analyse missing data, we propose a new imputation method which incorporates verifiable identifiability using only observed data. Furthermore, we present the performance of the proposed estimators in numerical studies and apply the proposed method to two sets of real data: exit polls for the 19th South Korean election data and public data collected from the Korean Survey of Household Finances and Living Conditions.
Time-series models typically assume untainted and legitimate streams of data. However, a self-interested adversary may have incentive to corrupt this data, thereby altering a decision maker's inference. Within the broader field of adversarial machine learning, this research provides a novel, probabilistic perspective toward the manipulation of hidden Markov model inferences via corrupted data. In particular, we provision a suite of corruption problems for filtering, smoothing, and decoding inferences leveraging an adversarial risk analysis approach. Multiple stochastic programming models are set forth that incorporate realistic uncertainties and varied attacker objectives. Three general solution methods are developed by alternatively viewing the problem from frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. The efficacy of each method is illustrated via extensive, empirical testing. The developed methods are characterized by their solution quality and computational effort, resulting in a stratification of techniques across varying problem-instance architectures. This research highlights the weaknesses of hidden Markov models under adversarial activity, thereby motivating the need for robustification techniques to ensure their security.
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