We demonstrate a user-focused verification approach for evaluating probability forecasts of binary outcomes (also known as probabilistic classifiers) that is (i) based on proper scoring rules, (ii) focuses on user decision thresholds, and (iii) provides actionable insights. We argue that the widespread use of categorical performance diagrams and the critical success index to evaluate probabilistic forecasts may produce misleading results and instead illustrate how Murphy diagrams are better for understanding performance across user decision thresholds. The use of proper scoring rules that account for the relative importance of different user decision thresholds is shown to impact scores of overall performance, as well as supporting measures of discrimination and calibration. These methods are demonstrated by evaluating several probabilistic thunderstorm forecast systems. Furthermore, we illustrate an approach that allows a fair comparison between continuous probabilistic forecasts and categorical outlooks using the FIxed Risk Multicategorical (FIRM) score and establish the relationship between the FIRM score and Murphy diagrams. The results highlight how the performance of thunderstorm forecasts produced for tropical Australian waters varies between operational meteorologists and an automated system depending on what decision thresholds a user is acting on. A hindcast of a new automated system is shown to generally perform better than both meteorologists and the old automated system across tropical Australian waters. While the methods are illustrated using thunderstorm forecasts, they are applicable for evaluating probabilistic forecasts for any situation with binary outcomes.
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Sequential recommendation aims at understanding user preference by capturing successive behavior correlations, which are usually represented as the item purchasing sequences based on their past interactions. Existing efforts generally predict the next item via modeling the sequential patterns. Despite effectiveness, there exist two natural deficiencies: (i) user preference is dynamic in nature, and the evolution of collaborative signals is often ignored; and (ii) the observed interactions are often irregularly-sampled, while existing methods model item transitions assuming uniform intervals. Thus, how to effectively model and predict the underlying dynamics for user preference becomes a critical research problem. To tackle the above challenges, in this paper, we focus on continuous-time sequential recommendation and propose a principled graph ordinary differential equation framework named GDERec. Technically, GDERec is characterized by an autoregressive graph ordinary differential equation consisting of two components, which are parameterized by two tailored graph neural networks (GNNs) respectively to capture user preference from the perspective of hybrid dynamical systems. The two customized GNNs are trained alternately in an autoregressive manner to track the evolution of the underlying system from irregular observations, and thus learn effective representations of users and items beneficial to the sequential recommendation. Extensive experiments on five benchmark datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model over various state-of-the-art recommendation methods.
Integrating different functionalities, conventionally implemented as dedicated systems, into a single platform allows utilising the available resources more efficiently. We consider an integrated sensing and power transfer (ISAPT) system and propose the joint optimisation of the rectangular pulse-shaped transmit signal and the beamforming vector to combine sensing and wireless power transfer (WPT) functionalities efficiently. In contrast to prior works, we adopt an accurate non-linear circuit-based energy harvesting (EH) model. We formulate and solve a non-convex optimisation problem for a general number of EH receivers to maximise a weighted sum of the average harvested powers at the EH receivers while ensuring the received echo signal reflected by a sensing target (ST) has sufficient power for estimating the range to the ST with a prescribed accuracy within the considered coverage region. The average harvested power is shown to monotonically increase with the pulse duration when the average transmit power budget is sufficiently large. We discuss the trade-off between sensing performance and power transfer for the considered ISAPT system. The proposed approach significantly outperforms a heuristic baseline scheme based on a linear EH model, which linearly combines energy beamforming with the beamsteering vector in the direction to the ST as its transmit strategy.
Recent advancements in deep learning-based image compression are notable. However, prevalent schemes that employ a serial context-adaptive entropy model to enhance rate-distortion (R-D) performance are markedly slow. Furthermore, the complexities of the encoding and decoding networks are substantially high, rendering them unsuitable for some practical applications. In this paper, we propose two techniques to balance the trade-off between complexity and performance. First, we introduce two branching coding networks to independently learn a low-resolution latent representation and a high-resolution latent representation of the input image, discriminatively representing the global and local information therein. Second, we utilize the high-resolution latent representation as conditional information for the low-resolution latent representation, furnishing it with global information, thus aiding in the reduction of redundancy between low-resolution information. We do not utilize any serial entropy models. Instead, we employ a parallel channel-wise auto-regressive entropy model for encoding and decoding low-resolution and high-resolution latent representations. Experiments demonstrate that our method is approximately twice as fast in both encoding and decoding compared to the parallelizable checkerboard context model, and it also achieves a 1.2% improvement in R-D performance compared to state-of-the-art learned image compression schemes. Our method also outperforms classical image codecs including H.266/VVC-intra (4:4:4) and some recent learned methods in rate-distortion performance, as validated by both PSNR and MS-SSIM metrics on the Kodak dataset.
Pseudorange errors are the root cause of localization inaccuracy in GPS. Previous data-driven methods regress and eliminate pseudorange errors using handcrafted intermediate labels. Unlike them, we propose an end-to-end GPS localization framework, E2E-PrNet, to train a neural network for pseudorange correction (PrNet) directly using the final task loss calculated with the ground truth of GPS receiver states. The gradients of the loss with respect to learnable parameters are backpropagated through a differentiable nonlinear least squares optimizer to PrNet. The feasibility is verified with GPS data collected by Android phones, showing that E2E-PrNet outperforms the state-of-the-art end-to-end GPS localization methods.
We design a self-decision goal-oriented multiple access scheme, where sensing agents observe a common event and individually decide to communicate the event's attributes to the monitoring agents, to satisfy a certain goal. Decisions are based on the usefulness of contents, which are generated under uniform, change- and semantics-aware content acquisition, as well as statistics and contents of other agents. We obtain optimal activation probabilities and threshold criteria for decision-making under all schemes, maximizing a grade of effectiveness metric. Combined with a semantics-aware acquisition scheme, the self-decision scheme offers, on average, 29.52% higher effectiveness, 25.13% fewer drop-offs, and 67.21% fewer transmissions.
Cross-domain sequential recommendation (CDSR) shifts the modeling of user preferences from flat to stereoscopic by integrating and learning interaction information from multiple domains at different granularities (ranging from inter-sequence to intra-sequence and from single-domain to cross-domain). In this survey, we first define the CDSR problem using a four-dimensional tensor and then analyze its multi-type input representations under multidirectional dimensionality reductions. Following that, we provide a systematic overview from both macro and micro views. From a macro view, we abstract the multi-level fusion structures of various models across domains and discuss their bridges for fusion. From a micro view, focusing on the existing models, we specifically discuss the basic technologies and then explain the auxiliary learning technologies. Finally, we exhibit the available public datasets and the representative experimental results as well as provide some insights into future directions for research in CDSR.
Panoptic and instance segmentation networks are often trained with specialized object detection modules, complex loss functions, and ad-hoc post-processing steps to handle the permutation-invariance of the instance masks. This work builds upon Stable Diffusion and proposes a latent diffusion approach for panoptic segmentation, resulting in a simple architecture which omits these complexities. Our training process consists of two steps: (1) training a shallow autoencoder to project the segmentation masks to latent space; (2) training a diffusion model to allow image-conditioned sampling in latent space. The use of a generative model unlocks the exploration of mask completion or inpainting, which has applications in interactive segmentation. The experimental validation yields promising results for both panoptic segmentation and mask inpainting. While not setting a new state-of-the-art, our model's simplicity, generality, and mask completion capability are desirable properties.
We address a key challenge for neuro-symbolic (NeSy) systems by leveraging convex and bilevel optimization techniques to develop a general gradient-based framework for end-to-end neural and symbolic parameter learning. The applicability of our framework is demonstrated with NeuPSL, a state-of-the-art NeSy architecture. To achieve this, we propose a smooth primal and dual formulation of NeuPSL inference and show learning gradients are functions of the optimal dual variables. Additionally, we develop a dual block coordinate descent algorithm for the new formulation that naturally exploits warm-starts. This leads to over 100x learning runtime improvements over the current best NeuPSL inference method. Finally, we provide extensive empirical evaluations across $8$ datasets covering a range of tasks and demonstrate our learning framework achieves up to a 16% point prediction performance improvement over alternative learning methods.
Existing recommender systems extract the user preference based on learning the correlation in data, such as behavioral correlation in collaborative filtering, feature-feature, or feature-behavior correlation in click-through rate prediction. However, regretfully, the real world is driven by causality rather than correlation, and correlation does not imply causation. For example, the recommender systems can recommend a battery charger to a user after buying a phone, in which the latter can serve as the cause of the former, and such a causal relation cannot be reversed. Recently, to address it, researchers in recommender systems have begun to utilize causal inference to extract causality, enhancing the recommender system. In this survey, we comprehensively review the literature on causal inference-based recommendation. At first, we present the fundamental concepts of both recommendation and causal inference as the basis of later content. We raise the typical issues that the non-causality recommendation is faced. Afterward, we comprehensively review the existing work of causal inference-based recommendation, based on a taxonomy of what kind of problem causal inference addresses. Last, we discuss the open problems in this important research area, along with interesting future works.
Social relations are often used to improve recommendation quality when user-item interaction data is sparse in recommender systems. Most existing social recommendation models exploit pairwise relations to mine potential user preferences. However, real-life interactions among users are very complicated and user relations can be high-order. Hypergraph provides a natural way to model complex high-order relations, while its potentials for improving social recommendation are under-explored. In this paper, we fill this gap and propose a multi-channel hypergraph convolutional network to enhance social recommendation by leveraging high-order user relations. Technically, each channel in the network encodes a hypergraph that depicts a common high-order user relation pattern via hypergraph convolution. By aggregating the embeddings learned through multiple channels, we obtain comprehensive user representations to generate recommendation results. However, the aggregation operation might also obscure the inherent characteristics of different types of high-order connectivity information. To compensate for the aggregating loss, we innovatively integrate self-supervised learning into the training of the hypergraph convolutional network to regain the connectivity information with hierarchical mutual information maximization. The experimental results on multiple real-world datasets show that the proposed model outperforms the SOTA methods, and the ablation study verifies the effectiveness of the multi-channel setting and the self-supervised task. The implementation of our model is available via //github.com/Coder-Yu/RecQ.
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