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A simple way of obtaining robust estimates of the "center" (or the "location") and of the "scatter" of a dataset is to use the maximum likelihood estimate with a class of heavy-tailed distributions, regardless of the "true" distribution generating the data. We observe that the maximum likelihood problem for the Cauchy distributions, which have particularly heavy tails, is geodesically convex and therefore efficiently solvable (Cauchy distributions are parametrized by the upper half plane, i.e. by the hyperbolic plane). Moreover, it has an appealing geometrical meaning: the datapoints, living on the boundary of the hyperbolic plane, are attracting the parameter by unit forces, and we search the point where these forces are in equilibrium. This picture generalizes to several classes of multivariate distributions with heavy tails, including, in particular, the multivariate Cauchy distributions. The hyperbolic plane gets replaced by symmetric spaces of noncompact type. Geodesic convexity gives us an efficient numerical solution of the maximum likelihood problem for these distribution classes. This can then be used for robust estimates of location and spread, thanks to the heavy tails of these distributions.

We address the problem of testing conditional mean and conditional variance for non-stationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of non-parametric composite hypotheses with specified mean and variance as well as other conditions on the shape of the data-generating distribution. These shape conditions include symmetry, unimodality, and their combination. Using the obtained e-values and p-values, we construct tests via e-processes, also known as testing by betting, as well as some tests based on combining p-values for comparison. Although we mainly focus on one-sided tests, the two-sided test for the mean is also studied. Simulation and empirical studies are conducted under a few settings, and they illustrate features of the methods based on e-processes.

We consider the problem of constructing multiple conditional randomization tests. They may test different causal hypotheses but always aim to be nearly independent, allowing the randomization p-values to be interpreted individually and combined using standard methods. We start with a simple, sequential construction of such tests, and then discuss its application to three problems: evidence factors for observational studies, lagged treatment effect in stepped-wedge trials, and spillover effect in randomized trials with interference. We compare the proposed approach with some existing methods using simulated and real datasets. Finally, we establish a general sufficient condition for constructing multiple nearly independent conditional randomization tests.

Improving the resolution of fluorescence microscopy beyond the diffraction limit can be achievedby acquiring and processing multiple images of the sample under different illumination conditions.One of the simplest techniques, Random Illumination Microscopy (RIM), forms the super-resolvedimage from the variance of images obtained with random speckled illuminations. However, thevalidity of this process has not been fully theorized. In this work, we characterize mathematicallythe sample information contained in the variance of diffraction-limited speckled images as a functionof the statistical properties of the illuminations. We show that an unambiguous two-fold resolutiongain is obtained when the speckle correlation length coincides with the width of the observationpoint spread function. Last, we analyze the difference between the variance-based techniques usingrandom speckled illuminations (as in RIM) and those obtained using random fluorophore activation(as in Super-resolution Optical Fluctuation Imaging, SOFI).

Model averaging has received much attention in the past two decades, which integrates available information by averaging over potential models. Although various model averaging methods have been developed, there are few literatures on the theoretical properties of model averaging from the perspective of stability, and the majority of these methods constrain model weights to a simplex. The aim of this paper is to introduce stability from statistical learning theory into model averaging. Thus, we define the stability, asymptotic empirical risk minimizer, generalization, and consistency of model averaging and study the relationship among them. Our results indicate that stability can ensure that model averaging has good generalization performance and consistency under reasonable conditions, where consistency means model averaging estimator can asymptotically minimize the mean squared prediction error. We also propose a L2-penalty model averaging method without limiting model weights and prove that it has stability and consistency. In order to reduce the impact of tuning parameter selection, we use 10-fold cross-validation to select a candidate set of tuning parameters and perform a weighted average of the estimators of model weights based on estimation errors. The Monte Carlo simulation and an illustrative application demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method.

We consider the task of estimating functions belonging to a specific class of nonsmooth functions, namely so-called tame functions. These functions appear in a wide range of applications: training deep learning, value functions of mixed-integer programs, or wave functions of small molecules. We show that tame functions are approximable by piecewise polynomials on any full-dimensional cube. We then present the first ever mixed-integer programming formulation of piecewise polynomial regression. Together, these can be used to estimate tame functions. We demonstrate promising computational results.

As a surrogate for computationally intensive meso-scale simulation of woven composites, this article presents Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) models. Leveraging the power of transfer learning, the initialization challenges and sparse data issues inherent in cyclic shear strain loads are addressed in the RNN models. A mean-field model generates a comprehensive data set representing elasto-plastic behavior. In simulations, arbitrary six-dimensional strain histories are used to predict stresses under random walking as the source task and cyclic loading conditions as the target task. Incorporating sub-scale properties enhances RNN versatility. In order to achieve accurate predictions, the model uses a grid search method to tune network architecture and hyper-parameter configurations. The results of this study demonstrate that transfer learning can be used to effectively adapt the RNN to varying strain conditions, which establishes its potential as a useful tool for modeling path-dependent responses in woven composites.

The problem this article addresses is, given a formal specification of a system, how to produce an attack tree that correctly and clearly describes the ways the system can be attacked. Correctness means that the attacks displayed by the attack tree are indeed attacks in the system; clarity means that the tree is efficient in communicating the attack scenario. To pursue clarity, we introduce an attack-tree generation algorithm that minimises the tree size and the information length of its labels without sacrificing correctness. We achieve this by establishing a connection between the problem of factorising algebraic expressions and the problem of minimising the tree size. Notably, our generation algorithm can handle complex attacks that execute actions in parallel and sequentially. For completeness, we introduce a system model that integrates well with our generation approach, and validate the resulting framework via a running example.

Robotic capacities in object manipulation are incomparable to those of humans. Besides years of learning, humans rely heavily on the richness of information from physical interaction with the environment. In particular, tactile sensing is crucial in providing such rich feedback. Despite its potential contributions to robotic manipulation, tactile sensing is less exploited; mainly due to the complexity of the time series provided by tactile sensors. In this work, we propose a method for assessing grasp stability using tactile sensing. More specifically, we propose a methodology to extract task-relevant features and design efficient classifiers to detect object slippage with respect to individual fingertips. We compare two classification models: support vector machine and logistic regression. We use highly sensitive Uskin tactile sensors mounted on an Allegro hand to test and validate our method. Our results demonstrate that the proposed method is effective in slippage detection in an online fashion.

Hashing has been widely used in approximate nearest search for large-scale database retrieval for its computation and storage efficiency. Deep hashing, which devises convolutional neural network architecture to exploit and extract the semantic information or feature of images, has received increasing attention recently. In this survey, several deep supervised hashing methods for image retrieval are evaluated and I conclude three main different directions for deep supervised hashing methods. Several comments are made at the end. Moreover, to break through the bottleneck of the existing hashing methods, I propose a Shadow Recurrent Hashing(SRH) method as a try. Specifically, I devise a CNN architecture to extract the semantic features of images and design a loss function to encourage similar images projected close. To this end, I propose a concept: shadow of the CNN output. During optimization process, the CNN output and its shadow are guiding each other so as to achieve the optimal solution as much as possible. Several experiments on dataset CIFAR-10 show the satisfying performance of SRH.