Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely used to optimize black-box functions. It works by first building a surrogate for the objective and quantifying the uncertainty in that surrogate. It then decides where to sample by maximizing an acquisition function defined by the surrogate model. Prior approaches typically use randomly generated raw samples to initialize the acquisition function maximizer. However, this strategy is ill-suited for high-dimensional BO. Given the large regions of high posterior uncertainty in high dimensions, a randomly initialized acquisition function maximizer is likely to focus on areas with high posterior uncertainty, leading to overly exploring areas that offer little gain. This paper provides the first comprehensive empirical study to reveal the importance of the initialization phase of acquisition function maximization. It proposes a better initialization approach by employing multiple heuristic optimizers to leverage the knowledge of already evaluated samples to generate initial points to be explored by an acquisition function maximizer. We evaluate our approach on widely used synthetic test functions and real-world applications. Experimental results show that our techniques, while simple, can significantly enhance the standard BO and outperforms state-of-the-art high-dimensional BO techniques by a large margin in most test cases.
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Optimizing Neural Networks through Activation Function Discovery and Automatic Weight Initialization
Automated machine learning (AutoML) methods improve upon existing models by optimizing various aspects of their design. While present methods focus on hyperparameters and neural network topologies, other aspects of neural network design can be optimized as well. To further the state of the art in AutoML, this dissertation introduces techniques for discovering more powerful activation functions and establishing more robust weight initialization for neural networks. These contributions improve performance, but also provide new perspectives on neural network optimization. First, the dissertation demonstrates that discovering solutions specialized to specific architectures and tasks gives better performance than reusing general approaches. Second, it shows that jointly optimizing different components of neural networks is synergistic, and results in better performance than optimizing individual components alone. Third, it demonstrates that learned representations are easier to optimize than hard-coded ones, creating further opportunities for AutoML. The dissertation thus makes concrete progress towards fully automatic machine learning in the future.
Carefully designed activation functions can improve the performance of neural networks in many machine learning tasks. However, it is difficult for humans to construct optimal activation functions, and current activation function search algorithms are prohibitively expensive. This paper aims to improve the state of the art through three steps: First, the benchmark datasets Act-Bench-CNN, Act-Bench-ResNet, and Act-Bench-ViT were created by training convolutional, residual, and vision transformer architectures from scratch with 2,913 systematically generated activation functions. Second, a characterization of the benchmark space was developed, leading to a new surrogate-based method for optimization. More specifically, the spectrum of the Fisher information matrix associated with the model's predictive distribution at initialization and the activation function's output distribution were found to be highly predictive of performance. Third, the surrogate was used to discover improved activation functions in CIFAR-100 and ImageNet tasks. Each of these steps is a contribution in its own right; together they serve as a practical and theoretical foundation for further research on activation function optimization. Code is available at //github.com/cognizant-ai-labs/aquasurf, and the benchmark datasets are at //github.com/cognizant-ai-labs/act-bench.
We propose a new approach to learned optimization where we represent the computation of an optimizer's update step using a neural network. The parameters of the optimizer are then learned by training on a set of optimization tasks with the objective to perform minimization efficiently. Our innovation is a new neural network architecture, Optimus, for the learned optimizer inspired by the classic BFGS algorithm. As in BFGS, we estimate a preconditioning matrix as a sum of rank-one updates but use a Transformer-based neural network to predict these updates jointly with the step length and direction. In contrast to several recent learned optimization-based approaches, our formulation allows for conditioning across the dimensions of the parameter space of the target problem while remaining applicable to optimization tasks of variable dimensionality without retraining. We demonstrate the advantages of our approach on a benchmark composed of objective functions traditionally used for the evaluation of optimization algorithms, as well as on the real world-task of physics-based visual reconstruction of articulated 3d human motion.
Reliable application of machine learning-based decision systems in the wild is one of the major challenges currently investigated by the field. A large portion of established approaches aims to detect erroneous predictions by means of assigning confidence scores. This confidence may be obtained by either quantifying the model's predictive uncertainty, learning explicit scoring functions, or assessing whether the input is in line with the training distribution. Curiously, while these approaches all state to address the same eventual goal of detecting failures of a classifier upon real-life application, they currently constitute largely separated research fields with individual evaluation protocols, which either exclude a substantial part of relevant methods or ignore large parts of relevant failure sources. In this work, we systematically reveal current pitfalls caused by these inconsistencies and derive requirements for a holistic and realistic evaluation of failure detection. To demonstrate the relevance of this unified perspective, we present a large-scale empirical study for the first time enabling benchmarking confidence scoring functions w.r.t all relevant methods and failure sources. The revelation of a simple softmax response baseline as the overall best performing method underlines the drastic shortcomings of current evaluation in the abundance of publicized research on confidence scoring. Code and trained models are at //github.com/IML-DKFZ/fd-shifts.
In this paper we investigate the stability properties of the so-called gBBKS and GeCo methods, which belong to the class of nonstandard schemes and preserve the positivity as well as all linear invariants of the underlying system of ordinary differential equations for any step size. A stability investigation for these methods, which are outside the class of general linear methods, is challenging since the iterates are always generated by a nonlinear map even for linear problems. Recently, a stability theorem was derived presenting criteria for understanding such schemes. For the analysis, the schemes are applied to general linear equations and proven to be generated by $\mathcal C^1$-maps with locally Lipschitz continuous first derivatives. As a result, the above mentioned stability theorem can be applied to investigate the Lyapunov stability of non-hyperbolic fixed points of the numerical method by analyzing the spectrum of the corresponding Jacobian of the generating map. In addition, if a fixed point is proven to be stable, the theorem guarantees the local convergence of the iterates towards it. In the case of first and second order gBBKS schemes the stability domain coincides with that of the underlying Runge--Kutta method. Furthermore, while the first order GeCo scheme converts steady states to stable fixed points for all step sizes and all linear test problems of finite size, the second order GeCo scheme has a bounded stability region for the considered test problems. Finally, all theoretical predictions from the stability analysis are validated numerically.
One way to reduce the time of conducting optimization studies is to evaluate designs in parallel rather than just one-at-a-time. For expensive-to-evaluate black-boxes, batch versions of Bayesian optimization have been proposed. They work by building a surrogate model of the black-box to simultaneously select multiple designs via an infill criterion. Still, despite the increased availability of computing resources that enable large-scale parallelism, the strategies that work for selecting a few tens of parallel designs for evaluations become limiting due to the complexity of selecting more designs. It is even more crucial when the black-box is noisy, necessitating more evaluations as well as repeating experiments. Here we propose a scalable strategy that can keep up with massive batching natively, focused on the exploration/exploitation trade-off and a portfolio allocation. We compare the approach with related methods on noisy functions, for mono and multi-objective optimization tasks. These experiments show orders of magnitude speed improvements over existing methods with similar or better performance.
Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper is to provide concentration inequalities on the distance between the sets of minimizers of the risks for a broad spectrum of estimation problems. In particular, the risks are defined on metric spaces through probability measures that are also supported on metric spaces. A particular attention will therefore be given to include unbounded spaces and non-convex cost functions that might also be unbounded. This work identifies a set of assumptions allowing to describe a regime that seem to govern the concentration in many estimation problems, where the empirical minimizers are stable. This stability can then be leveraged to prove parametric concentration rates in probability and in expectation. The assumptions are verified, and the bounds showcased, on a selection of estimation problems such as barycenters on metric space with positive or negative curvature, subspaces of covariance matrices, regression problems and entropic-Wasserstein barycenters.
Bayesian optimization is a methodology for global optimization of unknown and expensive objectives. It combines a surrogate Bayesian regression model with an acquisition function to decide where to evaluate the objective. Typical regression models are given by Gaussian processes with stationary covariance functions. However, these functions are unable to express prior input-dependent information, including possible locations of the optimum. The ubiquity of stationary models has led to the common practice of exploiting prior information via informative mean functions. In this paper, we highlight that these models can perform poorly, especially in high dimensions. We propose novel informative covariance functions for optimization, leveraging nonstationarity to encode preferences for certain regions of the search space and adaptively promote local exploration during optimization. We demonstrate that the proposed functions can increase the sample efficiency of Bayesian optimization in high dimensions, even under weak prior information.
Knowledge graph embedding (KGE) is a increasingly popular technique that aims to represent entities and relations of knowledge graphs into low-dimensional semantic spaces for a wide spectrum of applications such as link prediction, knowledge reasoning and knowledge completion. In this paper, we provide a systematic review of existing KGE techniques based on representation spaces. Particularly, we build a fine-grained classification to categorise the models based on three mathematical perspectives of the representation spaces: (1) Algebraic perspective, (2) Geometric perspective, and (3) Analytical perspective. We introduce the rigorous definitions of fundamental mathematical spaces before diving into KGE models and their mathematical properties. We further discuss different KGE methods over the three categories, as well as summarise how spatial advantages work over different embedding needs. By collating the experimental results from downstream tasks, we also explore the advantages of mathematical space in different scenarios and the reasons behind them. We further state some promising research directions from a representation space perspective, with which we hope to inspire researchers to design their KGE models as well as their related applications with more consideration of their mathematical space properties.
This paper addresses the difficulty of forecasting multiple financial time series (TS) conjointly using deep neural networks (DNN). We investigate whether DNN-based models could forecast these TS more efficiently by learning their representation directly. To this end, we make use of the dynamic factor graph (DFG) from that we enhance by proposing a novel variable-length attention-based mechanism to render it memory-augmented. Using this mechanism, we propose an unsupervised DNN architecture for multivariate TS forecasting that allows to learn and take advantage of the relationships between these TS. We test our model on two datasets covering 19 years of investment funds activities. Our experimental results show that our proposed approach outperforms significantly typical DNN-based and statistical models at forecasting their 21-day price trajectory.
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