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Although variable selection is one of the most popular areas of modern statistical research, much of its development has taken place in the classical paradigm compared to the Bayesian counterpart. Somewhat surprisingly, both the paradigms have focussed almost completely on linear models, in spite of the vast scope offered by the model liberation movement brought about by modern advancements in studying real, complex phenomena. In this article, we investigate general Bayesian variable selection in models driven by Gaussian processes, which allows us to treat linear, non-linear and nonparametric models, in conjunction with even dependent setups, in the same vein. We consider the Bayes factor route to variable selection, and develop a general asymptotic theory for the Gaussian process framework in the "large p, large n" settings even with p>>n, establishing almost sure exponential convergence of the Bayes factor under appropriately mild conditions. The fixed p setup is included as a special case. To illustrate, we apply our general result to variable selection in linear regression, Gaussian process model with squared exponential covariance function accommodating the covariates, and a first order autoregressive process with time-varying covariates. We also follow up our theoretical investigations with ample simulation experiments in the above regression contexts and variable selection in a real, riboflavin data consisting of 71 observations but 4088 covariates. For implementation of variable selection using Bayes factors, we develop a novel and effective general-purpose transdimensional, transformation based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which has played a crucial role in our simulated and real data applications.

In a thought-provoking paper, Efron (2011) investigated the merit and limitation of an empirical Bayes method to correct selection bias based on Tweedie's formula first reported by \cite{Robbins:1956}. The exceptional virtue of Tweedie's formula for the normal distribution lies in its representation of selection bias as a simple function of the derivative of log marginal likelihood. Since the marginal likelihood and its derivative can be estimated from the data directly without invoking prior information, bias correction can be carried out conveniently. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model for chi-squared data such that the resulting Tweedie's formula has the same virtue as that of the normal distribution. Because the family of noncentral chi-squared distributions, the common alternative distributions for chi-squared tests, does not constitute an exponential family, our results cannot be obtained by extending existing results. Furthermore, the corresponding Tweedie's formula manifests new phenomena quite different from those of the normal distribution and suggests new ways of analyzing chi-squared data.

Sparse regression and classification estimators capable of group selection have application to an assortment of statistical problems, from multitask learning to sparse additive modeling to hierarchical selection. This work introduces a class of group-sparse estimators that combine group subset selection with group lasso or ridge shrinkage. We develop an optimization framework for fitting the nonconvex regularization surface and present finite-sample error bounds for estimation of the regression function. Our methods and analyses accommodate the general setting where groups overlap. As an application of group selection, we study sparse semiparametric modeling, a procedure that allows the effect of each predictor to be zero, linear, or nonlinear. For this task, the new estimators improve across several metrics on synthetic data compared to alternatives. Finally, we demonstrate their efficacy in modeling supermarket foot traffic and economic recessions using many predictors. All of our proposals are made available in the scalable implementation grpsel.

This paper focuses on the problem of hierarchical non-overlapping clustering of a dataset. In such a clustering, each data item is associated with exactly one leaf node and each internal node is associated with all the data items stored in the sub-tree beneath it, so that each level of the hierarchy corresponds to a partition of the dataset. We develop a novel Bayesian nonparametric method combining the nested Chinese Restaurant Process (nCRP) and the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (HDP). Compared with other existing Bayesian approaches, our solution tackles data with complex latent mixture features which has not been previously explored in the literature. We discuss the details of the model and the inference procedure. Furthermore, experiments on three datasets show that our method achieves solid empirical results in comparison with existing algorithms.

We consider the hypothesis testing problem that two vertices $i$ and $j$ of a generalized random dot product graph have the same latent positions, possibly up to scaling. Special cases of this hypotheses test include testing whether two vertices in a stochastic block model or degree-corrected stochastic block model graph have the same block membership vectors. We propose several test statistics based on the empirical Mahalanobis distances between the $i$th and $j$th rows of either the adjacency or the normalized Laplacian spectral embedding of the graph. We show that, under mild conditions, these test statistics have limiting chi-square distributions under both the null and local alternative hypothesis, and we derived explicit expressions for the non-centrality parameters under the local alternative. Using these limit results, we address the model selection problem of choosing between the standard stochastic block model and its degree-corrected variant. The effectiveness of our proposed tests are illustrated via both simulation studies and real data applications.

Distance-based regression model, as a nonparametric multivariate method, has been widely used to detect the association between variations in a distance or dissimilarity matrix for outcomes and predictor variables of interest. Based on it, a pseudo-$F$ statistic which partitions the variation in distance matrices is often constructed to achieve the aim. To the best of our knowledge, the statistical properties of the pseudo-$F$ statistic has not yet been well established in the literature. To fill this gap, we study the asymptotic null distribution of the pseudo-$F$ statistic and show that it is asymptotically equivalent to a mixture of chi-squared random variables. Given that the pseudo-$F$ test statistic has unsatisfactory power when the correlations of the response variables are large, we propose a square-root $F$-type test statistic which replaces the similarity matric with its square root. The asymptotic null distribution of the new test statistic and power of both tests are also investigated. Simulation studies are conducted to validate the asymptotic distributions of the tests and demonstrate that the proposed test has more robust power than the pseudo-$F$ test. Both test statistics are exemplified with a gene expression dataset for a prostate cancer pathway. Keywords: Asymptotic distribution, Chi-squared-type mixture, Nonparametric test, Pseudo-$F$ test, Similarity matrix.

Coloured graphical models are Gaussian statistical models determined by an undirected coloured graph. These models can be described by linear spaces of symmetric matrices. We outline a relationship between the symmetries of the graph and the linear forms that vanish on the reciprocal variety of the model. In particular, we give four families for which such linear forms are completely described by symmetries.

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the cases of identically and heterogeneously distributed observations. Our analysis is nonparametric in the sense that the relationship between the regressand and the regressors is assumed to be unknown. The main results of this paper indicate that the empirical risk minimizer achieves the optimal performance (up to a logarithmic factor) in a dependent data setting.

Distributional semantics has had enormous empirical success in Computational Linguistics and Cognitive Science in modeling various semantic phenomena, such as semantic similarity, and distributional models are widely used in state-of-the-art Natural Language Processing systems. However, the theoretical status of distributional semantics within a broader theory of language and cognition is still unclear: What does distributional semantics model? Can it be, on its own, a fully adequate model of the meanings of linguistic expressions? The standard answer is that distributional semantics is not fully adequate in this regard, because it falls short on some of the central aspects of formal semantic approaches: truth conditions, entailment, reference, and certain aspects of compositionality. We argue that this standard answer rests on a misconception: These aspects do not belong in a theory of expression meaning, they are instead aspects of speaker meaning, i.e., communicative intentions in a particular context. In a slogan: words do not refer, speakers do. Clearing this up enables us to argue that distributional semantics on its own is an adequate model of expression meaning. Our proposal sheds light on the role of distributional semantics in a broader theory of language and cognition, its relationship to formal semantics, and its place in computational models.

Using the 6,638 case descriptions of societal impact submitted for evaluation in the Research Excellence Framework (REF 2014), we replicate the topic model (Latent Dirichlet Allocation or LDA) made in this context and compare the results with factor-analytic results using a traditional word-document matrix (Principal Component Analysis or PCA). Removing a small fraction of documents from the sample, for example, has on average a much larger impact on LDA than on PCA-based models to the extent that the largest distortion in the case of PCA has less effect than the smallest distortion of LDA-based models. In terms of semantic coherence, however, LDA models outperform PCA-based models. The topic models inform us about the statistical properties of the document sets under study, but the results are statistical and should not be used for a semantic interpretation - for example, in grant selections and micro-decision making, or scholarly work-without follow-up using domain-specific semantic maps.