Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or approximations thereof. However, when faced with real-world data sets many of the models run into a critical issue: they are formulated in terms of fully-observed data, whereas in practice the data sets are plagued with missing data. The theory of statistical model estimation from incomplete data is conceptually similar to the estimation of latent-variable models, where powerful tools such as variational inference (VI) exist. However, in contrast to standard latent-variable models, parameter estimation with incomplete data often requires estimating exponentially-many conditional distributions of the missing variables, hence making standard VI methods intractable. We address this gap by introducing variational Gibbs inference (VGI), a new general-purpose method to estimate the parameters of statistical models from incomplete data. We validate VGI on a set of synthetic and real-world estimation tasks, estimating important machine learning models such as variational autoencoders and normalising flows from incomplete data. The proposed method, whilst general-purpose, achieves competitive or better performance than existing model-specific estimation methods.
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Explainable AI has become a popular tool for validating machine learning models. Mismatches between the explained model's decision strategy and the user's domain knowledge (e.g. Clever Hans effects) have also been recognized as a starting point for improving faulty models. However, it is less clear what to do when the user and the explanation agree. In this paper, we demonstrate that acceptance of explanations by the user is not a guarantee for a machine learning model to function well, in particular, some Clever Hans effects may remain undetected. Such hidden flaws of the model can nevertheless be mitigated, and we demonstrate this by contributing a new method, Explanation-Guided Exposure Minimization (EGEM), that preemptively prunes variations in the ML model that have not been the subject of positive explanation feedback. Experiments on natural image data demonstrate that our approach leads to models that strongly reduce their reliance on hidden Clever Hans strategies, and consequently achieve higher accuracy on new data.
Classical machine learning models, such as linear models and tree-based models, are widely used in industry. These models are sensitive to data distribution, thus feature preprocessing, which transforms features from one distribution to another, is a crucial step to ensure good model quality. Manually constructing a feature preprocessing pipeline is challenging because data scientists need to make difficult decisions about which preprocessors to select and in which order to compose them. In this paper, we study how to automate feature preprocessing (Auto-FP) for tabular data. Due to the large search space, a brute-force solution is prohibitively expensive. To address this challenge, we interestingly observe that Auto-FP can be modelled as either a hyperparameter optimization (HPO) or a neural architecture search (NAS) problem. This observation enables us to extend a variety of HPO and NAS algorithms to solve the Auto-FP problem. We conduct a comprehensive evaluation and analysis of 15 algorithms on 45 public ML datasets. Overall, evolution-based algorithms show the leading average ranking. Surprisingly, the random search turns out to be a strong baseline. Many surrogate-model-based and bandit-based search algorithms, which achieve good performance for HPO and NAS, do not outperform random search for Auto-FP. We analyze the reasons for our findings and conduct a bottleneck analysis to identify the opportunities to improve these algorithms. Furthermore, we explore how to extend Auto-FP to support parameter search and compare two ways to achieve this goal. In the end, we evaluate Auto-FP in an AutoML context and discuss the limitations of popular AutoML tools. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study on automated feature preprocessing. We hope our work can inspire researchers to develop new algorithms tailored for Auto-FP.
The stochastic actor oriented model (SAOM) is a method for modelling social interactions and social behaviour over time. It can be used to model drivers of dynamic interactions using both exogenous covariates and endogenous network configurations, but also the co-evolution of behaviour and social interactions. In its standard implementations, it assumes that all individual have the same interaction evaluation function. This lack of heterogeneity is one of its limitations. The aim of this paper is to extend the inference framework for the SAOM to include random effects, so that the heterogeneity of individuals can be modeled more accurately. We decompose the linear evaluation function that models the probability of forming or removing a tie from the network, in a homogeneous fixed part and a random, individual-specific part. We extend the Robbins-Monro algorithm to the estimation of the variance of the random parameters. Our method is applicable for the general random effect formulations. We illustrate the method with a random out-degree model and show the parameter estimation of the random components, significance tests and model evaluation. We apply the method to the Kapferer's Tailor shop study. It is shown that a random out-degree constitutes a serious alternative to including transitivity and higher-order dependency effects.
A method is introduced for approximate marginal likelihood inference via adaptive Gaussian quadrature in mixed models with a single grouping factor. The core technical contribution is an algorithm for computing the exact gradient of the approximate log marginal likelihood. This leads to efficient maximum likelihood via quasi-Newton optimization that is demonstrated to be faster than existing approaches based on finite-differenced gradients or derivative-free optimization. The method is specialized to Bernoulli mixed models with multivariate, correlated Gaussian random effects; here computations are performed using an inverse log-Cholesky parameterization of the Gaussian density that involves no matrix decomposition during model fitting, while Wald confidence intervals are provided for variance parameters on the original scale. Simulations give evidence of these intervals attaining nominal coverage if enough quadrature points are used, for data comprised of a large number of very small groups exhibiting large between-group heterogeneity. In contrast, the Laplace approximation is shown to give especially poor coverage and high bias for data comprised of a large number of small groups. Adaptive quadrature mitigates this, and the methods in this paper improve the computational feasibility of this more accurate method. All results may be reproduced using code available at \url{//github.com/awstringer1/aghmm-paper-code}.
Diffusion models are a class of flexible generative models trained with an approximation to the log-likelihood objective. However, most use cases of diffusion models are not concerned with likelihoods, but instead with downstream objectives such as human-perceived image quality or drug effectiveness. In this paper, we investigate reinforcement learning methods for directly optimizing diffusion models for such objectives. We describe how posing denoising as a multi-step decision-making problem enables a class of policy gradient algorithms, which we refer to as denoising diffusion policy optimization (DDPO), that are more effective than alternative reward-weighted likelihood approaches. Empirically, DDPO is able to adapt text-to-image diffusion models to objectives that are difficult to express via prompting, such as image compressibility, and those derived from human feedback, such as aesthetic quality. Finally, we show that DDPO can improve prompt-image alignment using feedback from a vision-language model without the need for additional data collection or human annotation. The project's website can be found at //rl-diffusion.github.io .
Conformer-based models have become the dominant end-to-end architecture for speech processing tasks. With the objective of enhancing the conformer architecture for efficient training and inference, we carefully redesigned Conformer with a novel downsampling schema. The proposed model, named Fast Conformer(FC), is 2.8x faster than the original Conformer, supports scaling to Billion parameters without any changes to the core architecture and also achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on Automatic Speech Recognition benchmarks. To enable transcription of long-form speech up to 11 hours, we replaced global attention with limited context attention post-training, while also improving accuracy through fine-tuning with the addition of a global token. Fast Conformer, when combined with a Transformer decoder also outperforms the original Conformer in accuracy and in speed for Speech Translation and Spoken Language Understanding.
As artificial intelligence (AI) models continue to scale up, they are becoming more capable and integrated into various forms of decision-making systems. For models involved in moral decision-making, also known as artificial moral agents (AMA), interpretability provides a way to trust and understand the agent's internal reasoning mechanisms for effective use and error correction. In this paper, we provide an overview of this rapidly-evolving sub-field of AI interpretability, introduce the concept of the Minimum Level of Interpretability (MLI) and recommend an MLI for various types of agents, to aid their safe deployment in real-world settings.
Generative models are now capable of producing highly realistic images that look nearly indistinguishable from the data on which they are trained. This raises the question: if we have good enough generative models, do we still need datasets? We investigate this question in the setting of learning general-purpose visual representations from a black-box generative model rather than directly from data. Given an off-the-shelf image generator without any access to its training data, we train representations from the samples output by this generator. We compare several representation learning methods that can be applied to this setting, using the latent space of the generator to generate multiple "views" of the same semantic content. We show that for contrastive methods, this multiview data can naturally be used to identify positive pairs (nearby in latent space) and negative pairs (far apart in latent space). We find that the resulting representations rival those learned directly from real data, but that good performance requires care in the sampling strategy applied and the training method. Generative models can be viewed as a compressed and organized copy of a dataset, and we envision a future where more and more "model zoos" proliferate while datasets become increasingly unwieldy, missing, or private. This paper suggests several techniques for dealing with visual representation learning in such a future. Code is released on our project page: //ali-design.github.io/GenRep/
Deep models trained in supervised mode have achieved remarkable success on a variety of tasks. When labeled samples are limited, self-supervised learning (SSL) is emerging as a new paradigm for making use of large amounts of unlabeled samples. SSL has achieved promising performance on natural language and image learning tasks. Recently, there is a trend to extend such success to graph data using graph neural networks (GNNs). In this survey, we provide a unified review of different ways of training GNNs using SSL. Specifically, we categorize SSL methods into contrastive and predictive models. In either category, we provide a unified framework for methods as well as how these methods differ in each component under the framework. Our unified treatment of SSL methods for GNNs sheds light on the similarities and differences of various methods, setting the stage for developing new methods and algorithms. We also summarize different SSL settings and the corresponding datasets used in each setting. To facilitate methodological development and empirical comparison, we develop a standardized testbed for SSL in GNNs, including implementations of common baseline methods, datasets, and evaluation metrics.
Visual Question Answering (VQA) models have struggled with counting objects in natural images so far. We identify a fundamental problem due to soft attention in these models as a cause. To circumvent this problem, we propose a neural network component that allows robust counting from object proposals. Experiments on a toy task show the effectiveness of this component and we obtain state-of-the-art accuracy on the number category of the VQA v2 dataset without negatively affecting other categories, even outperforming ensemble models with our single model. On a difficult balanced pair metric, the component gives a substantial improvement in counting over a strong baseline by 6.6%.
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