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Self-supervised learning for image denoising problems in the presence of denaturation for noisy data is a crucial approach in machine learning. However, theoretical understanding of the performance of the approach that uses denatured data is lacking. To provide better understanding of the approach, in this paper, we analyze a self-supervised denoising algorithm that uses denatured data in depth through theoretical analysis and numerical experiments. Through the theoretical analysis, we discuss that the algorithm finds desired solutions to the optimization problem with the population risk, while the guarantee for the empirical risk depends on the hardness of the denoising task in terms of denaturation levels. We also conduct several experiments to investigate the performance of an extended algorithm in practice. The results indicate that the algorithm training with denatured images works, and the empirical performance aligns with the theoretical results. These results suggest several insights for further improvement of self-supervised image denoising that uses denatured data in future directions.

We study the problem of drawing samples from a logconcave distribution truncated on a polytope, motivated by computational challenges in Bayesian statistical models with indicator variables, such as probit regression. Building on interior point methods and the Dikin walk for sampling from uniform distributions, we analyze the mixing time of regularized Dikin walks. Our contributions are threefold. First, for a logconcave and log-smooth distribution with condition number $\kappa$, truncated on a polytope in $\mathbb{R}^n$ defined with $m$ linear constraints, we prove that the soft-threshold Dikin walk mixes in $\widetilde{O}((m+\kappa)n)$ iterations from a warm initialization. It improves upon prior work which required the polytope to be bounded and involved a bound dependent on the radius of the bounded region. Moreover, we introduce the regularized Dikin walk using Lewis weights for approximating the John ellipsoid. We show that it mixes in $\widetilde{O}((n^{2.5}+\kappa n)$. Second, we extend the mixing time guarantees mentioned above to weakly log-concave distributions truncated on polytopes, provided that they have a finite covariance matrix. Third, going beyond worst-case mixing time analysis, we demonstrate that soft-threshold Dikin walk can mix significantly faster when only a limited number of constraints intersect the high-probability mass of the distribution, improving the $\widetilde{O}((m+\kappa)n)$ upper bound to $\widetilde{O}(m + \kappa n)$. Additionally, per-iteration complexity of regularized Dikin walk and ways to generate a warm initialization are discussed to facilitate practical implementation.

The risk-controlling prediction sets (RCPS) framework is a general tool for transforming the output of any machine learning model to design a predictive rule with rigorous error rate control. The key idea behind this framework is to use labeled hold-out calibration data to tune a hyper-parameter that affects the error rate of the resulting prediction rule. However, the limitation of such a calibration scheme is that with limited hold-out data, the tuned hyper-parameter becomes noisy and leads to a prediction rule with an error rate that is often unnecessarily conservative. To overcome this sample-size barrier, we introduce a semi-supervised calibration procedure that leverages unlabeled data to rigorously tune the hyper-parameter without compromising statistical validity. Our procedure builds upon the prediction-powered inference framework, carefully tailoring it to risk-controlling tasks. We demonstrate the benefits and validity of our proposal through two real-data experiments: few-shot image classification and early time series classification.

The sensitivity of machine learning algorithms to outliers, particularly in high-dimensional spaces, necessitates the development of robust methods. Within the framework of $\epsilon$-contamination model, where the adversary can inspect and replace up to $\epsilon$ fraction of the samples, a fundamental open question is determining the optimal rates for robust stochastic convex optimization (robust SCO), provided the samples under $\epsilon$-contamination. We develop novel algorithms that achieve minimax-optimal excess risk (up to logarithmic factors) under the $\epsilon$-contamination model. Our approach advances beyonds existing algorithms, which are not only suboptimal but also constrained by stringent requirements, including Lipschitzness and smoothness conditions on sample functions.Our algorithms achieve optimal rates while removing these restrictive assumptions, and notably, remain effective for nonsmooth but Lipschitz population risks.

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and time-consuming. This paper presents an adaptive sampling approach designed to reduce epistemic uncertainty in predictive models. Our primary contribution is the development of a metric that estimates potential epistemic uncertainty leveraging prediction interval-generation neural networks. This estimation relies on the distance between the predicted upper and lower bounds and the observed data at the tested positions and their neighboring points. Our second contribution is the proposal of a batch sampling strategy based on Gaussian processes (GPs). A GP is used as a surrogate model of the networks trained at each iteration of the adaptive sampling process. Using this GP, we design an acquisition function that selects a combination of sampling locations to maximize the reduction of epistemic uncertainty across the domain. We test our approach on three unidimensional synthetic problems and a multi-dimensional dataset based on an agricultural field for selecting experimental fertilizer rates. The results demonstrate that our method consistently converges faster to minimum epistemic uncertainty levels compared to Normalizing Flows Ensembles, MC-Dropout, and simple GPs.

Geophysical systems are inherently complex and span multiple spatial and temporal scales, making their dynamics challenging to understand and predict. This challenge is especially pronounced for extreme events, which are primarily governed by their instantaneous properties rather than their average characteristics. Advances in dynamical systems theory, including the development of local dynamical indices such as local dimension and inverse persistence, have provided powerful tools for studying these short-lasting phenomena. However, existing applications of such indices often rely on predefined fixed spatial domains and scales, with limited discussion on the influence of spatial scales on the results. In this work, we present a novel spatially multiscale methodology that applies a sliding window method to compute dynamical indices, enabling the exploration of scale-dependent properties. Applying this framework to high-impact European summertime heatwaves, we reconcile previously different perspectives, thereby underscoring the importance of spatial scales in such analyses. Furthermore, we emphasize that our novel methodology has broad applicability to other atmospheric phenomena, as well as to other geophysical and spatio-temporal systems.

Constructing sparse, effective reduced-order models (ROMs) for high-dimensional dynamical data is an active area of research in applied sciences. In this work, we study an efficient approach to identifying such sparse ROMs using an information-theoretic indicator called causation entropy. Given a feature library of possible building block terms for the sought ROMs, the causation entropy ranks the importance of each term to the dynamics conveyed by the training data before a parameter estimation procedure is performed. It thus allows for an efficient construction of a hierarchy of ROMs with varying degrees of sparsity to effectively handle different tasks. This article examines the ability of the causation entropy to identify skillful sparse ROMs when a relatively high-dimensional ROM is required to emulate the dynamics conveyed by the training dataset. We demonstrate that a Gaussian approximation of the causation entropy still performs exceptionally well even in presence of highly non-Gaussian statistics. Such approximations provide an efficient way to access the otherwise hard to compute causation entropies when the selected feature library contains a large number of candidate functions. Besides recovering long-term statistics, we also demonstrate good performance of the obtained ROMs in recovering unobserved dynamics via data assimilation with partial observations, a test that has not been done before for causation-based ROMs of partial differential equations. The paradigmatic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation placed in a chaotic regime with highly skewed, multimodal statistics is utilized for these purposes.

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms that incorporate long-term temporal dependencies are largely absent from existing studies. In this paper, we introduce a latent state to allow time-dependent modeling and formulate this problem as a dynamics estimation problem in latent states. We face multiple technical challenges, including (1) modeling latent non-linear dynamics and (2) solving circular dependencies caused by the presence of latent states. To tackle these challenging problems, we propose a new method, Latent Non-Linear equation modeling (LaNoLem), that can model a latent non-linear dynamical system and a novel alternating minimization algorithm for effectively estimating latent states and model parameters. In addition, we introduce criteria to control model complexity without human intervention. Compared with the state-of-the-art model, LaNoLem achieves competitive performance for estimating dynamics while outperforming other methods in prediction.

The inductive biases of graph representation learning algorithms are often encoded in the background geometry of their embedding space. In this paper, we show that general directed graphs can be effectively represented by an embedding model that combines three components: a pseudo-Riemannian metric structure, a non-trivial global topology, and a unique likelihood function that explicitly incorporates a preferred direction in embedding space. We demonstrate the representational capabilities of this method by applying it to the task of link prediction on a series of synthetic and real directed graphs from natural language applications and biology. In particular, we show that low-dimensional cylindrical Minkowski and anti-de Sitter spacetimes can produce equal or better graph representations than curved Riemannian manifolds of higher dimensions.

Federated Learning (FL) is a decentralized machine-learning paradigm, in which a global server iteratively averages the model parameters of local users without accessing their data. User heterogeneity has imposed significant challenges to FL, which can incur drifted global models that are slow to converge. Knowledge Distillation has recently emerged to tackle this issue, by refining the server model using aggregated knowledge from heterogeneous users, other than directly averaging their model parameters. This approach, however, depends on a proxy dataset, making it impractical unless such a prerequisite is satisfied. Moreover, the ensemble knowledge is not fully utilized to guide local model learning, which may in turn affect the quality of the aggregated model. Inspired by the prior art, we propose a data-free knowledge distillation} approach to address heterogeneous FL, where the server learns a lightweight generator to ensemble user information in a data-free manner, which is then broadcasted to users, regulating local training using the learned knowledge as an inductive bias. Empirical studies powered by theoretical implications show that, our approach facilitates FL with better generalization performance using fewer communication rounds, compared with the state-of-the-art.