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Unraveling the causal relationships among the execution of process activities is a crucial element in predicting the consequences of process interventions and making informed decisions regarding process improvements. Process discovery algorithms exploit time precedence as their main source of model derivation. Hence, a causal view can supplement process discovery, being a new perspective in which relations reflect genuine cause-effect dependencies among the tasks. This calls for faithful new techniques to discover the causal execution dependencies among the tasks in the process. To this end, our work offers a systematic approach to the unveiling of the causal business process by leveraging an existing causal discovery algorithm over activity timing. In addition, this work delves into a set of conditions under which process mining discovery algorithms generate a model that is incongruent with the causal business process model, and shows how the latter model can be methodologically employed for a sound analysis of the process. Our methodology searches for such discrepancies between the two models in the context of three causal patterns, and derives a new view in which these inconsistencies are annotated over the mined process model. We demonstrate our methodology employing two open process mining algorithms, the IBM Process Mining tool, and the LiNGAM causal discovery technique. We apply it on a synthesized dataset and on two open benchmark data sets.

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered in state-of-the-art nonparametric methods: the use of inverses of small estimated probabilities and the resulting amplification of estimation error. We validate our theoretical results in experiments on synthetic and semi-synthetic data.

In many empirical settings, directly observing a treatment variable may be infeasible although an error-prone surrogate measurement of the latter will often be available. Causal inference based solely on the observed surrogate measurement of the hidden treatment may be particularly challenging without an additional assumption or auxiliary data. To address this issue, we propose a method that carefully incorporates the surrogate measurement together with a proxy of the hidden treatment to identify its causal effect on any scale for which identification would in principle be feasible had contrary to fact the treatment been observed error-free. Beyond identification, we provide general semiparametric theory for causal effects identified using our approach, and we derive a large class of semiparametric estimators with an appealing multiple robustness property. A significant obstacle to our approach is the estimation of nuisance functions involving the hidden treatment, which prevents the direct application of standard machine learning algorithms. To resolve this, we introduce a novel semiparametric EM algorithm, thus adding a practical dimension to our theoretical contributions. This methodology can be adapted to analyze a large class of causal parameters in the proposed hidden treatment model, including the population average treatment effect, the effect of treatment on the treated, quantile treatment effects, and causal effects under marginal structural models. We examine the finite-sample performance of our method using simulations and an application which aims to estimate the causal effect of Alzheimer's disease on hippocampal volume using data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative.

We consider a general proportional odds model for survival data under binary treatment, where the functional form of the covariates is left unspecified. We derive the efficient score for the conditional survival odds ratio given the covariates using modern semiparametric theory. The efficient score may be useful in the development of doubly robust estimators, although computational challenges remain.

Existing statistical methods in causal inference often rely on the assumption that every individual has some chance of receiving any treatment level regardless of its associated covariates, which is known as the positivity condition. This assumption could be violated in observational studies with continuous treatments. In this paper, we present a novel integral estimator of the causal effects with continuous treatments (i.e., dose-response curves) without requiring the positivity condition. Our approach involves estimating the derivative function of the treatment effect on each observed data sample and integrating it to the treatment level of interest so as to address the bias resulting from the lack of positivity condition. The validity of our approach relies on an alternative weaker assumption that can be satisfied by additive confounding models. We provide a fast and reliable numerical recipe for computing our estimator in practice and derive its related asymptotic theory. To conduct valid inference on the dose-response curve and its derivative, we propose using the nonparametric bootstrap and establish its consistency. The practical performances of our proposed estimators are validated through simulation studies and an analysis of the effect of air pollution exposure (PM$_{2.5}$) on cardiovascular mortality rates.

Conversation requires a substantial amount of coordination between dialogue participants, from managing turn taking to negotiating mutual understanding. Part of this coordination effort surfaces as the reuse of linguistic behaviour across speakers, a process often referred to as alignment. While the presence of linguistic alignment is well documented in the literature, several questions remain open, including the extent to which patterns of reuse across speakers have an impact on the emergence of labelling conventions for novel referents. In this study, we put forward a methodology for automatically detecting shared lemmatised constructions -- expressions with a common lexical core used by both speakers within a dialogue -- and apply it to a referential communication corpus where participants aim to identify novel objects for which no established labels exist. Our analyses uncover the usage patterns of shared constructions in interaction and reveal that features such as their frequency and the amount of different constructions used for a referent are associated with the degree of object labelling convergence the participants exhibit after social interaction. More generally, the present study shows that automatically detected shared constructions offer a useful level of analysis to investigate the dynamics of reference negotiation in dialogue.

Recent advances in knowledge graph embedding (KGE) rely on Euclidean/hyperbolic orthogonal relation transformations to model intrinsic logical patterns and topological structures. However, existing approaches are confined to rigid relational orthogonalization with restricted dimension and homogeneous geometry, leading to deficient modeling capability. In this work, we move beyond these approaches in terms of both dimension and geometry by introducing a powerful framework named GoldE, which features a universal orthogonal parameterization based on a generalized form of Householder reflection. Such parameterization can naturally achieve dimensional extension and geometric unification with theoretical guarantees, enabling our framework to simultaneously capture crucial logical patterns and inherent topological heterogeneity of knowledge graphs. Empirically, GoldE achieves state-of-the-art performance on three standard benchmarks. Codes are available at //github.com/xxrep/GoldE.

Since the introduction of the Kolmogorov complexity of binary sequences in the 1960s, there have been significant advancements in the topic of complexity measures for randomness assessment, which are of fundamental importance in theoretical computer science and of practical interest in cryptography. This survey reviews notable research from the past four decades on the linear, quadratic and maximum-order complexities of pseudo-random sequences and their relations with Lempel-Ziv complexity, expansion complexity, 2-adic complexity, and correlation measures.

Emotion recognition in conversation (ERC) aims to detect the emotion label for each utterance. Motivated by recent studies which have proven that feeding training examples in a meaningful order rather than considering them randomly can boost the performance of models, we propose an ERC-oriented hybrid curriculum learning framework. Our framework consists of two curricula: (1) conversation-level curriculum (CC); and (2) utterance-level curriculum (UC). In CC, we construct a difficulty measurer based on "emotion shift" frequency within a conversation, then the conversations are scheduled in an "easy to hard" schema according to the difficulty score returned by the difficulty measurer. For UC, it is implemented from an emotion-similarity perspective, which progressively strengthens the model's ability in identifying the confusing emotions. With the proposed model-agnostic hybrid curriculum learning strategy, we observe significant performance boosts over a wide range of existing ERC models and we are able to achieve new state-of-the-art results on four public ERC datasets.

Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis, thereby allowing manual manipulation in predicting the final answer.