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We consider a supervised learning setup in which the goal is to predicts an outcome from a sample of irregularly sampled time series using Neural Controlled Differential Equations (Kidger, Morrill, et al. 2020). In our framework, the time series is a discretization of an unobserved continuous path, and the outcome depends on this path through a controlled differential equation with unknown vector field. Learning with discrete data thus induces a discretization bias, which we precisely quantify. Using theoretical results on the continuity of the flow of controlled differential equations, we show that the approximation bias is directly related to the approximation error of a Lipschitz function defining the generative model by a shallow neural network. By combining these result with recent work linking the Lipschitz constant of neural networks to their generalization capacities, we upper bound the generalization gap between the expected loss attained by the empirical risk minimizer and the expected loss of the true predictor.

Compute-forward multiple access (CFMA) is a multiple access transmission scheme based on Compute-and-Forward (CF) which allows the receiver to first decode linear combinations of the transmitted signals and then solve for individual messages. This paper extends the CFMA scheme to a two-user Gaussian multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) multiple access channel (MAC). We first derive the expression of the achievable rate pair for MIMO MAC with CFMA. We prove a general condition under which CFMA can achieve the sum capacity of the channel. Furthermore, this result is specialized to SIMO and 2-by-2 diagonal MIMO multiple access channels, for which more explicit sum capacity-achieving conditions on power and channel matrices are derived. Numerical results are also provided for the performance of CFMA on general MIMO multiple access channels.

This paper delves into stochastic optimization problems that involve Markovian noise. We present a unified approach for the theoretical analysis of first-order gradient methods for stochastic optimization and variational inequalities. Our approach covers scenarios for both non-convex and strongly convex minimization problems. To achieve an optimal (linear) dependence on the mixing time of the underlying noise sequence, we use the randomized batching scheme, which is based on the multilevel Monte Carlo method. Moreover, our technique allows us to eliminate the limiting assumptions of previous research on Markov noise, such as the need for a bounded domain and uniformly bounded stochastic gradients. Our extension to variational inequalities under Markovian noise is original. Additionally, we provide lower bounds that match the oracle complexity of our method in the case of strongly convex optimization problems.

We study the problem of decentralized power allocation in a multi-access channel (MAC) with non-cooperative users, additive noise of arbitrary distribution and a generalized power constraint, i.e., the transmit power constraint is modeled by an upper bound on $\mathbb{E}[\phi(|S|)]$, where $S$ is the transmit signal and $\phi(.)$ is some non-negative, increasing and bounded function. The generalized power constraint captures the notion of power for different wireless signals such as RF, optical, acoustic, etc. We derive the optimal power allocation policy when there a large number of non-cooperative users in the MAC. Further, we show that, once the number of users in the MAC crosses a finite threshold, the proposed power allocation policy of all users is optimal and remains invariant irrespective of the actual number of users. We derive the above results under the condition that the entropy power of the MAC, $e^{2h(S)+c}$, is strictly convex, where $h(S)$ is the maximum achievable entropy of the transmit signal and $c$ is a finite constant corresponding to the entropy of the additive noise.

Ensembling is among the most popular tools in machine learning (ML) due to its effectiveness in minimizing variance and thus improving generalization. Most ensembling methods for black-box base learners fall under the umbrella of "stacked generalization," namely training an ML algorithm that takes the inferences from the base learners as input. While stacking has been widely applied in practice, its theoretical properties are poorly understood. In this paper, we prove a novel result, showing that choosing the best stacked generalization from a (finite or finite-dimensional) family of stacked generalizations based on cross-validated performance does not perform "much worse" than the oracle best. Our result strengthens and significantly extends the results in Van der Laan et al. (2007). Inspired by the theoretical analysis, we further propose a particular family of stacked generalizations in the context of probabilistic forecasting, each one with a different sensitivity for how much the ensemble weights are allowed to vary across items, timestamps in the forecast horizon, and quantiles. Experimental results demonstrate the performance gain of the proposed method.

PCA-Net is a recently proposed neural operator architecture which combines principal component analysis (PCA) with neural networks to approximate operators between infinite-dimensional function spaces. The present work develops approximation theory for this approach, improving and significantly extending previous work in this direction: First, a novel universal approximation result is derived, under minimal assumptions on the underlying operator and the data-generating distribution. Then, two potential obstacles to efficient operator learning with PCA-Net are identified, and made precise through lower complexity bounds; the first relates to the complexity of the output distribution, measured by a slow decay of the PCA eigenvalues. The other obstacle relates to the inherent complexity of the space of operators between infinite-dimensional input and output spaces, resulting in a rigorous and quantifiable statement of the curse of dimensionality. In addition to these lower bounds, upper complexity bounds are derived. A suitable smoothness criterion is shown to ensure an algebraic decay of the PCA eigenvalues. Furthermore, it is shown that PCA-Net can overcome the general curse of dimensionality for specific operators of interest, arising from the Darcy flow and the Navier-Stokes equations.

In this paper, we study an optimal online resource reservation problem in a simple communication network. The network is composed of two compute nodes linked by a local communication link. The system operates in discrete time; at each time slot, the administrator reserves resources for servers before the actual job requests are known. A cost is incurred for the reservations made. Then, after the client requests are observed, jobs may be transferred from one server to the other to best accommodate the demands by incurring an additional transport cost. If certain job requests cannot be satisfied, there is a violation that engenders a cost to pay for each of the blocked jobs. The goal is to minimize the overall reservation cost over finite horizons while maintaining the cumulative violation and transport costs under a certain budget limit. To study this problem, we first formalize it as a repeated game against nature where the reservations are drawn randomly according to a sequence of probability distributions that are derived from an online optimization problem over the space of allowable reservations. We then propose an online saddle-point algorithm for which we present an upper bound for the associated K-benchmark regret together with an upper bound for the cumulative constraint violations. Finally, we present numerical experiments where we compare the performance of our algorithm with those of simple deterministic resource allocation policies.

Time-sensitive networks require timely and accurate monitoring of the status of the network. To achieve this, many devices send packets periodically, which are then aggregated and forwarded to the controller. Bounding the aggregate burstiness of the traffic is then crucial for effective resource management. In this paper, we are interested in bounding this aggregate burstiness for independent and periodic flows. A deterministic bound is tight only when flows are perfectly synchronized, which is highly unlikely in practice and would be overly pessimistic. We compute the probability that the aggregate burstiness exceeds some value. When all flows have the same period and packet size, we obtain a closed-form bound using the Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz inequality. In the heterogeneous case, we group flows and combine the bounds obtained for each group using the convolution bound. Our bounds are numerically close to simulations and thus fairly tight. The resulting aggregate burstiness estimated for a non-zero violation probability is considerably smaller than the deterministic one: it grows in $\sqrt{n\log{n}}$, instead of $n$, where $n$ is the number of flows.

The recently introduced maximum-likelihood (ML) decoding scheme called guessing random additive noise decoding (GRAND) has demonstrated a remarkably low time complexity in high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes. However, the complexity is not as low at low SNR regimes and low code rates. To mitigate this concern, we propose a scheme for a near-ML variant of GRAND called ordered reliability bits GRAND (or ORBGRAND), which divides codewords into segments based on the properties of the underlying code, generates sub-patterns for each segment consistent with the syndrome (thus reducing the number of inconsistent error patterns generated), and combines them in a near-ML order using two-level integer partitions of logistic weight. The numerical evaluation demonstrates that the proposed scheme, called segmented ORBGRAND, significantly reduces the average number of queries at any SNR regime. Moreover, the segmented ORBGRAND with abandonment also improves the error correction performance.

We consider point-to-point communication over $q$-ary adversarial channels with partial noiseless feedback. In this setting, a sender Alice transmits $n$ symbols from a $q$-ary alphabet over a noisy forward channel to a receiver Bob, while Bob sends feedback to Alice over a noiseless reverse channel. In the forward channel, an adversary can inject both symbol errors and erasures up to an error fraction $p \in [0,1]$ and erasure fraction $r \in [0,1]$, respectively. In the reverse channel, Bob's feedback is partial such that he can send at most $B(n) \geq 0$ bits during the communication session. As a case study on minimal partial feedback, we initiate the study of the $O(1)$-bit feedback setting in which $B$ is $O(1)$ in $n$. As our main result, we provide a tight characterization of zero-error capacity under $O(1)$-bit feedback for all $q \geq 2$, $p \in [0,1]$ and $r \in [0,1]$, which we prove this result via novel achievability and converse schemes inspired by recent studies of causal adversarial channels without feedback. Perhaps surprisingly, we show that $O(1)$-bits of feedback are sufficient to achieve the zero-error capacity of the $q$-ary adversarial error channel with full feedback when the error fraction $p$ is sufficiently small.