The use of deep learning approaches for image reconstruction is of contemporary interest in radiology, especially for approaches that solve inverse problems associated with imaging. In deployment, these models may be exposed to input distributions that are widely shifted from training data, due in part to data biases or drifts. We propose a metric based on local Lipschitz determined from a single trained model that can be used to estimate the model uncertainty for image reconstructions. We demonstrate a monotonic relationship between the local Lipschitz value and Mean Absolute Error and show that this method can be used to provide a threshold that determines whether a given DL reconstruction approach was well suited to the task. Our uncertainty estimation method can be used to identify out-of-distribution test samples, relate information regarding epistemic uncertainties, and guide proper data augmentation. Quantifying uncertainty of learned reconstruction approaches is especially pertinent to the medical domain where reconstructed images must remain diagnostically accurate.
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In biomedical studies, estimating drug effects on chronic diseases requires a long follow-up period, which is difficult to meet in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). The use of a short-term surrogate to replace the long-term outcome for assessing the drug effect relies on stringent assumptions that empirical studies often fail to satisfy. Motivated by a kidney disease study, we investigate the drug effects on long-term outcomes by combining an RCT without observation of long-term outcome and an observational study in which the long-term outcome is observed but unmeasured confounding may exist. Under a mean exchangeability assumption weaker than the previous literature, we identify the average treatment effects in the RCT and derive the associated efficient influence function and semiparametric efficiency bound. Furthermore, we propose a locally efficient doubly robust estimator and an inverse probability weighted (IPW) estimator. The former attains the semiparametric efficiency bound if all the working models are correctly specified. The latter has a simpler form and requires much fewer model specifications. The IPW estimator using estimated propensity scores is more efficient than that using true propensity scores and achieves the semiparametric efficient bound in the case of discrete covariates and surrogates with finite support. Both estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. Extensive simulations are conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators. We apply the proposed methods to estimate the efficacy of oral hydroxychloroquine on renal failure in a real-world data analysis.
Uncertainty in control and perception poses challenges for autonomous vehicle navigation in unstructured environments, leading to navigation failures and potential vehicle damage. This paper introduces a framework that minimizes control and perception uncertainty to ensure safe and reliable navigation. The framework consists of two uncertainty-aware models: a learning-based vehicle dynamics model and a self-supervised traversability estimation model. We train a vehicle dynamics model that can quantify the epistemic uncertainty of the model to perform active exploration, resulting in the efficient collection of training data and effective avoidance of uncertain state-action spaces. In addition, we employ meta-learning to train a traversability cost prediction network. The model can be trained with driving data from a variety of types of terrain, and it can online-adapt based on interaction experiences to reduce the aleatoric uncertainty. Integrating the dynamics model and traversability cost prediction model with a sampling-based model predictive controller allows for optimizing trajectories that avoid uncertain terrains and state-action spaces. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method reduces uncertainty in prediction and improves stability in autonomous vehicle navigation in unstructured environments.
Deep learning-based super-resolution models have the potential to revolutionize biomedical imaging and diagnoses by effectively tackling various challenges associated with early detection, personalized medicine, and clinical automation. However, the requirement of an extensive collection of high-resolution images presents limitations for widespread adoption in clinical practice. In our experiment, we proposed an approach to effectively train the deep learning-based super-resolution models using only one real image by leveraging self-generated high-resolution images. We employed a mixed metric of image screening to automatically select images with a distribution similar to ground truth, creating an incrementally curated training data set that encourages the model to generate improved images over time. After five training iterations, the proposed deep learning-based super-resolution model experienced a 7.5\% and 5.49\% improvement in structural similarity and peak-signal-to-noise ratio, respectively. Significantly, the model consistently produces visually enhanced results for training, improving its performance while preserving the characteristics of original biomedical images. These findings indicate a potential way to train a deep neural network in a self-revolution manner independent of real-world human data.
Model-based methods are widely used for reconstruction in compressed sensing (CS) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), using regularizers to describe the images of interest. The reconstruction process is equivalent to solving a composite optimization problem. Accelerated proximal methods (APMs) are very popular approaches for such problems. This paper proposes a complex quasi-Newton proximal method (CQNPM) for the wavelet and total variation based CS MRI reconstruction. Compared with APMs, CQNPM requires fewer iterations to converge but needs to compute a more challenging proximal mapping called weighted proximal mapping (WPM). To make CQNPM more practical, we propose efficient methods to solve the related WPM. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of CQNPM.
Deep Learning (DL) models tend to perform poorly when the data comes from a distribution different from the training one. In critical applications such as medical imaging, out-of-distribution (OOD) detection helps to identify such data samples, increasing the model's reliability. Recent works have developed DL-based OOD detection that achieves promising results on 2D medical images. However, scaling most of these approaches on 3D images is computationally intractable. Furthermore, the current 3D solutions struggle to achieve acceptable results in detecting even synthetic OOD samples. Such limited performance might indicate that DL often inefficiently embeds large volumetric images. We argue that using the intensity histogram of the original CT or MRI scan as embedding is descriptive enough to run OOD detection. Therefore, we propose a histogram-based method that requires no DL and achieves almost perfect results in this domain. Our proposal is supported two-fold. We evaluate the performance on the publicly available datasets, where our method scores 1.0 AUROC in most setups. And we score second in the Medical Out-of-Distribution challenge without fine-tuning and exploiting task-specific knowledge. Carefully discussing the limitations, we conclude that our method solves the sample-level OOD detection on 3D medical images in the current setting.
We present an artificial intelligence (AI) method for automatically computing the melting point based on coexistence simulations in the NPT ensemble. Given the interatomic interaction model, the method makes decisions regarding the number of atoms and temperature at which to conduct simulations, and based on the collected data predicts the melting point along with the uncertainty, which can be systematically improved with more data. We demonstrate how incorporating physical models of the solid-liquid coexistence evolution enhances the AI method's accuracy and enables optimal decision-making to effectively reduce predictive uncertainty. To validate our approach, we compare our results with approximately 20 melting point calculations from the literature. Remarkably, we observe significant deviations in about one-third of the cases, underscoring the need for accurate and reliable AI-based algorithms for materials property calculations.
Medical image segmentation is a fundamental and critical step in many image-guided clinical approaches. Recent success of deep learning-based segmentation methods usually relies on a large amount of labeled data, which is particularly difficult and costly to obtain especially in the medical imaging domain where only experts can provide reliable and accurate annotations. Semi-supervised learning has emerged as an appealing strategy and been widely applied to medical image segmentation tasks to train deep models with limited annotations. In this paper, we present a comprehensive review of recently proposed semi-supervised learning methods for medical image segmentation and summarized both the technical novelties and empirical results. Furthermore, we analyze and discuss the limitations and several unsolved problems of existing approaches. We hope this review could inspire the research community to explore solutions for this challenge and further promote the developments in medical image segmentation field.
This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.
In this paper, we adopt 3D Convolutional Neural Networks to segment volumetric medical images. Although deep neural networks have been proven to be very effective on many 2D vision tasks, it is still challenging to apply them to 3D tasks due to the limited amount of annotated 3D data and limited computational resources. We propose a novel 3D-based coarse-to-fine framework to effectively and efficiently tackle these challenges. The proposed 3D-based framework outperforms the 2D counterpart to a large margin since it can leverage the rich spatial infor- mation along all three axes. We conduct experiments on two datasets which include healthy and pathological pancreases respectively, and achieve the current state-of-the-art in terms of Dice-S{\o}rensen Coefficient (DSC). On the NIH pancreas segmentation dataset, we outperform the previous best by an average of over 2%, and the worst case is improved by 7% to reach almost 70%, which indicates the reliability of our framework in clinical applications.
Recent advances in 3D fully convolutional networks (FCN) have made it feasible to produce dense voxel-wise predictions of volumetric images. In this work, we show that a multi-class 3D FCN trained on manually labeled CT scans of several anatomical structures (ranging from the large organs to thin vessels) can achieve competitive segmentation results, while avoiding the need for handcrafting features or training class-specific models. To this end, we propose a two-stage, coarse-to-fine approach that will first use a 3D FCN to roughly define a candidate region, which will then be used as input to a second 3D FCN. This reduces the number of voxels the second FCN has to classify to ~10% and allows it to focus on more detailed segmentation of the organs and vessels. We utilize training and validation sets consisting of 331 clinical CT images and test our models on a completely unseen data collection acquired at a different hospital that includes 150 CT scans, targeting three anatomical organs (liver, spleen, and pancreas). In challenging organs such as the pancreas, our cascaded approach improves the mean Dice score from 68.5 to 82.2%, achieving the highest reported average score on this dataset. We compare with a 2D FCN method on a separate dataset of 240 CT scans with 18 classes and achieve a significantly higher performance in small organs and vessels. Furthermore, we explore fine-tuning our models to different datasets. Our experiments illustrate the promise and robustness of current 3D FCN based semantic segmentation of medical images, achieving state-of-the-art results. Our code and trained models are available for download: //github.com/holgerroth/3Dunet_abdomen_cascade.
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