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The Bayesian statistical framework provides a systematic approach to enhance the regularization model by incorporating prior information about the desired solution. For the Bayesian linear inverse problems with Gaussian noise and Gaussian prior, we propose a new iterative regularization algorithm that belongs to subspace projection regularization (SPR) methods. By treating the forward model matrix as a linear operator between the two underlying finite dimensional Hilbert spaces with new introduced inner products, we first introduce an iterative process that can generate a series of valid solution subspaces. The SPR method then projects the original problem onto these solution subspaces to get a series of low dimensional linear least squares problems, where an efficient procedure is developed to update the solutions of them to approximate the desired solution of the original problem. With the new designed early stopping rules, this iterative algorithm can obtain a regularized solution with a satisfied accuracy. Several theoretical results about the algorithm are established to reveal the regularization properties of it. We use both small-scale and large-scale inverse problems to test the proposed algorithm and demonstrate its robustness and efficiency. The most computationally intensive operations in the proposed algorithm only involve matrix-vector products, making it highly efficient for large-scale problems.

Recently efforts have been made by social media platforms as well as researchers to detect hateful or toxic language using large language models. However, none of these works aim to use explanation, additional context and victim community information in the detection process. We utilise different prompt variation, input information and evaluate large language models in zero shot setting (without adding any in-context examples). We select three large language models (GPT-3.5, text-davinci and Flan-T5) and three datasets - HateXplain, implicit hate and ToxicSpans. We find that on average including the target information in the pipeline improves the model performance substantially (~20-30%) over the baseline across the datasets. There is also a considerable effect of adding the rationales/explanations into the pipeline (~10-20%) over the baseline across the datasets. In addition, we further provide a typology of the error cases where these large language models fail to (i) classify and (ii) explain the reason for the decisions they take. Such vulnerable points automatically constitute 'jailbreak' prompts for these models and industry scale safeguard techniques need to be developed to make the models robust against such prompts.

This research study investigates the minimization of inequality in the ranks of vertices obtained using the PageRank algorithm. PageRank is a widely used algorithm for ranking webpages and plays a significant role in determining web traffic. This study employs the Gini coefficient, a measure of income/wealth inequality, to assess the inequality in PageRank distributions on various types of graphs. The investigation involves two experiments: one that modifies strategies for handling dead-end nodes and another that explores six deterministic methods for reducing inequality. Our findings indicate that a combination of two distinct heuristics may present an effective strategy for minimizing inequality.

Causal representation learning algorithms discover lower-dimensional representations of data that admit a decipherable interpretation of cause and effect; as achieving such interpretable representations is challenging, many causal learning algorithms utilize elements indicating prior information, such as (linear) structural causal models, interventional data, or weak supervision. Unfortunately, in exploratory causal representation learning, such elements and prior information may not be available or warranted. Alternatively, scientific datasets often have multiple modalities or physics-based constraints, and the use of such scientific, multimodal data has been shown to improve disentanglement in fully unsupervised settings. Consequently, we introduce a causal representation learning algorithm (causalPIMA) that can use multimodal data and known physics to discover important features with causal relationships. Our innovative algorithm utilizes a new differentiable parametrization to learn a directed acyclic graph (DAG) together with a latent space of a variational autoencoder in an end-to-end differentiable framework via a single, tractable evidence lower bound loss function. We place a Gaussian mixture prior on the latent space and identify each of the mixtures with an outcome of the DAG nodes; this novel identification enables feature discovery with causal relationships. Tested against a synthetic and a scientific dataset, our results demonstrate the capability of learning an interpretable causal structure while simultaneously discovering key features in a fully unsupervised setting.

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving rise to $m$ conformal $p$-values. {While classical results only concern their marginal distribution, we show that their joint distribution follows a P\'olya urn model, and establish a concentration inequality for their empirical distribution function.} The results hold for arbitrary exchangeable scores, including {\it adaptive} ones that can use the covariates of the test+calibration samples at training stage for increased accuracy. We demonstrate the usefulness of these theoretical results through uniform, in-probability guarantees for two machine learning tasks of current interest: interval prediction for transductive transfer learning and novelty detection based on two-class classification.

In this paper we consider the finite element approximation of Maxwell's problem and analyse the prescription of essential boundary conditions in a weak sense using Nitsche's method. To avoid indefiniteness of the problem, the original equations are augmented with the gradient of a scalar field that allows one to impose the zero divergence of the magnetic induction, even if the exact solution for this scalar field is zero. Two finite element approximations are considered, namely, one in which the approximation spaces are assumed to satisfy the appropriate inf-sup condition that render the standard Galerkin method stable, and another augmented and stabilised one that permits the use of finite element interpolations of arbitrary order. Stability and convergence results are provided for the two finite element formulations considered.

Threshold selection is a fundamental problem in any threshold-based extreme value analysis. While models are asymptotically motivated, selecting an appropriate threshold for finite samples can be difficult through standard methods. Inference can also be highly sensitive to the choice of threshold. Too low a threshold choice leads to bias in the fit of the extreme value model, while too high a choice leads to unnecessary additional uncertainty in the estimation of model parameters. In this paper, we develop a novel methodology for automated threshold selection that directly tackles this bias-variance trade-off. We also develop a method to account for the uncertainty in this threshold choice and propagate this uncertainty through to high quantile inference. Through a simulation study, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our method for threshold selection and subsequent extreme quantile estimation. We apply our method to the well-known, troublesome example of the River Nidd dataset.

This paper presents two methods for approximating a proper subset of the entries of a Hessian using only function evaluations. These approximations are obtained using the techniques called \emph{generalized simplex Hessian} and \emph{generalized centered simplex Hessian}. We show how to choose the matrices of directions involved in the computation of these two techniques depending on the entries of the Hessian of interest. We discuss the number of function evaluations required in each case and develop a general formula to approximate all order-$P$ partial derivatives. Since only function evaluations are required to compute the methods discussed in this paper, they are suitable for use in derivative-free optimization methods.

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice the expected Gaussian behavior may poorly represent the shape of the posterior, thus affecting approximation accuracy. Motivated by these considerations, we derive an improved class of closed-form approximations of posterior distributions which arise from a new treatment of a third-order version of the Laplace method yielding approximations in a tractable family of skew-symmetric distributions. Under general assumptions which account for misspecified models and non-i.i.d. settings, this family of approximations is shown to have a total variation distance from the target posterior whose rate of convergence improves by at least one order of magnitude the one established by the classical Bernstein-von Mises theorem. Specializing this result to the case of regular parametric models shows that the same improvement in approximation accuracy can be also derived for polynomially bounded posterior functionals. Unlike other higher-order approximations, our results prove that it is possible to derive closed-form and valid densities which are expected to provide, in practice, a more accurate, yet similarly-tractable, alternative to Gaussian approximations of the target posterior, while inheriting its limiting frequentist properties. We strengthen such arguments by developing a practical skew-modal approximation for both joint and marginal posteriors that achieves the same theoretical guarantees of its theoretical counterpart by replacing the unknown model parameters with the corresponding MAP estimate. Empirical studies confirm that our theoretical results closely match the remarkable performance observed in practice, even in finite, possibly small, sample regimes.

Deep learning is usually described as an experiment-driven field under continuous criticizes of lacking theoretical foundations. This problem has been partially fixed by a large volume of literature which has so far not been well organized. This paper reviews and organizes the recent advances in deep learning theory. The literature is categorized in six groups: (1) complexity and capacity-based approaches for analyzing the generalizability of deep learning; (2) stochastic differential equations and their dynamic systems for modelling stochastic gradient descent and its variants, which characterize the optimization and generalization of deep learning, partially inspired by Bayesian inference; (3) the geometrical structures of the loss landscape that drives the trajectories of the dynamic systems; (4) the roles of over-parameterization of deep neural networks from both positive and negative perspectives; (5) theoretical foundations of several special structures in network architectures; and (6) the increasingly intensive concerns in ethics and security and their relationships with generalizability.