Lloyd Shapley's cooperative value allocation theory stands as a central concept in game theory, extensively utilized across various domains to distribute resources, evaluate individual contributions, and ensure fairness. The Shapley value formula and his four axioms that characterize it form the foundation of the theory. Traditionally, the Shapley value is assigned under the assumption that all players in a cooperative game will ultimately form the grand coalition. In this paper, we reinterpret the Shapley value as an expectation of a certain stochastic path integral, with each path representing a general coalition formation process. As a result, the value allocation is naturally extended to all partial coalition states. In addition, we provide a set of five properties that extend the Shapley axioms and characterize the stochastic path integral. Finally, by integrating Hodge calculus, stochastic processes, and path integration of edge flows on graphs, we expand the cooperative value allocation theory beyond the standard coalition game structure to encompass a broader range of cooperative network configurations.
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We study the properties of a family of distances between functions of a single variable. These distances are examples of integral probability metrics, and have been used previously for comparing probability measures on the line; special cases include the Earth Mover's Distance and the Kolmogorov Metric. We examine their properties for general signals, proving that they are robust to a broad class of deformations. We also establish corresponding robustness results for the induced sliced distances between multivariate functions. Finally, we establish error bounds for approximating the univariate metrics from finite samples, and prove that these approximations are robust to additive Gaussian noise. The results are illustrated in numerical experiments, which include comparisons with Wasserstein distances.
The evaluation of text-generative vision-language models is a challenging yet crucial endeavor. By addressing the limitations of existing Visual Question Answering (VQA) benchmarks and proposing innovative evaluation methodologies, our research seeks to advance our understanding of these models' capabilities. We propose a novel VQA benchmark based on well-known visual classification datasets which allows a granular evaluation of text-generative vision-language models and their comparison with discriminative vision-language models. To improve the assessment of coarse answers on fine-grained classification tasks, we suggest using the semantic hierarchy of the label space to ask automatically generated follow-up questions about the ground-truth category. Finally, we compare traditional NLP and LLM-based metrics for the problem of evaluating model predictions given ground-truth answers. We perform a human evaluation study upon which we base our decision on the final metric. We apply our benchmark to a suite of vision-language models and show a detailed comparison of their abilities on object, action, and attribute classification. Our contributions aim to lay the foundation for more precise and meaningful assessments, facilitating targeted progress in the exciting field of vision-language modeling.
Maximum distance separable (MDS) codes facilitate the achievement of elevated levels of fault tolerance in storage systems while incurring minimal redundancy overhead. Reed-Solomon (RS) codes are typical MDS codes with the sub-packetization level being one, however, they require large repair bandwidth defined as the total amount of symbols downloaded from other surviving nodes during single-node failure/repair. In this paper, we present the {\em set transformation}, which can transform any MDS code into set transformed code such that (i) the sub-packetization level is flexible and ranges from 2 to $(n-k)^{\lfloor\frac{n}{n-k}\rfloor}$ in which $n$ is the number of nodes and $k$ is the number of data nodes, (ii) the new code is MDS code, (iii) the new code has lower repair bandwidth for any single-node failure. We show that our set transformed codes have both lower repair bandwidth and lower field size than the existing related MDS array codes, such as elastic transformed codes \cite{10228984}. Specifically, our set transformed codes have $2\%-6.6\%$ repair bandwidth reduction compared with elastic transformed codes \cite{10228984} for the evaluated typical parameters.
We present an optimal rate convergence analysis for a second order accurate in time, fully discrete finite difference scheme for the Cahn-Hilliard-Navier-Stokes (CHNS) system, combined with logarithmic Flory-Huggins energy potential. The numerical scheme has been recently proposed, and the positivity-preserving property of the logarithmic arguments, as well as the total energy stability, have been theoretically justified. In this paper, we rigorously prove second order convergence of the proposed numerical scheme, in both time and space. Since the CHNS is a coupled system, the standard $\ell^\infty (0, T; \ell^2) \cap \ell^2 (0, T; H_h^2)$ error estimate could not be easily derived, due to the lack of regularity to control the numerical error associated with the coupled terms. Instead, the $\ell^\infty (0, T; H_h^1) \cap \ell^2 (0, T; H_h^3)$ error analysis for the phase variable and the $\ell^\infty (0, T; \ell^2)$ analysis for the velocity vector, which shares the same regularity as the energy estimate, is more suitable to pass through the nonlinear analysis for the error terms associated with the coupled physical process. Furthermore, the highly nonlinear and singular nature of the logarithmic error terms makes the convergence analysis even more challenging, since a uniform distance between the numerical solution and the singular limit values of is needed for the associated error estimate. Many highly non-standard estimates, such as a higher order asymptotic expansion of the numerical solution (up to the third order accuracy in time and fourth order in space), combined with a rough error estimate (to establish the maximum norm bound for the phase variable), as well as a refined error estimate, have to be carried out to conclude the desired convergence result.
We show a deviation inequality for U-statistics of independent data taking values in a separable Banach space which satisfies some smoothness assumptions. We then provide applications to rates in the law of large numbers for U-statistics, a H{\"o}lderian functional central limit theorem and a moment inequality for incomplete $U$-statistics.
Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) is increasingly used for doubly robust causal inference, but how missing data should be handled when using TMLE with data-adaptive approaches is unclear. Based on the Victorian Adolescent Health Cohort Study, we conducted a simulation study to evaluate eight missing data methods in this context: complete-case analysis, extended TMLE incorporating outcome-missingness model, missing covariate missing indicator method, five multiple imputation (MI) approaches using parametric or machine-learning models. Six scenarios were considered, varying in exposure/outcome generation models (presence of confounder-confounder interactions) and missingness mechanisms (whether outcome influenced missingness in other variables and presence of interaction/non-linear terms in missingness models). Complete-case analysis and extended TMLE had small biases when outcome did not influence missingness in other variables. Parametric MI without interactions had large bias when exposure/outcome generation models included interactions. Parametric MI including interactions performed best in bias and variance reduction across all settings, except when missingness models included a non-linear term. When choosing a method to handle missing data in the context of TMLE, researchers must consider the missingness mechanism and, for MI, compatibility with the analysis method. In many settings, a parametric MI approach that incorporates interactions and non-linearities is expected to perform well.
We consider the problem of making nonparametric inference in multi-dimensional diffusion models from low-frequency data. Statistical analysis in this setting is notoriously challenging due to the intractability of the likelihood and its gradient, and computational methods have thus far largely resorted to expensive simulation-based techniques. In this article, we propose a new computational approach which is motivated by PDE theory and is built around the characterisation of the transition densities as solutions of the associated heat (Fokker-Planck) equation. Employing optimal regularity results from the theory of parabolic PDEs, we prove a novel characterisation for the gradient of the likelihood. Using these developments, for the nonlinear inverse problem of recovering the diffusivity (in divergence form models), we then show that the numerical evaluation of the likelihood and its gradient can be reduced to standard elliptic eigenvalue problems, solvable by powerful finite element methods. This enables the efficient implementation of a large class of statistical algorithms, including (i) preconditioned Crank-Nicolson and Langevin-type methods for posterior sampling, and (ii) gradient-based descent optimisation schemes to compute maximum likelihood and maximum-a-posteriori estimates. We showcase the effectiveness of these methods via extensive simulation studies in a nonparametric Bayesian model with Gaussian process priors. Interestingly, the optimisation schemes provided satisfactory numerical recovery while exhibiting rapid convergence towards stationary points despite the problem nonlinearity; thus our approach may lead to significant computational speed-ups. The reproducible code is available online at //github.com/MattGiord/LF-Diffusion.
We generalize McDiarmid's inequality for functions with bounded differences on a high probability set, using an extension argument. Those functions concentrate around their conditional expectations. We further extend the results to concentration in general metric spaces.
Differential privacy has emerged as an significant cornerstone in the realm of scientific hypothesis testing utilizing confidential data. In reporting scientific discoveries, Bayesian tests are widely adopted since they effectively circumnavigate the key criticisms of P-values, namely, lack of interpretability and inability to quantify evidence in support of the competing hypotheses. We present a novel differentially private Bayesian hypotheses testing framework that arise naturally under a principled data generative mechanism, inherently maintaining the interpretability of the resulting inferences. Furthermore, by focusing on differentially private Bayes factors based on widely used test statistics, we circumvent the need to model the complete data generative mechanism and ensure substantial computational benefits. We also provide a set of sufficient conditions to establish results on Bayes factor consistency under the proposed framework. The utility of the devised technology is showcased via several numerical experiments.
The remarkable practical success of deep learning has revealed some major surprises from a theoretical perspective. In particular, simple gradient methods easily find near-optimal solutions to non-convex optimization problems, and despite giving a near-perfect fit to training data without any explicit effort to control model complexity, these methods exhibit excellent predictive accuracy. We conjecture that specific principles underlie these phenomena: that overparametrization allows gradient methods to find interpolating solutions, that these methods implicitly impose regularization, and that overparametrization leads to benign overfitting. We survey recent theoretical progress that provides examples illustrating these principles in simpler settings. We first review classical uniform convergence results and why they fall short of explaining aspects of the behavior of deep learning methods. We give examples of implicit regularization in simple settings, where gradient methods lead to minimal norm functions that perfectly fit the training data. Then we review prediction methods that exhibit benign overfitting, focusing on regression problems with quadratic loss. For these methods, we can decompose the prediction rule into a simple component that is useful for prediction and a spiky component that is useful for overfitting but, in a favorable setting, does not harm prediction accuracy. We focus specifically on the linear regime for neural networks, where the network can be approximated by a linear model. In this regime, we demonstrate the success of gradient flow, and we consider benign overfitting with two-layer networks, giving an exact asymptotic analysis that precisely demonstrates the impact of overparametrization. We conclude by highlighting the key challenges that arise in extending these insights to realistic deep learning settings.
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