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This paper studies an infinite horizon optimal control problem for discrete-time linear system and quadratic criteria, both with random parameters which are independent and identically distributed with respect to time. In this general setting, we apply the policy gradient method, a reinforcement learning technique, to search for the optimal control without requiring knowledge of statistical information of the parameters. We investigate the sub-Gaussianity of the state process and establish global linear convergence guarantee for this approach based on assumptions that are weaker and easier to verify compared to existing results. Numerical experiments are presented to illustrate our result.

We consider the problem of state estimation from $m$ linear measurements, where the state $u$ to recover is an element of the manifold $\mathcal{M}$ of solutions of a parameter-dependent equation. The state is estimated using a prior knowledge on $\mathcal{M}$ coming from model order reduction. Variational approaches based on linear approximation of $\mathcal{M}$, such as PBDW, yields a recovery error limited by the Kolmogorov $m$-width of $\mathcal{M}$. To overcome this issue, piecewise-affine approximations of $\mathcal{M}$ have also be considered, that consist in using a library of linear spaces among which one is selected by minimizing some distance to $\mathcal{M}$. In this paper, we propose a state estimation method relying on dictionary-based model reduction, where a space is selected from a library generated by a dictionary of snapshots, using a distance to the manifold. The selection is performed among a set of candidate spaces obtained from the path of a $\ell_1$-regularized least-squares problem. Then, in the framework of parameter-dependent operator equations (or PDEs) with affine parameterizations, we provide an efficient offline-online decomposition based on randomized linear algebra, that ensures efficient and stable computations while preserving theoretical guarantees.

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a scalable and memory-efficient optimization algorithm for large datasets and stream data, which has drawn a great deal of attention and popularity. The applications of SGD-based estimators to statistical inference such as interval estimation have also achieved great success. However, most of the related works are based on i.i.d. observations or Markov chains. When the observations come from a mixing time series, how to conduct valid statistical inference remains unexplored. As a matter of fact, the general correlation among observations imposes a challenge on interval estimation. Most existing methods may ignore this correlation and lead to invalid confidence intervals. In this paper, we propose a mini-batch SGD estimator for statistical inference when the data is $\phi$-mixing. The confidence intervals are constructed using an associated mini-batch bootstrap SGD procedure. Using ``independent block'' trick from \cite{yu1994rates}, we show that the proposed estimator is asymptotically normal, and its limiting distribution can be effectively approximated by the bootstrap procedure. The proposed method is memory-efficient and easy to implement in practice. Simulation studies on synthetic data and an application to a real-world dataset confirm our theory.

We investigate statistical properties of a likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models. More specifically, a deep generative model is used to model high-dimensional data that are assumed to concentrate around some low-dimensional structure. Estimating the distribution supported on this low-dimensional structure, such as a low-dimensional manifold, is challenging due to its singularity with respect to the Lebesgue measure in the ambient space. In the considered model, a usual likelihood approach can fail to estimate the target distribution consistently due to the singularity. We prove that a novel and effective solution exists by perturbing the data with an instance noise, which leads to consistent estimation of the underlying distribution with desirable convergence rates. We also characterize the class of distributions that can be efficiently estimated via deep generative models. This class is sufficiently general to contain various structured distributions such as product distributions, classically smooth distributions and distributions supported on a low-dimensional manifold. Our analysis provides some insights on how deep generative models can avoid the curse of dimensionality for nonparametric distribution estimation. We conduct a thorough simulation study and real data analysis to empirically demonstrate that the proposed data perturbation technique improves the estimation performance significantly.

The performance of convolutional neural networks has continued to improve over the last decade. At the same time, as model complexity grows, it becomes increasingly more difficult to explain model decisions. Such explanations may be of critical importance for reliable operation of human-machine pairing setups, or for model selection when the "best" model among many equally-accurate models must be established. Saliency maps represent one popular way of explaining model decisions by highlighting image regions models deem important when making a prediction. However, examining salience maps at scale is not practical. In this paper, we propose five novel methods of leveraging model salience to explain a model behavior at scale. These methods ask: (a) what is the average entropy for a model's salience maps, (b) how does model salience change when fed out-of-set samples, (c) how closely does model salience follow geometrical transformations, (d) what is the stability of model salience across independent training runs, and (e) how does model salience react to salience-guided image degradations. To assess the proposed measures on a concrete and topical problem, we conducted a series of experiments for the task of synthetic face detection with two types of models: those trained traditionally with cross-entropy loss, and those guided by human salience when training to increase model generalizability. These two types of models are characterized by different, interpretable properties of their salience maps, which allows for the evaluation of the correctness of the proposed measures. We offer source codes for each measure along with this paper.

Causal discovery from observational data is a very challenging, often impossible, task. However, estimating the causal structure is possible under certain assumptions on the data-generating process. Many commonly used methods rely on the additivity of the noise in the structural equation models. Additivity implies that the variance or the tail of the effect, given the causes, is invariant; the cause only affects the mean. In many applications, it is desirable to model the tail or other characteristics of the random variable since they can provide different information about the causal structure. However, models for causal inference in such cases have received only very little attention. It has been shown that the causal graph is identifiable under different models, such as linear non-Gaussian, post-nonlinear, or quadratic variance functional models. We introduce a new class of models called the Conditional Parametric Causal Models (CPCM), where the cause affects the effect in some of the characteristics of interest.We use the concept of sufficient statistics to show the identifiability of the CPCM models, focusing mostly on the exponential family of conditional distributions.We also propose an algorithm for estimating the causal structure from a random sample under CPCM. Its empirical properties are studied for various data sets, including an application on the expenditure behavior of residents of the Philippines.

We consider the problem of identification of linear dynamical systems from a single trajectory. Recent results have predominantly focused on the setup where no structural assumption is made on the system matrix $A^* \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$, and have consequently analyzed the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator in detail. We assume prior structural information on $A^*$ is available, which can be captured in the form of a convex set $\mathcal{K}$ containing $A^*$. For the solution of the ensuing constrained least squares estimator, we derive non-asymptotic error bounds in the Frobenius norm which depend on the local size of the tangent cone of $\mathcal{K}$ at $A^*$. To illustrate the usefulness of this result, we instantiate it for the settings where, (i) $\mathcal{K}$ is a $d$ dimensional subspace of $\mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$, or (ii) $A^*$ is $k$-sparse and $\mathcal{K}$ is a suitably scaled $\ell_1$ ball. In the regimes where $d, k \ll n^2$, our bounds improve upon those obtained from the OLS estimator.

Parametric optimization is an important product design technique, especially in the context of the modern parametric feature-based CAD paradigm. Realizing its full potential, however, requires a closed loop between CAD and CAE (i.e., CAD/CAE integration) with automatic design modifications and simulation updates. Conventionally the approach of model conversion is often employed to form the loop, but this way of working is hard to automate and requires manual inputs. As a result, the overall optimization process is too laborious to be acceptable. To address this issue, a new method for parametric optimization is introduced in this paper, based on a unified model representation scheme called eXtended Voxels (XVoxels). This scheme hybridizes feature models and voxel models into a new concept of semantic voxels, where the voxel part is responsible for FEM solving, and the semantic part is responsible for high-level information to capture both design and simulation intents. As such, it can establish a direct mapping between design models and analysis models, which in turn enables automatic updates on simulation results for design modifications, and vice versa -- effectively a closed loop between CAD and CAE. In addition, robust and efficient geometric algorithms for manipulating XVoxel models and efficient numerical methods (based on the recent finite cell method) for simulating XVoxel models are provided. The presented method has been validated by a series of case studies of increasing complexity to demonstrate its effectiveness. In particular, a computational efficiency improvement of up to 55.8 times the existing FCM method has been seen.

Substantial progress has been made recently on developing provably accurate and efficient algorithms for low-rank matrix factorization via nonconvex optimization. While conventional wisdom often takes a dim view of nonconvex optimization algorithms due to their susceptibility to spurious local minima, simple iterative methods such as gradient descent have been remarkably successful in practice. The theoretical footings, however, had been largely lacking until recently. In this tutorial-style overview, we highlight the important role of statistical models in enabling efficient nonconvex optimization with performance guarantees. We review two contrasting approaches: (1) two-stage algorithms, which consist of a tailored initialization step followed by successive refinement; and (2) global landscape analysis and initialization-free algorithms. Several canonical matrix factorization problems are discussed, including but not limited to matrix sensing, phase retrieval, matrix completion, blind deconvolution, robust principal component analysis, phase synchronization, and joint alignment. Special care is taken to illustrate the key technical insights underlying their analyses. This article serves as a testament that the integrated consideration of optimization and statistics leads to fruitful research findings.

Image-to-image translation aims to learn the mapping between two visual domains. There are two main challenges for many applications: 1) the lack of aligned training pairs and 2) multiple possible outputs from a single input image. In this work, we present an approach based on disentangled representation for producing diverse outputs without paired training images. To achieve diversity, we propose to embed images onto two spaces: a domain-invariant content space capturing shared information across domains and a domain-specific attribute space. Our model takes the encoded content features extracted from a given input and the attribute vectors sampled from the attribute space to produce diverse outputs at test time. To handle unpaired training data, we introduce a novel cross-cycle consistency loss based on disentangled representations. Qualitative results show that our model can generate diverse and realistic images on a wide range of tasks without paired training data. For quantitative comparisons, we measure realism with user study and diversity with a perceptual distance metric. We apply the proposed model to domain adaptation and show competitive performance when compared to the state-of-the-art on the MNIST-M and the LineMod datasets.