Producing subnational estimates of the under-five mortality rate (U5MR) is a vital goal for the United Nations to reduce inequalities in mortality and well-being across the globe. There is a great disparity in U5MR between high-income and Low-and-Middle Income Countries (LMICs). Current methods for modelling U5MR in LMICs use smoothing methods to reduce uncertainty in estimates caused by data sparsity. This paper includes cohort alongside age and period in a novel application of an Age-Period-Cohort model for U5MR. In this context, current methods only use age and period (and not cohort) for smoothing. With data from the Kenyan Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) we use a Bayesian hierarchical model with terms to smooth over temporal and spatial components whilst fully accounting for the complex stratified, multi-staged cluster design of the DHS. Our results show that the use of cohort may be useful in the context of subnational estimates of U5MR. We validate our results at the subnational level by comparing our results against direct estimates.
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We devise a version of Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) on a denotational domain of streams. We investigate this logic in terms of domain theory, (point-free) topology and geometric logic. This yields the first steps toward an extension of the "Domain Theory in Logical Form" paradigm to temporal liveness properties. We show that the negation-free formulae of LTL induce sober subspaces of streams, but that this is in general not the case in presence of negation. We propose a direct, inductive, translation of negation-free LTL to geometric logic. This translation reflects the approximations used to compute the usual fixpoint representations of LTL modalities. As a motivating example, we handle a natural input-output specification for the usual filter function on streams.
Recently, asynchronous coarse-space correction has been achieved within both the overlapping Schwarz and the primal Schur frameworks. Both additive and multiplicative corrections have been discussed. In this paper, we address some implementation drawbacks of the proposed additive correction scheme. In the existing approach, each coarse solution is applied only once, leaving most of the iterations of the solver without coarse-space information while building the right-hand side of the coarse problem. Moreover, one-sided routines of the Message Passing Interface (MPI) standard were considered, which introduced the need for a sleep statement in the iterations loop of the coarse solver. This implies a tuning of the sleep period, which is a non-discrete quantity. In this paper, we improve the accuracy of the coarse right-hand side, which allowed for more frequent corrections. In addition, we highlight a two-sided implementation which better suits the asynchronous coarse-space correction scheme. Numerical experiments show a significant performance gain with such increased incorporation of the coarse space.
We consider decentralized gradient-free optimization of minimizing Lipschitz continuous functions that satisfy neither smoothness nor convexity assumption. We propose two novel gradient-free algorithms, the Decentralized Gradient-Free Method (DGFM) and its variant, the Decentralized Gradient-Free Method$^+$ (DGFM$^{+}$). Based on the techniques of randomized smoothing and gradient tracking, DGFM requires the computation of the zeroth-order oracle of a single sample in each iteration, making it less demanding in terms of computational resources for individual computing nodes. Theoretically, DGFM achieves a complexity of $\mathcal O(d^{3/2}\delta^{-1}\varepsilon ^{-4})$ for obtaining an $(\delta,\varepsilon)$-Goldstein stationary point. DGFM$^{+}$, an advanced version of DGFM, incorporates variance reduction to further improve the convergence behavior. It samples a mini-batch at each iteration and periodically draws a larger batch of data, which improves the complexity to $\mathcal O(d^{3/2}\delta^{-1} \varepsilon^{-3})$. Moreover, experimental results underscore the empirical advantages of our proposed algorithms when applied to real-world datasets.
Physics-informed neural networks have shown great promise in solving partial differential equations. However, due to insufficient robustness, vanilla PINNs often face challenges when solving complex PDEs, especially those involving multi-scale behaviors or solutions with sharp or oscillatory characteristics. To address these issues, based on the projected gradient descent adversarial attack, we proposed an adversarial training strategy for PINNs termed by AT-PINNs. AT-PINNs enhance the robustness of PINNs by fine-tuning the model with adversarial samples, which can accurately identify model failure locations and drive the model to focus on those regions during training. AT-PINNs can also perform inference with temporal causality by selecting the initial collocation points around temporal initial values. We implement AT-PINNs to the elliptic equation with multi-scale coefficients, Poisson equation with multi-peak solutions, Burgers equation with sharp solutions and the Allen-Cahn equation. The results demonstrate that AT-PINNs can effectively locate and reduce failure regions. Moreover, AT-PINNs are suitable for solving complex PDEs, since locating failure regions through adversarial attacks is independent of the size of failure regions or the complexity of the distribution.
Generative Neural Radiance Fields (GNeRF) based 3D-aware GANs have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in generating high-quality images while maintaining strong 3D consistency. Notably, significant advancements have been made in the domain of face generation. However, most existing models prioritize view consistency over disentanglement, resulting in limited semantic/attribute control during generation. To address this limitation, we propose a conditional GNeRF model incorporating specific attribute labels as input to enhance the controllability and disentanglement abilities of 3D-aware generative models. Our approach builds upon a pre-trained 3D-aware face model, and we introduce a Training as Init and Optimizing for Tuning (TRIOT) method to train a conditional normalized flow module to enable the facial attribute editing, then optimize the latent vector to improve attribute-editing precision further. Our extensive experiments demonstrate that our model produces high-quality edits with superior view consistency while preserving non-target regions. Code is available at //github.com/zhangqianhui/TT-GNeRF.
We give a simple proof of the well-known result that the marginal strategies of a coarse correlated equilibrium form a Nash equilibrium in two-player zero-sum games. A corollary of this fact is that no-external-regret learning algorithms that converge to the set of coarse correlated equilibria will also converge to Nash equilibria in two-player zero-sum games. We show an approximate version: that $\epsilon$-coarse correlated equilibria imply $2\epsilon$-Nash equilibria.
Vast amount of data generated from networks of sensors, wearables, and the Internet of Things (IoT) devices underscores the need for advanced modeling techniques that leverage the spatio-temporal structure of decentralized data due to the need for edge computation and licensing (data access) issues. While federated learning (FL) has emerged as a framework for model training without requiring direct data sharing and exchange, effectively modeling the complex spatio-temporal dependencies to improve forecasting capabilities still remains an open problem. On the other hand, state-of-the-art spatio-temporal forecasting models assume unfettered access to the data, neglecting constraints on data sharing. To bridge this gap, we propose a federated spatio-temporal model -- Cross-Node Federated Graph Neural Network (CNFGNN) -- which explicitly encodes the underlying graph structure using graph neural network (GNN)-based architecture under the constraint of cross-node federated learning, which requires that data in a network of nodes is generated locally on each node and remains decentralized. CNFGNN operates by disentangling the temporal dynamics modeling on devices and spatial dynamics on the server, utilizing alternating optimization to reduce the communication cost, facilitating computations on the edge devices. Experiments on the traffic flow forecasting task show that CNFGNN achieves the best forecasting performance in both transductive and inductive learning settings with no extra computation cost on edge devices, while incurring modest communication cost.
The military is investigating methods to improve communication and agility in its multi-domain operations (MDO). Nascent popularity of Internet of Things (IoT) has gained traction in public and government domains. Its usage in MDO may revolutionize future battlefields and may enable strategic advantage. While this technology offers leverage to military capabilities, it comes with challenges where one is the uncertainty and associated risk. A key question is how can these uncertainties be addressed. Recently published studies proposed information camouflage to transform information from one data domain to another. As this is comparatively a new approach, we investigate challenges of such transformations and how these associated uncertainties can be detected and addressed, specifically unknown-unknowns to improve decision-making.
Few-shot Knowledge Graph (KG) completion is a focus of current research, where each task aims at querying unseen facts of a relation given its few-shot reference entity pairs. Recent attempts solve this problem by learning static representations of entities and references, ignoring their dynamic properties, i.e., entities may exhibit diverse roles within task relations, and references may make different contributions to queries. This work proposes an adaptive attentional network for few-shot KG completion by learning adaptive entity and reference representations. Specifically, entities are modeled by an adaptive neighbor encoder to discern their task-oriented roles, while references are modeled by an adaptive query-aware aggregator to differentiate their contributions. Through the attention mechanism, both entities and references can capture their fine-grained semantic meanings, and thus render more expressive representations. This will be more predictive for knowledge acquisition in the few-shot scenario. Evaluation in link prediction on two public datasets shows that our approach achieves new state-of-the-art results with different few-shot sizes.
Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis.
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