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We introduce a 2-dimensional stochastic dominance (2DSD) index to characterize both strict and almost stochastic dominance. Based on this index, we derive an estimator for the minimum violation ratio (MVR), also known as the critical parameter, of the almost stochastic ordering condition between two variables. We determine the asymptotic properties of the empirical 2DSD index and MVR for the most frequently used stochastic orders. We also provide conditions under which the bootstrap estimators of these quantities are strongly consistent. As an application, we develop consistent bootstrap testing procedures for almost stochastic dominance. The performance of the tests is checked via simulations and the analysis of real data.

Decision making and learning in the presence of uncertainty has attracted significant attention in view of the increasing need to achieve robust and reliable operations. In the case where uncertainty stems from the presence of adversarial attacks this need is becoming more prominent. In this paper we focus on linear and nonlinear classification problems and propose a novel adversarial training method for robust classifiers, inspired by Support Vector Machine (SVM) margins. We view robustness under a data driven lens, and derive finite sample complexity bounds for both linear and non-linear classifiers in binary and multi-class scenarios. Notably, our bounds match natural classifiers' complexity. Our algorithm minimizes a worst-case surrogate loss using Linear Programming (LP) and Second Order Cone Programming (SOCP) for linear and non-linear models. Numerical experiments on the benchmark MNIST and CIFAR10 datasets show our approach's comparable performance to state-of-the-art methods, without needing adversarial examples during training. Our work offers a comprehensive framework for enhancing binary linear and non-linear classifier robustness, embedding robustness in learning under the presence of adversaries.

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing methods predict oncoming catastrophes in individual systems but are primarily time-series-based and struggle both to categorize qualitative dynamical regimes across diverse systems and to generalize to real data. To address this challenge, we propose a data-driven, physically-informed deep-learning framework for classifying dynamical regimes and characterizing bifurcation boundaries based on the extraction of topologically invariant features. We focus on the paradigmatic case of the supercritical Hopf bifurcation, which is used to model periodic dynamics across a wide range of applications. Our convolutional attention method is trained with data augmentations that encourage the learning of topological invariants which can be used to detect bifurcation boundaries in unseen systems and to design models of biological systems like oscillatory gene regulatory networks. We further demonstrate our method's use in analyzing real data by recovering distinct proliferation and differentiation dynamics along pancreatic endocrinogenesis trajectory in gene expression space based on single-cell data. Our method provides valuable insights into the qualitative, long-term behavior of a wide range of dynamical systems, and can detect bifurcations or catastrophic transitions in large-scale physical and biological systems.

The Linear Model of Co-regionalization (LMC) is a very general model of multitask gaussian process for regression or classification. While its expressivity and conceptual simplicity are appealing, naive implementations have cubic complexity in the number of datapoints and number of tasks, making approximations mandatory for most applications. However, recent work has shown that under some conditions the latent processes of the model can be decoupled, leading to a complexity that is only linear in the number of said processes. We here extend these results, showing from the most general assumptions that the only condition necessary to an efficient exact computation of the LMC is a mild hypothesis on the noise model. We introduce a full parametrization of the resulting \emph{projected LMC} model, and an expression of the marginal likelihood enabling efficient optimization. We perform a parametric study on synthetic data to show the excellent performance of our approach, compared to an unrestricted exact LMC and approximations of the latter. Overall, the projected LMC appears as a credible and simpler alternative to state-of-the art models, which greatly facilitates some computations such as leave-one-out cross-validation and fantasization.

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) represent one of the most widely used neural network architectures, showcasing state-of-the-art performance in computer vision tasks. Although larger CNNs generally exhibit higher accuracy, their size can be effectively reduced by "tensorization" while maintaining accuracy. Tensorization consists of replacing the convolution kernels with compact decompositions such as Tucker, Canonical Polyadic decompositions, or quantum-inspired decompositions such as matrix product states, and directly training the factors in the decompositions to bias the learning towards low-rank decompositions. But why doesn't tensorization seem to impact the accuracy adversely? We explore this by assessing how truncating the convolution kernels of dense (untensorized) CNNs impact their accuracy. Specifically, we truncated the kernels of (i) a vanilla four-layer CNN and (ii) ResNet-50 pre-trained for image classification on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets. We found that kernels (especially those inside deeper layers) could often be truncated along several cuts resulting in significant loss in kernel norm but not in classification accuracy. This suggests that such ``correlation compression'' (underlying tensorization) is an intrinsic feature of how information is encoded in dense CNNs. We also found that aggressively truncated models could often recover the pre-truncation accuracy after only a few epochs of re-training, suggesting that compressing the internal correlations of convolution layers does not often transport the model to a worse minimum. Our results can be applied to tensorize and compress CNN models more effectively.

Bayesian approaches for training deep neural networks (BNNs) have received significant interest and have been effectively utilized in a wide range of applications. There have been several studies on the properties of posterior concentrations of BNNs. However, most of these studies only demonstrate results in BNN models with sparse or heavy-tailed priors. Surprisingly, no theoretical results currently exist for BNNs using Gaussian priors, which are the most commonly used one. The lack of theory arises from the absence of approximation results of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) that are non-sparse and have bounded parameters. In this paper, we present a new approximation theory for non-sparse DNNs with bounded parameters. Additionally, based on the approximation theory, we show that BNNs with non-sparse general priors can achieve near-minimax optimal posterior concentration rates to the true model.

In many communication contexts, the capabilities of the involved actors cannot be known beforehand, whether it is a cell, a plant, an insect, or even a life form unknown to Earth. Regardless of the recipient, the message space and time scale could be too fast, too slow, too large, or too small and may never be decoded. Therefore, it pays to devise a way to encode messages agnostic of space and time scales. We propose the use of fractal functions as self-executable infinite-frequency carriers for sending messages, given their properties of structural self-similarity and scale invariance. We call it `fractal messaging'. Starting from a spatial embedding, we introduce a framework for a space-time scale-free messaging approach to this challenge. When considering a space and time-agnostic framework for message transmission, it would be interesting to encode a message such that it could be decoded at several spatio-temporal scales. Hence, the core idea of the framework proposed herein is to encode a binary message as waves along infinitely many frequencies (in power-like distributions) and amplitudes, transmit such a message, and then decode and reproduce it. To do so, the components of the Weierstrass function, a known fractal, are used as carriers of the message. Each component will have its amplitude modulated to embed the binary stream, allowing for a space-time-agnostic approach to messaging.

In this paper we study predictive mean matching mass imputation estimators to integrate data from probability and non-probability samples. We consider two approaches: matching predicted to observed ($\hat{y}-y$ matching) or predicted to predicted ($\hat{y}-\hat{y}$ matching) values. We prove the consistency of two semi-parametric mass imputation estimators based on these approaches and derive their variance and estimators of variance. Our approach can be employed with non-parametric regression techniques, such as kernel regression, and the analytical expression for variance can also be applied in nearest neighbour matching for non-probability samples. We conduct extensive simulation studies in order to compare the properties of this estimator with existing approaches, discuss the selection of $k$-nearest neighbours, and study the effects of model mis-specification. The paper finishes with empirical study in integration of job vacancy survey and vacancies submitted to public employment offices (admin and online data). Open source software is available for the proposed approaches.

We propose a material design method via gradient-based optimization on compositions, overcoming the limitations of traditional methods: exhaustive database searches and conditional generation models. It optimizes inputs via backpropagation, aligning the model's output closely with the target property and facilitating the discovery of unlisted materials and precise property determination. Our method is also capable of adaptive optimization under new conditions without retraining. Applying to exploring high-Tc superconductors, we identified potential compositions beyond existing databases and discovered new hydrogen superconductors via conditional optimization. This method is versatile and significantly advances material design by enabling efficient, extensive searches and adaptability to new constraints.

Although there are obstacles related to obtaining data, ensuring model precision, and upholding ethical standards, the advantages of utilizing machine learning to generate predictive models for unemployment rates in developing nations amid the implementation of Industry 4.0 (I4.0) are noteworthy. This research delves into the concept of utilizing machine learning techniques through a predictive conceptual model to understand and address factors that contribute to unemployment rates in developing nations during the implementation of I4.0. A thorough examination of the literature was carried out through a literature review to determine the economic and social factors that have an impact on the unemployment rates in developing nations. The examination of the literature uncovered that considerable influence on unemployment rates in developing nations is attributed to elements such as economic growth, inflation, population increase, education levels, and technological progress. A predictive conceptual model was developed that indicates factors that contribute to unemployment in developing nations can be addressed by using techniques of machine learning like regression analysis and neural networks when adopting I4.0. The study's findings demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed predictive conceptual model in accurately understanding and addressing unemployment rate factors within developing nations when deploying I4.0. The model serves a dual purpose of predicting future unemployment rates and tracking the advancement of reducing unemployment rates in emerging economies. By persistently conducting research and improvements, decision-makers and enterprises can employ these patterns to arrive at more knowledgeable judgments that can advance the growth of the economy, generation of employment, and alleviation of poverty specifically in emerging nations.