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Consider the following social choice problem. Suppose we have a set of $n$ voters and $m$ candidates that lie in a metric space. The goal is to design a mechanism to choose a candidate whose average distance to the voters is as small as possible. However, the mechanism does not get direct access to the metric space. Instead, it gets each voter's ordinal ranking of the candidates by distance. Given only this partial information, what is the smallest worst-case approximation ratio (known as the distortion) that a mechanism can guarantee? A simple example shows that no deterministic mechanism can guarantee distortion better than $3$, and no randomized mechanism can guarantee distortion better than $2$. It has been conjectured that both of these lower bounds are optimal, and recently, Gkatzelis, Halpern, and Shah proved this conjecture for deterministic mechanisms. We disprove the conjecture for randomized mechanisms for $m \geq 3$ by constructing elections for which no randomized mechanism can guarantee distortion better than $2.0261$ for $m = 3$, $2.0496$ for $m = 4$, up to $2.1126$ as $m \to \infty$. We obtain our lower bounds by identifying a class of simple metrics that appear to capture much of the hardness of the problem, and we show that any randomized mechanism must have high distortion on one of these metrics. We provide a nearly matching upper bound for this restricted class of metrics as well. Finally, we conjecture that these bounds give the optimal distortion for every $m$, and provide a proof for $m = 3$, thereby resolving that case.

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In the theory of linear switching systems with discrete time, as in other areas of mathematics, the problem of studying the growth rate of the norms of all possible matrix products $A_{\sigma_{n}}\cdots A_{\sigma_{0}}$ with factors from a set of matrices $\mathscr{A}$ arises. So far, only for a relatively small number of classes of matrices $\mathscr{A}$ has it been possible to accurately describe the sequences of matrices that guarantee the maximum rate of increase of the corresponding norms. Moreover, in almost all cases studied theoretically, the index sequences $\{\sigma_{n}\}$ of matrices maximizing the norms of the corresponding matrix products have been shown to be periodic or so-called Sturmian, which entails a whole set of "good" properties of the sequences $\{A_{\sigma_{n}}\}$, in particular the existence of a limiting frequency of occurrence of each matrix factor $A_{i}\in\mathscr{A}$ in them. In the paper it is shown that this is not always the case: a class of matrices is defined consisting of two $2\times 2$ matrices, similar to rotations in the plane, in which the sequence $\{A_{\sigma_{n}}\}$ maximizing the growth rate of the norms $\|A_{\sigma_{n}}\cdots A_{\sigma_{0}}\|$ is not Sturmian. All considerations are based on numerical modeling and cannot be considered mathematically rigorous in this part; rather, they should be interpreted as a set of questions for further comprehensive theoretical analysis.

The maximum traveling salesman problem (Max~TSP) consists of finding a Hamiltonian cycle with the maximum total weight of the edges in a given complete weighted graph. We prove that, in the case when the edge weights are induced by a metric space of bounded doubling dimension, asymptotically optimal solutions of the problem can be found by the simple greedy patching heuristic. Taking as a start point a maximum-weight cycle cover, this heuristic iteratively patches pairs of its cycles into one minimizing the weight loss at each step.

We examine a family of discrete probability distributions that describes the "spillage number" in the extended balls-in-bins model. The spillage number is defined as the number of balls that occupy their bins minus the total number of occupied bins. This probability distribution can be characterised as a normed version of the expansion of the noncentral Stirling numbers of the second kind in terms of the central Stirling numbers of the second kind. Alternatively it can be derived in a natural way from the extended balls-in-bins model. We derive the generating functions for this distribution and important moments of the distribution. We also derive an algorithm for recursive computation of the mass values for the distribution. Finally, we examine the asymptotic behaviour of the spillage distribution and the performance of an approximation to the distribution.

In this study we propose a hybrid estimation of distribution algorithm (HEDA) to solve the joint stratification and sample allocation problem. This is a complex problem in which each the quality of each stratification from the set of all possible stratifications is measured its optimal sample allocation. EDAs are stochastic black-box optimization algorithms which can be used to estimate, build and sample probability models in the search for an optimal stratification. In this paper we enhance the exploitation properties of the EDA by adding a simulated annealing algorithm to make it a hybrid EDA. Results of empirical comparisons for atomic and continuous strata show that the HEDA attains the bests results found so far when compared to benchmark tests on the same data using a grouping genetic algorithm, simulated annealing algorithm or hill-climbing algorithm. However, the execution times and total execution are, in general, higher for the HEDA.

The mathematical forces at work behind Generative Adversarial Networks raise challenging theoretical issues. Motivated by the important question of characterizing the geometrical properties of the generated distributions, we provide a thorough analysis of Wasserstein GANs (WGANs) in both the finite sample and asymptotic regimes. We study the specific case where the latent space is univariate and derive results valid regardless of the dimension of the output space. We show in particular that for a fixed sample size, the optimal WGANs are closely linked with connected paths minimizing the sum of the squared Euclidean distances between the sample points. We also highlight the fact that WGANs are able to approach (for the 1-Wasserstein distance) the target distribution as the sample size tends to infinity, at a given convergence rate and provided the family of generative Lipschitz functions grows appropriately. We derive in passing new results on optimal transport theory in the semi-discrete setting.

This paper focuses on stochastic saddle point problems with decision-dependent distributions in both the static and time-varying settings. These are problems whose objective is the expected value of a stochastic payoff function, where random variables are drawn from a distribution induced by a distributional map. For general distributional maps, the problem of finding saddle points is in general computationally burdensome, even if the distribution is known. To enable a tractable solution approach, we introduce the notion of equilibrium points -- which are saddle points for the stationary stochastic minimax problem that they induce -- and provide conditions for their existence and uniqueness. We demonstrate that the distance between the two classes of solutions is bounded provided that the objective has a strongly-convex-strongly-concave payoff and Lipschitz continuous distributional map. We develop deterministic and stochastic primal-dual algorithms and demonstrate their convergence to the equilibrium point. In particular, by modeling errors emerging from a stochastic gradient estimator as sub-Weibull random variables, we provide error bounds in expectation and in high probability that hold for each iteration; moreover, we show convergence to a neighborhood in expectation and almost surely. Finally, we investigate a condition on the distributional map -- which we call opposing mixture dominance -- that ensures the objective is strongly-convex-strongly-concave. Under this assumption, we show that primal-dual algorithms converge to the saddle points in a similar fashion.

Machine learning models often encounter distribution shifts when deployed in the real world. In this paper, we focus on adaptation to label distribution shift in the online setting, where the test-time label distribution is continually changing and the model must dynamically adapt to it without observing the true label. Leveraging a novel analysis, we show that the lack of true label does not hinder estimation of the expected test loss, which enables the reduction of online label shift adaptation to conventional online learning. Informed by this observation, we propose adaptation algorithms inspired by classical online learning techniques such as Follow The Leader (FTL) and Online Gradient Descent (OGD) and derive their regret bounds. We empirically verify our findings under both simulated and real world label distribution shifts and show that OGD is particularly effective and robust to a variety of challenging label shift scenarios.

We study the class of first-order locally-balanced Metropolis--Hastings algorithms introduced in Livingstone & Zanella (2021). To choose a specific algorithm within the class the user must select a balancing function $g:\mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}$ satisfying $g(t) = tg(1/t)$, and a noise distribution for the proposal increment. Popular choices within the class are the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm and the recently introduced Barker proposal. We first establish a universal limiting optimal acceptance rate of 57% and scaling of $n^{-1/3}$ as the dimension $n$ tends to infinity among all members of the class under mild smoothness assumptions on $g$ and when the target distribution for the algorithm is of the product form. In particular we obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotic efficiency of an arbitrary algorithm in the class, as measured by expected squared jumping distance. We then consider how to optimise this expression under various constraints. We derive an optimal choice of noise distribution for the Barker proposal, optimal choice of balancing function under a Gaussian noise distribution, and optimal choice of first-order locally-balanced algorithm among the entire class, which turns out to depend on the specific target distribution. Numerical simulations confirm our theoretical findings and in particular show that a bi-modal choice of noise distribution in the Barker proposal gives rise to a practical algorithm that is consistently more efficient than the original Gaussian version.

Influence maximization is the task of selecting a small number of seed nodes in a social network to maximize the spread of the influence from these seeds, and it has been widely investigated in the past two decades. In the canonical setting, the whole social network as well as its diffusion parameters is given as input. In this paper, we consider the more realistic sampling setting where the network is unknown and we only have a set of passively observed cascades that record the set of activated nodes at each diffusion step. We study the task of influence maximization from these cascade samples (IMS), and present constant approximation algorithms for this task under mild conditions on the seed set distribution. To achieve the optimization goal, we also provide a novel solution to the network inference problem, that is, learning diffusion parameters and the network structure from the cascade data. Comparing with prior solutions, our network inference algorithm requires weaker assumptions and does not rely on maximum-likelihood estimation and convex programming. Our IMS algorithms enhance the learning-and-then-optimization approach by allowing a constant approximation ratio even when the diffusion parameters are hard to learn, and we do not need any assumption related to the network structure or diffusion parameters.

In this paper, we study the optimal convergence rate for distributed convex optimization problems in networks. We model the communication restrictions imposed by the network as a set of affine constraints and provide optimal complexity bounds for four different setups, namely: the function $F(\xb) \triangleq \sum_{i=1}^{m}f_i(\xb)$ is strongly convex and smooth, either strongly convex or smooth or just convex. Our results show that Nesterov's accelerated gradient descent on the dual problem can be executed in a distributed manner and obtains the same optimal rates as in the centralized version of the problem (up to constant or logarithmic factors) with an additional cost related to the spectral gap of the interaction matrix. Finally, we discuss some extensions to the proposed setup such as proximal friendly functions, time-varying graphs, improvement of the condition numbers.

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