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Karger (STOC 1995) gave the first FPTAS for the network (un)reliability problem, setting in motion research over the next three decades that obtained increasingly faster running times, eventually leading to a $\tilde{O}(n^2)$-time algorithm (Karger, STOC 2020). This represented a natural culmination of this line of work because the algorithmic techniques used can enumerate $\Theta(n^2)$ (near)-minimum cuts. In this paper, we go beyond this quadratic barrier and obtain a faster FPTAS for the network unreliability problem. Our algorithm runs in $m^{1+o(1)} + \tilde{O}(n^{1.5})$ time. Our main contribution is a new estimator for network unreliability in very reliable graphs. These graphs are usually the bottleneck for network unreliability since the disconnection event is elusive. Our estimator is obtained by defining an appropriate importance sampling subroutine on a dual spanning tree packing of the graph. To complement this estimator for very reliable graphs, we use recursive contraction for moderately reliable graphs. We show that an interleaving of sparsification and contraction can be used to obtain a better parametrization of the recursive contraction algorithm that yields a faster running time matching the one obtained for the very reliable case.

This work proposes novel techniques for the efficient numerical simulation of parameterized, unsteady partial differential equations. Projection-based reduced order models (ROMs) such as the reduced basis method employ a (Petrov-)Galerkin projection onto a linear low-dimensional subspace. In unsteady applications, space-time reduced basis (ST-RB) methods have been developed to achieve a dimension reduction both in space and time, eliminating the computational burden of time marching schemes. However, nonaffine parameterizations dilute any computational speedup achievable by traditional ROMs. Computational efficiency can be recovered by linearizing the nonaffine operators via hyper-reduction, such as the empirical interpolation method in matrix form. In this work, we implement new hyper-reduction techniques explicitly tailored to deal with unsteady problems and embed them in a ST-RB framework. For each of the proposed methods, we develop a posteriori error bounds. We run numerical tests to compare the performance of the proposed ROMs against high-fidelity simulations, in which we combine the finite element method for space discretization on 3D geometries and the Backward Euler time integrator. In particular, we consider a heat equation and an unsteady Stokes equation. The numerical experiments demonstrate the accuracy and computational efficiency our methods retain with respect to the high-fidelity simulations.

Density power divergence (DPD) [Basu et al. (1998), Biometrika], which is designed to estimate the underlying distribution of the observations robustly against outliers, comprises an integral term of the power of the parametric density models to be estimated. While the explicit form of the integral term can be obtained for some specific densities (such as normal density and exponential density), its computational intractability has prohibited the application of DPD-based estimation to more general parametric densities, over a quarter of a century since the proposal of DPD. This study proposes a simple stochastic optimization approach to minimize DPD for general parametric density models and explains its adequacy by referring to conventional theories on stochastic optimization. The proposed approach also can be applied to the minimization of another density power-based $\gamma$-divergence with the aid of unnormalized models.

A new computationally simple method of imposing hard convex constraints on the neural network output values is proposed. The key idea behind the method is to map a vector of hidden parameters of the network to a point that is guaranteed to be inside the feasible set defined by a set of constraints. The mapping is implemented by the additional neural network layer with constraints for output. The proposed method is simply extended to the case when constraints are imposed not only on the output vectors, but also on joint constraints depending on inputs. The projection approach to imposing constraints on outputs can simply be implemented in the framework of the proposed method. It is shown how to incorporate different types of constraints into the proposed method, including linear and quadratic constraints, equality constraints, and dynamic constraints, constraints in the form of boundaries. An important feature of the method is its computational simplicity. Complexities of the forward pass of the proposed neural network layer by linear and quadratic constraints are O(n*m) and O(n^2*m), respectively, where n is the number of variables, m is the number of constraints. Numerical experiments illustrate the method by solving optimization and classification problems. The code implementing the method is publicly available.

Since their introduction in Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003), Synthetic Control (SC) methods have quickly become one of the leading methods for estimating causal effects in observational studies in settings with panel data. Formal discussions often motivate SC methods by the assumption that the potential outcomes were generated by a factor model. Here we study SC methods from a design-based perspective, assuming a model for the selection of the treated unit(s) and period(s). We show that the standard SC estimator is generally biased under random assignment. We propose a Modified Unbiased Synthetic Control (MUSC) estimator that guarantees unbiasedness under random assignment and derive its exact, randomization-based, finite-sample variance. We also propose an unbiased estimator for this variance. We document in settings with real data that under random assignment, SC-type estimators can have root mean-squared errors that are substantially lower than that of other common estimators. We show that such an improvement is weakly guaranteed if the treated period is similar to the other periods, for example, if the treated period was randomly selected. While our results only directly apply in settings where treatment is assigned randomly, we believe that they can complement model-based approaches even for observational studies.

Graph learning has a wide range of applications in many scenarios, which require more need for data privacy. Federated learning is an emerging distributed machine learning approach that leverages data from individual devices or data centers to improve the accuracy and generalization of the model, while also protecting the privacy of user data. Graph-federated learning is mainly based on the classical federated learning framework i.e., the Client-Server framework. However, the Client-Server framework faces problems such as a single point of failure of the central server and poor scalability of network topology. First, we introduce the decentralized framework to graph-federated learning. Second, determine the confidence among nodes based on the similarity of data among nodes, subsequently, the gradient information is then aggregated by linear weighting based on confidence. Finally, the proposed method is compared with FedAvg, Fedprox, GCFL, and GCFL+ to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms other methods.

As causal ground truth is incredibly rare, causal discovery algorithms are commonly only evaluated on simulated data. This is concerning, given that simulations reflect common preconceptions about generating processes regarding noise distributions, model classes, and more. In this work, we propose a novel method for falsifying the output of a causal discovery algorithm in the absence of ground truth. Our key insight is that while statistical learning seeks stability across subsets of data points, causal learning should seek stability across subsets of variables. Motivated by this insight, our method relies on a notion of compatibility between causal graphs learned on different subsets of variables. We prove that detecting incompatibilities can falsify wrongly inferred causal relations due to violation of assumptions or errors from finite sample effects. Although passing such compatibility tests is only a necessary criterion for good performance, we argue that it provides strong evidence for the causal models whenever compatibility entails strong implications for the joint distribution. We also demonstrate experimentally that detection of incompatibilities can aid in causal model selection.

The main focus of this paper is radius-based (supplier) clustering in the two-stage stochastic setting with recourse, where the inherent stochasticity of the model comes in the form of a budget constraint. We also explore a number of variants where additional constraints are imposed on the first-stage decisions, specifically matroid and multi-knapsack constraints. Our eventual goal is to handle supplier problems in the most general distributional setting, where there is only black-box access to the underlying distribution. To that end, we follow a two-step approach. First, we develop algorithms for a restricted version of each problem, where all scenarios are explicitly provided; second, we employ a novel scenario-discarding variant of the standard Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method, which crucially exploits properties of the restricted-case algorithms. We note that the scenario-discarding modification to the SAA method is necessary in order to optimize over the radius.

The generalization mystery in deep learning is the following: Why do over-parameterized neural networks trained with gradient descent (GD) generalize well on real datasets even though they are capable of fitting random datasets of comparable size? Furthermore, from among all solutions that fit the training data, how does GD find one that generalizes well (when such a well-generalizing solution exists)? We argue that the answer to both questions lies in the interaction of the gradients of different examples during training. Intuitively, if the per-example gradients are well-aligned, that is, if they are coherent, then one may expect GD to be (algorithmically) stable, and hence generalize well. We formalize this argument with an easy to compute and interpretable metric for coherence, and show that the metric takes on very different values on real and random datasets for several common vision networks. The theory also explains a number of other phenomena in deep learning, such as why some examples are reliably learned earlier than others, why early stopping works, and why it is possible to learn from noisy labels. Moreover, since the theory provides a causal explanation of how GD finds a well-generalizing solution when one exists, it motivates a class of simple modifications to GD that attenuate memorization and improve generalization. Generalization in deep learning is an extremely broad phenomenon, and therefore, it requires an equally general explanation. We conclude with a survey of alternative lines of attack on this problem, and argue that the proposed approach is the most viable one on this basis.

While it is nearly effortless for humans to quickly assess the perceptual similarity between two images, the underlying processes are thought to be quite complex. Despite this, the most widely used perceptual metrics today, such as PSNR and SSIM, are simple, shallow functions, and fail to account for many nuances of human perception. Recently, the deep learning community has found that features of the VGG network trained on the ImageNet classification task has been remarkably useful as a training loss for image synthesis. But how perceptual are these so-called "perceptual losses"? What elements are critical for their success? To answer these questions, we introduce a new Full Reference Image Quality Assessment (FR-IQA) dataset of perceptual human judgments, orders of magnitude larger than previous datasets. We systematically evaluate deep features across different architectures and tasks and compare them with classic metrics. We find that deep features outperform all previous metrics by huge margins. More surprisingly, this result is not restricted to ImageNet-trained VGG features, but holds across different deep architectures and levels of supervision (supervised, self-supervised, or even unsupervised). Our results suggest that perceptual similarity is an emergent property shared across deep visual representations.