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It is known that fiber nonlinearities induce crosstalk in a wavelength division multiplexed (WDM) system, which limits the capacity of such systems as the transmitted signal power is increased. A network user in a WDM system is an entity that operates around a given optical wavelength. Traditionally, the channel capacity of a WDM system has been analyzed under different assumptions for the transmitted signals of the other users, while treating the interference arising from these users as noise. In this paper, we instead take a multiuser information theoretic view and treat the optical WDM system impaired by cross-phase modulation and dispersion as an interference channel. We characterize an outer bound on the capacity region of simultaneously achievable rate pairs, assuming a simplified K-user perturbative channel model using genie-aided techniques. Furthermore, an achievable rate region is obtained by time-sharing between certain single-user strategies. It is shown that such time-sharing can achieve better rate tuples compared to treating nonlinear interference as noise. For the single-polarization single-span system under consideration and a power 4.4 dB above the optimum launch power, treating nonlinear interference as noise results in a rate of 1.67 bit/sym, while time-sharing gives a rate of 6.33 bit/sym.

The ability to accurately predict human behavior is central to the safety and efficiency of robot autonomy in interactive settings. Unfortunately, robots often lack access to key information on which these predictions may hinge, such as people's goals, attention, and willingness to cooperate. Dual control theory addresses this challenge by treating unknown parameters of a predictive model as stochastic hidden states and inferring their values at runtime using information gathered during system operation. While able to optimally and automatically trade off exploration and exploitation, dual control is computationally intractable for general interactive motion planning, mainly due to the fundamental coupling between robot trajectory optimization and human intent inference. In this paper, we present a novel algorithmic approach to enable active uncertainty reduction for interactive motion planning based on the implicit dual control paradigm. Our approach relies on sampling-based approximation of stochastic dynamic programming, leading to a model predictive control problem that can be readily solved by real-time gradient-based optimization methods. The resulting policy is shown to preserve the dual control effect for a broad class of predictive human models with both continuous and categorical uncertainty. The efficacy of our approach is demonstrated with simulated driving examples.

Sorted l1 regularization has been incorporated into many methods for solving high-dimensional statistical estimation problems, including the SLOPE estimator in linear regression. In this paper, we study how this relatively new regularization technique improves variable selection by characterizing the optimal SLOPE trade-off between the false discovery proportion (FDP) and true positive proportion (TPP) or, equivalently, between measures of type I error and power. Assuming a regime of linear sparsity and working under Gaussian random designs, we obtain an upper bound on the optimal trade-off for SLOPE, showing its capability of breaking the Donoho-Tanner power limit. To put it into perspective, this limit is the highest possible power that the Lasso, which is perhaps the most popular l1-based method, can achieve even with arbitrarily strong effect sizes. Next, we derive a tight lower bound that delineates the fundamental limit of sorted l1 regularization in optimally trading the FDP off for the TPP. Finally, we show that on any problem instance, SLOPE with a certain regularization sequence outperforms the Lasso, in the sense of having a smaller FDP, larger TPP and smaller l2 estimation risk simultaneously. Our proofs are based on a novel technique that reduces a calculus of variations problem to a class of infinite-dimensional convex optimization problems and a very recent result from approximate message passing theory.

Bayesian models have many desirable properties, most notable is their ability to generalize from limited data and to properly estimate the uncertainty in their predictions. However, these benefits come at a steep computational cost as Bayesian inference, in most cases, is computationally intractable. One popular approach to alleviate this problem is using a Monte-Carlo estimation with an ensemble of models sampled from the posterior. However, this approach still comes at a significant computational cost, as one needs to store and run multiple models at test time. In this work, we investigate how to best distill an ensemble's predictions using an efficient model. First, we argue that current approaches that simply return distribution over predictions cannot compute important properties, such as the covariance between predictions, which can be valuable for further processing. Second, in many limited data settings, all ensemble members achieve nearly zero training loss, namely, they produce near-identical predictions on the training set which results in sub-optimal distilled models. To address both problems, we propose a novel and general distillation approach, named Functional Ensemble Distillation (FED), and we investigate how to best distill an ensemble in this setting. We find that learning the distilled model via a simple augmentation scheme in the form of mixup augmentation significantly boosts the performance. We evaluated our method on several tasks and showed that it achieves superior results in both accuracy and uncertainty estimation compared to current approaches.

Blind super-resolution can be cast as a low rank matrix recovery problem by exploiting the inherent simplicity of the signal and the low dimensional structure of point spread functions. In this paper, we develop a simple yet efficient non-convex projected gradient descent method for this problem based on the low rank structure of the vectorized Hankel matrix associated with the target matrix. Theoretical analysis indicates that the proposed method exactly converges to the target matrix with a linear convergence rate under the similar conditions as convex approaches. Numerical results show that our approach is competitive with existing convex approaches in terms of recovery ability and efficiency.

Increasing concerns about disparate effects of AI have motivated a great deal of work on fair machine learning. Existing works mainly focus on independence- and separation-based measures (e.g., demographic parity, equality of opportunity, equalized odds), while sufficiency-based measures such as predictive parity are much less studied. This paper considers predictive parity, which requires equalizing the probability of success given a positive prediction among different protected groups. We prove that, if the overall performances of different groups vary only moderately, all fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under predictive parity are group-wise thresholding rules. Perhaps surprisingly, this may not hold if group performance levels vary widely; in this case we find that predictive parity among protected groups may lead to within-group unfairness. We then propose an algorithm we call FairBayes-DPP, aiming to ensure predictive parity when our condition is satisfied. FairBayes-DPP is an adaptive thresholding algorithm that aims to achieve predictive parity, while also seeking to maximize test accuracy. We provide supporting experiments conducted on synthetic and empirical data.

The synthetic control method has become a widely popular tool to estimate causal effects with observational data. Despite this, inference for synthetic control methods remains challenging. Often, inferential results rely on linear factor model data generating processes. In this paper, we characterize the conditions on the factor model primitives (the factor loadings) for which the statistical risk minimizers are synthetic controls (in the simplex). Then, we propose a Bayesian alternative to the synthetic control method that preserves the main features of the standard method and provides a new way of doing valid inference. We explore a Bernstein-von Mises style result to link our Bayesian inference to the frequentist inference. For linear factor model frameworks we show that a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the synthetic control weights can consistently estimate the predictive function of the potential outcomes for the treated unit and that our Bayes estimator is asymptotically close to the MLE in the total variation sense. Through simulations, we show that there is convergence between the Bayes and frequentist approach even in sparse settings. Finally, we apply the method to re-visit the study of the economic costs of the German re-unification. The Bayesian synthetic control method is available in the bsynth R-package.

This paper presents a distributed scalable multi-robot planning algorithm for informed sampling of quasistatic spatial fields. We address the problem of efficient data collection using multiple autonomous vehicles and consider the effects of communication between multiple robots, acting independently, on the overall sampling performance of the team. We focus on the distributed sampling problem where the robots operate independent of their teammates, but have the ability to communicate their current state to other neighbors within a fixed communication range. Our proposed approach is scalable and adaptive to various environmental scenarios, changing robot team configurations, and runs in real-time, which are important features for many real-world applications. We compare the performance of our proposed algorithm to baseline strategies through simulated experiments that utilize models derived from both synthetic and field deployment data. The results show that our sampling algorithm is efficient even when robots in the team are operating with a limited communication range, thus demonstrating the scalability of our method in sampling large-scale environments.

Bionic underwater robots have demonstrated their superiority in many applications. Yet, training their intelligence for a variety of tasks that mimic the behavior of underwater creatures poses a number of challenges in practice, mainly due to lack of a large amount of available training data as well as the high cost in real physical environment. Alternatively, simulation has been considered as a viable and important tool for acquiring datasets in different environments, but it mostly targeted rigid and soft body systems. There is currently dearth of work for more complex fluid systems interacting with immersed solids that can be efficiently and accurately simulated for robot training purposes. In this paper, we propose a new platform called "FishGym", which can be used to train fish-like underwater robots. The framework consists of a robotic fish modeling module using articulated body with skinning, a GPU-based high-performance localized two-way coupled fluid-structure interaction simulation module that handles both finite and infinitely large domains, as well as a reinforcement learning module. We leveraged existing training methods with adaptations to underwater fish-like robots and obtained learned control policies for multiple benchmark tasks. The training results are demonstrated with reasonable motion trajectories, with comparisons and analyses to empirical models as well as known real fish swimming behaviors to highlight the advantages of the proposed platform.

We give the first polynomial-time algorithm to estimate the mean of a $d$-variate probability distribution with bounded covariance from $\tilde{O}(d)$ independent samples subject to pure differential privacy. Prior algorithms for this problem either incur exponential running time, require $\Omega(d^{1.5})$ samples, or satisfy only the weaker concentrated or approximate differential privacy conditions. In particular, all prior polynomial-time algorithms require $d^{1+\Omega(1)}$ samples to guarantee small privacy loss with "cryptographically" high probability, $1-2^{-d^{\Omega(1)}}$, while our algorithm retains $\tilde{O}(d)$ sample complexity even in this stringent setting. Our main technique is a new approach to use the powerful Sum of Squares method (SoS) to design differentially private algorithms. SoS proofs to algorithms is a key theme in numerous recent works in high-dimensional algorithmic statistics -- estimators which apparently require exponential running time but whose analysis can be captured by low-degree Sum of Squares proofs can be automatically turned into polynomial-time algorithms with the same provable guarantees. We demonstrate a similar proofs to private algorithms phenomenon: instances of the workhorse exponential mechanism which apparently require exponential time but which can be analyzed with low-degree SoS proofs can be automatically turned into polynomial-time differentially private algorithms. We prove a meta-theorem capturing this phenomenon, which we expect to be of broad use in private algorithm design. Our techniques also draw new connections between differentially private and robust statistics in high dimensions. In particular, viewed through our proofs-to-private-algorithms lens, several well-studied SoS proofs from recent works in algorithmic robust statistics directly yield key components of our differentially private mean estimation algorithm.