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This paper establishes a combinatorial central limit theorem for stratified randomization that holds under Lindeberg-type conditions and allows for a growing number of large and small strata. The result is then applied to derive the asymptotic distributions of two test statistics proposed in a finite population setting with randomly assigned instruments and a super population instrumental variables model, both having many strata.

We propose a noble, comprehensive and robust agile requirements change management (ARCM) model that addresses the limitations of existing models and is tailored for agile software development in the global software development paradigm. To achieve this goal, we conducted an exhaustive literature review and an empirical study with RCM industry experts. Our study evaluated the effectiveness of the proposed RCM model in a real-world setting and identifies any limitations or areas for improvement. The results of our study provide valuable insights into how the proposed RCM model can be applied in agile global software development environments to improve software development practices and optimize project success rates.

In financial modeling problems, non-Gaussian tails exist widely in many circumstances. Among them, the accurate estimation of risk-neutral distribution (RND) from option prices is of great importance for researchers and practitioners. A precise RND can provide valuable information regarding the market's expectations, and can further help empirical asset pricing studies. This paper presents a parsimonious parametric approach to extract RNDs of underlying asset returns by using a generative machine learning model. The model incorporates the asymmetric heavy tails property of returns with a clever design. To calibrate the model, we design a Monte Carlo algorithm that has good capability with the assistance of modern machine learning computing tools. Numerically, the model fits Heston option prices well and captures the main shapes of implied volatility curves. Empirically, using S\&P 500 index option prices, we demonstrate that the model outperforms some popular parametric density methods under mean absolute error. Furthermore, the skewness and kurtosis of RNDs extracted by our model are consistent with intuitive expectations.

We consider variants of the clustered planarity problem for level-planar drawings. So far, only convex clusters have been studied in this setting. We introduce two new variants that both insist on a level-planar drawing of the input graph but relax the requirements on the shape of the clusters. In unrestricted Clustered Level Planarity (uCLP) we only require that they are bounded by simple closed curves that enclose exactly the vertices of the cluster and cross each edge of the graph at most once. The problem y-monotone Clustered Level Planarity (y-CLP) requires that additionally it must be possible to augment each cluster with edges that do not cross the cluster boundaries so that it becomes connected while the graph remains level-planar, thereby mimicking a classic characterization of clustered planarity in the level-planar setting. We give a polynomial-time algorithm for uCLP if the input graph is biconnected and has a single source. By contrast, we show that y-CLP is hard under the same restrictions and it remains NP-hard even if the number of levels is bounded by a constant and there is only a single non-trivial cluster.

We reveal and address the frequently overlooked yet important issue of disguised procedural unfairness, namely, the potentially inadvertent alterations on the behavior of neutral (i.e., not problematic) aspects of data generating process, and/or the lack of procedural assurance of the greatest benefit of the least advantaged individuals. Inspired by John Rawls's advocacy for pure procedural justice, we view automated decision-making as a microcosm of social institutions, and consider how the data generating process itself can satisfy the requirements of procedural fairness. We propose a framework that decouples the objectionable data generating components from the neutral ones by utilizing reference points and the associated value instantiation rule. Our findings highlight the necessity of preventing disguised procedural unfairness, drawing attention not only to the objectionable data generating components that we aim to mitigate, but also more importantly, to the neutral components that we intend to keep unaffected.

Counterfactual reasoning is pivotal in human cognition and especially important for providing explanations and making decisions. While Judea Pearl's influential approach is theoretically elegant, its generation of a counterfactual scenario often requires interventions that are too detached from the real scenarios to be feasible. In response, we propose a framework of natural counterfactuals and a method for generating counterfactuals that are natural with respect to the actual world's data distribution. Our methodology refines counterfactual reasoning, allowing changes in causally preceding variables to minimize deviations from realistic scenarios. To generate natural counterfactuals, we introduce an innovative optimization framework that permits but controls the extent of backtracking with a naturalness criterion. Empirical experiments indicate the effectiveness of our method.

FIDO2 authentication is starting to be applied in numerous web authentication services, aiming to replace passwords and their known vulnerabilities. However, this new authentication method has not been integrated yet with network authentication systems. In this paper, we introduce FIDO2CAP: FIDO2 Captive-portal Authentication Protocol. Our proposal describes a novel protocol for captive-portal network authentication using FIDO2 authenticators, as security keys and passkeys. For validating our proposal, we have developed a prototype of FIDO2CAP authentication in a mock scenario. Using this prototype, we performed an usability experiment with 15 real users. This work makes the first systematic approach for adapting network authentication to the new authentication paradigm relying on FIDO2 authentication.

Social commerce platforms are emerging businesses where producers sell products through re-sellers who advertise the products to other customers in their social network. Due to the increasing popularity of this business model, thousands of small producers and re-sellers are starting to depend on these platforms for their livelihood; thus, it is important to provide fair earning opportunities to them. The enormous product space in such platforms prohibits manual search, and motivates the need for recommendation algorithms to effectively allocate product exposure and, consequently, earning opportunities. In this work, we focus on the fairness of such allocations in social commerce platforms and formulate the problem of assigning products to re-sellers as a fair division problem with indivisible items under two-sided cardinality constraints, wherein each product must be given to at least a certain number of re-sellers and each re-seller must get a certain number of products. Our work systematically explores various well-studied benchmarks of fairness -- including Nash social welfare, envy-freeness up to one item (EF1), and equitability up to one item (EQ1) -- from both theoretical and experimental perspectives. We find that the existential and computational guarantees of these concepts known from the unconstrained setting do not extend to our constrained model. To address this limitation, we develop a mixed-integer linear program and other scalable heuristics that provide near-optimal approximation of Nash social welfare in simulated and real social commerce datasets. Overall, our work takes the first step towards achieving provable fairness alongside reasonable revenue guarantees on social commerce platforms.

Recent contrastive representation learning methods rely on estimating mutual information (MI) between multiple views of an underlying context. E.g., we can derive multiple views of a given image by applying data augmentation, or we can split a sequence into views comprising the past and future of some step in the sequence. Contrastive lower bounds on MI are easy to optimize, but have a strong underestimation bias when estimating large amounts of MI. We propose decomposing the full MI estimation problem into a sum of smaller estimation problems by splitting one of the views into progressively more informed subviews and by applying the chain rule on MI between the decomposed views. This expression contains a sum of unconditional and conditional MI terms, each measuring modest chunks of the total MI, which facilitates approximation via contrastive bounds. To maximize the sum, we formulate a contrastive lower bound on the conditional MI which can be approximated efficiently. We refer to our general approach as Decomposed Estimation of Mutual Information (DEMI). We show that DEMI can capture a larger amount of MI than standard non-decomposed contrastive bounds in a synthetic setting, and learns better representations in a vision domain and for dialogue generation.

Detecting carried objects is one of the requirements for developing systems to reason about activities involving people and objects. We present an approach to detect carried objects from a single video frame with a novel method that incorporates features from multiple scales. Initially, a foreground mask in a video frame is segmented into multi-scale superpixels. Then the human-like regions in the segmented area are identified by matching a set of extracted features from superpixels against learned features in a codebook. A carried object probability map is generated using the complement of the matching probabilities of superpixels to human-like regions and background information. A group of superpixels with high carried object probability and strong edge support is then merged to obtain the shape of the carried object. We applied our method to two challenging datasets, and results show that our method is competitive with or better than the state-of-the-art.