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This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the objective is to minimize the variance of an estimator for the average treatment effect (ATE). We consider selection from a class of stratified randomization procedures which we call stratification trees: these are procedures whose strata can be represented as decision trees, with differing treatment assignment probabilities across strata. By using the first wave to estimate a stratification tree, we simultaneously select which covariates to use for stratification, how to stratify over these covariates, as well as the assignment probabilities within these strata. Our main result shows that using this randomization procedure with an appropriate estimator results in an asymptotic variance which is minimal in the class of stratification trees. Moreover, the results we present are able to accommodate a large class of assignment mechanisms within strata, including stratified block randomization. In a simulation study, we find that our method, paired with an appropriate cross-validation procedure ,can improve on ad-hoc choices of stratification. We conclude by applying our method to the study in Karlan and Wood (2017), where we estimate stratification trees using the first wave of their experiment.

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In many classification tasks, the set of target classes can be organized into a hierarchy. This structure induces a semantic distance between classes, and can be summarised under the form of a cost matrix, which defines a finite metric on the class set. In this paper, we propose to model the hierarchical class structure by integrating this metric in the supervision of a prototypical network. Our method relies on jointly learning a feature-extracting network and a set of class prototypes whose relative arrangement in the embedding space follows an hierarchical metric. We show that this approach allows for a consistent improvement of the error rate weighted by the cost matrix when compared to traditional methods and other prototype-based strategies. Furthermore, when the induced metric contains insight on the data structure, our method improves the overall precision as well. Experiments on four different public datasets - from agricultural time series classification to depth image semantic segmentation - validate our approach.

A distributional symmetry is invariance of a distribution under a group of transformations. Exchangeability and stationarity are examples. We explain that a result of ergodic theory provides a law of large numbers: If the group satisfies suitable conditions, expectations can be estimated by averaging over subsets of transformations, and these estimators are strongly consistent. We show that, if a mixing condition holds, the averages also satisfy a central limit theorem, a Berry-Esseen bound, and concentration. These are extended further to apply to triangular arrays, to randomly subsampled averages, and to a generalization of U-statistics. As applications, we obtain new results on exchangeability, random fields, network models, and a class of marked point processes. We also establish asymptotic normality of the empirical entropy for a large class of processes. Some known results are recovered as special cases, and can hence be interpreted as an outcome of symmetry. The proofs adapt Stein's method.

Diffuse Optical Tomography (DOT) is an emerging technology in medical imaging which employs near-infra-red light to estimate the distribution of optical coefficients in biological tissues for diagnostic purposes. The DOT approach involves the solution of a severely ill-posed inverse problem, for which regularization techniques are mandatory in order to achieve reasonable results. Traditionally, regularization techniques put a variance prior on the desired solution/gradient via regularization parameters, whose choice requires a fine tuning. In this work we explore deep learning techniques in a fully data-driven approach, able of reconstructing the generating signal (absorption coefficient) in an automated way. We base our approach on the so-called learned Singular Value Decomposition, which has been proposed for general inverse problems, and we tailor it to the DOT application. We test our approach on a 2D synthetic dataset, with increasing levels of noise on the measure.

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared between the workers. We approximate the model evidence for the full data set through Monte Carlo sampling from the posterior on every subset generating a model evidence per subset. The results are combined using a novel approach which corrects for the splitting using summary statistics of the generated samples. Our divide-and-conquer approach enables Bayesian model choice in the large data setting, exploiting all available information but limiting communication between workers. We derive theoretical error bounds that quantify the resulting trade-off between computational gain and loss in precision. The embarrassingly parallel nature yields important speed-ups when used on massive data sets as illustrated by our real world experiments. In addition, we show how the suggested approach can be extended to model choice within a reversible jump setting that explores multiple feature combinations within one run.

Replication analysis is widely used in many fields of study. Once a research is published, many other researchers will conduct the same or very similar analysis to confirm the reliability of the published research. However, what if the data is confidential? In particular, if the data sets used for the studies are confidential, we cannot release the results of replication analyses to any entity without the permission to access the data sets, otherwise it may result in serious privacy leakage especially when the published study and replication studies are using similar or common data sets. For example, examining the influence of the treatment on outliers can cause serious leakage of the information about outliers. In this paper, we build two frameworks for replication analysis by a differentially private Bayesian approach. We formalize our questions of interest and illustrates the properties of our methods by a combination of theoretical analysis and simulation to show the feasibility of our approach. We also provide some guidance on the choice of parameters and interpretation of the results.

Contrastive learning has become a key component of self-supervised learning approaches for computer vision. By learning to embed two augmented versions of the same image close to each other and to push the embeddings of different images apart, one can train highly transferable visual representations. As revealed by recent studies, heavy data augmentation and large sets of negatives are both crucial in learning such representations. At the same time, data mixing strategies either at the image or the feature level improve both supervised and semi-supervised learning by synthesizing novel examples, forcing networks to learn more robust features. In this paper, we argue that an important aspect of contrastive learning, i.e., the effect of hard negatives, has so far been neglected. To get more meaningful negative samples, current top contrastive self-supervised learning approaches either substantially increase the batch sizes, or keep very large memory banks; increasing the memory size, however, leads to diminishing returns in terms of performance. We therefore start by delving deeper into a top-performing framework and show evidence that harder negatives are needed to facilitate better and faster learning. Based on these observations, and motivated by the success of data mixing, we propose hard negative mixing strategies at the feature level, that can be computed on-the-fly with a minimal computational overhead. We exhaustively ablate our approach on linear classification, object detection and instance segmentation and show that employing our hard negative mixing procedure improves the quality of visual representations learned by a state-of-the-art self-supervised learning method.

Federated learning is a distributed machine learning method that aims to preserve the privacy of sample features and labels. In a federated learning system, ID-based sample alignment approaches are usually applied with few efforts made on the protection of ID privacy. In real-life applications, however, the confidentiality of sample IDs, which are the strongest row identifiers, is also drawing much attention from many participants. To relax their privacy concerns about ID privacy, this paper formally proposes the notion of asymmetrical vertical federated learning and illustrates the way to protect sample IDs. The standard private set intersection protocol is adapted to achieve the asymmetrical ID alignment phase in an asymmetrical vertical federated learning system. Correspondingly, a Pohlig-Hellman realization of the adapted protocol is provided. This paper also presents a genuine with dummy approach to achieving asymmetrical federated model training. To illustrate its application, a federated logistic regression algorithm is provided as an example. Experiments are also made for validating the feasibility of this approach.

Few-shot learning is a challenging problem that requires a model to recognize novel classes with few labeled data. In this paper, we aim to find the expected prototypes of the novel classes, which have the maximum cosine similarity with the samples of the same class. Firstly, we propose a cosine similarity based prototypical network to compute basic prototypes of the novel classes from the few samples. A bias diminishing module is further proposed for prototype rectification since the basic prototypes computed in the low-data regime are biased against the expected prototypes. In our method, the intra-class bias and the cross-class bias are diminished to modify the prototypes. Then we give a theoretical analysis of the impact of the bias diminishing module on the expected performance of our method. We conduct extensive experiments on four few-shot benchmarks and further analyze the advantage of the bias diminishing module. The bias diminishing module brings in significant improvement by a large margin of 3% to 9% in general. Notably, our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on miniImageNet (70.31% in 1-shot and 81.89% in 5-shot) and tieredImageNet (78.74% in 1-shot and 86.92% in 5-shot), which demonstrates the superiority of the proposed method.

This paper proposes the decision tree latent controller generative adversarial network (DTLC-GAN), an extension of a GAN that can learn hierarchically interpretable representations without relying on detailed supervision. To impose a hierarchical inclusion structure on latent variables, we incorporate a new architecture called the DTLC into the generator input. The DTLC has a multiple-layer tree structure in which the ON or OFF of the child node codes is controlled by the parent node codes. By using this architecture hierarchically, we can obtain the latent space in which the lower layer codes are selectively used depending on the higher layer ones. To make the latent codes capture salient semantic features of images in a hierarchically disentangled manner in the DTLC, we also propose a hierarchical conditional mutual information regularization and optimize it with a newly defined curriculum learning method that we propose as well. This makes it possible to discover hierarchically interpretable representations in a layer-by-layer manner on the basis of information gain by only using a single DTLC-GAN model. We evaluated the DTLC-GAN on various datasets, i.e., MNIST, CIFAR-10, Tiny ImageNet, 3D Faces, and CelebA, and confirmed that the DTLC-GAN can learn hierarchically interpretable representations with either unsupervised or weakly supervised settings. Furthermore, we applied the DTLC-GAN to image-retrieval tasks and showed its effectiveness in representation learning.

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach builds off of techniques for distributionally robust optimization and Owen's empirical likelihood, and we provide a number of finite-sample and asymptotic results characterizing the theoretical performance of the estimator. In particular, we show that our procedure comes with certificates of optimality, achieving (in some scenarios) faster rates of convergence than empirical risk minimization by virtue of automatically balancing bias and variance. We give corroborating empirical evidence showing that in practice, the estimator indeed trades between variance and absolute performance on a training sample, improving out-of-sample (test) performance over standard empirical risk minimization for a number of classification problems.

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