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Random linear codes (RLCs) are well known to have nice combinatorial properties and near-optimal parameters in many different settings. However, getting explicit constructions matching the parameters of RLCs is challenging, and RLCs are hard to decode efficiently. This motivated several previous works to study the problem of partially derandomizing RLCs, by applying certain operations to an explicit mother code. Among them, one of the most well studied operations is random puncturing, where a series of works culminated in the work of Guruswami and Mosheiff (FOCS' 22), which showed that a random puncturing of a low-biased code is likely to possess almost all interesting local properties of RLCs. In this work, we provide an in-depth study of another, dual operation of random puncturing, known as random shortening, which can be viewed equivalently as random puncturing on the dual code. Our main results show that for any small $\varepsilon$, by starting from a mother code with certain weaker conditions (e.g., having a large distance) and performing a random (or even pseudorandom) shortening, the new code is $\varepsilon$-biased with high probability. Our results hold for any field size and yield a shortened code with constant rate. This can be viewed as a complement to random puncturing, and together, we can obtain codes with properties like RLCs from weaker initial conditions. Our proofs involve several non-trivial methods of estimating the weight distribution of codewords, which may be of independent interest.

Crossed random effects structures arise in many scientific contexts. They raise severe computational problems with likelihood and Bayesian computations scaling like $N^{3/2}$ or worse for $N$ data points. In this paper we develop a composite likelihood approach for crossed random effects probit models. For data arranged in rows and columns, one likelihood uses marginal distributions of the responses as if they were independent, another uses a hierarchical model capturing all within row dependence as if the rows were independent and the third model reverses the roles of rows and columns. We find that this method has a cost that grows as $\mathrm{O}(N)$ in crossed random effects settings where using the Laplace approximation has cost that grows superlinearly. We show how to get consistent estimates of the probit slope and variance components by maximizing those three likelihoods. The algorithm scales readily to a data set of five million observations from Stitch Fix.

The expected goal models have gained popularity, but their interpretability is often limited, especially when trained using black-box methods. Explainable artificial intelligence tools have emerged to enhance model transparency and extract descriptive knowledge for a single observation or for all observations. However, explaining black-box models for a specific group of observations may be more useful in some domains. This paper introduces the glocal explanations (between local and global levels) of the expected goal models to enable performance analysis at the team and player levels by proposing the use of aggregated versions of the SHAP values and partial dependence profiles. This allows knowledge to be extracted from the expected goal model for a player or team rather than just a single shot. In addition, we conducted real-data applications to illustrate the usefulness of aggregated SHAP and aggregated profiles. The paper concludes with remarks on the potential of these explanations for performance analysis in soccer analytics.

Phishing is a major cyber threat to organizations that can cause financial and reputational damage, threatening their existence. The technical measures against phishing should be complemented by awareness training for employees. However, there is little validation of awareness measures. Consequently, organizations have an additional burden when integrating awareness training, as there is no consensus on which method brings the best success. This paper examines how awareness concepts can be successfully implemented and validated. For this purpose, various factors, such as requirements and possible combinations of methods, are taken into account in our case study at a small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME). To measure success, phishing exercises are conducted. The study suggests that pleasant campaigns result in better performance in the simulated phishing exercise. In addition, significant improvements and differences in the target groups could be observed. The implementation of awareness training with integrated key performance indicators can be used as a basis for other organizations.

Ensembling is among the most popular tools in machine learning (ML) due to its effectiveness in minimizing variance and thus improving generalization. Most ensembling methods for black-box base learners fall under the umbrella of "stacked generalization," namely training an ML algorithm that takes the inferences from the base learners as input. While stacking has been widely applied in practice, its theoretical properties are poorly understood. In this paper, we prove a novel result, showing that choosing the best stacked generalization from a (finite or finite-dimensional) family of stacked generalizations based on cross-validated performance does not perform "much worse" than the oracle best. Our result strengthens and significantly extends the results in Van der Laan et al. (2007). Inspired by the theoretical analysis, we further propose a particular family of stacked generalizations in the context of probabilistic forecasting, each one with a different sensitivity for how much the ensemble weights are allowed to vary across items, timestamps in the forecast horizon, and quantiles. Experimental results demonstrate the performance gain of the proposed method.

Deep learning harnesses massive parallel floating-point processing to train and evaluate large neural networks. Trends indicate that deeper and larger neural networks with an increasing number of parameters achieve higher accuracy than smaller neural networks. This performance improvement, which often requires heavy compute for both training and evaluation, eventually needs to translate well to resource-constrained hardware for practical value. Structured pruning asserts that while large networks enable us to find solutions to complex computer vision problems, a smaller, computationally efficient sub-network can be derived from the large neural network that retains model accuracy but significantly improves computational efficiency. We generalize structured pruning with algorithms for network augmentation, pruning, sub-network collapse and removal. In addition, we demonstrate efficient and stable convergence up to 93% sparsity and 95% FLOPs reduction without loss of inference accuracy using with continuous relaxation matching or exceeding the state of the art for all structured pruning methods. The resulting CNN executes efficiently on GPU hardware without computationally expensive sparse matrix operations. We achieve this with routine automatable operations on classification and segmentation problems using CIFAR-10, ImageNet, and CityScapes datasets with the ResNet and U-NET network architectures.

Modern tourism in the 21st century is facing numerous challenges. Among these the rapidly growing number of tourists visiting space-limited regions like historical cities, museums and bottlenecks such as bridges is one of the biggest. In this context, a proper and accurate prediction of tourism volume and tourism flow within a certain area is important and critical for visitor management tasks such as sustainable treatment of the environment and prevention of overcrowding. Static flow control methods like conventional low-level controllers or limiting access to overcrowded venues could not solve the problem yet. In this paper, we empirically evaluate the performance of state-of-the-art deep-learning methods such as RNNs, GNNs, and Transformers as well as the classic statistical ARIMA method. Granular limited data supplied by a tourism region is extended by exogenous data such as geolocation trajectories of individual tourists, weather and holidays. In the field of visitor flow prediction with sparse data, we are thereby capable of increasing the accuracy of our predictions, incorporating modern input feature handling as well as mapping geolocation data on top of discrete POI data.

What is learned by sophisticated neural network agents such as AlphaZero? This question is of both scientific and practical interest. If the representations of strong neural networks bear no resemblance to human concepts, our ability to understand faithful explanations of their decisions will be restricted, ultimately limiting what we can achieve with neural network interpretability. In this work we provide evidence that human knowledge is acquired by the AlphaZero neural network as it trains on the game of chess. By probing for a broad range of human chess concepts we show when and where these concepts are represented in the AlphaZero network. We also provide a behavioural analysis focusing on opening play, including qualitative analysis from chess Grandmaster Vladimir Kramnik. Finally, we carry out a preliminary investigation looking at the low-level details of AlphaZero's representations, and make the resulting behavioural and representational analyses available online.

Recent developments in image classification and natural language processing, coupled with the rapid growth in social media usage, have enabled fundamental advances in detecting breaking events around the world in real-time. Emergency response is one such area that stands to gain from these advances. By processing billions of texts and images a minute, events can be automatically detected to enable emergency response workers to better assess rapidly evolving situations and deploy resources accordingly. To date, most event detection techniques in this area have focused on image-only or text-only approaches, limiting detection performance and impacting the quality of information delivered to crisis response teams. In this paper, we present a new multimodal fusion method that leverages both images and texts as input. In particular, we introduce a cross-attention module that can filter uninformative and misleading components from weak modalities on a sample by sample basis. In addition, we employ a multimodal graph-based approach to stochastically transition between embeddings of different multimodal pairs during training to better regularize the learning process as well as dealing with limited training data by constructing new matched pairs from different samples. We show that our method outperforms the unimodal approaches and strong multimodal baselines by a large margin on three crisis-related tasks.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are successful in many computer vision tasks. However, the most accurate DNNs require millions of parameters and operations, making them energy, computation and memory intensive. This impedes the deployment of large DNNs in low-power devices with limited compute resources. Recent research improves DNN models by reducing the memory requirement, energy consumption, and number of operations without significantly decreasing the accuracy. This paper surveys the progress of low-power deep learning and computer vision, specifically in regards to inference, and discusses the methods for compacting and accelerating DNN models. The techniques can be divided into four major categories: (1) parameter quantization and pruning, (2) compressed convolutional filters and matrix factorization, (3) network architecture search, and (4) knowledge distillation. We analyze the accuracy, advantages, disadvantages, and potential solutions to the problems with the techniques in each category. We also discuss new evaluation metrics as a guideline for future research.