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This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen quantile regressions, thereby facilitating a comprehensive understanding of the quantile model instabilities. The effectiveness of our methodology is initially validated through the examination of simulated datasets and, subsequently, by two applications to the US inflation rates and to the US real estate market. Our empirical findings suggest that a more intricate and nuanced analysis is needed when examining different sub-period regimes, since the determinants of inflation and real estate prices are clearly shown to be time-varying. In conclusion, we suggest that our proposed approach could offer valuable insights to aid decision making in a rapidly changing environment.

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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議,是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列,由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來,模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面,從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景,包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇,參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會,并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。 官網鏈接: · MoDELS · Processing(編程語言) · SimPLe · 相互獨立的 ·
2024 年 12 月 19 日

Autoregressive models have emerged as a powerful approach for visual generation but suffer from slow inference speed due to their sequential token-by-token prediction process. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective approach for parallelized autoregressive visual generation that improves generation efficiency while preserving the advantages of autoregressive modeling. Our key insight is that parallel generation depends on visual token dependencies-tokens with weak dependencies can be generated in parallel, while strongly dependent adjacent tokens are difficult to generate together, as their independent sampling may lead to inconsistencies. Based on this observation, we develop a parallel generation strategy that generates distant tokens with weak dependencies in parallel while maintaining sequential generation for strongly dependent local tokens. Our approach can be seamlessly integrated into standard autoregressive models without modifying the architecture or tokenizer. Experiments on ImageNet and UCF-101 demonstrate that our method achieves a 3.6x speedup with comparable quality and up to 9.5x speedup with minimal quality degradation across both image and video generation tasks. We hope this work will inspire future research in efficient visual generation and unified autoregressive modeling. Project page: //epiphqny.github.io/PAR-project.

Within the dynamic world of Big Data, traditional systems typically operate in a passive mode, processing and responding to user queries by returning the requested data. However, this methodology falls short of meeting the evolving demands of users who not only wish to analyze data but also to receive proactive updates on topics of interest. To bridge this gap, Big Active Data (BAD) frameworks have been proposed to support extensive data subscriptions and analytics for millions of subscribers. As data volumes and the number of interested users continue to increase, the imperative to optimize BAD systems for enhanced scalability, performance, and efficiency becomes paramount. To this end, this paper introduces three main optimizations, namely: strategic aggregation, intelligent modifications to the query plan, and early result filtering, all aimed at reinforcing a BAD platform's capability to actively manage and efficiently process soaring rates of incoming data and distribute notifications to larger numbers of subscribers.

We develop a new efficient method for high-dimensional sampling called Subspace Langevin Monte Carlo. The primary application of these methods is to efficiently implement Preconditioned Langevin Monte Carlo. To demonstrate the usefulness of this new method, we extend ideas from subspace descent methods in Euclidean space to solving a specific optimization problem over Wasserstein space. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates the advantageous convergence regimes of the proposed method, which depend on relative conditioning assumptions common to mirror descent methods. We back up our theory with experimental evidence on sampling from an ill-conditioned Gaussian distribution.

Conditional independence (CI) testing is a fundamental task in modern statistics and machine learning. The conditional randomization test (CRT) was recently introduced to test whether two random variables, $X$ and $Y$, are conditionally independent given a potentially high-dimensional set of random variables, $Z$. The CRT operates exceptionally well under the assumption that the conditional distribution $X|Z$ is known. However, since this distribution is typically unknown in practice, accurately approximating it becomes crucial. In this paper, we propose using conditional diffusion models (CDMs) to learn the distribution of $X|Z$. Theoretically and empirically, it is shown that CDMs closely approximate the true conditional distribution. Furthermore, CDMs offer a more accurate approximation of $X|Z$ compared to GANs, potentially leading to a CRT that performs better than those based on GANs. To accommodate complex dependency structures, we utilize a computationally efficient classifier-based conditional mutual information (CMI) estimator as our test statistic. The proposed testing procedure performs effectively without requiring assumptions about specific distribution forms or feature dependencies, and is capable of handling mixed-type conditioning sets that include both continuous and discrete variables. Theoretical analysis shows that our proposed test achieves a valid control of the type I error. A series of experiments on synthetic data demonstrates that our new test effectively controls both type-I and type-II errors, even in high dimensional scenarios.

In recent years, the enhanced capabilities of ASR models and the emergence of multi-dialect datasets have increasingly pushed Arabic ASR model development toward an all-dialect-in-one direction. This trend highlights the need for benchmarking studies that evaluate model performance on multiple dialects, providing the community with insights into models' generalization capabilities. In this paper, we introduce Open Universal Arabic ASR Leaderboard, a continuous benchmark project for open-source general Arabic ASR models across various multi-dialect datasets. We also provide a comprehensive analysis of the model's robustness, speaker adaptation, inference efficiency, and memory consumption. This work aims to offer the Arabic ASR community a reference for models' general performance and also establish a common evaluation framework for multi-dialectal Arabic ASR models.

Signed graphs allow for encoding positive and negative relations between nodes and are used to model various online activities. Node representation learning for signed graphs is a well-studied task with important applications such as sign prediction. While the size of datasets is ever-increasing, recent methods often sacrifice scalability for accuracy. We propose a novel message-passing layer architecture called Graph Spring Network (GSN) modeled after spring forces. We combine it with a Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) formalism to optimize the system dynamics in embedding space to solve a downstream prediction task. Once the dynamics is learned, embedding generation for novel datasets is done by solving the ODEs in time using a numerical integration scheme. Our GSN layer leverages the fast-to-compute edge vector directions and learnable scalar functions that only depend on nodes' distances in latent space to compute the nodes' positions. Conversely, Graph Convolution and Graph Attention Network layers rely on learnable vector functions that require the full positions of input nodes in latent space. We propose a specific implementation called Spring-Neural-Network (SPR-NN) using a set of small neural networks mimicking attracting and repulsing spring forces that we train for link sign prediction. Experiments show that our method achieves accuracy close to the state-of-the-art methods with node generation time speedup factors of up to 28,000 on large graphs.

The aim of this work is to develop a fully-distributed algorithmic framework for training graph convolutional networks (GCNs). The proposed method is able to exploit the meaningful relational structure of the input data, which are collected by a set of agents that communicate over a sparse network topology. After formulating the centralized GCN training problem, we first show how to make inference in a distributed scenario where the underlying data graph is split among different agents. Then, we propose a distributed gradient descent procedure to solve the GCN training problem. The resulting model distributes computation along three lines: during inference, during back-propagation, and during optimization. Convergence to stationary solutions of the GCN training problem is also established under mild conditions. Finally, we propose an optimization criterion to design the communication topology between agents in order to match with the graph describing data relationships. A wide set of numerical results validate our proposal. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work combining graph convolutional neural networks with distributed optimization.

Knowledge graph (KG) embedding encodes the entities and relations from a KG into low-dimensional vector spaces to support various applications such as KG completion, question answering, and recommender systems. In real world, knowledge graphs (KGs) are dynamic and evolve over time with addition or deletion of triples. However, most existing models focus on embedding static KGs while neglecting dynamics. To adapt to the changes in a KG, these models need to be re-trained on the whole KG with a high time cost. In this paper, to tackle the aforementioned problem, we propose a new context-aware Dynamic Knowledge Graph Embedding (DKGE) method which supports the embedding learning in an online fashion. DKGE introduces two different representations (i.e., knowledge embedding and contextual element embedding) for each entity and each relation, in the joint modeling of entities and relations as well as their contexts, by employing two attentive graph convolutional networks, a gate strategy, and translation operations. This effectively helps limit the impacts of a KG update in certain regions, not in the entire graph, so that DKGE can rapidly acquire the updated KG embedding by a proposed online learning algorithm. Furthermore, DKGE can also learn KG embedding from scratch. Experiments on the tasks of link prediction and question answering in a dynamic environment demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of DKGE.

We investigate a lattice-structured LSTM model for Chinese NER, which encodes a sequence of input characters as well as all potential words that match a lexicon. Compared with character-based methods, our model explicitly leverages word and word sequence information. Compared with word-based methods, lattice LSTM does not suffer from segmentation errors. Gated recurrent cells allow our model to choose the most relevant characters and words from a sentence for better NER results. Experiments on various datasets show that lattice LSTM outperforms both word-based and character-based LSTM baselines, achieving the best results.

The dominant sequence transduction models are based on complex recurrent or convolutional neural networks in an encoder-decoder configuration. The best performing models also connect the encoder and decoder through an attention mechanism. We propose a new simple network architecture, the Transformer, based solely on attention mechanisms, dispensing with recurrence and convolutions entirely. Experiments on two machine translation tasks show these models to be superior in quality while being more parallelizable and requiring significantly less time to train. Our model achieves 28.4 BLEU on the WMT 2014 English-to-German translation task, improving over the existing best results, including ensembles by over 2 BLEU. On the WMT 2014 English-to-French translation task, our model establishes a new single-model state-of-the-art BLEU score of 41.8 after training for 3.5 days on eight GPUs, a small fraction of the training costs of the best models from the literature. We show that the Transformer generalizes well to other tasks by applying it successfully to English constituency parsing both with large and limited training data.

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