Online advertising channels have commonly focused on maximizing total advertiser value (or welfare) to enhance long-run retention and channel healthiness. Previous literature has studied auction design by incorporating machine learning predictions on advertiser values (also known as machine-learned advice) through various forms to improve total welfare. Yet, such improvements could come at the cost of individual bidders' welfare and do not shed light on how particular advertiser bidding strategies impact welfare. Motivated by this, we present an analysis on an individual bidder's welfare loss in the autobidding world for auctions with and without machine-learned advice, and also uncover how advertiser strategies relate to such losses. In particular, we demonstrate how ad platforms can utilize ML advice to improve welfare guarantee on the aggregate and individual bidder level by setting ML advice as personalized reserve prices when the platform consists of autobidders who maximize value while respecting a return-on-ad spent (ROAS) constraint. Under parallel VCG auctions with such ML advice-based reserves, we present a worst-case welfare lower-bound guarantee for an individual autobidder, and show that the lower-bound guarantee is positively correlated with ML advice quality as well the scale of bids induced by the autobidder's bidding strategies. Further, we prove an impossibility result showing that no truthful, and possibly randomized mechanism with anonymous allocations can achieve universally better individual welfare guarantees than VCG, in presence of personalized reserves based on ML-advice of equal quality. Moreover, we extend our individual welfare guarantee results to generalized first price (GFP) and generalized second price (GSP) auctions.
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Machine learning (ML) components are increasingly incorporated into software products, yet developers face challenges in transitioning from ML prototypes to products. Academic researchers struggle to propose solutions to these challenges and evaluate interventions because they often do not have access to close-sourced ML products from industry. In this study, we define and identify open-source ML products, curating a dataset of 262 repositories from GitHub, to facilitate further research and education. As a start, we explore six broad research questions related to different development activities and report 21 findings from a sample of 30 ML products from the dataset. Our findings reveal a variety of development practices and architectural decisions surrounding different types and uses of ML models that offer ample opportunities for future research innovations. We also find very little evidence of industry best practices such as model testing and pipeline automation within the open-source ML products, which leaves room for further investigation to understand its potential impact on the development and eventual end-user experience for the products.
Over the past decade, a long line of research has investigated the distributed complexity landscape of locally checkable labeling (LCL) problems on bounded-degree graphs, culminating in an almost-complete classification on general graphs and a complete classification on trees. The latter states that, on bounded-degree trees, any LCL problem has deterministic \emph{worst-case} time complexity $O(1)$, $\Theta(\log^* n)$, $\Theta(\log n)$, or $\Theta(n^{1/k})$ for some positive integer $k$, and all of those complexity classes are nonempty. Moreover, randomness helps only for (some) problems with deterministic worst-case complexity $\Theta(\log n)$, and if randomness helps (asymptotically), then it helps exponentially. In this work, we study how many distributed rounds are needed \emph{on average per node} in order to solve an LCL problem on trees. We obtain a partial classification of the deterministic \emph{node-averaged} complexity landscape for LCL problems. As our main result, we show that every problem with worst-case round complexity $O(\log n)$ has deterministic node-averaged complexity $O(\log^* n)$. We further establish bounds on the node-averaged complexity of problems with worst-case complexity $\Theta(n^{1/k})$: we show that all these problems have node-averaged complexity $\widetilde{\Omega}(n^{1 / (2^k - 1)})$, and that this lower bound is tight for some problems.
We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To estimate meaningful causal parameters in this situation, we introduce a new concept of exposure mapping, which summarizes potentially complicated spillover effects into a fixed dimensional statistic of instrumental variables. We investigate identification conditions for the intention-to-treat effects and the average treatment effects for compliers, while explicitly considering the possibility of misspecification of exposure mapping. Based on our identification results, we develop nonparametric estimation procedures via inverse probability weighting. Their asymptotic properties, including consistency and asymptotic normality, are investigated using an approximate neighborhood interference framework. For an empirical illustration, we apply our method to experimental data on the anti-conflict intervention school program. The proposed methods are readily available with the companion R package latenetwork.
Our work presents a novel approach to shape optimization, that has the twofold objective to improve the efficiency of global optimization algorithms while promoting the generation of high-quality designs during the optimization process free of geometrical anomalies. This is accomplished by reducing the number of the original design variables defining a new reduced subspace where the geometrical variance is maximized and modeling the underlying generative process of the data via probabilistic linear latent variable models such as Factor Analysis and Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis. We show that the data follows approximately a Gaussian distribution when the shape modification method is linear and the design variables are sampled uniformly at random, due to the direct application of the central limit theorem. The model uncertainty is measured in terms of Mahalanobis distance, and the paper demonstrates that anomalous designs tend to exhibit a high value of this metric. This enables the definition of a new optimization model where anomalous geometries are penalized and consequently avoided during the optimization loop. The procedure is demonstrated for hull shape optimization of the DTMB 5415 model, extensively used as an international benchmark for shape optimization problems. The global optimization routine is carried out using Bayesian Optimization and the DIRECT algorithm. From the numerical results, the new framework improves the convergence of global optimization algorithms, while only designs with high-quality geometrical features are generated through the optimization routine thereby avoiding the wastage of precious computationally expensive simulations.
Clinically deployed segmentation models are known to fail on data outside of their training distribution. As these models perform well on most cases, it is imperative to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) images at inference to protect against automation bias. This work applies the Mahalanobis distance post hoc to the bottleneck features of a Swin UNETR model that segments the liver on T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging. By reducing the dimensions of the bottleneck features with principal component analysis, OOD images were detected with high performance and minimal computational load.
Before and after study frameworks are widely adopted to evaluate the effectiveness of transportation policies and emerging technologies. However, many factors such as seasonal factors, holidays, and lane closure might interfere with the evaluation process by inducing variation in traffic volume during the before and after periods. In practice, limited effort has been made to eliminate the effects of these factors. In this study, an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)-based propensity score matching method is proposed to reduce the biases caused by traffic volume variation during the before and after periods. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a corridor in the City of Chandler, Arizona where an advanced traffic signal control system has been recently implemented was selected. The results indicated that the proposed method is able to effectively eliminate the variation in traffic volume caused by the COVID-19 global Pandemic during the evaluation process. In addition, the results of the t-test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test demonstrated that the proposed method outperforms other conventional propensity score matching methods. The application of the proposed method is also transferrable to other before and after evaluation studies and can significantly assist the transportation engineers to eliminate the impacts of traffic volume variation on the evaluation process.
The emergence of large-scale wireless networks with partially-observable and time-varying dynamics has imposed new challenges on the design of optimal control policies. This paper studies efficient scheduling algorithms for wireless networks subject to generalized interference constraint, where mean arrival and mean service rates are unknown and non-stationary. This model exemplifies realistic edge devices' characteristics of wireless communication in modern networks. We propose a novel algorithm termed MW-UCB for generalized wireless network scheduling, which is based on the Max-Weight policy and leverages the Sliding-Window Upper-Confidence Bound to learn the channels' statistics under non-stationarity. MW-UCB is provably throughput-optimal under mild assumptions on the variability of mean service rates. Specifically, as long as the total variation in mean service rates over any time period grows sub-linearly in time, we show that MW-UCB can achieve the stability region arbitrarily close to the stability region of the class of policies with full knowledge of the channel statistics. Extensive simulations validate our theoretical results and demonstrate the favorable performance of MW-UCB.
Deep reinforcement learning algorithms can perform poorly in real-world tasks due to the discrepancy between source and target environments. This discrepancy is commonly viewed as the disturbance in transition dynamics. Many existing algorithms learn robust policies by modeling the disturbance and applying it to source environments during training, which usually requires prior knowledge about the disturbance and control of simulators. However, these algorithms can fail in scenarios where the disturbance from target environments is unknown or is intractable to model in simulators. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel model-free actor-critic algorithm -- namely, state-conservative policy optimization (SCPO) -- to learn robust policies without modeling the disturbance in advance. Specifically, SCPO reduces the disturbance in transition dynamics to that in state space and then approximates it by a simple gradient-based regularizer. The appealing features of SCPO include that it is simple to implement and does not require additional knowledge about the disturbance or specially designed simulators. Experiments in several robot control tasks demonstrate that SCPO learns robust policies against the disturbance in transition dynamics.
A community reveals the features and connections of its members that are different from those in other communities in a network. Detecting communities is of great significance in network analysis. Despite the classical spectral clustering and statistical inference methods, we notice a significant development of deep learning techniques for community detection in recent years with their advantages in handling high dimensional network data. Hence, a comprehensive overview of community detection's latest progress through deep learning is timely to both academics and practitioners. This survey devises and proposes a new taxonomy covering different categories of the state-of-the-art methods, including deep learning-based models upon deep neural networks, deep nonnegative matrix factorization and deep sparse filtering. The main category, i.e., deep neural networks, is further divided into convolutional networks, graph attention networks, generative adversarial networks and autoencoders. The survey also summarizes the popular benchmark data sets, model evaluation metrics, and open-source implementations to address experimentation settings. We then discuss the practical applications of community detection in various domains and point to implementation scenarios. Finally, we outline future directions by suggesting challenging topics in this fast-growing deep learning field.
Object detection typically assumes that training and test data are drawn from an identical distribution, which, however, does not always hold in practice. Such a distribution mismatch will lead to a significant performance drop. In this work, we aim to improve the cross-domain robustness of object detection. We tackle the domain shift on two levels: 1) the image-level shift, such as image style, illumination, etc, and 2) the instance-level shift, such as object appearance, size, etc. We build our approach based on the recent state-of-the-art Faster R-CNN model, and design two domain adaptation components, on image level and instance level, to reduce the domain discrepancy. The two domain adaptation components are based on H-divergence theory, and are implemented by learning a domain classifier in adversarial training manner. The domain classifiers on different levels are further reinforced with a consistency regularization to learn a domain-invariant region proposal network (RPN) in the Faster R-CNN model. We evaluate our newly proposed approach using multiple datasets including Cityscapes, KITTI, SIM10K, etc. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach for robust object detection in various domain shift scenarios.
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