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Anecdotally, using an estimated propensity score is superior to the true propensity score in estimating the average treatment effect based on observational data. However, this claim comes with several qualifications: it holds only if propensity score model is correctly specified and the number of covariates $d$ is small relative to the sample size $n$. We revisit this phenomenon by studying the inverse propensity score weighting (IPW) estimator based on a logistic model with a diverging number of covariates. We first show that the IPW estimator based on the estimated propensity score is consistent and asymptotically normal with smaller variance than the oracle IPW estimator (using the true propensity score) if and only if $n \gtrsim d^2$. We then propose a debiased IPW estimator that achieves the same guarantees in the regime $n \gtrsim d^{3/2}$. Our proofs rely on a novel non-asymptotic decomposition of the IPW error along with careful control of the higher order terms.

In the context of simulation-based methods, multiple challenges arise, two of which are considered in this work. As a first challenge, problems including time-dependent phenomena with complex domain deformations, potentially even with changes in the domain topology, need to be tackled appropriately. The second challenge arises when computational resources and the time for evaluating the model become critical in so-called many query scenarios for parametric problems. For example, these problems occur in optimization, uncertainty quantification (UQ), or automatic control and using highly resolved full-order models (FOMs) may become impractical. To address both types of complexity, we present a novel projection-based model order reduction (MOR) approach for deforming domain problems that takes advantage of the time-continuous space-time formulation. We apply it to two examples that are relevant for engineering or biomedical applications and conduct an error and performance analysis. In both cases, we are able to drastically reduce the computational expense for a model evaluation and, at the same time, to maintain an adequate accuracy level. All in all, this work indicates the effectiveness of the presented MOR approach for deforming domain problems taking advantage of a time-continuous space-time setting.

We consider the problem of state estimation from $m$ linear measurements, where the state $u$ to recover is an element of the manifold $\mathcal{M}$ of solutions of a parameter-dependent equation. The state is estimated using a prior knowledge on $\mathcal{M}$ coming from model order reduction. Variational approaches based on linear approximation of $\mathcal{M}$, such as PBDW, yields a recovery error limited by the Kolmogorov $m$-width of $\mathcal{M}$. To overcome this issue, piecewise-affine approximations of $\mathcal{M}$ have also be considered, that consist in using a library of linear spaces among which one is selected by minimizing some distance to $\mathcal{M}$. In this paper, we propose a state estimation method relying on dictionary-based model reduction, where a space is selected from a library generated by a dictionary of snapshots, using a distance to the manifold. The selection is performed among a set of candidate spaces obtained from the path of a $\ell_1$-regularized least-squares problem. Then, in the framework of parameter-dependent operator equations (or PDEs) with affine parameterizations, we provide an efficient offline-online decomposition based on randomized linear algebra, that ensures efficient and stable computations while preserving theoretical guarantees.

Factor models have been widely used in economics and finance. However, the heavy-tailed nature of macroeconomic and financial data is often neglected in the existing literature. To address this issue and achieve robustness, we propose an approach to estimate factor loadings and scores by minimizing the Huber loss function, which is motivated by the equivalence of conventional Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and the constrained least squares method in the factor model. We provide two algorithms that use different penalty forms. The first algorithm, which we refer to as Huber PCA, minimizes the $\ell_2$-norm-type Huber loss and performs PCA on the weighted sample covariance matrix. The second algorithm involves an element-wise type Huber loss minimization, which can be solved by an iterative Huber regression algorithm. Our study examines the theoretical minimizer of the element-wise Huber loss function and demonstrates that it has the same convergence rate as conventional PCA when the idiosyncratic errors have bounded second moments. We also derive their asymptotic distributions under mild conditions. Moreover, we suggest a consistent model selection criterion that relies on rank minimization to estimate the number of factors robustly. We showcase the benefits of Huber PCA through extensive numerical experiments and a real financial portfolio selection example. An R package named ``HDRFA" has been developed to implement the proposed robust factor analysis.

Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is a popular time series distance measure that aligns the points in two series with one another. These alignments support warping of the time dimension to allow for processes that unfold at differing rates. The distance is the minimum sum of costs of the resulting alignments over any allowable warping of the time dimension. The cost of an alignment of two points is a function of the difference in the values of those points. The original cost function was the absolute value of this difference. Other cost functions have been proposed. A popular alternative is the square of the difference. However, to our knowledge, this is the first investigation of both the relative impacts of using different cost functions and the potential to tune cost functions to different tasks. We do so in this paper by using a tunable cost function {\lambda}{\gamma} with parameter {\gamma}. We show that higher values of {\gamma} place greater weight on larger pairwise differences, while lower values place greater weight on smaller pairwise differences. We demonstrate that training {\gamma} significantly improves the accuracy of both the DTW nearest neighbor and Proximity Forest classifiers.

We present LLaMA-Adapter, a lightweight adaption method to efficiently fine-tune LLaMA into an instruction-following model. Using 52K self-instruct demonstrations, LLaMA-Adapter only introduces 1.2M learnable parameters upon the frozen LLaMA 7B model, and costs less than one hour for fine-tuning on 8 A100 GPUs. Specifically, we adopt a set of learnable adaption prompts, and prepend them to the input text tokens at higher transformer layers. Then, a zero-init attention mechanism with zero gating is proposed, which adaptively injects the new instructional cues into LLaMA, while effectively preserves its pre-trained knowledge. With efficient training, LLaMA-Adapter generates high-quality responses, comparable to Alpaca with fully fine-tuned 7B parameters. Furthermore, our approach can be simply extended to multi-modal input, e.g., images, for image-conditioned LLaMA, which achieves superior reasoning capacity on ScienceQA. We release our code at //github.com/ZrrSkywalker/LLaMA-Adapter.

The BrainScaleS-2 (BSS-2) system implements physical models of neurons as well as synapses and aims for an energy-efficient and fast emulation of biological neurons. When replicating neuroscientific experiment results, a major challenge is finding suitable model parameters. This study investigates the suitability of the sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) algorithm for parameterizing a multi-compartmental neuron model emulated on the BSS-2 analog neuromorphic hardware system. In contrast to other optimization methods such as genetic algorithms or stochastic searches, the SNPE algorithms belongs to the class of approximate Bayesian computing (ABC) methods and estimates the posterior distribution of the model parameters; access to the posterior allows classifying the confidence in parameter estimations and unveiling correlation between model parameters. In previous applications, the SNPE algorithm showed a higher computational efficiency than traditional ABC methods. For our multi-compartmental model, we show that the approximated posterior is in agreement with experimental observations and that the identified correlation between parameters is in agreement with theoretical expectations. Furthermore, we show that the algorithm can deal with high-dimensional observations and parameter spaces. These results suggest that the SNPE algorithm is a promising approach for automating the parameterization of complex models, especially when dealing with characteristic properties of analog neuromorphic substrates, such as trial-to-trial variations or limited parameter ranges.

This paper focuses on the comparison of networks on the basis of statistical inference. For that purpose, we rely on smooth graphon models as a nonparametric modeling strategy that is able to capture complex structural patterns. The graphon itself can be viewed more broadly as density or intensity function on networks, making the model a natural choice for comparison purposes. Extending graphon estimation towards modeling multiple networks simultaneously consequently provides substantial information about the (dis-)similarity between networks. Fitting such a joint model - which can be accomplished by applying an EM-type algorithm - provides a joint graphon estimate plus a corresponding prediction of the node positions for each network. In particular, it entails a generalized network alignment, where nearby nodes play similar structural roles in their respective domains. Given that, we construct a chi-squared test on equivalence of network structures. Simulation studies and real-world examples support the applicability of our network comparison strategy.

In this paper we study the properties of the Lasso estimator of the drift component in the diffusion setting. More specifically, we consider a multivariate parametric diffusion model $X$ observed continuously over the interval $[0,T]$ and investigate drift estimation under sparsity constraints. We allow the dimensions of the model and the parameter space to be large. We obtain an oracle inequality for the Lasso estimator and derive an error bound for the $L^2$-distance using concentration inequalities for linear functionals of diffusion processes. The probabilistic part is based upon elements of empirical processes theory and, in particular, on the chaining method.

Incompleteness is a common problem for existing knowledge graphs (KGs), and the completion of KG which aims to predict links between entities is challenging. Most existing KG completion methods only consider the direct relation between nodes and ignore the relation paths which contain useful information for link prediction. Recently, a few methods take relation paths into consideration but pay less attention to the order of relations in paths which is important for reasoning. In addition, these path-based models always ignore nonlinear contributions of path features for link prediction. To solve these problems, we propose a novel KG completion method named OPTransE. Instead of embedding both entities of a relation into the same latent space as in previous methods, we project the head entity and the tail entity of each relation into different spaces to guarantee the order of relations in the path. Meanwhile, we adopt a pooling strategy to extract nonlinear and complex features of different paths to further improve the performance of link prediction. Experimental results on two benchmark datasets show that the proposed model OPTransE performs better than state-of-the-art methods.