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Both capacity and latency are crucial performance metrics for the optimal operation of most networking services and applications, from online gaming to futuristic holographic-type communications. Networks worldwide have witnessed important breakthroughs in terms of capacity, including fibre introduction everywhere, new radio technologies and faster core networks. However, the impact of these capacity upgrades on end-to-end delay is not straightforward as traffic has also grown exponentially. This article overviews the current status of end-to-end latency on different regions and continents worldwide and how far these are from the theoretical minimum baseline, given by the speed of light propagation over an optical fibre. We observe that the trend in the last decade goes toward latency reduction (in spite of the ever-increasing annual traffic growth), but still there are important differences between countries.

In healthcare, detecting stress and enabling individuals to monitor their mental health and wellbeing is challenging. Advancements in wearable technology now enable continuous physiological data collection. This data can provide insights into mental health and behavioural states through psychophysiological analysis. However, automated analysis is required to provide timely results due to the quantity of data collected. Machine learning has shown efficacy in providing an automated classification of physiological data for health applications in controlled laboratory environments. Ambulatory uncontrolled environments, however, provide additional challenges requiring further modelling to overcome. This work empirically assesses several approaches utilising machine learning classifiers to detect stress using physiological data recorded in an ambulatory setting with self-reported stress annotations. A subset of the training portion SMILE dataset enables the evaluation of approaches before submission. The optimal stress detection approach achieves 90.77% classification accuracy, 91.24 F1-Score, 90.42 Sensitivity and 91.08 Specificity, utilising an ExtraTrees classifier and feature imputation methods. Meanwhile, accuracy on the challenge data is much lower at 59.23% (submission #54 from BEaTS-MTU, username ZacDair). The cause of the performance disparity is explored in this work.

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation and testing for a multivariate monotone density. Instead of following the conventional Bayesian route of putting a prior distribution complying with the monotonicity restriction, we put a prior on the step heights through binning and a Dirichlet distribution. An arbitrary piece-wise constant probability density is converted to a monotone one by a projection map, taking its $\mathbb{L}_1$-projection onto the space of monotone functions, which is subsequently normalized to integrate to one. We construct consistent Bayesian tests to test multivariate monotonicity of a probability density based on the $\mathbb{L}_1$-distance to the class of monotone functions. The test is shown to have a size going to zero and high power against alternatives sufficiently separated from the null hypothesis. To obtain a Bayesian credible interval for the value of the density function at an interior point with guaranteed asymptotic frequentist coverage, we consider a posterior quantile interval of an induced map transforming the function value to its value optimized over certain blocks. The limiting coverage is explicitly calculated and is seen to be higher than the credibility level used in the construction. By exploring the asymptotic relationship between the coverage and the credibility, we show that a desired asymptomatic coverage can be obtained exactly by starting with an appropriate credibility level.

We derive limiting distributions of symmetrized estimators of scatter, where instead of all $n(n-1)/2$ pairs of the $n$ observations we only consider $nd$ suitably chosen pairs, $1 \le d < \lfloor n/2\rfloor$. It turns out that the resulting estimators are asymptotically equivalent to the original one whenever $d = d(n) \to \infty$ at arbitrarily slow speed. We also investigate the asymptotic properties for arbitrary fixed $d$. These considerations and numerical examples indicate that for practical purposes, moderate fixed values of $d$ between,say, $10$ and $20$ yield already estimators which are computationally feasible and rather close to the original ones.

The proliferation of automated data collection schemes and the advances in sensorics are increasing the amount of data we are able to monitor in real-time. However, given the high annotation costs and the time required by quality inspections, data is often available in an unlabeled form. This is fostering the use of active learning for the development of soft sensors and predictive models. In production, instead of performing random inspections to obtain product information, labels are collected by evaluating the information content of the unlabeled data. Several query strategy frameworks for regression have been proposed in the literature but most of the focus has been dedicated to the static pool-based scenario. In this work, we propose a new strategy for the stream-based scenario, where instances are sequentially offered to the learner, which must instantaneously decide whether to perform the quality check to obtain the label or discard the instance. The approach is inspired by the optimal experimental design theory and the iterative aspect of the decision-making process is tackled by setting a threshold on the informativeness of the unlabeled data points. The proposed approach is evaluated using numerical simulations and the Tennessee Eastman Process simulator. The results confirm that selecting the examples suggested by the proposed algorithm allows for a faster reduction in the prediction error.

Existing sentence textual similarity benchmark datasets only use a single number to summarize how similar the sentence encoder's decision is to humans'. However, it is unclear what kind of sentence pairs a sentence encoder (SE) would consider similar. Moreover, existing SE benchmarks mainly consider sentence pairs with low lexical overlap, so it is unclear how the SEs behave when two sentences have high lexical overlap. We introduce a high-quality SE diagnostic dataset, HEROS. HEROS is constructed by transforming an original sentence into a new sentence based on certain rules to form a \textit{minimal pair}, and the minimal pair has high lexical overlaps. The rules include replacing a word with a synonym, an antonym, a typo, a random word, and converting the original sentence into its negation. Different rules yield different subsets of HEROS. By systematically comparing the performance of over 60 supervised and unsupervised SEs on HEROS, we reveal that most unsupervised sentence encoders are insensitive to negation. We find the datasets used to train the SE are the main determinants of what kind of sentence pairs an SE considers similar. We also show that even if two SEs have similar performance on STS benchmarks, they can have very different behavior on HEROS. Our result reveals the blind spot of traditional STS benchmarks when evaluating SEs.

Personalized recommender systems fulfill the daily demands of customers and boost online businesses. The goal is to learn a policy that can generate a list of items that matches the user's demand or interest. While most existing methods learn a pointwise scoring model that predicts the ranking score of each individual item, recent research shows that the listwise approach can further improve the recommendation quality by modeling the intra-list correlations of items that are exposed together. This has motivated the recent list reranking and generative recommendation approaches that optimize the overall utility of the entire list. However, it is challenging to explore the combinatorial space of list actions and existing methods that use cross-entropy loss may suffer from low diversity issues. In this work, we aim to learn a policy that can generate sufficiently diverse item lists for users while maintaining high recommendation quality. The proposed solution, GFN4Rec, is a generative method that takes the insight of the flow network to ensure the alignment between list generation probability and its reward. The key advantages of our solution are the log scale reward matching loss that intrinsically improves the generation diversity and the autoregressive item selection model that captures the item mutual influences while capturing future reward of the list. As validation of our method's effectiveness and its superior diversity during active exploration, we conduct experiments on simulated online environments as well as an offline evaluation framework for two real-world datasets.

Posterior predictive p-values (ppps) have become popular tools for Bayesian model criticism, being general-purpose and easy to use. However, their interpretation can be difficult because their distribution is not uniform under the hypothesis that the model did generate the data. To address this issue, procedures to obtain calibrated ppps (cppps) have been proposed although not used in practice, because they require repeated simulation of new data and model estimation via MCMC. Here we give methods to balance the computational trade-off between the number of calibration replicates and the number of MCMC samples per replicate. Our results suggest that investing in a large number of calibration replicates while using short MCMC chains can save significant computation time compared to naive implementations, without significant loss in accuracy. We propose different estimators for the variance of the cppp that can be used to confirm quickly when the model fits the data well. Variance estimation requires the effective sample sizes of many short MCMC chains; we show that these can be well approximated using the single long MCMC chain from the real-data model. The procedure for cppp is implemented in NIMBLE, a flexible framework for hierarchical modeling that supports many models and discrepancy measures.

For autonomous driving or advanced driving assistance, it is key to monitor the vehicle dynamics behavior. Accurate models of this behavior include acceleration, but also the side-slip angle, that eventually results from the complex interaction between the tires and the road. Though it is an essential quantity (e.g. for stability assessment), as opposed to accelerations, it is not measurable through conventional off-the-shelf sensors. Therefore, accurate side-slip angle observers are necessary for the proper planning and control of vehicles. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach that combines model-based side-slip angle estimation with neural networks. We apply our approach to real vehicle data. We prove that the proposed method is able to outperform state-of-the-art methods for normal driving maneuvers, and for near-limits maneuvers where providing accurate estimations becomes challenging.

This work proposes a novel generative design tool for passive grippers -- robot end effectors that have no additional actuation and instead leverage the existing degrees of freedom in a robotic arm to perform grasping tasks. Passive grippers are used because they offer interesting trade-offs between cost and capabilities. However, existing designs are limited in the types of shapes that can be grasped. This work proposes to use rapid-manufacturing and design optimization to expand the space of shapes that can be passively grasped. Our novel generative design algorithm takes in an object and its positioning with respect to a robotic arm and generates a 3D printable passive gripper that can stably pick the object up. To achieve this, we address the key challenge of jointly optimizing the shape and the insert trajectory to ensure a passively stable grasp. We evaluate our method on a testing suite of 22 objects (23 experiments), all of which were evaluated with physical experiments to bridge the virtual-to-real gap. Code and data are at //homes.cs.washington.edu/~milink/passive-gripper/