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We define and study a fully-convolutional neural network stochastic model, NN-Turb, which generates a 1-dimensional field with some turbulent velocity statistics. In particular, the generated process satisfies the Kolmogorov 2/3 law for second order structure function. It also presents negative skewness across scales (i.e. Kolmogorov 4/5 law) and exhibits intermittency as characterized by skewness and flatness. Furthermore, our model is never in contact with turbulent data and only needs the desired statistical behavior of the structure functions across scales for training.

While many phenomena in physics and engineering are formally high-dimensional, their long-time dynamics often live on a lower-dimensional manifold. The present work introduces an autoencoder framework that combines implicit regularization with internal linear layers and $L_2$ regularization (weight decay) to automatically estimate the underlying dimensionality of a data set, produce an orthogonal manifold coordinate system, and provide the mapping functions between the ambient space and manifold space, allowing for out-of-sample projections. We validate our framework's ability to estimate the manifold dimension for a series of datasets from dynamical systems of varying complexities and compare to other state-of-the-art estimators. We analyze the training dynamics of the network to glean insight into the mechanism of low-rank learning and find that collectively each of the implicit regularizing layers compound the low-rank representation and even self-correct during training. Analysis of gradient descent dynamics for this architecture in the linear case reveals the role of the internal linear layers in leading to faster decay of a "collective weight variable" incorporating all layers, and the role of weight decay in breaking degeneracies and thus driving convergence along directions in which no decay would occur in its absence. We show that this framework can be naturally extended for applications of state-space modeling and forecasting by generating a data-driven dynamic model of a spatiotemporally chaotic partial differential equation using only the manifold coordinates. Finally, we demonstrate that our framework is robust to hyperparameter choices.

Prediction models are popular in medical research and practice. By predicting an outcome of interest for specific patients, these models may help inform difficult treatment decisions, and are often hailed as the poster children for personalized, data-driven healthcare. We show however, that using prediction models for decision making can lead to harmful decisions, even when the predictions exhibit good discrimination after deployment. These models are harmful self-fulfilling prophecies: their deployment harms a group of patients but the worse outcome of these patients does not invalidate the predictive power of the model. Our main result is a formal characterization of a set of such prediction models. Next we show that models that are well calibrated before and after deployment are useless for decision making as they made no change in the data distribution. These results point to the need to revise standard practices for validation, deployment and evaluation of prediction models that are used in medical decisions.

In this paper, we analyze different methods to mitigate inherent geographical biases present in state of the art image classification models. We first quantitatively present this bias in two datasets - The Dollar Street Dataset and ImageNet, using images with location information. We then present different methods which can be employed to reduce this bias. Finally, we analyze the effectiveness of the different techniques on making these models more robust to geographical locations of the images.

In this paper, we propose an alternating optimization method to address a time-optimal trajectory generation problem. Different from the existing solutions, our approach introduces a new formulation that minimizes the overall trajectory running time while maintaining the polynomial smoothness constraints and incorporating hard limits on motion derivatives to ensure feasibility. To address this problem, an alternating peak-optimization method is developed, which splits the optimization process into two sub-optimizations: the first sub-optimization optimizes polynomial coefficients for smoothness, and the second sub-optimization adjusts the time allocated to each trajectory segment. These are alternated until a feasible minimum-time solution is found. We offer a comprehensive set of simulations and experiments to showcase the superior performance of our approach in comparison to existing methods. A collection of demonstration videos with real drone flying experiments can be accessed at //www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLQGtPFK17zUYkwFT-fr0a8E49R8Uq712l .

In this work we make us of Livens principle (sometimes also referred to as Hamilton-Pontryagin principle) in order to obtain a novel structure-preserving integrator for mechanical systems. In contrast to the canonical Hamiltonian equations of motion, the Euler-Lagrange equations pertaining to Livens principle circumvent the need to invert the mass matrix. This is an essential advantage with respect to singular mass matrices, which can yield severe difficulties for the modelling and simulation of multibody systems. Moreover, Livens principle unifies both Lagrangian and Hamiltonian viewpoints on mechanics. Additionally, the present framework avoids the need to set up the system's Hamiltonian. The novel scheme algorithmically conserves a general energy function and aims at the preservation of momentum maps corresponding to symmetries of the system. We present an extension to mechanical systems subject to holonomic constraints. The performance of the newly devised method is studied in representative examples.

In this article we shall discuss the theory of geodesics in information geometry, and an application in astrophysics. We will study how gradient flows in information geometry describe geodesics, explore the related mechanics by introducing a constraint, and apply our theory to Gaussian model and black hole thermodynamics. Thus, we demonstrate how deformation of gradient flows leads to more general Randers-Finsler metrics, describe Hamiltonian mechanics that derive from a constraint, and prove duality via canonical transformation. We also verified our theories for a deformation of the Gaussian model, and described dynamical evolution of flat metrics for Kerr and Reissner-Nordstr\"om black holes.

Implementation of many statistical methods for large, multivariate data sets requires one to solve a linear system that, depending on the method, is of the dimension of the number of observations or each individual data vector. This is often the limiting factor in scaling the method with data size and complexity. In this paper we illustrate the use of Krylov subspace methods to address this issue in a statistical solution to a source separation problem in cosmology where the data size is prohibitively large for direct solution of the required system. Two distinct approaches, adapted from techniques in the literature, are described: one that uses the method of conjugate gradients directly to the Kronecker-structured problem and another that reformulates the system as a Sylvester matrix equation. We show that both approaches produce an accurate solution within an acceptable computation time and with practical memory requirements for the data size that is currently available.

This paper deals with surrogate modelling of a computer code output in a hierarchical multi-fidelity context, i.e., when the output can be evaluated at different levels of accuracy and computational cost. Using observations of the output at low- and high-fidelity levels, we propose a method that combines Gaussian process (GP) regression and Bayesian neural network (BNN), in a method called GPBNN. The low-fidelity output is treated as a single-fidelity code using classical GP regression. The high-fidelity output is approximated by a BNN that incorporates, in addition to the high-fidelity observations, well-chosen realisations of the low-fidelity output emulator. The predictive uncertainty of the final surrogate model is then quantified by a complete characterisation of the uncertainties of the different models and their interaction. GPBNN is compared with most of the multi-fidelity regression methods allowing to quantify the prediction uncertainty.