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Measuring soccer shooting skill is a challenging analytics problem due to the scarcity and highly contextual nature of scoring events. The introduction of more advanced data surrounding soccer shots has given rise to model-based metrics which better cope with these challenges. Specifically, metrics such as expected goals added, goals above expectation, and post-shot expected goals all use advanced data to offer an improvement over the classical conversion rate. However, all metrics developed to date assign a value of zero to off-target shots, which account for almost two-thirds of all shots, since these shots have no probability of scoring. We posit that there is non-negligible shooting skill signal contained in the trajectories of off-target shots and propose two shooting skill metrics that incorporate the signal contained in off-target shots. Specifically, we develop a player-specific generative model for shot trajectories based on a mixture of truncated bivariate Gaussian distributions. We use this generative model to compute metrics that allow us to attach non-zero value to off-target shots. We demonstrate that our proposed metrics are more stable than current state-of-the-art metrics and have increased predictive power.

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在機器學習中,生成模型可以用來直接對數據建模(例如根據某個變量的概率密度函數進行數據采樣),也可以用來建立變量間的條件概率分布。條件概率分布可以由生成模型根據貝葉斯定理形成。

Effective Receptive field (ERF) plays an important role in transform coding, which determines how much redundancy can be removed at most during transform and how many spatial priors can be utilized to synthesize textures during inverse transform. Existing methods rely on stacks of small kernels, whose ERF remains not large enough instead, or heavy non-local attention mechanisms, which limit the potential of high resolution image coding. To tackle this issue, we propose Large Receptive Field Transform Coding with Adaptive Weights for Learned Image Compression (LLIC). Specifically, for the first time in learned image compression community, we introduce a few large kernel-based depth-wise convolutions to reduce more redundancy while maintaining modest complexity. Due to wide range of image diversity, we propose to enhance the adaptability of convolutions via generating weights in a self-conditioned manner. The large kernels cooperate with non-linear embedding and gate mechanisms for better expressiveness and lighter point-wise interactions. We also investigate improved training techniques to fully exploit the potential of large kernels. In addition, to enhance the interactions among channels, we propose the adaptive channel-wise bit allocation via generating channel importance factor in a self-conditioned manner. To demonstrate the effectiveness of proposed transform coding, we align the entropy model to compare with existing transform methods and obtain models LLIC-STF, LLIC-ELIC, LLIC-TCM. Extensive experiments demonstrate our proposed LLIC models have significant improvements over corresponding baselines and achieve state-of-the-art performances and better trade-off between performance and complexity.

In modern machine learning, models can often fit training data in numerous ways, some of which perform well on unseen (test) data, while others do not. Remarkably, in such cases gradient descent frequently exhibits an implicit bias that leads to excellent performance on unseen data. This implicit bias was extensively studied in supervised learning, but is far less understood in optimal control (reinforcement learning). There, learning a controller applied to a system via gradient descent is known as policy gradient, and a question of prime importance is the extent to which a learned controller extrapolates to unseen initial states. This paper theoretically studies the implicit bias of policy gradient in terms of extrapolation to unseen initial states. Focusing on the fundamental Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) problem, we establish that the extent of extrapolation depends on the degree of exploration induced by the system when commencing from initial states included in training. Experiments corroborate our theory, and demonstrate its conclusions on problems beyond LQR, where systems are non-linear and controllers are neural networks. We hypothesize that real-world optimal control may be greatly improved by developing methods for informed selection of initial states to train on.

The interpolative decomposition (ID) aims to construct a low-rank approximation formed by a basis consisting of row/column skeletons in the original matrix and a corresponding interpolation matrix. This work explores fast and accurate ID algorithms from five essential perspectives for empirical performance: (a) skeleton complexity that measures the minimum possible ID rank for a given low-rank approximation error, (b) asymptotic complexity in FLOPs, (c) parallelizability of the computational bottleneck as matrix-matrix multiplications, (d) error-revealing property that enables automatic rank detection for given error tolerances without prior knowledge of target ranks, (e) ID-revealing property that ensures efficient construction of the optimal interpolation matrix after selecting the skeletons. While a broad spectrum of algorithms have been developed to optimize parts of the aforementioned perspectives, practical ID algorithms proficient in all perspectives remain absent. To fill in the gap, we introduce robust blockwise random pivoting (RBRP) that is parallelizable, error-revealing, and exact-ID-revealing, with comparable skeleton and asymptotic complexities to the best existing ID algorithms in practice. Through extensive numerical experiments on various synthetic and natural datasets, we empirically demonstrate the appealing performance of RBRP from the five perspectives above, as well as the robustness of RBRP to adversarial inputs.

In the evolving field of machine learning, ensuring fairness has become a critical concern, prompting the development of algorithms designed to mitigate discriminatory outcomes in decision-making processes. However, achieving fairness in the presence of group-specific concept drift remains an unexplored frontier, and our research represents pioneering efforts in this regard. Group-specific concept drift refers to situations where one group experiences concept drift over time while another does not, leading to a decrease in fairness even if accuracy remains fairly stable. Within the framework of federated learning, where clients collaboratively train models, its distributed nature further amplifies these challenges since each client can experience group-specific concept drift independently while still sharing the same underlying concept, creating a complex and dynamic environment for maintaining fairness. One of the significant contributions of our research is the formalization and introduction of the problem of group-specific concept drift and its distributed counterpart, shedding light on its critical importance in the realm of fairness. In addition, leveraging insights from prior research, we adapt an existing distributed concept drift adaptation algorithm to tackle group-specific distributed concept drift which utilizes a multi-model approach, a local group-specific drift detection mechanism, and continuous clustering of models over time. The findings from our experiments highlight the importance of addressing group-specific concept drift and its distributed counterpart to advance fairness in machine learning.

This work explores the zero-shot adaptation capability of semantic skills, semantically interpretable experts' behavior patterns, in cross-domain settings, where a user input in interleaved multi-modal snippets can prompt a new long-horizon task for different domains. In these cross-domain settings, we present a semantic skill translator framework SemTra which utilizes a set of multi-modal models to extract skills from the snippets, and leverages the reasoning capabilities of a pretrained language model to adapt these extracted skills to the target domain. The framework employs a two-level hierarchy for adaptation: task adaptation and skill adaptation. During task adaptation, seq-to-seq translation by the language model transforms the extracted skills into a semantic skill sequence, which is tailored to fit the cross-domain contexts. Skill adaptation focuses on optimizing each semantic skill for the target domain context, through parametric instantiations that are facilitated by language prompting and contrastive learning-based context inferences. This hierarchical adaptation empowers the framework to not only infer a complex task specification in one-shot from the interleaved multi-modal snippets, but also adapt it to new domains with zero-shot learning abilities. We evaluate our framework with Meta-World, Franka Kitchen, RLBench, and CARLA environments. The results clarify the framework's superiority in performing long-horizon tasks and adapting to different domains, showing its broad applicability in practical use cases, such as cognitive robots interpreting abstract instructions and autonomous vehicles operating under varied configurations.

Regression is a fundamental task in machine learning that has garnered extensive attention over the past decades. The conventional approach for regression involves employing loss functions that primarily concentrate on aligning model prediction with the ground truth for each individual data sample, which, as we show, can result in sub-optimal prediction of the relationships between the different samples. Recent research endeavors have introduced novel perspectives by incorporating label similarity information to regression. However, a notable gap persists in these approaches when it comes to fully capturing the intricacies of the underlying ground truth function. In this work, we propose FAR (Function Aligned Regression) as a arguably better and more efficient solution to fit the underlying function of ground truth by capturing functional derivatives. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method practically on 2 synthetic datasets and on 8 extensive real-world tasks from 6 benchmark datasets with other 8 competitive baselines. The code is open-sourced at \url{//github.com/DixianZhu/FAR}.

Reasoning is a fundamental aspect of human intelligence that plays a crucial role in activities such as problem solving, decision making, and critical thinking. In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have made significant progress in natural language processing, and there is observation that these models may exhibit reasoning abilities when they are sufficiently large. However, it is not yet clear to what extent LLMs are capable of reasoning. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of knowledge on reasoning in LLMs, including techniques for improving and eliciting reasoning in these models, methods and benchmarks for evaluating reasoning abilities, findings and implications of previous research in this field, and suggestions on future directions. Our aim is to provide a detailed and up-to-date review of this topic and stimulate meaningful discussion and future work.

With the breakthrough of AlphaGo, deep reinforcement learning becomes a recognized technique for solving sequential decision-making problems. Despite its reputation, data inefficiency caused by its trial and error learning mechanism makes deep reinforcement learning hard to be practical in a wide range of areas. Plenty of methods have been developed for sample efficient deep reinforcement learning, such as environment modeling, experience transfer, and distributed modifications, amongst which, distributed deep reinforcement learning has shown its potential in various applications, such as human-computer gaming, and intelligent transportation. In this paper, we conclude the state of this exciting field, by comparing the classical distributed deep reinforcement learning methods, and studying important components to achieve efficient distributed learning, covering single player single agent distributed deep reinforcement learning to the most complex multiple players multiple agents distributed deep reinforcement learning. Furthermore, we review recently released toolboxes that help to realize distributed deep reinforcement learning without many modifications of their non-distributed versions. By analyzing their strengths and weaknesses, a multi-player multi-agent distributed deep reinforcement learning toolbox is developed and released, which is further validated on Wargame, a complex environment, showing usability of the proposed toolbox for multiple players and multiple agents distributed deep reinforcement learning under complex games. Finally, we try to point out challenges and future trends, hoping this brief review can provide a guide or a spark for researchers who are interested in distributed deep reinforcement learning.

Following unprecedented success on the natural language tasks, Transformers have been successfully applied to several computer vision problems, achieving state-of-the-art results and prompting researchers to reconsider the supremacy of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) as {de facto} operators. Capitalizing on these advances in computer vision, the medical imaging field has also witnessed growing interest for Transformers that can capture global context compared to CNNs with local receptive fields. Inspired from this transition, in this survey, we attempt to provide a comprehensive review of the applications of Transformers in medical imaging covering various aspects, ranging from recently proposed architectural designs to unsolved issues. Specifically, we survey the use of Transformers in medical image segmentation, detection, classification, reconstruction, synthesis, registration, clinical report generation, and other tasks. In particular, for each of these applications, we develop taxonomy, identify application-specific challenges as well as provide insights to solve them, and highlight recent trends. Further, we provide a critical discussion of the field's current state as a whole, including the identification of key challenges, open problems, and outlining promising future directions. We hope this survey will ignite further interest in the community and provide researchers with an up-to-date reference regarding applications of Transformer models in medical imaging. Finally, to cope with the rapid development in this field, we intend to regularly update the relevant latest papers and their open-source implementations at \url{//github.com/fahadshamshad/awesome-transformers-in-medical-imaging}.

The goal of few-shot learning is to learn a classifier that generalizes well even when trained with a limited number of training instances per class. The recently introduced meta-learning approaches tackle this problem by learning a generic classifier across a large number of multiclass classification tasks and generalizing the model to a new task. Yet, even with such meta-learning, the low-data problem in the novel classification task still remains. In this paper, we propose Transductive Propagation Network (TPN), a novel meta-learning framework for transductive inference that classifies the entire test set at once to alleviate the low-data problem. Specifically, we propose to learn to propagate labels from labeled instances to unlabeled test instances, by learning a graph construction module that exploits the manifold structure in the data. TPN jointly learns both the parameters of feature embedding and the graph construction in an end-to-end manner. We validate TPN on multiple benchmark datasets, on which it largely outperforms existing few-shot learning approaches and achieves the state-of-the-art results.

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