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We do the error analysis in reliability measures due to the assumption of independence amongst the component lifetimes. In reliability theory, we come across different n-component structures like series, parallel, and k-out-of-n systems. A n component series system works only if all the n components work. While studying the reliability measures of a n-component series system, we mostly assume that all the components have independent lifetimes. Such an assumption eases mathematical complexity while analyzing the data and hence is very common. But in reality, the lifetimes of the components are very much interdependent. Such an assumption of independence hence leads to inaccurate analysis of data. In multiple situations like studying a complex system with many components, we turn to assuming independence keeping some room for error. However, if we have some knowledge of the behaviour of errors or some estimate on the error bound, we could decide if we assume independence and prefer mathematical simplicity (if we know the error is within our allowed limit), or keep the mathematical complexity and get accurate results without assuming independence. We aim to find the relative errors in the reliability measures for a n-component series system.

Collaborative problem-solving (CPS) is a vital skill used both in the workplace and in educational environments. CPS is useful in tackling increasingly complex global, economic, and political issues and is considered a central 21st century skill. The increasingly connected global community presents a fruitful opportunity for creative and collaborative problem-solving interactions and solutions that involve diverse perspectives. Unfortunately, women and underrepresented minorities (URMs) often face obstacles during collaborative interactions that hinder their key participation in these problem-solving conversations. Here, we explored the communication patterns of minority and non-minority individuals working together in a CPS task. Group Communication Analysis (GCA), a temporally-sensitive computational linguistic tool, was used to examine how URM status impacts individuals' sociocognitive linguistic patterns. Results show differences across racial/ethnic groups in key sociocognitive features that indicate fruitful collaborative interactions. We also investigated how the groups' racial/ethnic composition impacts both individual and group communication patterns. In general, individuals in more demographically diverse groups displayed more productive communication behaviors than individuals who were in majority-dominated groups. We discuss the implications of individual and group diversity on communication patterns that emerge during CPS and how these patterns can impact collaborative outcomes.

To enhance the handover performance in fifth generation (5G) cellular systems, conditional handover (CHO) has been evolved as a promising solution. Unlike A3 based handover where handover execution is certain after receiving handover command from the serving access network, in CHO, handover execution is conditional on the RSRP measurements from both current and target access networks, as well as on mobility parameters such as preparation and execution offsets. Analytic evaluation of conditional handover performance is unprecedented in literature. In this work, handover performance of CHO has been carried out in terms of handover latency, handover packet loss and handover failure probability. A Markov model accounting the effect of different mobility parameters (e.g., execution offset, preparation offset, time-to-preparation and time-to-execution), UE velocity and channel fading characteristics; has been proposed to characterize handover failure. Results obtained from the analytic model has been validated against extensive simulation results. Our study reveal that optimal configuration of $O_{exec}$, $O_{prep}$, $T_{exec}$ and $T_{prep}$ is actually conditional on underlying UE velocity and fading characteristics. This study will be helpful for the mobile operators to choose appropriate thresholds of the mobility parameters under different channel condition and UE velocities.

Several mixed-effects models for longitudinal data have been proposed to accommodate the non-linearity of late-life cognitive trajectories and assess the putative influence of covariates on it. No prior research provides a side-by-side examination of these models to offer guidance on their proper application and interpretation. In this work, we examined five statistical approaches previously used to answer research questions related to non-linear changes in cognitive aging: the linear mixed model (LMM) with a quadratic term, LMM with splines, the functional mixed model, the piecewise linear mixed model, and the sigmoidal mixed model. We first theoretically describe the models. Next, using data from two prospective cohorts with annual cognitive testing, we compared the interpretation of the models by investigating associations of education on cognitive change before death. Lastly, we performed a simulation study to empirically evaluate the models and provide practical recommendations. Except for the LMM-quadratic, the fit of all models was generally adequate to capture non-linearity of cognitive change and models were relatively robust. Although spline-based models have no interpretable nonlinearity parameters, their convergence was easier to achieve, and they allow graphical interpretation. In contrast, piecewise and sigmoidal models, with interpretable non-linear parameters, may require more data to achieve convergence.

With the increasing availability of large scale datasets, computational power and tools like automatic differentiation and expressive neural network architectures, sequential data are now often treated in a data-driven way, with a dynamical model trained from the observation data. While neural networks are often seen as uninterpretable black-box architectures, they can still benefit from physical priors on the data and from mathematical knowledge. In this paper, we use a neural network architecture which leverages the long-known Koopman operator theory to embed dynamical systems in latent spaces where their dynamics can be described linearly, enabling a number of appealing features. We introduce methods that enable to train such a model for long-term continuous reconstruction, even in difficult contexts where the data comes in irregularly-sampled time series. The potential for self-supervised learning is also demonstrated, as we show the promising use of trained dynamical models as priors for variational data assimilation techniques, with applications to e.g. time series interpolation and forecasting.

This work explores the dimension reduction problem for Bayesian nonparametric regression and density estimation. More precisely, we are interested in estimating a functional parameter $f$ over the unit ball in $\mathbb{R}^d$, which depends only on a $d_0$-dimensional subspace of $\mathbb{R}^d$, with $d_0 < d$.It is well-known that rescaled Gaussian process priors over the function space achieve smoothness adaptation and posterior contraction with near minimax-optimal rates. Moreover, hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with subspace projection, can also adapt to the intrinsic dimension $d_0$ (\cite{Tokdar2011DimensionAdapt}).When the ambient dimension $d$ does not vary with $n$, the minimax rate remains of the order $n^{-\beta/(2\beta +d_0)}$.%When $d$ does not vary with $n$, the order of the minimax rate remains the same regardless of the ambient dimension $d$. However, this is up to multiplicative constants that can become prohibitively large when $d$ grows. The dependences between the contraction rate and the ambient dimension have not been fully explored yet and this work provides a first insight: we let the dimension $d$ grow with $n$ and, by combining the arguments of \cite{Tokdar2011DimensionAdapt} and \cite{Jiang2021VariableSelection}, we derive a growth rate for $d$ that still leads to posterior consistency with minimax rate.The optimality of this growth rate is then discussed.Additionally, we provide a set of assumptions under which consistent estimation of $f$ leads to a correct estimation of the subspace projection, assuming that $d_0$ is known.

Non-verbal signals in speech are encoded by prosody and carry information that ranges from conversation action to attitude and emotion. Despite its importance, the principles that govern prosodic structure are not yet adequately understood. This paper offers an analytical schema and a technological proof-of-concept for the categorization of prosodic signals and their association with meaning. The schema interprets surface-representations of multi-layered prosodic events. As a first step towards implementation, we present a classification process that disentangles prosodic phenomena of three orders. It relies on fine-tuning a pre-trained speech recognition model, enabling the simultaneous multi-class/multi-label detection. It generalizes over a large variety of spontaneous data, performing on a par with, or superior to, human annotation. In addition to a standardized formalization of prosody, disentangling prosodic patterns can direct a theory of communication and speech organization. A welcome by-product is an interpretation of prosody that will enhance speech- and language-related technologies.

A component-splitting method is proposed to improve convergence characteristics for implicit time integration of compressible multicomponent reactive flows. The characteristic decomposition of flux jacobian of multicomponent Navier-Stokes equations yields a large sparse eigensystem, presenting challenges of slow convergence and high computational costs for implicit methods. To addresses this issue, the component-splitting method segregates the implicit operator into two parts: one for the flow equations (density/momentum/energy) and the other for the component equations. Each part's implicit operator employs flux-vector splitting based on their respective spectral radii to achieve accelerated convergence. This approach improves the computational efficiency of implicit iteration, mitigating the quadratic increase in time cost with the number of species. Two consistence corrections are developed to reduce the introduced component-splitting error and ensure the numerical consistency of mass fraction. Importantly, the impact of component-splitting method on accuracy is minimal as the residual approaches convergence. The accuracy, efficiency, and robustness of component-splitting method are thoroughly investigated and compared with the coupled implicit scheme through several numerical cases involving thermo-chemical nonequilibrium hypersonic flows. The results demonstrate that the component-splitting method decreases the required number of iteration steps for convergence of residual and wall heat flux, decreases the computation time per iteration step, and diminishes the residual to lower magnitude. The acceleration efficiency is enhanced with increases in CFL number and number of species.

During the evolution of large models, performance evaluation is necessarily performed to assess their capabilities and ensure safety before practical application. However, current model evaluations mainly rely on specific tasks and datasets, lacking a united framework for assessing the multidimensional intelligence of large models. In this perspective, we advocate for a comprehensive framework of cognitive science-inspired artificial general intelligence (AGI) tests, aimed at fulfilling the testing needs of large models with enhanced capabilities. The cognitive science-inspired AGI tests encompass the full spectrum of intelligence facets, including crystallized intelligence, fluid intelligence, social intelligence, and embodied intelligence. To assess the multidimensional intelligence of large models, the AGI tests consist of a battery of well-designed cognitive tests adopted from human intelligence tests, and then naturally encapsulates into an immersive virtual community. We propose increasing the complexity of AGI testing tasks commensurate with advancements in large models and emphasizing the necessity for the interpretation of test results to avoid false negatives and false positives. We believe that cognitive science-inspired AGI tests will effectively guide the targeted improvement of large models in specific dimensions of intelligence and accelerate the integration of large models into human society.

Researchers in many fields endeavor to estimate treatment effects by regressing outcome data (Y) on a treatment (D) and observed confounders (X). Even absent unobserved confounding, the regression coefficient on the treatment reports a weighted average of strata-specific treatment effects (Angrist, 1998). Where heterogeneous treatment effects cannot be ruled out, the resulting coefficient is thus not generally equal to the average treatment effect (ATE), and is unlikely to be the quantity of direct scientific or policy interest. The difference between the coefficient and the ATE has led researchers to propose various interpretational, bounding, and diagnostic aids (Humphreys, 2009; Aronow and Samii, 2016; Sloczynski, 2022; Chattopadhyay and Zubizarreta, 2023). We note that the linear regression of Y on D and X can be misspecified when the treatment effect is heterogeneous in X. The "weights of regression", for which we provide a new (more general) expression, simply characterize how the OLS coefficient will depart from the ATE under the misspecification resulting from unmodeled treatment effect heterogeneity. Consequently, a natural alternative to suffering these weights is to address the misspecification that gives rise to them. For investigators committed to linear approaches, we propose relying on the slightly weaker assumption that the potential outcomes are linear in X. Numerous well-known estimators are unbiased for the ATE under this assumption, namely regression-imputation/g-computation/T-learner, regression with an interaction of the treatment and covariates (Lin, 2013), and balancing weights. Any of these approaches avoid the apparent weighting problem of the misspecified linear regression, at an efficiency cost that will be small when there are few covariates relative to sample size. We demonstrate these lessons using simulations in observational and experimental settings.