In many industrial applications, obtaining labeled observations is not straightforward as it often requires the intervention of human experts or the use of expensive testing equipment. In these circumstances, active learning can be highly beneficial in suggesting the most informative data points to be used when fitting a model. Reducing the number of observations needed for model development alleviates both the computational burden required for training and the operational expenses related to labeling. Online active learning, in particular, is useful in high-volume production processes where the decision about the acquisition of the label for a data point needs to be taken within an extremely short time frame. However, despite the recent efforts to develop online active learning strategies, the behavior of these methods in the presence of outliers has not been thoroughly examined. In this work, we investigate the performance of online active linear regression in contaminated data streams. Our study shows that the currently available query strategies are prone to sample outliers, whose inclusion in the training set eventually degrades the predictive performance of the models. To address this issue, we propose a solution that bounds the search area of a conditional D-optimal algorithm and uses a robust estimator. Our approach strikes a balance between exploring unseen regions of the input space and protecting against outliers. Through numerical simulations, we show that the proposed method is effective in improving the performance of online active learning in the presence of outliers, thus expanding the potential applications of this powerful tool.
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主動學習是機器學習（更普遍的說是人工智能）的一個子領域，在統計學領域也叫查詢學習、最優實驗設計。“學習模塊”和“選擇策略”是主動學習算法的2個基本且重要的模塊。
主動學習是“一種學習方法，在這種方法中，學生會主動或體驗性地參與學習過程，并且根據學生的參與程度，有不同程度的主動學習。” （Bonwell＆Eison 1991）Bonwell＆Eison（1991） 指出：“學生除了被動地聽課以外，還從事其他活動。” 在高等教育研究協會（ASHE）的一份報告中，作者討論了各種促進主動學習的方法。他們引用了一些文獻，這些文獻表明學生不僅要做聽，還必須做更多的事情才能學習。他們必須閱讀，寫作，討論并參與解決問題。此過程涉及三個學習領域，即知識，技能和態度（KSA）。這種學習行為分類法可以被認為是“學習過程的目標”。特別是，學生必須從事諸如分析，綜合和評估之類的高級思維任務。
The expectation that scientific productivity follows regular patterns over a career underpins many scholarly evaluations, including hiring, promotion and tenure, awards, and grant funding. However, recent studies of individual productivity patterns reveal a puzzle: on the one hand, the average number of papers published per year robustly follows the "canonical trajectory" of a rapid rise to an early peak followed by a graduate decline, but on the other hand, only about 20% of individual researchers' productivity follows this pattern. We resolve this puzzle by modeling scientific productivity as a parameterized random walk, showing that the canonical pattern can be explained as a decrease in the variance in changes to productivity in the early-to-mid career. By empirically characterizing the variable structure of 2,085 productivity trajectories of computer science faculty at 205 PhD-granting institutions, spanning 29,119 publications over 1980--2016, we (i) discover remarkably simple patterns in both early-career and year-to-year changes to productivity, and (ii) show that a random walk model of productivity both reproduces the canonical trajectory in the average productivity and captures much of the diversity of individual-level trajectories. These results highlight the fundamental role of a panoply of contingent factors in shaping individual scientific productivity, opening up new avenues for characterizing how systemic incentives and opportunities can be directed for aggregate effect.
Early warnings for dynamical transitions in complex systems or high-dimensional observation data are essential in many real world applications, such as gene mutation, brain diseases, natural disasters, financial crises, and engineering reliability. To effectively extract early warning signals, we develop a novel approach: the directed anisotropic diffusion map that captures the latent evolutionary dynamics in low-dimensional manifold. Applying the methodology to authentic electroencephalogram (EEG) data, we successfully find the appropriate effective coordinates, and derive early warning signals capable of detecting the tipping point during the state transition. Our method bridges the latent dynamics with the original dataset. The framework is validated to be accurate and effective through numerical experiments, in terms of density and transition probability. It is shown that the second coordinate holds meaningful information for critical transition in various evaluation metrics.
Scene reconstruction in the presence of high-speed motion and low illumination is important in many applications such as augmented and virtual reality, drone navigation, and autonomous robotics. Traditional motion estimation techniques fail in such conditions, suffering from too much blur in the presence of high-speed motion and strong noise in low-light conditions. Single-photon cameras have recently emerged as a promising technology capable of capturing hundreds of thousands of photon frames per second thanks to their high speed and extreme sensitivity. Unfortunately, traditional computer vision techniques are not well suited for dealing with the binary-valued photon data captured by these cameras because these are corrupted by extreme Poisson noise. Here we present a method capable of estimating extreme scene motion under challenging conditions, such as low light or high dynamic range, from a sequence of high-speed image frames such as those captured by a single-photon camera. Our method relies on iteratively improving a motion estimate by grouping and aggregating frames after-the-fact, in a stratified manner. We demonstrate the creation of high-quality panoramas under fast motion and extremely low light, and super-resolution results using a custom single-photon camera prototype. For code and supplemental material see our $\href{//wisionlab.com/project/panoramas-from-photons/}{\text{project webpage}}$.
Finding densely connected groups of nodes in networks is a widely used tool for analysis in graph mining. A popular choice for finding such groups is to find subgraphs with a high average degree. While useful, interpreting such subgraphs may be difficult. On the other hand, many real-world networks have additional information, and we are specifically interested in networks with labels on edges. In this paper, we study finding sets of labels that induce dense subgraphs. We consider two notions of density: average degree and the number of edges minus the number of nodes weighted by a parameter $\alpha$. There are many ways to induce a subgraph from a set of labels, and we study two cases: First, we study conjunctive-induced dense subgraphs, where the subgraph edges need to have all labels. Secondly, we study disjunctive-induced dense subgraphs, where the subgraph edges need to have at least one label. We show that both problems are NP-hard. Because of the hardness, we resort to greedy heuristics. We show that we can implement the greedy search efficiently: the respective running times for finding conjunctive-induced and disjunctive-induced dense subgraphs are in $O(p \log k)$ and $O(p \log^2 k)$, where $p$ is the number of edge-label pairs and $k$ is the number of labels. Our experimental evaluation demonstrates that we can find the ground truth in synthetic graphs and that we can find interpretable subgraphs from real-world networks.
Adversarial examples, inputs designed to induce worst-case behavior in machine learning models, have been extensively studied over the past decade. Yet, our understanding of this phenomenon stems from a rather fragmented pool of knowledge; at present, there are a handful of attacks, each with disparate assumptions in threat models and incomparable definitions of optimality. In this paper, we propose a systematic approach to characterize worst-case (i.e., optimal) adversaries. We first introduce an extensible decomposition of attacks in adversarial machine learning by atomizing attack components into surfaces and travelers. With our decomposition, we enumerate over components to create 576 attacks (568 of which were previously unexplored). Next, we propose the Pareto Ensemble Attack (PEA): a theoretical attack that upper-bounds attack performance. With our new attacks, we measure performance relative to the PEA on: both robust and non-robust models, seven datasets, and three extended lp-based threat models incorporating compute costs, formalizing the Space of Adversarial Strategies. From our evaluation we find that attack performance to be highly contextual: the domain, model robustness, and threat model can have a profound influence on attack efficacy. Our investigation suggests that future studies measuring the security of machine learning should: (1) be contextualized to the domain & threat models, and (2) go beyond the handful of known attacks used today.
A multi-step extended maximum residual Kaczmarz method is presented for the solution of the large inconsistent linear system of equations by using the multi-step iterations technique. Theoretical analysis proves the proposed method is convergent and gives an upper bound on its convergence rate. Numerical experiments show that the proposed method is effective and outperforms the existing extended Kaczmarz methods in terms of the number of iteration steps and the computational costs.
Counterfactual prediction methods are required when a model will be deployed in a setting where treatment policies differ from the setting where the model was developed, or when the prediction question is explicitly counterfactual. However, estimating and evaluating counterfactual prediction models is challenging because one does not observe the full set of potential outcomes for all individuals. Here, we discuss how to tailor a model to a counterfactual estimand, how to assess the model's performance, and how to perform model and tuning parameter selection. We also provide identifiability results for measures of performance for a potentially misspecified counterfactual prediction model based on training and test data from the same (factual) source population. Last, we illustrate the methods using simulation and apply them to the task of developing a statin-na\"{i}ve risk prediction model for cardiovascular disease.
The purpose of this paper is to present a {\em fresh} idea on how symbolic learning might be realized via analogical reasoning. For this, we introduce directed analogical proportions between logic programs of the form "$P$ transforms into $Q$ as $R$ transforms into $S$" as a mechanism for deriving similar programs by analogy-making. The idea is to instantiate a fragment of a recently introduced abstract algebraic framework of analogical proportions in the domain of logic programming. Technically, we define proportions in terms of modularity where we derive abstract forms of concrete programs from a "known" source domain which can then be instantiated in an "unknown" target domain to obtain analogous programs. To this end, we introduce algebraic operations for syntactic logic program composition and concatenation. Interestingly, our work suggests a close relationship between modularity, generalization, and analogy which we believe should be explored further in the future. In a broader sense, this paper is a further step towards a mathematical theory of logic-based analogical reasoning and learning with potential applications to open AI-problems like commonsense reasoning and computational learning and creativity.
Graph-centric artificial intelligence (graph AI) has achieved remarkable success in modeling interacting systems prevalent in nature, from dynamical systems in biology to particle physics. The increasing heterogeneity of data calls for graph neural architectures that can combine multiple inductive biases. However, combining data from various sources is challenging because appropriate inductive bias may vary by data modality. Multimodal learning methods fuse multiple data modalities while leveraging cross-modal dependencies to address this challenge. Here, we survey 140 studies in graph-centric AI and realize that diverse data types are increasingly brought together using graphs and fed into sophisticated multimodal models. These models stratify into image-, language-, and knowledge-grounded multimodal learning. We put forward an algorithmic blueprint for multimodal graph learning based on this categorization. The blueprint serves as a way to group state-of-the-art architectures that treat multimodal data by choosing appropriately four different components. This effort can pave the way for standardizing the design of sophisticated multimodal architectures for highly complex real-world problems.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
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