Mixture models are often used to identify meaningful subpopulations (i.e., clusters) in observed data such that the subpopulations have a real-world interpretation (e.g., as cell types). However, when used for subpopulation discovery, mixture model inference is usually ill-defined a priori because the assumed observation model is only an approximation to the true data-generating process. Thus, as the number of observations increases, rather than obtaining better inferences, the opposite occurs: the data is explained by adding spurious subpopulations that compensate for the shortcomings of the observation model. However, there are two important sources of prior knowledge that we can exploit to obtain well-defined results no matter the dataset size: known causal structure (e.g., knowing that the latent subpopulations cause the observed signal but not vice-versa) and a rough sense of how wrong the observation model is (e.g., based on small amounts of expert-labeled data or some understanding of the data-generating process). We propose a new model selection criteria that, while model-based, uses this available knowledge to obtain mixture model inferences that are robust to misspecification of the observation model. We provide theoretical support for our approach by proving a first-of-its-kind consistency result under intuitive assumptions. Simulation studies and an application to flow cytometry data demonstrate our model selection criteria consistently finds the correct number of subpopulations.
相關內容
ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
官網鏈接： ·
參考模型
·
優化器
·
Learning
·
Continuity
·
The complexity of the alignment problem stems from the fact that existing methods are unstable. Researchers continuously invent various tricks to address this shortcoming. For instance, in the fundamental Reinforcement Learning From Human Feedback (RLHF) technique of Language Model alignment, in addition to reward maximization, the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the trainable policy and the SFT policy is minimized. This addition prevents the model from being overfitted to the Reward Model (RM) and generating texts that are out-of-domain for the RM. The Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) method reformulates the optimization task of RLHF and eliminates the Reward Model while tacitly maintaining the requirement for the policy to be close to the SFT policy. In our paper, we argue that this implicit limitation in the DPO method leads to sub-optimal results. We propose a new method called Trust Region DPO (TR-DPO), which updates the reference policy during training. With such a straightforward update, we demonstrate the effectiveness of TR-DPO against DPO on the Anthropic HH and TLDR datasets. We show that TR-DPO outperforms DPO by up to 19%, measured by automatic evaluation with GPT-4. The new alignment approach that we propose allows us to improve the quality of models across several parameters at once, such as coherence, correctness, level of detail, helpfulness, and harmlessness.
Deep quantization methods have shown high efficiency on large-scale image retrieval. However, current models heavily rely on ground-truth information, hindering the application of quantization in label-hungry scenarios. A more realistic demand is to learn from inexhaustible uploaded images that are associated with informal tags provided by amateur users. Though such sketchy tags do not obviously reveal the labels, they actually contain useful semantic information for supervising deep quantization. To this end, we propose Weakly-Supervised Deep Hyperspherical Quantization (WSDHQ), which is the first work to learn deep quantization from weakly tagged images. Specifically, 1) we use word embeddings to represent the tags and enhance their semantic information based on a tag correlation graph. 2) To better preserve semantic information in quantization codes and reduce quantization error, we jointly learn semantics-preserving embeddings and supervised quantizer on hypersphere by employing a well-designed fusion layer and tailor-made loss functions. Extensive experiments show that WSDHQ can achieve state-of-art performance on weakly-supervised compact coding. Code is available at //github.com/gimpong/AAAI21-WSDHQ.
We study a multivariate version of trend filtering, called Kronecker trend filtering or KTF, for the case in which the design points form a lattice in $d$ dimensions. KTF is a natural extension of univariate trend filtering (Steidl et al., 2006; Kim et al., 2009; Tibshirani, 2014), and is defined by minimizing a penalized least squares problem whose penalty term sums the absolute (higher-order) differences of the parameter to be estimated along each of the coordinate directions. The corresponding penalty operator can be written in terms of Kronecker products of univariate trend filtering penalty operators, hence the name Kronecker trend filtering. Equivalently, one can view KTF in terms of an $\ell_1$-penalized basis regression problem where the basis functions are tensor products of falling factorial functions, a piecewise polynomial (discrete spline) basis that underlies univariate trend filtering. This paper is a unification and extension of the results in Sadhanala et al. (2016, 2017). We develop a complete set of theoretical results that describe the behavior of $k^{\mathrm{th}}$ order Kronecker trend filtering in $d$ dimensions, for every $k \geq 0$ and $d \geq 1$. This reveals a number of interesting phenomena, including the dominance of KTF over linear smoothers in estimating heterogeneously smooth functions, and a phase transition at $d=2(k+1)$, a boundary past which (on the high dimension-to-smoothness side) linear smoothers fail to be consistent entirely. We also leverage recent results on discrete splines from Tibshirani (2020), in particular, discrete spline interpolation results that enable us to extend the KTF estimate to any off-lattice location in constant-time (independent of the size of the lattice $n$).
Diffusion Probabilistic Models stand as a critical tool in generative modelling, enabling the generation of complex data distributions. This family of generative models yields record-breaking performance in tasks such as image synthesis, video generation, and molecule design. Despite their capabilities, their efficiency, especially in the reverse process, remains a challenge due to slow convergence rates and high computational costs. In this paper, we introduce an approach that leverages continuous dynamical systems to design a novel denoising network for diffusion models that is more parameter-efficient, exhibits faster convergence, and demonstrates increased noise robustness. Experimenting with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs), our framework operates with approximately a quarter of the parameters, and $\sim$ 30\% of the Floating Point Operations (FLOPs) compared to standard U-Nets in DDPMs. Furthermore, our model is notably faster in inference than the baseline when measured in fair and equal conditions. We also provide a mathematical intuition as to why our proposed reverse process is faster as well as a mathematical discussion of the empirical tradeoffs in the denoising downstream task. Finally, we argue that our method is compatible with existing performance enhancement techniques, enabling further improvements in efficiency, quality, and speed.
While advances continue to be made in model-based clustering, challenges persist in modeling various data types such as panel data. Multivariate panel data present difficulties for clustering algorithms due to the unique correlation structure, a consequence of taking observations on several subjects over multiple time points. Additionally, panel data are often plagued by missing data and dropouts, presenting issues for estimation algorithms. This research presents a family of hidden Markov models that compensate for the unique correlation structures that arise in panel data. A modified expectation-maximization algorithm capable of handling missing not at random data and dropout is presented and used to perform model estimation.
Flexible modeling of the entire distribution as a function of covariates is an important generalization of mean-based regression that has seen growing interest over the past decades in both the statistics and machine learning literature. This review outlines selected state-of-the-art statistical approaches to distributional regression, complemented with alternatives from machine learning. Topics covered include the similarities and differences between these approaches, extensions, properties and limitations, estimation procedures, and the availability of software. In view of the increasing complexity and availability of large-scale data, this review also discusses the scalability of traditional estimation methods, current trends, and open challenges. Illustrations are provided using data on childhood malnutrition in Nigeria and Australian electricity prices.
Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a fully adaptive greedy approach to the computational design of experiments problem using gradient-enhanced Gaussian process regression as surrogates. Designs are incrementally defined by solving an optimization problem for accuracy given a certain computational budget. We address not only the choice of evaluation points but also of required simulation accuracy, both of values and gradients of the forward model. Numerical results show a significant reduction of the computational effort compared to just position-adaptive and static designs as well as a clear benefit of including gradient information into the surrogate training.
Causality can be described in terms of a structural causal model (SCM) that carries information on the variables of interest and their mechanistic relations. For most processes of interest the underlying SCM will only be partially observable, thus causal inference tries to leverage any exposed information. Graph neural networks (GNN) as universal approximators on structured input pose a viable candidate for causal learning, suggesting a tighter integration with SCM. To this effect we present a theoretical analysis from first principles that establishes a novel connection between GNN and SCM while providing an extended view on general neural-causal models. We then establish a new model class for GNN-based causal inference that is necessary and sufficient for causal effect identification. Our empirical illustration on simulations and standard benchmarks validate our theoretical proofs.
Recent advances in maximizing mutual information (MI) between the source and target have demonstrated its effectiveness in text generation. However, previous works paid little attention to modeling the backward network of MI (i.e., dependency from the target to the source), which is crucial to the tightness of the variational information maximization lower bound. In this paper, we propose Adversarial Mutual Information (AMI): a text generation framework which is formed as a novel saddle point (min-max) optimization aiming to identify joint interactions between the source and target. Within this framework, the forward and backward networks are able to iteratively promote or demote each other's generated instances by comparing the real and synthetic data distributions. We also develop a latent noise sampling strategy that leverages random variations at the high-level semantic space to enhance the long term dependency in the generation process. Extensive experiments based on different text generation tasks demonstrate that the proposed AMI framework can significantly outperform several strong baselines, and we also show that AMI has potential to lead to a tighter lower bound of maximum mutual information for the variational information maximization problem.
Graph neural networks (GNNs) are a popular class of machine learning models whose major advantage is their ability to incorporate a sparse and discrete dependency structure between data points. Unfortunately, GNNs can only be used when such a graph-structure is available. In practice, however, real-world graphs are often noisy and incomplete or might not be available at all. With this work, we propose to jointly learn the graph structure and the parameters of graph convolutional networks (GCNs) by approximately solving a bilevel program that learns a discrete probability distribution on the edges of the graph. This allows one to apply GCNs not only in scenarios where the given graph is incomplete or corrupted but also in those where a graph is not available. We conduct a series of experiments that analyze the behavior of the proposed method and demonstrate that it outperforms related methods by a significant margin.
小貼士
登錄享
相關主題
注冊地址： 北京市海淀區羊坊店路18號2幢3層301-191