Quantile (and, more generally, KL) regret bounds, such as those achieved by NormalHedge (Chaudhuri, Freund, and Hsu 2009) and its variants, relax the goal of competing against the best individual expert to only competing against a majority of experts on adversarial data. More recently, the semi-adversarial paradigm (Bilodeau, Negrea, and Roy 2020) provides an alternative relaxation of adversarial online learning by considering data that may be neither fully adversarial nor stochastic (i.i.d.). We achieve the minimax optimal regret in both paradigms using FTRL with separate, novel, root-logarithmic regularizers, both of which can be interpreted as yielding variants of NormalHedge. We extend existing KL regret upper bounds, which hold uniformly over target distributions, to possibly uncountable expert classes with arbitrary priors; provide the first full-information lower bounds for quantile regret on finite expert classes (which are tight); and provide an adaptively minimax optimal algorithm for the semi-adversarial paradigm that adapts to the true, unknown constraint faster, leading to uniformly improved regret bounds over existing methods.
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Motivated by the problem of online canonical correlation analysis, we propose the \emph{Stochastic Scaled-Gradient Descent} (SSGD) algorithm for minimizing the expectation of a stochastic function over a generic Riemannian manifold. SSGD generalizes the idea of projected stochastic gradient descent and allows the use of scaled stochastic gradients instead of stochastic gradients. In the special case of a spherical constraint, which arises in generalized eigenvector problems, we establish a nonasymptotic finite-sample bound of $\sqrt{1/T}$, and show that this rate is minimax optimal, up to a polylogarithmic factor of relevant parameters. On the asymptotic side, a novel trajectory-averaging argument allows us to achieve local asymptotic normality with a rate that matches that of Ruppert-Polyak-Juditsky averaging. We bring these ideas together in an application to online canonical correlation analysis, deriving, for the first time in the literature, an optimal one-time-scale algorithm with an explicit rate of local asymptotic convergence to normality. Numerical studies of canonical correlation analysis are also provided for synthetic data.
It was recently shown that under smoothness conditions, the squared Wasserstein distance between two distributions could be efficiently computed with appealing statistical error upper bounds. However, rather than the distance itself, the object of interest for applications such as generative modeling is the underlying optimal transport map. Hence, computational and statistical guarantees need to be obtained for the estimated maps themselves. In this paper, we propose the first tractable algorithm for which the statistical $L^2$ error on the maps nearly matches the existing minimax lower-bounds for smooth map estimation. Our method is based on solving the semi-dual formulation of optimal transport with an infinite-dimensional sum-of-squares reformulation, and leads to an algorithm which has dimension-free polynomial rates in the number of samples, with potentially exponentially dimension-dependent constants.
In this paper we prove upper and lower bounds on the minimal spherical dispersion. In particular, we see that the inverse $N(\varepsilon,d)$ of the minimal spherical dispersion is, for fixed $\varepsilon>0$, up to logarithmic terms linear in the dimension $d$. We also derive upper and lower bounds on the expected dispersion for points chosen independently and uniformly at random from the Euclidean unit sphere.
This work studies an experimental design problem where $x$'s are to be selected with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to $m(x)$ but it is not assumed that the model is correctly specified. It follows that the quantity of interest is the best linear approximation of $m(x)$, which is denoted by $\ell(x)$. It is shown that in this framework the ordinary least squares estimator typically leads to an inconsistent estimation of $\ell(x)$, and rather weighted least squares should be considered. An asymptotic minimax criterion is formulated for this estimator, and a design that minimizes the criterion is constructed. An important feature of this problem is that the $x$'s should be random, rather than fixed. Otherwise, the minimax risk is infinite. It is shown that the optimal random minimax design is different from its deterministic counterpart, which was studied previously, and a simulation study indicates that it generally performs better when $m(x)$ is a quadratic or a cubic function. Another finding is that when the variance of the noise goes to infinity, the random and deterministic minimax designs coincide. The results are illustrated for polynomial regression models and different generalizations are presented.
In this paper we develop efficient first-order algorithms for the generalized trust-region subproblem (GTRS), which has applications in signal processing, compressed sensing, and engineering. Although the GTRS, as stated, is nonlinear and nonconvex, it is well-known that objective value exactness holds for its SDP relaxation under a Slater condition. While polynomial-time SDP-based algorithms exist for the GTRS, their relatively large computational complexity has motivated and spurred the development of custom approaches for solving the GTRS. In particular, recent work in this direction has developed first-order methods for the GTRS whose running times are linear in the sparsity (the number of nonzero entries) of the input data. In contrast to these algorithms, in this paper we develop algorithms for computing $\epsilon$-approximate solutions to the GTRS whose running times are linear in both the input sparsity and the precision $\log(1/\epsilon)$ whenever a regularity parameter is positive. We complement our theoretical guarantees with numerical experiments comparing our approach against algorithms from the literature. Our numerical experiments highlight that our new algorithms significantly outperform prior state-of-the-art algorithms on sparse large-scale instances.
The modeling of dependence between maxima is an important subject in several applications in risk analysis. To this aim, the extreme value copula function, characterised via the madogram, can be used as a margin-free description of the dependence structure. From a practical point of view, the family of extreme value distributions is very rich and arise naturally as the limiting distribution of properly normalised component-wise maxima. In this paper, we investigate the nonparametric estimation of the madogram where data are completely missing at random. We provide the functional central limit theorem for the considered multivariate madrogram correctly normalized, towards a tight Gaussian process for which the covariance function depends on the probabilities of missing. Explicit formula for the asymptotic variance is also given. Our results are illustrated in a finite sample setting with a simulation study.
It is well-known that each statistic in the family of power divergence statistics, across $n$ trials and $r$ classifications with index parameter $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$ (the Pearson, likelihood ratio and Freeman-Tukey statistics correspond to $\lambda=1,0,-1/2$, respectively) is asymptotically chi-square distributed as the sample size tends to infinity. In this paper, we obtain explicit bounds on this distributional approximation, measured using smooth test functions, that hold for a given finite sample $n$, and all index parameters ($\lambda>-1$) for which such finite sample bounds are meaningful. We obtain bounds that are of the optimal order $n^{-1}$. The dependence of our bounds on the index parameter $\lambda$ and the cell classification probabilities is also optimal, and the dependence on the number of cells is also respectable. Our bounds generalise, complement and improve on recent results from the literature.
Consider the problem of simultaneous estimation of location and variance matrix under Huber's contaminated Gaussian model. First, we study minimum $f$-divergence estimation at the population level, corresponding to a generative adversarial method with a nonparametric discriminator and establish conditions on $f$-divergences which lead to robust estimation, similarly to robustness of minimum distance estimation. More importantly, we develop tractable adversarial algorithms with simple spline discriminators, which can be implemented via nested optimization such that the discriminator parameters can be fully updated by maximizing a concave objective function given the current generator. The proposed methods are shown to achieve minimax optimal rates or near-optimal rates depending on the $f$-divergence and the penalty used. We present simulation studies to demonstrate advantages of the proposed methods over classic robust estimators, pairwise methods, and a generative adversarial method with neural network discriminators.
Heatmap-based methods dominate in the field of human pose estimation by modelling the output distribution through likelihood heatmaps. In contrast, regression-based methods are more efficient but suffer from inferior performance. In this work, we explore maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to develop an efficient and effective regression-based methods. From the perspective of MLE, adopting different regression losses is making different assumptions about the output density function. A density function closer to the true distribution leads to a better regression performance. In light of this, we propose a novel regression paradigm with Residual Log-likelihood Estimation (RLE) to capture the underlying output distribution. Concretely, RLE learns the change of the distribution instead of the unreferenced underlying distribution to facilitate the training process. With the proposed reparameterization design, our method is compatible with off-the-shelf flow models. The proposed method is effective, efficient and flexible. We show its potential in various human pose estimation tasks with comprehensive experiments. Compared to the conventional regression paradigm, regression with RLE bring 12.4 mAP improvement on MSCOCO without any test-time overhead. Moreover, for the first time, especially on multi-person pose estimation, our regression method is superior to the heatmap-based methods. Our code is available at //github.com/Jeff-sjtu/res-loglikelihood-regression
We study the problem of learning in the stochastic shortest path (SSP) setting, where an agent seeks to minimize the expected cost accumulated before reaching a goal state. We design a novel model-based algorithm EB-SSP that carefully skews the empirical transitions and perturbs the empirical costs with an exploration bonus to guarantee both optimism and convergence of the associated value iteration scheme. We prove that EB-SSP achieves the minimax regret rate $\widetilde{O}(B_{\star} \sqrt{S A K})$, where $K$ is the number of episodes, $S$ is the number of states, $A$ is the number of actions and $B_{\star}$ bounds the expected cumulative cost of the optimal policy from any state, thus closing the gap with the lower bound. Interestingly, EB-SSP obtains this result while being parameter-free, i.e., it does not require any prior knowledge of $B_{\star}$, nor of $T_{\star}$ which bounds the expected time-to-goal of the optimal policy from any state. Furthermore, we illustrate various cases (e.g., positive costs, or general costs when an order-accurate estimate of $T_{\star}$ is available) where the regret only contains a logarithmic dependence on $T_{\star}$, thus yielding the first horizon-free regret bound beyond the finite-horizon MDP setting.
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