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We study the generalisation properties of majority voting on finite ensembles of classifiers, proving margin-based generalisation bounds via the PAC-Bayes theory. These provide state-of-the-art guarantees on a number of classification tasks. Our central results leverage the Dirichlet posteriors studied recently by Zantedeschi et al. [2021] for training voting classifiers; in contrast to that work our bounds apply to non-randomised votes via the use of margins. Our contributions add perspective to the debate on the "margins theory" proposed by Schapire et al. [1998] for the generalisation of ensemble classifiers.

Finite dynamical systems (FDSs) are commonly used to model systems with a finite number of states that evolve deterministically and at discrete time steps. Considered up to isomorphism, those correspond to functional graphs. As such, FDSs have a sum and product operation, which correspond to the direct sum and direct product of their respective graphs; the collection of FDSs endowed with these operations then forms a semiring. The algebraic structure of the product of FDSs is particularly interesting. For instance, an FDS can be factorised if and only if it is composed of two sub-systems running in parallel. In this work, we further the understanding of the factorisation, division, and root finding problems for FDSs. Firstly, an FDS $A$ is cancellative if one can divide by it unambiguously, i.e. $AX = AY$ implies $X = Y$. We prove that an FDS $A$ is cancellative if and only if it has a fixpoint. Secondly, we prove that if an FDS $A$ has a $k$-th root (i.e. $B$ such that $B^k = A$), then it is unique. Thirdly, unlike integers, the monoid of FDS product does not have unique factorisation into irreducibles. We instead exhibit a large class of monoids of FDSs with unique factorisation. To obtain our main results, we introduce the unrolling of an FDS, which can be viewed as a space-time expansion of the system. This allows us to work with (possibly infinite) trees, where the product is easier to handle than its counterpart for FDSs.

Resource constrained project scheduling is an important combinatorial optimisation problem with many practical applications. With complex requirements such as precedence constraints, limited resources, and finance-based objectives, finding optimal solutions for large problem instances is very challenging even with well-customised meta-heuristics and matheuristics. To address this challenge, we propose a new math-heuristic algorithm based on Merge Search and parallel computing to solve the resource constrained project scheduling with the aim of maximising the net present value. This paper presents a novel matheuristic framework designed for resource constrained project scheduling, Merge search, which is a variable partitioning and merging mechanism to formulate restricted mixed integer programs with the aim of improving an existing pool of solutions. The solution pool is obtained via a customised parallel ant colony optimisation algorithm, which is also capable of generating high quality solutions on its own. The experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms the current state-of-the-art algorithms on known benchmark problem instances. Further analyses also demonstrate that the proposed algorithm is substantially more efficient compared to its counterparts in respect to its convergence properties when considering multiple cores.

Neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) model continuous time dynamics as differential equations parametrized with neural networks. Thanks to their modeling flexibility, they have been adopted for multiple tasks where the continuous time nature of the process is specially relevant, as in system identification and time series analysis. When applied in a control setting, it is possible to adapt their use to approximate optimal nonlinear feedback policies. This formulation follows the same approach as policy gradients in reinforcement learning, covering the case where the environment consists of known deterministic dynamics given by a system of differential equations. The white box nature of the model specification allows the direct calculation of policy gradients through sensitivity analysis, avoiding the inexact and inefficient gradient estimation through sampling. In this work we propose the use of a neural control policy posed as a Neural ODE to solve general nonlinear optimal control problems while satisfying both state and control constraints, which are crucial for real world scenarios. Since the state feedback policy partially modifies the model dynamics, the whole space phase of the system is reshaped upon the optimization. This approach is a sensible approximation to the historically intractable closed loop solution of nonlinear control problems that efficiently exploits the availability of a dynamical system model.

While Mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) is NP-hard in general, practical MILP has received roughly 100--fold speedup in the past twenty years. Still, many classes of MILPs quickly become unsolvable as their sizes increase, motivating researchers to seek new acceleration techniques for MILPs. With deep learning, they have obtained strong empirical results, and many results were obtained by applying graph neural networks (GNNs) to making decisions in various stages of MILP solution processes. This work discovers a fundamental limitation: there exist feasible and infeasible MILPs that all GNNs will, however, treat equally, indicating GNN's lacking power to express general MILPs. Then, we show that, by restricting the MILPs to unfoldable ones or by adding random features, there exist GNNs that can reliably predict MILP feasibility, optimal objective values, and optimal solutions up to prescribed precision. We conducted small-scale numerical experiments to validate our theoretical findings.

The steadily high demand for cash contributes to the expansion of the network of Bank payment terminals. To optimize the amount of cash in payment terminals, it is necessary to minimize the cost of servicing them and ensure that there are no excess funds in the network. The purpose of this work is to create a cash management system in the network of payment terminals. The article discusses the solution to the problem of determining the optimal amount of funds to be loaded into the terminals, and the effective frequency of collection, which allows to get additional income by investing the released funds. The paper presents the results of predicting daily cash withdrawals at ATMs using a triple exponential smoothing model, a recurrent neural network with long short-term memory, and a model of singular spectrum analysis. These forecasting models allowed us to obtain a sufficient level of correct forecasts with good accuracy and completeness. The results of forecasting cash withdrawals were used to build a discrete optimal control model, which was used to develop an optimal schedule for adding funds to the payment terminal. It is proved that the efficiency and reliability of the proposed model is higher than that of the classical Baumol-Tobin inventory management model: when tested on the time series of three ATMs, the discrete optimal control model did not allow exhaustion of funds and allowed to earn on average 30% more than the classical model.

We present a lattice of distributed program specifications, whose ordering represents implementability/refinement. Specifications are modelled by families of subsets of relative execution traces, which encode the local orderings of state transitions, rather than their absolute timing according to a global clock. This is to overcome fundamental physical difficulties with synchronisation. The lattice of specifications is assembled and analysed with several established mathematical tools. Sets of nondegenerate cells of a simplicial set model relative traces, presheaves model the parametrisation of these traces by a topological space of variables, and information algebras reveal novel constraints on program correctness. The latter aspect brings the enterprise of program specification under the widening umbrella of contextual semantics introduced by Abramsky et al. In this model of program specifications, contextuality manifests as a failure of a consistency criterion comparable to Lamport's definition of sequential consistency. The theory of information algebras also suggests efficient local computation algorithms for the verification of this criterion. The novel constructions in this paper have been verified in the proof assistant Isabelle/HOL.

The Q-learning algorithm is known to be affected by the maximization bias, i.e. the systematic overestimation of action values, an important issue that has recently received renewed attention. Double Q-learning has been proposed as an efficient algorithm to mitigate this bias. However, this comes at the price of an underestimation of action values, in addition to increased memory requirements and a slower convergence. In this paper, we introduce a new way to address the maximization bias in the form of a "self-correcting algorithm" for approximating the maximum of an expected value. Our method balances the overestimation of the single estimator used in conventional Q-learning and the underestimation of the double estimator used in Double Q-learning. Applying this strategy to Q-learning results in Self-correcting Q-learning. We show theoretically that this new algorithm enjoys the same convergence guarantees as Q-learning while being more accurate. Empirically, it performs better than Double Q-learning in domains with rewards of high variance, and it even attains faster convergence than Q-learning in domains with rewards of zero or low variance. These advantages transfer to a Deep Q Network implementation that we call Self-correcting DQN and which outperforms regular DQN and Double DQN on several tasks in the Atari 2600 domain.

Knowledge graphs capture structured information and relations between a set of entities or items. As such they represent an attractive source of information that could help improve recommender systems. However existing approaches in this domain rely on manual feature engineering and do not allow for end-to-end training. Here we propose knowledge-aware graph neural networks with label smoothness regularization to provide better recommendations. Conceptually, our approach computes user-specific item embeddings by first applying a trainable function that identifies important knowledge graph relationships for a given user. This way we transform the knowledge graph into a user-specific weighted graph and then applies a graph neural network to compute personalized item embeddings. To provide better inductive bias, we use label smoothness, which assumes that adjacent items in the knowledge graph are likely to have similar user relevance labels/scores. Label smoothness provides regularization over edge weights and we prove that it is equivalent to a label propagation scheme on a graph. Finally, we combine knowledge-aware graph neural networks and label smoothness and present the unified model. Experiment results show that our method outperforms strong baselines in four datasets. It also achieves strong performance in the scenario where user-item interactions are sparse.

Graphs, which describe pairwise relations between objects, are essential representations of many real-world data such as social networks. In recent years, graph neural networks, which extend the neural network models to graph data, have attracted increasing attention. Graph neural networks have been applied to advance many different graph related tasks such as reasoning dynamics of the physical system, graph classification, and node classification. Most of the existing graph neural network models have been designed for static graphs, while many real-world graphs are inherently dynamic. For example, social networks are naturally evolving as new users joining and new relations being created. Current graph neural network models cannot utilize the dynamic information in dynamic graphs. However, the dynamic information has been proven to enhance the performance of many graph analytical tasks such as community detection and link prediction. Hence, it is necessary to design dedicated graph neural networks for dynamic graphs. In this paper, we propose DGNN, a new {\bf D}ynamic {\bf G}raph {\bf N}eural {\bf N}etwork model, which can model the dynamic information as the graph evolving. In particular, the proposed framework can keep updating node information by capturing the sequential information of edges, the time intervals between edges and information propagation coherently. Experimental results on various dynamic graphs demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.