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In many life science experiments or medical studies, subjects are repeatedly observed and measurements are collected in factorial designs with multivariate data. The analysis of such multivariate data is typically based on multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) or mixed models, requiring complete data, and certain assumption on the underlying parametric distribution such as continuity or a specific covariance structure, e.g., compound symmetry. However, these methods are usually not applicable when discrete data or even ordered categorical data are present. In such cases, nonparametric rank-based methods that do not require stringent distributional assumptions are the preferred choice. However, in the multivariate case, most rank-based approaches have only been developed for complete observations. It is the aim of this work is to develop asymptotic correct procedures that are capable of handling missing values, allowing for singular covariance matrices and are applicable for ordinal or ordered categorical data. This is achieved by applying a wild bootstrap procedure in combination with quadratic form-type test statistics. Beyond proving their asymptotic correctness, extensive simulation studies validate their applicability for small samples. Finally, two real data examples are analyzed.

Offline reinforcement learning aims to find the optimal policy from a pre-collected dataset without active exploration. This problem is faced with major challenges, such as a limited amount of data and distribution shift. Existing studies employ the principle of pessimism in face of uncertainty, and penalize rewards for less visited state-action pairs. In this paper, we directly model the uncertainty in the transition kernel using an uncertainty set, and then employ the approach of distributionally robust optimization that optimizes the worst-case performance over the uncertainty set. We first design a Hoeffding-style uncertainty set, which guarantees that the true transition kernel lies in the uncertainty set with high probability. We theoretically prove that it achieves an $\epsilon$-accuracy with a sample complexity of $\mathcal{O}\left((1-\gamma)^{-4}\epsilon^{-2}SC^{\pi^*} \right)$, where $\gamma$ is the discount factor, $C^{\pi^*}$ is the single-policy concentrability for any comparator policy $\pi^*$, and $S$ is the number of states. We further design a Bernstein-style uncertainty set, which does not necessarily guarantee the true transition kernel lies in the uncertainty set. We show an improved and near-optimal sample complexity of $\mathcal{O}\left((1-\gamma)^{-3}\epsilon^{-2}\left(SC^{\pi^*}+(\mu_{\min})^{-1}\right) \right)$, where $\mu_{\min}$ denotes the minimal non-zero entry of the behavior distribution. In addition, the computational complexity of our algorithms is the same as one of the LCB-based methods in the literature. Our results demonstrate that distributionally robust optimization method can also efficiently solve offline reinforcement learning.

We are interested in the nonparametric estimation of the probability density of price returns, using the kernel approach. The output of the method heavily relies on the selection of a bandwidth parameter. Many selection methods have been proposed in the statistical literature. We put forward an alternative selection method based on a criterion coming from information theory and from the physics of complex systems: the bandwidth to be selected maximizes a new measure of complexity, with the aim of avoiding both overfitting and underfitting. We review existing methods of bandwidth selection and show that they lead to contradictory conclusions regarding the complexity of the probability distribution of price returns. This has also some striking consequences in the evaluation of the relevance of the efficient market hypothesis. We apply these methods to real financial data, focusing on the Bitcoin.

The (modern) arbitrary derivative (ADER) approach is a popular technique for the numerical solution of differential problems based on iteratively solving an implicit discretization of their weak formulation. In this work, focusing on an ODE context, we investigate several strategies to improve this approach. Our initial emphasis is on the order of accuracy of the method in connection with the polynomial discretization of the weak formulation. We demonstrate that precise choices lead to higher-order convergences in comparison to the existing literature. Then, we put ADER methods into a Deferred Correction (DeC) formalism. This allows to determine the optimal number of iterations, which is equal to the formal order of accuracy of the method, and to introduce efficient $p$-adaptive modifications. These are defined by matching the order of accuracy achieved and the degree of the polynomial reconstruction at each iteration. We provide analytical and numerical results, including the stability analysis of the new modified methods, the investigation of the computational efficiency, an application to adaptivity and an application to hyperbolic PDEs with a Spectral Difference (SD) space discretization.

We developed a new method PROTES for black-box optimization, which is based on the probabilistic sampling from a probability density function given in the low-parametric tensor train format. We tested it on complex multidimensional arrays and discretized multivariable functions taken, among others, from real-world applications, including unconstrained binary optimization and optimal control problems, for which the possible number of elements is up to $2^{100}$. In numerical experiments, both on analytic model functions and on complex problems, PROTES outperforms existing popular discrete optimization methods (Particle Swarm Optimization, Covariance Matrix Adaptation, Differential Evolution, and others).

We deal with the reduced four-equation model for dynamics of the heterogeneous compressible binary mixtures with the stiffened gas equations of state. We study its further reduced form, with the excluded volume concentrations and a quadratic equation for the common pressure of the components, that can be called a quasi-homogeneous form. We prove new properties of this equation, derive a simple formula for the squared speed of sound, give an alternative proof for a formula that relates it to the squared Wood speed of sound, and a short derivation of the pressure balance equation. For the first time, we introduce regularizations of the heterogeneous model (in the quasi-homogeneous form). In the 1D case, we construct the corresponding explicit two-level in time and symmetric three-point in space finite-difference schemes without limiters and present numerical results for various flows with shock waves.

Standard rank-revealing factorizations such as the singular value decomposition and column pivoted QR factorization are challenging to implement efficiently on a GPU. A major difficulty in this regard is the inability of standard algorithms to cast most operations in terms of the Level-3 BLAS. This paper presents two alternative algorithms for computing a rank-revealing factorization of the form $A = U T V^*$, where $U$ and $V$ are orthogonal and $T$ is triangular. Both algorithms use randomized projection techniques to cast most of the flops in terms of matrix-matrix multiplication, which is exceptionally efficient on the GPU. Numerical experiments illustrate that these algorithms achieve an order of magnitude acceleration over finely tuned GPU implementations of the SVD while providing low-rank approximation errors close to that of the SVD.

Markov Switching models have had increasing success in time series analysis due to their ability to capture the existence of unobserved discrete states in the dynamics of the variables under study. This result is generally obtained thanks to the inference on states derived from the so--called Hamilton filter. One of the open problems in this framework is the identification of the number of states, generally fixed a priori; it is in fact impossible to apply classical tests due to the problem of the nuisance parameters present only under the alternative hypothesis. In this work we show, by Monte Carlo simulations, that fuzzy clustering is able to reproduce the parametric state inference derived from the Hamilton filter and that the typical indices used in clustering to determine the number of groups can be used to identify the number of states in this framework. The procedure is very simple to apply, considering that it is performed (in a nonparametric way) independently of the data generation process and that the indicators we use are present in most statistical packages. A final application on real data completes the analysis.

We develop a new formulation of deep learning based on the Mori-Zwanzig (MZ) formalism of irreversible statistical mechanics. The new formulation is built upon the well-known duality between deep neural networks and discrete dynamical systems, and it allows us to directly propagate quantities of interest (conditional expectations and probability density functions) forward and backward through the network by means of exact linear operator equations. Such new equations can be used as a starting point to develop new effective parameterizations of deep neural networks, and provide a new framework to study deep-learning via operator theoretic methods. The proposed MZ formulation of deep learning naturally introduces a new concept, i.e., the memory of the neural network, which plays a fundamental role in low-dimensional modeling and parameterization. By using the theory of contraction mappings, we develop sufficient conditions for the memory of the neural network to decay with the number of layers. This allows us to rigorously transform deep networks into shallow ones, e.g., by reducing the number of neurons per layer (using projection operators), or by reducing the total number of layers (using the decay property of the memory operator).

In this paper, we study the statistical efficiency of Reinforcement Learning in Mean-Field Control (MFC) and Mean-Field Game (MFG) with general function approximation. We introduce a new concept called Mean-Field Model-Based Eluder Dimension (MBED), which subsumes a rich family of Mean-Field RL problems. Additionally, we propose algorithms based on Optimistic Maximal Likelihood Estimation, which can return an $\epsilon$-optimal policy for MFC or an $\epsilon$-Nash Equilibrium policy for MFG, with sample complexity polynomial w.r.t. relevant parameters and independent of the number of states, actions and the number of agents. Notably, our results only require a mild assumption of Lipschitz continuity on transition dynamics and avoid strong structural assumptions in previous work. Finally, in the tabular setting, given the access to a generative model, we establish an exponential lower bound for MFC setting, while providing a novel sample-efficient model elimination algorithm to approximate equilibrium in MFG setting. Our results reveal a fundamental separation between RL for single-agent, MFC, and MFG from the sample efficiency perspective.