The presence of measurement error is a widespread issue which, when ignored, can render the results of an analysis unreliable. Numerous corrections for the effects of measurement error have been proposed and studied, often under the assumption of a normally distributed, additive measurement error model. One such correction is the simulation extrapolation method, which provides a flexible way of correcting for the effects of error in a wide variety of models, when the errors are approximately normally distributed. However, in many situations observed data are non-symmetric, heavy-tailed, or otherwise highly non-normal. In these settings, correction techniques relying on the assumption of normality are undesirable. We propose an extension to the simulation extrapolation method which is nonparametric in the sense that no specific distributional assumptions are required on the error terms. The technique is implemented when either validation data or replicate measurements are available, and it shares the general structure of the standard simulation extrapolation procedure, making it immediately accessible for those familiar with this technique.
Obtaining high-quality data for collaborative training of machine learning models can be a challenging task due to A) the regulatory concerns and B) lack of incentive to participate. The first issue can be addressed through the use of privacy enhancing technologies (PET), one of the most frequently used one being differentially private (DP) training. The second challenge can be addressed by identifying which data points can be beneficial for model training and rewarding data owners for sharing this data. However, DP in deep learning typically adversely affects atypical (often informative) data samples, making it difficult to assess the usefulness of individual contributions. In this work we investigate how to leverage gradient information to identify training samples of interest in private training settings. We show that there exist techniques which are able to provide the clients with the tools for principled data selection even in strictest privacy settings.
Advanced science and technology provide a wealth of big data from different sources for extreme value analysis.Classic extreme value theory was extended to obtain an accelerated max-stable distribution family for modelling competing risk-based extreme data in Cao and Zhang (2021). In this paper, we establish probability models for power normalized maxima and minima from competing risks. The limit distributions consist of an extensional new accelerated max-stable and min-stable distribution family (termed as the accelerated p-max/p-min stable distribution), and its left-truncated version. The limit types of distributions are determined principally by the sample generating process and the interplay among the competing risks, which are illustrated by common examples. Further, the statistical inference concerning the maximum likelihood estimation and model diagnosis of this model was investigated. Numerical studies show first the efficient approximation of all limit scenarios as well as its comparable convergence rate in contrast with those under linear normalization, and then present the maximum likelihood estimation and diagnosis of accelerated p-max/p-min stable models for simulated data sets. Finally, two real datasets concerning annual maximum of ground level ozone and survival times of Stanford heart plant demonstrate the performance of our accelerated p-max and accelerated p-min stable models.
In this paper, we focus on the solution of online optimization problems that arise often in signal processing and machine learning, in which we have access to streaming sources of data. We discuss algorithms for online optimization based on the prediction-correction paradigm, both in the primal and dual space. In particular, we leverage the typical regularized least-squares structure appearing in many signal processing problems to propose a novel and tailored prediction strategy, which we call extrapolation-based. By using tools from operator theory, we then analyze the convergence of the proposed methods as applied both to primal and dual problems, deriving an explicit bound for the tracking error, that is, the distance from the time-varying optimal solution. We further discuss the empirical performance of the algorithm when applied to signal processing, machine learning, and robotics problems.
Recombination is a fundamental evolutionary force, but it is difficult to quantify because the effect of a recombination event on patterns of variation in a sample of genetic data can be hard to discern. Estimators for the recombination rate, which are usually based on the idea of integrating over the unobserved possible evolutionary histories of a sample, can therefore be noisy. Here we consider a related question: how would an estimator behave if the evolutionary history actually was observed? This would offer an upper bound on the performance of estimators used in practice. In this paper we derive an expression for the maximum likelihood estimator for the recombination rate based on a continuously observed, multi-locus, Wright--Fisher diffusion of haplotype frequencies, complementing existing work for an estimator of selection. We show that, contrary to selection, the estimator has unusual properties because the observed information matrix can explode in finite time whereupon the recombination parameter is learned without error. We also show that the recombination estimator is robust to the presence of selection in the sense that incorporating selection into the model leaves the estimator unchanged. We study the properties of the estimator by simulation and show that its distribution can be quite sensitive to the underlying mutation rates.
Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful tool for seeking the global optimum of black-box functions. While evaluations of the black-box functions can be highly costly, it is desirable to reduce the use of expensive labeled data. For the first time, we introduce a teacher-student model to exploit semi-supervised learning that can make use of large amounts of unlabelled data under the context of BO. Importantly, we show that the selection of the validation and unlabeled data is key to the performance of BO. To optimize the sampling of unlabeled data, we employ a black-box parameterized sampling distribution optimized as part of the employed bi-level optimization framework. Taking one step further, we demonstrate that the performance of BO can be further improved by selecting unlabeled data from a dynamically fitted extreme value distribution. Our BO method operates in a learned latent space with reduced dimensionality, making it scalable to high-dimensional problems. The proposed approach outperforms significantly the existing BO methods on several synthetic and real-world optimization tasks.
The Differentiable Search Index (DSI) is a novel information retrieval (IR) framework that utilizes a differentiable function to generate a sorted list of document identifiers in response to a given query. However, due to the black-box nature of the end-to-end neural architecture, it remains to be understood to what extent DSI possesses the basic indexing and retrieval abilities. To mitigate this gap, in this study, we define and examine three important abilities that a functioning IR framework should possess, namely, exclusivity, completeness, and relevance ordering. Our analytical experimentation shows that while DSI demonstrates proficiency in memorizing the unidirectional mapping from pseudo queries to document identifiers, it falls short in distinguishing relevant documents from random ones, thereby negatively impacting its retrieval effectiveness. To address this issue, we propose a multi-task distillation approach to enhance the retrieval quality without altering the structure of the model and successfully endow it with improved indexing abilities. Through experiments conducted on various datasets, we demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms previous DSI baselines.
This article introduces new multiplicative updates for nonnegative matrix factorization with the $\beta$-divergence and sparse regularization of one of the two factors (say, the activation matrix). It is well known that the norm of the other factor (the dictionary matrix) needs to be controlled in order to avoid an ill-posed formulation. Standard practice consists in constraining the columns of the dictionary to have unit norm, which leads to a nontrivial optimization problem. Our approach leverages a reparametrization of the original problem into the optimization of an equivalent scale-invariant objective function. From there, we derive block-descent majorization-minimization algorithms that result in simple multiplicative updates for either $\ell_{1}$-regularization or the more "aggressive" log-regularization. In contrast with other state-of-the-art methods, our algorithms are universal in the sense that they can be applied to any $\beta$-divergence (i.e., any value of $\beta$) and that they come with convergence guarantees. We report numerical comparisons with existing heuristic and Lagrangian methods using various datasets: face images, an audio spectrogram, hyperspectral data, and song play counts. We show that our methods obtain solutions of similar quality at convergence (similar objective values) but with significantly reduced CPU times.
Trust has emerged as a key factor in people's interactions with AI-infused systems. Yet, little is known about what models of trust have been used and for what systems: robots, virtual characters, smart vehicles, decision aids, or others. Moreover, there is yet no known standard approach to measuring trust in AI. This scoping review maps out the state of affairs on trust in human-AI interaction (HAII) from the perspectives of models, measures, and methods. Findings suggest that trust is an important and multi-faceted topic of study within HAII contexts. However, most work is under-theorized and under-reported, generally not using established trust models and missing details about methods, especially Wizard of Oz. We offer several targets for systematic review work as well as a research agenda for combining the strengths and addressing the weaknesses of the current literature.
Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have been widely applied in various fields due to their significant power on processing graph-structured data. Typical GCN and its variants work under a homophily assumption (i.e., nodes with same class are prone to connect to each other), while ignoring the heterophily which exists in many real-world networks (i.e., nodes with different classes tend to form edges). Existing methods deal with heterophily by mainly aggregating higher-order neighborhoods or combing the immediate representations, which leads to noise and irrelevant information in the result. But these methods did not change the propagation mechanism which works under homophily assumption (that is a fundamental part of GCNs). This makes it difficult to distinguish the representation of nodes from different classes. To address this problem, in this paper we design a novel propagation mechanism, which can automatically change the propagation and aggregation process according to homophily or heterophily between node pairs. To adaptively learn the propagation process, we introduce two measurements of homophily degree between node pairs, which is learned based on topological and attribute information, respectively. Then we incorporate the learnable homophily degree into the graph convolution framework, which is trained in an end-to-end schema, enabling it to go beyond the assumption of homophily. More importantly, we theoretically prove that our model can constrain the similarity of representations between nodes according to their homophily degree. Experiments on seven real-world datasets demonstrate that this new approach outperforms the state-of-the-art methods under heterophily or low homophily, and gains competitive performance under homophily.
This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.