亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a fundamental task in empirical sciences. It becomes particularly challenging when unobserved confounders are involved in a system. This paper focuses on front-door adjustment -- a classic technique which, using observed mediators allows to identify causal effects even in the presence of unobserved confounding. While the statistical properties of the front-door estimation are quite well understood, its algorithmic aspects remained unexplored for a long time. Recently, Jeong, Tian, and Barenboim [NeurIPS 2022] have presented the first polynomial-time algorithm for finding sets satisfying the front-door criterion in a given directed acyclic graph (DAG), with an $O(n^3(n+m))$ run time, where $n$ denotes the number of variables and $m$ the number of edges of the causal graph. In our work, we give the first linear-time, i.e., $O(n+m)$, algorithm for this task, which thus reaches the asymptotically optimal time complexity. This result implies an $O(n(n+m))$ delay enumeration algorithm of all front-door adjustment sets, again improving previous work by Jeong et al.\ by a factor of $n^3$. Moreover, we provide the first linear-time algorithm for finding a minimal front-door adjustment set. We offer implementations of our algorithms in multiple programming languages to facilitate practical usage and empirically validate their feasibility, even for large graphs.

A growing line of work shows how learned predictions can be used to break through worst-case barriers to improve the running time of an algorithm. However, incorporating predictions into data structures with strong theoretical guarantees remains underdeveloped. This paper takes a step in this direction by showing that predictions can be leveraged in the fundamental online list labeling problem. In the problem, n items arrive over time and must be stored in sorted order in an array of size Theta(n). The array slot of an element is its label and the goal is to maintain sorted order while minimizing the total number of elements moved (i.e., relabeled). We design a new list labeling data structure and bound its performance in two models. In the worst-case learning-augmented model, we give guarantees in terms of the error in the predictions. Our data structure provides strong guarantees: it is optimal for any prediction error and guarantees the best-known worst-case bound even when the predictions are entirely erroneous. We also consider a stochastic error model and bound the performance in terms of the expectation and variance of the error. Finally, the theoretical results are demonstrated empirically. In particular, we show that our data structure has strong performance on real temporal data sets where predictions are constructed from elements that arrived in the past, as is typically done in a practical use case.

Causal effect estimation is important for many tasks in the natural and social sciences. We design algorithms for the continuous partial identification problem: bounding the effects of multivariate, continuous treatments when unmeasured confounding makes identification impossible. Specifically, we cast causal effects as objective functions within a constrained optimization problem, and minimize/maximize these functions to obtain bounds. We combine flexible learning algorithms with Monte Carlo methods to implement a family of solutions under the name of stochastic causal programming. In particular, we show how the generic framework can be efficiently formulated in settings where auxiliary variables are clustered into pre-treatment and post-treatment sets, where no fine-grained causal graph can be easily specified. In these settings, we can avoid the need for fully specifying the distribution family of hidden common causes. Monte Carlo computation is also much simplified, leading to algorithms which are more computationally stable against alternatives.

The approximate stabilizer rank of a quantum state is the minimum number of terms in any approximate decomposition of that state into stabilizer states. Bravyi and Gosset showed that the approximate stabilizer rank of a so-called "magic" state like $|T\rangle^{\otimes n}$, up to polynomial factors, is an upper bound on the number of classical operations required to simulate an arbitrary quantum circuit with Clifford gates and $n$ number of $T$ gates. As a result, an exponential lower bound on this quantity seems inevitable. Despite this intuition, several attempts using various techniques could not lead to a better than a linear lower bound on the "exact" rank of $|T\rangle^{\otimes n}$, meaning the minimal size of a decomposition that exactly produces the state. However, an "approximate" rank is more realistically related to the cost of simulating quantum circuits because exact rank is not robust to errors; there are quantum states with exponentially large exact ranks but constant approximate ranks even with arbitrarily small approximation parameters. No lower bound better than $\tilde \Omega(\sqrt n)$ has been known for the approximate rank. In this paper, we improve this lower bound to $\tilde \Omega (n)$ for a wide range of the approximation parameters. Our approach is based on a strong lower bound on the approximate rank of a quantum state sampled from the Haar measure and a step-by-step analysis of the approximate rank of a magic-state teleportation protocol to sample from the Haar measure.

The Noisy-SGD algorithm is widely used for privately training machine learning models. Traditional privacy analyses of this algorithm assume that the internal state is publicly revealed, resulting in privacy loss bounds that increase indefinitely with the number of iterations. However, recent findings have shown that if the internal state remains hidden, then the privacy loss might remain bounded. Nevertheless, this remarkable result heavily relies on the assumption of (strong) convexity of the loss function. It remains an important open problem to further relax this condition while proving similar convergent upper bounds on the privacy loss. In this work, we address this problem for DP-SGD, a popular variant of Noisy-SGD that incorporates gradient clipping to limit the impact of individual samples on the training process. Our findings demonstrate that the privacy loss of projected DP-SGD converges exponentially fast, without requiring convexity or smoothness assumptions on the loss function. In addition, we analyze the privacy loss of regularized (unprojected) DP-SGD. To obtain these results, we directly analyze the hockey-stick divergence between coupled stochastic processes by relying on non-linear data processing inequalities.

This paper develops projection-free algorithms for online convex optimization with stochastic constraints. We design an online primal-dual projection-free framework that can take any projection-free algorithms developed for online convex optimization with no long-term constraint. With this general template, we deduce sublinear regret and constraint violation bounds for various settings. Moreover, for the case where the loss and constraint functions are smooth, we develop a primal-dual conditional gradient method that achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $O(T^{3/4})$ constraint violations. Furthermore, for the setting where the loss and constraint functions are stochastic and strong duality holds for the associated offline stochastic optimization problem, we prove that the constraint violation can be reduced to have the same asymptotic growth as the regret.

Counterfactual explanations play an important role in detecting bias and improving the explainability of data-driven classification models. A counterfactual explanation (CE) is a minimal perturbed data point for which the decision of the model changes. Most of the existing methods can only provide one CE, which may not be achievable for the user. In this work we derive an iterative method to calculate robust CEs, i.e. CEs that remain valid even after the features are slightly perturbed. To this end, our method provides a whole region of CEs allowing the user to choose a suitable recourse to obtain a desired outcome. We use algorithmic ideas from robust optimization and prove convergence results for the most common machine learning methods including logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and neural networks. Our experiments show that our method can efficiently generate globally optimal robust CEs for a variety of common data sets and classification models.

Laplace approximation is a very useful tool in Bayesian inference and it claims a nearly Gaussian behavior of the posterior. \cite{SpLaplace2022} established some rather accurate finite sample results about the quality of Laplace approximation in terms of the so called effective dimension $p$ under the critical dimension constraint $p^{3} \ll n$. However, this condition can be too restrictive for many applications like error-in-operator problem or Deep Neuronal Networks. This paper addresses the question whether the dimensionality condition can be relaxed and the accuracy of approximation can be improved if the target of estimation is low dimensional while the nuisance parameter is high or infinite dimensional. Under mild conditions, the marginal posterior can be approximated by a Gaussian mixture and the accuracy of the approximation only depends on the target dimension. Under the condition $p^{2} \ll n$ or in some special situation like semi-orthogonality, the Gaussian mixture can be replaced by one Gaussian distribution leading to a classical Laplace result. The second result greatly benefits from the recent advances in Gaussian comparison from \cite{GNSUl2017}. The results are illustrated and specified for the case of error-in-operator model.

It is very well-known that when the exact line search gradient descent method is applied to a convex quadratic objective, the worst case rate of convergence (among all seed vectors) deteriorates as the condition number of the Hessian of the objective grows. By an elegant analysis by H. Akaike, it is generally believed -- but not proved -- that in the ill-conditioned regime the ROC for almost all initial vectors, and hence also the average ROC, is close to the worst case ROC. We complete Akaike's analysis using the theorem of center and stable manifolds. Our analysis also makes apparent the effect of an intermediate eigenvalue in the Hessian by establishing the following somewhat amusing result: In the absence of an intermediate eigenvalue, the average ROC gets arbitrarily fast -- not slow -- as the Hessian gets increasingly ill-conditioned. We discuss in passing some contemporary applications of exact line search GD to polynomial optimization problems arising from imaging and data sciences.

We consider the problem of discovering $K$ related Gaussian directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), where the involved graph structures share a consistent causal order and sparse unions of supports. Under the multi-task learning setting, we propose a $l_1/l_2$-regularized maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for learning $K$ linear structural equation models. We theoretically show that the joint estimator, by leveraging data across related tasks, can achieve a better sample complexity for recovering the causal order (or topological order) than separate estimations. Moreover, the joint estimator is able to recover non-identifiable DAGs, by estimating them together with some identifiable DAGs. Lastly, our analysis also shows the consistency of union support recovery of the structures. To allow practical implementation, we design a continuous optimization problem whose optimizer is the same as the joint estimator and can be approximated efficiently by an iterative algorithm. We validate the theoretical analysis and the effectiveness of the joint estimator in experiments.