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In consensus clustering, a clustering algorithm is used in combination with a subsampling procedure to detect stable clusters. Previous studies on both simulated and real data suggest that consensus clustering outperforms native algorithms. We extend here consensus clustering to allow for attribute weighting in the calculation of pairwise distances using existing regularised approaches. We propose a procedure for the calibration of the number of clusters (and regularisation parameter) by maximising a novel consensus score calculated directly from consensus clustering outputs, making it extremely computationally competitive. Our simulation study shows better clustering performances of (i) models calibrated by maximising our consensus score compared to existing calibration scores, and (ii) weighted compared to unweighted approaches in the presence of features that do not contribute to cluster definition. Application on real gene expression data measured in lung tissue reveals clear clusters corresponding to different lung cancer subtypes. The R package sharp (version 1.4.0) is available on CRAN.

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We introduce the local information cost (LIC), which quantifies the amount of information that nodes in a network need to learn when solving a graph problem. We show that the local information cost presents a natural lower bound on the communication complexity of distributed algorithms. For the synchronous CONGEST $KT_1$ model, where each node has initial knowledge of its neighbors' IDs, we prove that $\Omega(\frac{\text{LIC}_\gamma(P)}{\log\tau \log n})$ bits are required for solving a graph problem $P$ with a $\tau$-round algorithm that errs with probability at most $\gamma$. Our result is the first lower bound that yields a general trade-off between communication and time for graph problems in the CONGEST $KT_1$ model. We demonstrate how to apply the local information cost by deriving a lower bound on the communication complexity of computing routing tables for all-pairs-shortest-paths (APSP) routing, as well as for computing a spanner with multiplicative stretch $2t-1$ that consists of at most $O(n^{1+\frac{1}{t} + \epsilon})$ edges, where $\epsilon = O( {1}/{t^2} )$. More concretely, we derive the following lower bounds in the CONGEST model under the $KT_1$ assumption: For constructing routing tables, we show that any $O(\text{poly}(n))$-time algorithm has a communication complexity of $\Omega( {n^2}/{\log^2 n} )$ bits. Our main result is for constructing graph spanners: We show that any $O(\text{poly}(n))$-time algorithm must send at least $\tilde\Omega(\tfrac{1}{t^2} n^{1+{1}/{2t}})$ bits. Previously, only a trivial lower bound of $\tilde \Omega(n)$ bits was known for these problems.

Real-time computation of optimal control is a challenging problem and, to solve this difficulty, many frameworks proposed to use learning techniques to learn (possibly sub-optimal) controllers and enable their usage in an online fashion. Among these techniques, the optimal motion framework is a simple, yet powerful technique, that obtained success in many complex real-world applications. The main idea of this approach is to take advantage of dynamic motion primitives, a widely used tool in robotics to learn trajectories from demonstrations. While usually these demonstrations come from humans, the optimal motion framework is based on demonstrations coming from optimal solutions, such as the ones obtained by numeric solvers. As usual in many learning techniques, a drawback of this approach is that it is hard to estimate the suboptimality of learned solutions, since finding easily computable and non-trivial upper bounds to the error between an optimal solution and a learned solution is, in general, unfeasible. However, we show in this paper that it is possible to estimate this error for a broad class of problems. Furthermore, we apply this estimation technique to achieve a novel and more efficient sampling scheme to be used within the optimal motion framework, enabling the usage of this framework in some scenarios where the computational resources are limited.

We consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in linear structural causal models (SCM) with latent confounders when we have access to a single proxy variable. Several methods (such as difference-in-difference (DiD) estimator or negative outcome control) have been proposed in this setting in the literature. However, these approaches require either restrictive assumptions on the data generating model or having access to at least two proxy variables. We propose a method to estimate the causal effect using cross moments between the treatment, the outcome, and the proxy variable. In particular, we show that the causal effect can be identified with simple arithmetic operations on the cross moments if the latent confounder in linear SCM is non-Gaussian. In this setting, DiD estimator provides an unbiased estimate only in the special case where the latent confounder has exactly the same direct causal effects on the outcomes in the pre-treatment and post-treatment phases. This translates to the common trend assumption in DiD, which we effectively relax. Additionally, we provide an impossibility result that shows the causal effect cannot be identified if the observational distribution over the treatment, the outcome, and the proxy is jointly Gaussian. Our experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets showcase the effectiveness of the proposed approach in estimating the causal effect.

We study a structured multi-agent multi-armed bandit (MAMAB) problem in a dynamic environment. A graph reflects the information-sharing structure among agents, and the arms' reward distributions are piecewise-stationary with several unknown change points. The agents face the identical piecewise-stationary MAB problem. The goal is to develop a decision-making policy for the agents that minimizes the regret, which is the expected total loss of not playing the optimal arm at each time step. Our proposed solution, Restarted Bayesian Online Change Point Detection in Cooperative Upper Confidence Bound Algorithm (RBO-Coop-UCB), involves an efficient multi-agent UCB algorithm as its core enhanced with a Bayesian change point detector. We also develop a simple restart decision cooperation that improves decision-making. Theoretically, we establish that the expected group regret of RBO-Coop-UCB is upper bounded by $\mathcal{O}(KNM\log T + K\sqrt{MT\log T})$, where K is the number of agents, M is the number of arms, and T is the number of time steps. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art algorithms.

We present a pseudo-reversible normalizing flow method for efficiently generating samples of the state of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with different initial distributions. The primary objective is to construct an accurate and efficient sampler that can be used as a surrogate model for computationally expensive numerical integration of SDE, such as those employed in particle simulation. After training, the normalizing flow model can directly generate samples of the SDE's final state without simulating trajectories. Existing normalizing flows for SDEs depend on the initial distribution, meaning the model needs to be re-trained when the initial distribution changes. The main novelty of our normalizing flow model is that it can learn the conditional distribution of the state, i.e., the distribution of the final state conditional on any initial state, such that the model only needs to be trained once and the trained model can be used to handle various initial distributions. This feature can provide a significant computational saving in studies of how the final state varies with the initial distribution. We provide a rigorous convergence analysis of the pseudo-reversible normalizing flow model to the target probability density function in the Kullback-Leibler divergence metric. Numerical experiments are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed normalizing flow model.

Automated variable selection is widely applied in statistical model development. Algorithms like forward, backward or stepwise selection are available in statistical software packages like R and SAS. Many researchers have criticized the use of these algorithms because the models resulting from automated selection algorithms are not based on theory and tend to be unstable. Furthermore, simulation studies have shown that they often select incorrect variables due to random effects which makes these model building strategies unreliable. In this article, a comprehensive stepwise selection algorithm tailored to logistic regression is proposed. It uses multiple criteria in variable selection instead of relying on one single measure only, like a $p$-value or Akaike's information criterion, which ensures robustness and soundness of the final outcome. The result of the selection process might not be unambiguous. It might select multiple models that could be considered as statistically equivalent. A simulation study demonstrates the superiority of the proposed variable selection method over available alternatives.

Unsupervised domain adaptation has recently emerged as an effective paradigm for generalizing deep neural networks to new target domains. However, there is still enormous potential to be tapped to reach the fully supervised performance. In this paper, we present a novel active learning strategy to assist knowledge transfer in the target domain, dubbed active domain adaptation. We start from an observation that energy-based models exhibit free energy biases when training (source) and test (target) data come from different distributions. Inspired by this inherent mechanism, we empirically reveal that a simple yet efficient energy-based sampling strategy sheds light on selecting the most valuable target samples than existing approaches requiring particular architectures or computation of the distances. Our algorithm, Energy-based Active Domain Adaptation (EADA), queries groups of targe data that incorporate both domain characteristic and instance uncertainty into every selection round. Meanwhile, by aligning the free energy of target data compact around the source domain via a regularization term, domain gap can be implicitly diminished. Through extensive experiments, we show that EADA surpasses state-of-the-art methods on well-known challenging benchmarks with substantial improvements, making it a useful option in the open world. Code is available at //github.com/BIT-DA/EADA.

We consider the problem of discovering $K$ related Gaussian directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), where the involved graph structures share a consistent causal order and sparse unions of supports. Under the multi-task learning setting, we propose a $l_1/l_2$-regularized maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for learning $K$ linear structural equation models. We theoretically show that the joint estimator, by leveraging data across related tasks, can achieve a better sample complexity for recovering the causal order (or topological order) than separate estimations. Moreover, the joint estimator is able to recover non-identifiable DAGs, by estimating them together with some identifiable DAGs. Lastly, our analysis also shows the consistency of union support recovery of the structures. To allow practical implementation, we design a continuous optimization problem whose optimizer is the same as the joint estimator and can be approximated efficiently by an iterative algorithm. We validate the theoretical analysis and the effectiveness of the joint estimator in experiments.

Clustering is one of the most fundamental and wide-spread techniques in exploratory data analysis. Yet, the basic approach to clustering has not really changed: a practitioner hand-picks a task-specific clustering loss to optimize and fit the given data to reveal the underlying cluster structure. Some types of losses---such as k-means, or its non-linear version: kernelized k-means (centroid based), and DBSCAN (density based)---are popular choices due to their good empirical performance on a range of applications. Although every so often the clustering output using these standard losses fails to reveal the underlying structure, and the practitioner has to custom-design their own variation. In this work we take an intrinsically different approach to clustering: rather than fitting a dataset to a specific clustering loss, we train a recurrent model that learns how to cluster. The model uses as training pairs examples of datasets (as input) and its corresponding cluster identities (as output). By providing multiple types of training datasets as inputs, our model has the ability to generalize well on unseen datasets (new clustering tasks). Our experiments reveal that by training on simple synthetically generated datasets or on existing real datasets, we can achieve better clustering performance on unseen real-world datasets when compared with standard benchmark clustering techniques. Our meta clustering model works well even for small datasets where the usual deep learning models tend to perform worse.

Medical image segmentation requires consensus ground truth segmentations to be derived from multiple expert annotations. A novel approach is proposed that obtains consensus segmentations from experts using graph cuts (GC) and semi supervised learning (SSL). Popular approaches use iterative Expectation Maximization (EM) to estimate the final annotation and quantify annotator's performance. Such techniques pose the risk of getting trapped in local minima. We propose a self consistency (SC) score to quantify annotator consistency using low level image features. SSL is used to predict missing annotations by considering global features and local image consistency. The SC score also serves as the penalty cost in a second order Markov random field (MRF) cost function optimized using graph cuts to derive the final consensus label. Graph cut obtains a global maximum without an iterative procedure. Experimental results on synthetic images, real data of Crohn's disease patients and retinal images show our final segmentation to be accurate and more consistent than competing methods.

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