We consider sensitivity of a generic stochastic optimization problem to model uncertainty. We take a non-parametric approach and capture model uncertainty using Wasserstein balls around the postulated model. We provide explicit formulae for the first order correction to both the value function and the optimizer and further extend our results to optimization under linear constraints. We present applications to statistics, machine learning, mathematical finance and uncertainty quantification. In particular, we provide explicit first-order approximation for square-root LASSO regression coefficients and deduce coefficient shrinkage compared to the ordinary least squares regression. We consider robustness of call option pricing and deduce a new Black-Scholes sensitivity, a non-parametric version of the so-called Vega. We also compute sensitivities of optimized certainty equivalents in finance and propose measures to quantify robustness of neural networks to adversarial examples.
In this paper we analyze the behavior of the Oja's algorithm for online/streaming principal component subspace estimation. It is proved that with high probability it performs an efficient, gap-free, global convergence rate to approximate an principal component subspace for any sub-Gaussian distribution. Moreover, it is the first time to show that the convergence rate, namely the upper bound of the approximation, exactly matches the lower bound of an approximation obtained by the offline/classical PCA up to a constant factor.
Let $L_{q,\mu},\, 1\le q<\infty, \ \mu\ge0,$ denote the weighted $L_q$ space with the classical Jacobi weight $w_\mu$ on the ball $\Bbb B^d$. We consider the weighted least $\ell_q$ approximation problem for a given $L_{q,\mu}$-Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund family on $\Bbb B^d$. We obtain the weighted least $\ell_q$ approximation errors for the weighted Sobolev space $W_{q,\mu}^r$, $r>(d+2\mu)/q$, which are order optimal. We also discuss the least squares quadrature induced by an $L_{2,\mu}$-Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund family, and get the quadrature errors for $W_{2,\mu}^r$, $r>(d+2\mu)/2$, which are also order optimal. Meanwhile, we give the corresponding the weighted least $\ell_q$ approximation theorem and the least squares quadrature errors on the sphere.
Motivated by applications in single-cell biology and metagenomics, we consider matrix reordering based on the noisy disordered matrix model. We first establish the fundamental statistical limit for the matrix reordering problem in a decision-theoretic framework and show that a constrained least square estimator is rate-optimal. Given the computational hardness of the optimal procedure, we analyze a popular polynomial-time algorithm, spectral seriation, and show that it is suboptimal. We then propose a novel polynomial-time adaptive sorting algorithm with guaranteed improvement on the performance. The superiority of the adaptive sorting algorithm over the existing methods is demonstrated in simulation studies and in the analysis of two real single-cell RNA sequencing datasets.
Parametrized max-affine (PMA) and parametrized log-sum-exp (PLSE) networks are proposed for general decision-making problems. The proposed approximators generalize existing convex approximators, namely, max-affine (MA) and log-sum-exp (LSE) networks, by considering function arguments of condition and decision variables and replacing the network parameters of MA and LSE networks with continuous functions with respect to the condition variable. The universal approximation theorem of PMA and PLSE is proven, which implies that PMA and PLSE are shape-preserving universal approximators for parametrized convex continuous functions. Practical guidelines for incorporating deep neural networks within PMA and PLSE networks are provided. A numerical simulation is performed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approximators. The simulation results support that PLSE outperforms other existing approximators in terms of minimizer and optimal value errors with scalable and efficient computation for high-dimensional cases.
We study the off-policy evaluation (OPE) problem in an infinite-horizon Markov decision process with continuous states and actions. We recast the $Q$-function estimation into a special form of the nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) estimation problem. We first show that under one mild condition the NPIV formulation of $Q$-function estimation is well-posed in the sense of $L^2$-measure of ill-posedness with respect to the data generating distribution, bypassing a strong assumption on the discount factor $\gamma$ imposed in the recent literature for obtaining the $L^2$ convergence rates of various $Q$-function estimators. Thanks to this new well-posed property, we derive the first minimax lower bounds for the convergence rates of nonparametric estimation of $Q$-function and its derivatives in both sup-norm and $L^2$-norm, which are shown to be the same as those for the classical nonparametric regression (Stone, 1982). We then propose a sieve two-stage least squares estimator and establish its rate-optimality in both norms under some mild conditions. Our general results on the well-posedness and the minimax lower bounds are of independent interest to study not only other nonparametric estimators for $Q$-function but also efficient estimation on the value of any target policy in off-policy settings.
Stochastic PDE eigenvalue problems are useful models for quantifying the uncertainty in several applications from the physical sciences and engineering, e.g., structural vibration analysis, the criticality of a nuclear reactor or photonic crystal structures. In this paper we present a simple multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo (MLQMC) method for approximating the expectation of the minimal eigenvalue of an elliptic eigenvalue problem with coefficients that are given as a series expansion of countably-many stochastic parameters. The MLQMC algorithm is based on a hierarchy of discretisations of the spatial domain and truncations of the dimension of the stochastic parameter domain. To approximate the expectations, randomly shifted lattice rules are employed. This paper is primarily dedicated to giving a rigorous analysis of the error of this algorithm. A key step in the error analysis requires bounds on the mixed derivatives of the eigenfunction with respect to both the stochastic and spatial variables simultaneously. Under stronger smoothness assumptions on the parametric dependence, our analysis also extends to multilevel higher-order quasi-Monte Carlo rules. An accompanying paper [Gilbert and Scheichl, 2022], focusses on practical extensions of the MLQMC algorithm to improve efficiency, and presents numerical results.
Approximations of optimization problems arise in computational procedures and sensitivity analysis. The resulting effect on solutions can be significant, with even small approximations of components of a problem translating into large errors in the solutions. We specify conditions under which approximations are well behaved in the sense of minimizers, stationary points, and level-sets and this leads to a framework of consistent approximations. The framework is developed for a broad class of composite problems, which are neither convex nor smooth. We demonstrate the framework using examples from stochastic optimization, neural-network based machine learning, distributionally robust optimization, penalty and augmented Lagrangian methods, interior-point methods, homotopy methods, smoothing methods, extended nonlinear programming, difference-of-convex programming, and multi-objective optimization. An enhanced proximal method illustrates the algorithmic possibilities. A quantitative analysis supplements the development by furnishing rates of convergence.
In warehouses, order picking is known to be the most labor-intensive and costly task in which the employees account for a large part of the warehouse performance. Hence, many approaches exist, that optimize the order picking process based on diverse economic criteria. However, most of these approaches focus on a single economic objective at once and disregard ergonomic criteria in their optimization. Further, the influence of the placement of the items to be picked is underestimated and accordingly, too little attention is paid to the interdependence of these two problems. In this work, we aim at optimizing the storage assignment and the order picking problem within mezzanine warehouse with regards to their reciprocal influence. We propose a customized version of the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) for optimizing the storage assignment problem as well as an Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm for optimizing the order picking problem. Both algorithms incorporate multiple economic and ergonomic constraints simultaneously. Furthermore, the algorithms incorporate knowledge about the interdependence between both problems, aiming to improve the overall warehouse performance. Our evaluation results show that our proposed algorithms return better storage assignments and order pick routes compared to commonly used techniques for the following quality indicators for comparing Pareto fronts: Coverage, Generational Distance, Euclidian Distance, Pareto Front Size, and Inverted Generational Distance. Additionally, the evaluation regarding the interaction of both algorithms shows a better performance when combining both proposed algorithms.
In this work, we consider the distributed optimization of non-smooth convex functions using a network of computing units. We investigate this problem under two regularity assumptions: (1) the Lipschitz continuity of the global objective function, and (2) the Lipschitz continuity of local individual functions. Under the local regularity assumption, we provide the first optimal first-order decentralized algorithm called multi-step primal-dual (MSPD) and its corresponding optimal convergence rate. A notable aspect of this result is that, for non-smooth functions, while the dominant term of the error is in $O(1/\sqrt{t})$, the structure of the communication network only impacts a second-order term in $O(1/t)$, where $t$ is time. In other words, the error due to limits in communication resources decreases at a fast rate even in the case of non-strongly-convex objective functions. Under the global regularity assumption, we provide a simple yet efficient algorithm called distributed randomized smoothing (DRS) based on a local smoothing of the objective function, and show that DRS is within a $d^{1/4}$ multiplicative factor of the optimal convergence rate, where $d$ is the underlying dimension.
In this paper, we study the optimal convergence rate for distributed convex optimization problems in networks. We model the communication restrictions imposed by the network as a set of affine constraints and provide optimal complexity bounds for four different setups, namely: the function $F(\xb) \triangleq \sum_{i=1}^{m}f_i(\xb)$ is strongly convex and smooth, either strongly convex or smooth or just convex. Our results show that Nesterov's accelerated gradient descent on the dual problem can be executed in a distributed manner and obtains the same optimal rates as in the centralized version of the problem (up to constant or logarithmic factors) with an additional cost related to the spectral gap of the interaction matrix. Finally, we discuss some extensions to the proposed setup such as proximal friendly functions, time-varying graphs, improvement of the condition numbers.