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A package query returns a package - a multiset of tuples - that maximizes or minimizes a linear objective function subject to linear constraints, thereby enabling in-database decision support. Prior work has established the equivalence of package queries to Integer Linear Programs (ILPs) and developed the SketchRefine algorithm for package query processing. While this algorithm was an important first step toward supporting prescriptive analytics scalably inside a relational database, it struggles when the data size grows beyond a few hundred million tuples or when the constraints become very tight. In this paper, we present Progressive Shading, a novel algorithm for processing package queries that can scale efficiently to billions of tuples and gracefully handle tight constraints. Progressive Shading solves a sequence of optimization problems over a hierarchy of relations, each resulting from an ever-finer partitioning of the original tuples into homogeneous groups until the original relation is obtained. This strategy avoids the premature discarding of high-quality tuples that can occur with SketchRefine. Our novel partitioning scheme, Dynamic Low Variance, can handle very large relations with multiple attributes and can dynamically adapt to both concentrated and spread-out sets of attribute values, provably outperforming traditional partitioning schemes such as KD-tree. We further optimize our system by replacing our off-the-shelf optimization software with customized ILP and LP solvers, called Dual Reducer and Parallel Dual Simplex respectively, that are highly accurate and orders of magnitude faster.

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We present a generalized linear structural causal model, coupled with a novel data-adaptive linear regularization, to recover causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from time series. By leveraging a recently developed stochastic monotone Variational Inequality (VI) formulation, we cast the causal discovery problem as a general convex optimization. Furthermore, we develop a non-asymptotic recovery guarantee and quantifiable uncertainty by solving a linear program to establish confidence intervals for a wide range of non-linear monotone link functions. We validate our theoretical results and show the competitive performance of our method via extensive numerical experiments. Most importantly, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in recovering highly interpretable causal DAGs over Sepsis Associated Derangements (SADs) while achieving comparable prediction performance to powerful ``black-box'' models such as XGBoost. Thus, the future adoption of our proposed method to conduct continuous surveillance of high-risk patients by clinicians is much more likely.

We investigate the fundamental optimization question of minimizing a target function $f$, whose gradients are expensive to compute or have limited availability, given access to some auxiliary side function $h$ whose gradients are cheap or more available. This formulation captures many settings of practical relevance, such as i) re-using batches in SGD, ii) transfer learning, iii) federated learning, iv) training with compressed models/dropout, etc. We propose two generic new algorithms that apply in all these settings and prove that we can benefit from this framework using only an assumption on the Hessian similarity between the target and side information. A benefit is obtained when this similarity measure is small, we also show a potential benefit from stochasticity when the auxiliary noise is correlated with that of the target function.

A crucial task for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is to specify a statistical method that can yield an efficient estimator and powerful test for the treatment effect. A novel and effective strategy to obtain efficient and powerful treatment effect inferences is to incorporate predictions from generative artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms into covariate adjustment for the regression analysis of a RCT. Training a generative AI algorithm on historical control data enables one to construct a digital twin generator (DTG) for RCT participants, which utilizes a participant's baseline covariates to generate a probability distribution for their potential control outcome. Summaries of the probability distribution from the DTG are highly predictive of the trial outcome, and adjusting for these features via regression can thus improve the quality of treatment effect inferences, while satisfying regulatory guidelines on statistical analyses, for a RCT. However, a critical assumption in this strategy is homoskedasticity, or constant variance of the outcome conditional on the covariates. In the case of heteroskedasticity, existing covariate adjustment methods yield inefficient estimators and underpowered tests. We propose to address heteroskedasticity via a weighted prognostic covariate adjustment methodology (Weighted PROCOVA) that adjusts for both the mean and variance of the regression model using information obtained from the DTG. We prove that our method yields unbiased treatment effect estimators, and demonstrate via comprehensive simulation studies and case studies from Alzheimer's disease that it can reduce the variance of the treatment effect estimator, maintain the Type I error rate, and increase the power of the test for the treatment effect from 80% to 85%~90% when the variances from the DTG can explain 5%~10% of the variation in the RCT participants' outcomes.

Distributed maximization of a submodular function in the MapReduce model has received much attention, culminating in two frameworks that allow a centralized algorithm to be run in the MR setting without loss of approximation, as long as the centralized algorithm satisfies a certain consistency property - which had only been shown to be satisfied by the standard greedy and continous greedy algorithms. A separate line of work has studied parallelizability of submodular maximization in the adaptive complexity model, where each thread may have access to the entire ground set. For the size-constrained maximization of a monotone and submodular function, we show that several sublinearly adaptive algorithms satisfy the consistency property required to work in the MR setting, which yields highly practical parallelizable and distributed algorithms. Also, we develop the first linear-time distributed algorithm for this problem with constant MR rounds. Finally, we provide a method to increase the maximum cardinality constraint for MR algorithms at the cost of additional MR rounds.

We can define the error distribution as the limiting distribution of the error between the solution $Y$ of a given stochastic differential equation (SDE) and its numerical approximation $\hat{Y}^{(m)}$, weighted by the convergence rate between the two. A goal when studying the error distribution is to provide a way of determination for error distributions for any SDE and numerical scheme that converge to the exact solution. By dividing the error into a main term and a remainder term in a particular way, the author shows that the remainder term can be negligible compared to the main term under certain suitable conditions. Under these conditions, deriving the error distribution reduces to deriving the limiting distribution of the main term. Even if the dimension is one, there are unsolved problems about the asymptotic behavior of the error when the SDE has a drift term and $0<H\leq 1/3$, but our result in the one-dimensional case can be adapted to any Hurst exponent. The main idea of the proof is to define a stochastic process $Y^{m, \rho}$ with the parameter $\rho$ interpolating between $Y$ and $\hat{Y}^{(m)}$ and to estimate the asymptotic expansion for it. Using this estimate, we determine the error distribution of the ($k$)-Milstein scheme and of the Crank-Nicholson scheme in unsolved cases.

Social choice functions help aggregate individual preferences while differentially private mechanisms provide formal privacy guarantees to release answers of queries operating on sensitive data. However, preserving differential privacy requires introducing noise to the system, and therefore may lead to undesired byproducts. Does an increase in the level of differential privacy for releasing the outputs of social choice functions increase or decrease the level of influence and welfare, and at what rate? In this paper, we mainly address this question in more precise terms in a referendum setting with two candidates when the celebrated randomized response mechanism is used. We show that there is an inversely-proportional relation between welfare and privacy, and also influence and privacy.

An introductory exposition of the virtual element method (VEM) is provided. The intent is to make this method more accessible to those unfamiliar with VEM. Familiarity with the finite element method for solving 2D linear elasticity problems is assumed. Derivations relevant to successful implementation are covered. Some theory is covered, but the focus here is on implementation and results. Examples are given that illustrate the utility of the method. Numerical results are provided to help researchers implement and verify their own results.

Video instance segmentation (VIS) is the task that requires simultaneously classifying, segmenting and tracking object instances of interest in video. Recent methods typically develop sophisticated pipelines to tackle this task. Here, we propose a new video instance segmentation framework built upon Transformers, termed VisTR, which views the VIS task as a direct end-to-end parallel sequence decoding/prediction problem. Given a video clip consisting of multiple image frames as input, VisTR outputs the sequence of masks for each instance in the video in order directly. At the core is a new, effective instance sequence matching and segmentation strategy, which supervises and segments instances at the sequence level as a whole. VisTR frames the instance segmentation and tracking in the same perspective of similarity learning, thus considerably simplifying the overall pipeline and is significantly different from existing approaches. Without bells and whistles, VisTR achieves the highest speed among all existing VIS models, and achieves the best result among methods using single model on the YouTube-VIS dataset. For the first time, we demonstrate a much simpler and faster video instance segmentation framework built upon Transformers, achieving competitive accuracy. We hope that VisTR can motivate future research for more video understanding tasks.

We introduce a generic framework that reduces the computational cost of object detection while retaining accuracy for scenarios where objects with varied sizes appear in high resolution images. Detection progresses in a coarse-to-fine manner, first on a down-sampled version of the image and then on a sequence of higher resolution regions identified as likely to improve the detection accuracy. Built upon reinforcement learning, our approach consists of a model (R-net) that uses coarse detection results to predict the potential accuracy gain for analyzing a region at a higher resolution and another model (Q-net) that sequentially selects regions to zoom in. Experiments on the Caltech Pedestrians dataset show that our approach reduces the number of processed pixels by over 50% without a drop in detection accuracy. The merits of our approach become more significant on a high resolution test set collected from YFCC100M dataset, where our approach maintains high detection performance while reducing the number of processed pixels by about 70% and the detection time by over 50%.

Dynamic programming (DP) solves a variety of structured combinatorial problems by iteratively breaking them down into smaller subproblems. In spite of their versatility, DP algorithms are usually non-differentiable, which hampers their use as a layer in neural networks trained by backpropagation. To address this issue, we propose to smooth the max operator in the dynamic programming recursion, using a strongly convex regularizer. This allows to relax both the optimal value and solution of the original combinatorial problem, and turns a broad class of DP algorithms into differentiable operators. Theoretically, we provide a new probabilistic perspective on backpropagating through these DP operators, and relate them to inference in graphical models. We derive two particular instantiations of our framework, a smoothed Viterbi algorithm for sequence prediction and a smoothed DTW algorithm for time-series alignment. We showcase these instantiations on two structured prediction tasks and on structured and sparse attention for neural machine translation.

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