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Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and sophisticated deep learning techniques such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks have demonstrated their mettle by achieving enhanced predictive performance. In our investigation, we delve into the efficacy of the relatively recent Gated Recurrent Network (GRU) model within the context of load forecasting. GRU models are garnering attention due to their inherent capacity to adeptly capture and model temporal dependencies within data streams. Our methodology entails harnessing the power of Differential Evolution, a versatile optimization technique renowned for its prowess in delivering scalable, robust, and globally optimal solutions, especially in scenarios involving non-differentiable, multi-objective, or constrained optimization challenges. Through rigorous analysis, we undertake a comparative assessment of the proposed Gated Recurrent Network model, collaboratively fused with various metaheuristic algorithms, evaluating their performance by leveraging established numerical benchmarks such as Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Our empirical investigations are conducted using power load data originating from the Ontario province, Canada. Our research findings cast a spotlight on the remarkable potential of metaheuristic-augmented Gated Recurrent Network models in substantially augmenting load forecasting precision, offering tailored, optimal hyperparameter configurations uniquely suited to each model's performance characteristics.

Counterfactual Explanations (CEs) have received increasing interest as a major methodology for explaining neural network classifiers. Usually, CEs for an input-output pair are defined as data points with minimum distance to the input that are classified with a different label than the output. To tackle the established problem that CEs are easily invalidated when model parameters are updated (e.g. retrained), studies have proposed ways to certify the robustness of CEs under model parameter changes bounded by a norm ball. However, existing methods targeting this form of robustness are not sound or complete, and they may generate implausible CEs, i.e., outliers wrt the training dataset. In fact, no existing method simultaneously optimises for proximity and plausibility while preserving robustness guarantees. In this work, we propose Provably RObust and PLAusible Counterfactual Explanations (PROPLACE), a method leveraging on robust optimisation techniques to address the aforementioned limitations in the literature. We formulate an iterative algorithm to compute provably robust CEs and prove its convergence, soundness and completeness. Through a comparative experiment involving six baselines, five of which target robustness, we show that PROPLACE achieves state-of-the-art performances against metrics on three evaluation aspects.

The problem of function approximation by neural dynamical systems has typically been approached in a top-down manner: Any continuous function can be approximated to an arbitrary accuracy by a sufficiently complex model with a given architecture. This can lead to high-complexity controls which are impractical in applications. In this paper, we take the opposite, constructive approach: We impose various structural restrictions on system dynamics and consequently characterize the class of functions that can be realized by such a system. The systems are implemented as a cascade interconnection of a neural stochastic differential equation (Neural SDE), a deterministic dynamical system, and a readout map. Both probabilistic and geometric (Lie-theoretic) methods are used to characterize the classes of functions realized by such systems.

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are recognized as promising technologies for area coverage due to the flexibility and adaptability. However, the ability of a single UAV is limited, and as for the large-scale three-dimensional (3D) scenario, UAV swarms can establish seamless wireless communication services. Hence, in this work, we consider a scenario of UAV swarm deployment and trajectory to satisfy 3D coverage considering the effects of obstacles. In detail, we propose a hierarchical swarm framework to efficiently serve the large-area users. Then, the problem is formulated to minimize the total trajectory loss of the UAV swarm. However, the problem is intractable due to the non-convex property, and we decompose it into smaller issues of users clustering, UAV swarm hovering points selection, and swarm trajectory determination. Moreover, we design a Q-learning based algorithm to accelerate the solution efficiency. Finally, we conduct extensive simulations to verify the proposed mechanisms, and the designed algorithm outperforms other referred methods.

Numerically solving partial differential equations typically requires fine discretization to resolve necessary spatiotemporal scales, which can be computationally expensive. Recent advances in deep learning have provided a new approach to solving partial differential equations that involves the use of neural operators. Neural operators are neural network architectures that learn mappings between function spaces and have the capability to solve partial differential equations based on data. This study utilizes a novel neural operator called Hyena, which employs a long convolutional filter that is parameterized by a multilayer perceptron. The Hyena operator is an operation that enjoys sub-quadratic complexity and state space model to parameterize long convolution that enjoys a global receptive field. This mechanism enhances the model's comprehension of the input's context and enables data-dependent weight for different partial differential equations instances. To measure how effective the layers are in solving partial differential equations, we conduct experiments on Diffusion-Reaction equation and Navier Stokes equation. Our findings indicate Hyena Neural operator can serve as an efficient and accurate model for learning partial differential equations solution operator. The data and code used can be found at: //github.com/Saupatil07/Hyena-Neural-Operator

Gradient methods are experiencing a growth in methodological and theoretical developments owing to the challenges of optimization problems arising in data science. Focusing on data science applications with expensive objective function evaluations yet inexpensive gradient function evaluations, gradient methods that never make objective function evaluations are either being rejuvenated or actively developed. However, as we show, such gradient methods are all susceptible to catastrophic divergence under realistic conditions for data science applications. In light of this, gradient methods which make use of objective function evaluations become more appealing, yet, as we show, can result in an exponential increase in objective evaluations between accepted iterates. As a result, existing gradient methods are poorly suited to the needs of optimization problems arising from data science. In this work, we address this gap by developing a generic methodology that economically uses objective function evaluations in a problem-driven manner to prevent catastrophic divergence and avoid an explosion in objective evaluations between accepted iterates. Our methodology allows for specific procedures that can make use of specific step size selection methodologies or search direction strategies, and we develop a novel step size selection methodology that is well-suited to data science applications. We show that a procedure resulting from our methodology is highly competitive with standard optimization methods on CUTEst test problems. We then show a procedure resulting from our methodology is highly favorable relative to standard optimization methods on optimization problems arising in our target data science applications. Thus, we provide a novel gradient methodology that is better suited to optimization problems arising in data science.

Opioids are an effective analgesic for acute and chronic pain, but also carry a considerable risk of addiction leading to millions of opioid use disorder (OUD) cases and tens of thousands of premature deaths in the United States yearly. Estimating OUD risk prior to prescription could improve the efficacy of treatment regimens, monitoring programs, and intervention strategies, but risk estimation is typically based on self-reported data or questionnaires. We develop an experimental design and computational methods that combines genetic variants associated with OUD with behavioral features extracted from GPS and Wi-Fi spatiotemporal coordinates to assess OUD risk. Since both OUD mobility and genetic data do not exist for the same cohort, we develop algorithms to (1) generate mobility features from empirical distributions and (2) synthesize mobility and genetic samples assuming a level of comorbidity and relative risks. We show that integrating genetic and mobility modalities improves risk modelling using classification accuracy, area under the precision-recall and receiver operator characteristic curves, and $F_1$ score. Interpreting the fitted models suggests that mobility features have more influence on OUD risk, although the genetic contribution was significant, particularly in linear models. While there exists concerns with respect to privacy, security, bias, and generalizability that must be evaluated in clinical trials before being implemented in practice, our framework provides preliminary evidence that behavioral and genetic features may improve OUD risk estimation to assist with personalized clinical decision-making.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown excellent generalization capabilities that have led to the development of numerous models. These models propose various new architectures, tweaking existing architectures with refined training strategies, increasing context length, using high-quality training data, and increasing training time to outperform baselines. Analyzing new developments is crucial for identifying changes that enhance training stability and improve generalization in LLMs. This survey paper comprehensively analyses the LLMs architectures and their categorization, training strategies, training datasets, and performance evaluations and discusses future research directions. Moreover, the paper also discusses the basic building blocks and concepts behind LLMs, followed by a complete overview of LLMs, including their important features and functions. Finally, the paper summarizes significant findings from LLM research and consolidates essential architectural and training strategies for developing advanced LLMs. Given the continuous advancements in LLMs, we intend to regularly update this paper by incorporating new sections and featuring the latest LLM models.

Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis, thereby allowing manual manipulation in predicting the final answer.

Detecting carried objects is one of the requirements for developing systems to reason about activities involving people and objects. We present an approach to detect carried objects from a single video frame with a novel method that incorporates features from multiple scales. Initially, a foreground mask in a video frame is segmented into multi-scale superpixels. Then the human-like regions in the segmented area are identified by matching a set of extracted features from superpixels against learned features in a codebook. A carried object probability map is generated using the complement of the matching probabilities of superpixels to human-like regions and background information. A group of superpixels with high carried object probability and strong edge support is then merged to obtain the shape of the carried object. We applied our method to two challenging datasets, and results show that our method is competitive with or better than the state-of-the-art.