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Generative models inspired by dynamical transport of measure -- such as flows and diffusions -- construct a continuous-time map between two probability densities. Conventionally, one of these is the target density, only accessible through samples, while the other is taken as a simple base density that is data-agnostic. In this work, using the framework of stochastic interpolants, we formalize how to \textit{couple} the base and the target densities. This enables us to incorporate information about class labels or continuous embeddings to construct dynamical transport maps that serve as conditional generative models. We show that these transport maps can be learned by solving a simple square loss regression problem analogous to the standard independent setting. We demonstrate the usefulness of constructing dependent couplings in practice through experiments in super-resolution and in-painting.

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn complicated nonlinear relationships from large datasets under limited parametric assumptions. By definition, the number of occurrences of extreme events is small, which limits the ability of the data-hungry, nonparametric neural network to describe rare events. Inspired by recent extreme cold winter weather events in North America caused by atmospheric blocking, we examine several probabilistic generative models for the entire multivariate probability distribution of daily boreal winter surface air temperature. We propose metrics to measure spatial asymmetries, such as long-range anticorrelated patterns that commonly appear in temperature fields during blocking events. Compared to vine copulas, the statistical standard for multivariate copula modeling, deep learning methods show improved ability to reproduce complicated asymmetries in the spatial distribution of ERA5 temperature reanalysis, including the spatial extent of in-sample extreme events.

We present a priori error estimates for a multirate time-stepping scheme for coupled differential equations. The discretization is based on Galerkin methods in time using two different time meshes for two parts of the problem. We aim at surface coupled multiphysics problems like two-phase flows. Special focus is on the handling of the interface coupling to guarantee a coercive formulation as key to optimal order error estimates. In a sequence of increasing complexity, we begin with the coupling of two ordinary differential equations, coupled heat conduction equation, and finally a coupled Stokes problem. For this we show optimal multi-rate estimates in velocity and a suboptimal result in pressure. The a priori estimates prove that the multirate method decouples the two subproblems exactly. This is the basis for adaptive methods which can choose optimal lattices for the respective subproblems.

Approximated forms of the RII and RIII redistribution matrices are frequently applied to simplify the numerical solution of the radiative transfer problem for polarized radiation, taking partial frequency redistribution (PRD) effects into account. A widely used approximation for RIII is to consider its expression under the assumption of complete frequency redistribution (CRD) in the observer frame (RIII CRD). The adequacy of this approximation for modeling the intensity profiles has been firmly established. By contrast, its suitability for modeling scattering polarization signals has only been analyzed in a few studies, considering simplified settings. In this work, we aim at quantitatively assessing the impact and the range of validity of the RIII CRD approximation in the modeling of scattering polarization. Methods. We first present an analytic comparison between RIII and RIII CRD. We then compare the results of radiative transfer calculations, out of local thermodynamic equilibrium, performed with RIII and RIII CRD in realistic 1D atmospheric models. We focus on the chromospheric Ca i line at 4227 A and on the photospheric Sr i line at 4607 A.

It has long been believed that the brain is highly modular both in terms of structure and function, although recent evidence has led some to question the extent of both types of modularity. We used artificial neural networks to test the hypothesis that structural modularity is sufficient to guarantee functional specialization, and find that in general, this doesn't necessarily hold except at extreme levels. We then systematically tested which features of the environment and network do lead to the emergence of specialization. We used a simple toy environment, task and network, allowing us precise control, and show that in this setup, several distinct measures of specialization give qualitatively similar results. We further find that (1) specialization can only emerge in environments where features of that environment are meaningfully separable, (2) specialization preferentially emerges when the network is strongly resource-constrained, and (3) these findings are qualitatively similar across different network architectures, but the quantitative relationships depends on the architecture type. Finally, we show that functional specialization varies dynamically across time, and demonstrate that these dynamics depend on both the timing and bandwidth of information flow in the network. We conclude that a static notion of specialization, based on structural modularity, is likely too simple a framework for understanding intelligence in situations of real-world complexity, from biology to brain-inspired neuromorphic systems. We propose that thoroughly stress testing candidate definitions of functional modularity in simplified scenarios before extending to more complex data, network models and electrophysiological recordings is likely to be a fruitful approach.

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this paper, we examine the consistency of GCV for estimating the prediction risk of arbitrary ensembles of penalized least squares estimators. We show that GCV is inconsistent for any finite ensemble of size greater than one. Towards repairing this shortcoming, we identify a correction that involves an additional scalar correction (in an additive sense) based on degrees of freedom adjusted training errors from each ensemble component. The proposed estimator (termed CGCV) maintains the computational advantages of GCV and requires neither sample splitting, model refitting, or out-of-bag risk estimation. The estimator stems from a finer inspection of ensemble risk decomposition and two intermediate risk estimators for the components in this decomposition. We provide a non-asymptotic analysis of the CGCV and the two intermediate risk estimators for ensembles of convex penalized estimators under Gaussian features and a linear response model. In the special case of ridge regression, we extend the analysis to general feature and response distributions using random matrix theory, which establishes model-free uniform consistency of CGCV.

The presence of faulty or underactuated manipulators can disrupt the end-effector formation keeping of a team of manipulators. Based on two-link planar manipulators, we investigate this end-effector formation keeping problem for mixed fully- and under-actuated manipulators with flexible joints. In this case, the underactuated manipulators can comprise of active-passive (AP) manipulators, passive-active (PA) manipulators, or a combination thereof. We propose distributed control laws for the different types of manipulators to achieve and maintain the desired formation shape of the end-effectors. It is achieved by assigning virtual springs to the end-effectors for the fully-actuated ones and to the virtual end-effectors for the under-actuated ones. We study further the set of all desired and reachable shapes for the networked manipulators' end-effectors. Finally, we validate our analysis via numerical simulations.

Simplicial complexes are a convenient semantic primitive to reason about processes (agents) communicating with each other in synchronous and asynchronous computation. Impure simplicial complexes distinguish active processes from crashed ones, in other words, agents that are alive from agents that are dead. In order to rule out that dead agents reason about themselves and about other agents, three-valued epistemic semantics have been proposed where, in addition to the usual values true and false, the third value stands for undefined: the knowledge of dead agents is undefined and so are the propositional variables describing their local state. Other semantics for impure complexes are two-valued where a dead agent knows everything. Different choices in designing a semantics produce different three-valued semantics, and also different two-valued semantics. In this work, we categorize the available choices by discounting the bad ones, identifying the equivalent ones, and connecting the non-equivalent ones via a translation. The main result of the paper is identifying the main relevant distinction to be the number of truth values and bridging this difference by means of a novel embedding from three- into two-valued semantics. This translation also enables us to highlight quite fundamental modeling differences underpinning various two- and three-valued approaches in this area of combinatorial topology. In particular, pure complexes can be defined as those invariant under the translation.

Meta-analysis aims to combine effect measures from several studies. For continuous outcomes, the most popular effect measures use simple or standardized differences in sample means. However, a number of applications focus on the absolute values of these effect measures (i.e., unsigned magnitude effects). We provide statistical methods for meta-analysis of magnitude effects based on standardized mean differences. We propose a suitable statistical model for random-effects meta-analysis of absolute standardized mean differences (ASMD), investigate a number of statistical methods for point and interval estimation, and provide practical recommendations for choosing among them.

The remarkable practical success of deep learning has revealed some major surprises from a theoretical perspective. In particular, simple gradient methods easily find near-optimal solutions to non-convex optimization problems, and despite giving a near-perfect fit to training data without any explicit effort to control model complexity, these methods exhibit excellent predictive accuracy. We conjecture that specific principles underlie these phenomena: that overparametrization allows gradient methods to find interpolating solutions, that these methods implicitly impose regularization, and that overparametrization leads to benign overfitting. We survey recent theoretical progress that provides examples illustrating these principles in simpler settings. We first review classical uniform convergence results and why they fall short of explaining aspects of the behavior of deep learning methods. We give examples of implicit regularization in simple settings, where gradient methods lead to minimal norm functions that perfectly fit the training data. Then we review prediction methods that exhibit benign overfitting, focusing on regression problems with quadratic loss. For these methods, we can decompose the prediction rule into a simple component that is useful for prediction and a spiky component that is useful for overfitting but, in a favorable setting, does not harm prediction accuracy. We focus specifically on the linear regime for neural networks, where the network can be approximated by a linear model. In this regime, we demonstrate the success of gradient flow, and we consider benign overfitting with two-layer networks, giving an exact asymptotic analysis that precisely demonstrates the impact of overparametrization. We conclude by highlighting the key challenges that arise in extending these insights to realistic deep learning settings.