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Big data is ubiquitous in practices, and it has also led to heavy computation burden. To reduce the calculation cost and ensure the effectiveness of parameter estimators, an optimal subset sampling method is proposed to estimate the parameters in marginal models with massive longitudinal data. The optimal subsampling probabilities are derived, and the corresponding asymptotic properties are established to ensure the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator. Extensive simulation studies are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed method for continuous, binary and count data and with four different working correlation matrices. A depression data is used to illustrate the proposed method.

A simple way of obtaining robust estimates of the "center" (or the "location") and of the "scatter" of a dataset is to use the maximum likelihood estimate with a class of heavy-tailed distributions, regardless of the "true" distribution generating the data. We observe that the maximum likelihood problem for the Cauchy distributions, which have particularly heavy tails, is geodesically convex and therefore efficiently solvable (Cauchy distributions are parametrized by the upper half plane, i.e. by the hyperbolic plane). Moreover, it has an appealing geometrical meaning: the datapoints, living on the boundary of the hyperbolic plane, are attracting the parameter by unit forces, and we search the point where these forces are in equilibrium. This picture generalizes to several classes of multivariate distributions with heavy tails, including, in particular, the multivariate Cauchy distributions. The hyperbolic plane gets replaced by symmetric spaces of noncompact type. Geodesic convexity gives us an efficient numerical solution of the maximum likelihood problem for these distribution classes. This can then be used for robust estimates of location and spread, thanks to the heavy tails of these distributions.

Selection models are ubiquitous in statistics. In recent years, they have regained considerable popularity as the working inferential models in many selective inference problems. In this paper, we derive an asymptotic expansion of the local likelihood ratios of selection models. We show that under mild regularity conditions, they are asymptotically equivalent to a sequence of Gaussian selection models. This generalizes the Local Asymptotic Normality framework of Le Cam (1960). Furthermore, we derive the asymptotic shape of Bayesian posterior distributions constructed from selection models, and show that they can be significantly miscalibrated in a frequentist sense.

Quantum supervised learning, utilizing variational circuits, stands out as a promising technology for NISQ devices due to its efficiency in hardware resource utilization during the creation of quantum feature maps and the implementation of hardware-efficient ansatz with trainable parameters. Despite these advantages, the training of quantum models encounters challenges, notably the barren plateau phenomenon, leading to stagnation in learning during optimization iterations. This study proposes an innovative approach: an evolutionary-enhanced ansatz-free supervised learning model. In contrast to parametrized circuits, our model employs circuits with variable topology that evolves through an elitist method, mitigating the barren plateau issue. Additionally, we introduce a novel concept, the superposition of multi-hot encodings, facilitating the treatment of multi-classification problems. Our framework successfully avoids barren plateaus, resulting in enhanced model accuracy. Comparative analysis with variational quantum classifiers from the technology's state-of-the-art reveal a substantial improvement in training efficiency and precision. Furthermore, we conduct tests on a challenging dataset class, traditionally problematic for conventional kernel machines, demonstrating a potential alternative path for achieving quantum advantage in supervised learning for NISQ era.

We propose a new language feature for ML-family languages, the ability to selectively *unbox* certain data constructors, so that their runtime representation gets compiled away to just the identity on their argument. Unboxing must be statically rejected when it could introduce *confusions*, that is, distinct values with the same representation. We discuss the use-case of big numbers, where unboxing allows to write code that is both efficient and safe, replacing either a safe but slow version or a fast but unsafe version. We explain the static analysis necessary to reject incorrect unboxing requests. We present our prototype implementation of this feature for the OCaml programming language, discuss several design choices and the interaction with advanced features such as Guarded Algebraic Datatypes. Our static analysis requires expanding type definitions in type expressions, which is not necessarily normalizing in presence of recursive type definitions. In other words, we must decide normalization of terms in the first-order lambda-calculus with recursion. We provide an algorithm to detect non-termination on-the-fly during reduction, with proofs of correctness and completeness. Our termination-monitoring algorithm turns out to be closely related to the normalization strategy for macro expansion in the `cpp` preprocessor.

In this study, we investigate the intricate connection between visual perception and the mathematical modelling of neural activity in the primary visual cortex (V1), focusing on replicating the MacKay effect [Mackay, Nature 1957]. While bifurcation theory has been a prominent mathematical approach for addressing issues in neuroscience, especially in describing spontaneous pattern formations in V1 due to parameter changes, it faces challenges in scenarios with localised sensory inputs. This is evident, for instance, in Mackay's psychophysical experiments, where the redundancy of visual stimuli information results in irregular shapes, making bifurcation theory and multi-scale analysis less effective. To address this, we follow a mathematical viewpoint based on the input-output controllability of an Amari-type neural fields model. This framework views the sensory input as a control function, cortical representation via the retino-cortical map of the visual stimulus that captures the distinct features of the stimulus, specifically the central redundancy in MacKay's funnel pattern ``MacKay rays''. From a control theory point of view, the exact controllability property of the Amari-type equation is discussed both for linear and nonlinear response functions. Then, applied to the MacKay effect replication, we adjust the parameter representing intra-neuron connectivity to ensure that, in the absence of sensory input, cortical activity exponentially stabilises to the stationary state that we perform quantitative and qualitative studies to show that it captures all the essential features of the induced after-image reported by MacKay

In harsh environments, organisms may self-organize into spatially patterned systems in various ways. So far, studies of ecosystem spatial self-organization have primarily focused on apparent orders reflected by regular patterns. However, self-organized ecosystems may also have cryptic orders that can be unveiled only through certain quantitative analyses. Here we show that disordered hyperuniformity as a striking class of hidden orders can exist in spatially self-organized vegetation landscapes. By analyzing the high-resolution remotely sensed images across the American drylands, we demonstrate that it is not uncommon to find disordered hyperuniform vegetation states characterized by suppressed density fluctuations at long range. Such long-range hyperuniformity has been documented in a wide range of microscopic systems. Our finding contributes to expanding this domain to accommodate natural landscape ecological systems. We use theoretical modeling to propose that disordered hyperuniform vegetation patterning can arise from three generalized mechanisms prevalent in dryland ecosystems, including (1) critical absorbing states driven by an ecological legacy effect, (2) scale-dependent feedbacks driven by plant-plant facilitation and competition, and (3) density-dependent aggregation driven by plant-sediment feedbacks. Our modeling results also show that disordered hyperuniform patterns can help ecosystems cope with arid conditions with enhanced functioning of soil moisture acquisition. However, this advantage may come at the cost of slower recovery of ecosystem structure upon perturbations. Our work highlights that disordered hyperuniformity as a distinguishable but underexplored ecosystem self-organization state merits systematic studies to better understand its underlying mechanisms, functioning, and resilience.

In this paper we study the convergence of a fully discrete Crank-Nicolson Galerkin scheme for the initial value problem associated with the fractional Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation, which involves the fractional Laplacian and non-linear convection terms. Our proof relies on the Kato type local smoothing effect to estimate the localized $H^{\alpha/2}$-norm of the approximated solution, where $\alpha \in [1,2)$. We demonstrate that the scheme converges strongly in $L^2(0,T;L^2_{loc}(\mathbb{R}))$ to a weak solution of the fractional KdV equation provided the initial data in $L^2(\mathbb{R})$. Assuming the initial data is sufficiently regular, we obtain the rate of convergence for the numerical scheme. Finally, the theoretical convergence rates are justified numerically through various numerical illustrations.

For the differential privacy under the sub-Gamma noise, we derive the asymptotic properties of a class of network models with binary values with a general link function. In this paper, we release the degree sequences of the binary networks under a general noisy mechanism with the discrete Laplace mechanism as a special case. We establish the asymptotic result including both consistency and asymptotically normality of the parameter estimator when the number of parameters goes to infinity in a class of network models. Simulations and a real data example are provided to illustrate asymptotic results.

The goal of explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is to generate human-interpretable explanations, but there are no computationally precise theories of how humans interpret AI generated explanations. The lack of theory means that validation of XAI must be done empirically, on a case-by-case basis, which prevents systematic theory-building in XAI. We propose a psychological theory of how humans draw conclusions from saliency maps, the most common form of XAI explanation, which for the first time allows for precise prediction of explainee inference conditioned on explanation. Our theory posits that absent explanation humans expect the AI to make similar decisions to themselves, and that they interpret an explanation by comparison to the explanations they themselves would give. Comparison is formalized via Shepard's universal law of generalization in a similarity space, a classic theory from cognitive science. A pre-registered user study on AI image classifications with saliency map explanations demonstrate that our theory quantitatively matches participants' predictions of the AI.