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We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginals and a Gaussian dependence structure. The marginal distributions are allowed to have non-homogeneous tail behavior which is in contrast to most popular modeling paradigms for multivariate heavy-tails. Estimation and analysis in such models have been limited due to the so-called asymptotic tail independence property of Gaussian copula rendering probabilities of many relevant extreme sets negligible. In this paper we obtain precise asymptotic expressions for these erstwhile negligible probabilities. We also provide consistent estimates of the marginal tail indices and the Gaussian correlation parameters, and, establish their joint asymptotic normality. The efficacy of our estimation methods are exhibited using extensive simulations as well as real data sets from online networks, insurance claims, and internet traffic.

Stochastic dual dynamic programming is a cutting plane type algorithm for multi-stage stochastic optimization originated about 30 years ago. In spite of its popularity in practice, there does not exist any analysis on the convergence rates of this method. In this paper, we first establish the number of iterations, i.e., iteration complexity, required by a basic dynamic cutting plane method for solving relatively simple multi-stage optimization problems, by introducing novel mathematical tools including the saturation of search points. We then refine these basic tools and establish the iteration complexity for both deterministic and stochastic dual dynamic programming methods for solving more general multi-stage stochastic optimization problems under the standard stage-wise independence assumption. Our results indicate that the complexity of some deterministic variants of these methods mildly increases with the number of stages $T$, in fact linearly dependent on $T$ for discounted problems. Therefore, they are efficient for strategic decision making which involves a large number of stages, but with a relatively small number of decision variables in each stage. Without explicitly discretizing the state and action spaces, these methods might also be pertinent to the related reinforcement learning and stochastic control areas.

We consider problems of minimizing functionals $\mathcal{F}$ of probability measures on the Euclidean space. To propose an accelerated gradient descent algorithm for such problems, we consider gradient flow of transport maps that give push-forward measures of an initial measure. Then we propose a deterministic accelerated algorithm by extending Nesterov's acceleration technique with momentum. This algorithm do not based on the Wasserstein geometry. Furthermore, to estimate the convergence rate of the accelerated algorithm, we introduce new convexity and smoothness for $\mathcal{F}$ based on transport maps. As a result, we can show that the accelerated algorithm converges faster than a normal gradient descent algorithm. Numerical experiments support this theoretical result.

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer to them as predicted future covariates. However, existing methods that attempt to predict time series in an iterative manner with autoregressive models end up with exponential error accumulations. Other strategies hat consider the past and future in the encoder and decoder respectively limit themselves by dealing with the historical and future data separately. To address these limitations, a novel feature representation strategy -- shifting -- is proposed to fuse the past data and future covariates such that their interactions can be considered. To extract complex dynamics in time series, we develop a parallel deep learning framework composed of RNN and CNN, both of which are used hierarchically. We also utilize the skip connection technique to improve the model's performance. Extensive experiments on three datasets reveal the effectiveness of our method. Finally, we demonstrate the model interpretability using the Grad-CAM algorithm.

We propose a novel spectral method for the Allen--Cahn equation on spheres that does not necessarily require quadrature exactness assumptions. Instead of certain exactness degrees, we employ a restricted isometry relation based on the Marcinkiewicz--Zygmund system of quadrature rules to quantify the quadrature error of polynomial integrands. The new method imposes only some conditions on the polynomial degree of numerical solutions to derive the maximum principle and energy stability, and thus, differs substantially from existing methods in the literature that often rely on strict conditions on the time stepping size, Lipschitz property of the nonlinear term, or $L^{\infty}$ boundedness of numerical solutions. Moreover, the new method is suitable for long-time simulations because the time stepping size is independent of the diffusion coefficient in the equation. Inspired by the effective maximum principle recently proposed by Li (Ann. Appl. Math., 37(2): 131--290, 2021), we develop an almost sharp maximum principle that allows controllable deviation of numerical solutions from the sharp bound. Further, we show that the new method is energy stable and equivalent to the Galerkin method if the quadrature rule exhibits sufficient exactness degrees. In addition, we propose an energy-stable mixed-quadrature scheme which works well even with randomly sampled initial condition data. We validate the theoretical results about the energy stability and the almost sharp maximum principle by numerical experiments on the 2-sphere $\mathbb{S}^2$.

Single-Molecule Localization Microscopy (SMLM) has expanded our ability to visualize subcellular structures but is limited in its temporal resolution. Increasing emitter density will improve temporal resolution, but current analysis algorithms struggle as emitter images significantly overlap. Here we present a deep convolutional neural network called LUENN which utilizes a unique architecture that rejects the isolated emitter assumption; it can smoothly accommodate emitters that range from completely isolated to co-located. This architecture, alongside an accurate estimator of location uncertainty, extends the range of usable emitter densities by a factor of 6 to over 31 emitters per micrometer-squared with reduced penalty to localization precision and improved temporal resolution. Apart from providing uncertainty estimation, the algorithm improves usability in laboratories by reducing imaging times and easing requirements for successful experiments.

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods encounter challenges when solving partial differential equations with high dimensional random inputs, which are typically caused by the large number of stochastic basis functions required. It becomes crucial to properly choose effective basis functions, such that the dimension of the stochastic approximation space can be reduced. In this work, we focus on the stochastic Galerkin approximation associated with generalized polynomial chaos (gPC), and explore the gPC expansion based on the analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition. A concise form of the gPC expansion is presented for each component function of the ANOVA expansion, and an adaptive ANOVA procedure is proposed to construct the overall stochastic Galerkin system. Numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of our proposed adaptive ANOVA stochastic Galerkin method.

In this paper we consider the generalized inverse iteration for computing ground states of the Gross-Pitaevskii eigenvector problem (GPE). For that we prove explicit linear convergence rates that depend on the maximum eigenvalue in magnitude of a weighted linear eigenvalue problem. Furthermore, we show that this eigenvalue can be bounded by the first spectral gap of a linearized Gross-Pitaevskii operator, recovering the same rates as for linear eigenvector problems. With this we establish the first local convergence result for the basic inverse iteration for the GPE without damping. We also show how our findings directly generalize to extended inverse iterations, such as the Gradient Flow Discrete Normalized (GFDN) proposed in [W. Bao, Q. Du, SIAM J. Sci. Comput., 25 (2004)] or the damped inverse iteration suggested in [P. Henning, D. Peterseim, SIAM J. Numer. Anal., 53 (2020)]. Our analysis also reveals why the inverse iteration for the GPE does not react favourably to spectral shifts. This empirical observation can now be explained with a blow-up of a weighting function that crucially contributes to the convergence rates. Our findings are illustrated by numerical experiments.

Diabetes mellitus is a disease that affects to hundreds of millions of people worldwide. Maintaining a good control of the disease is critical to avoid severe long-term complications. In recent years, several artificial pancreas systems have been proposed and developed, which are increasingly advanced. However there is still a lot of research to do. One of the main problems that arises in the (semi) automatic control of diabetes, is to get a model explaining how glycemia (glucose levels in blood) varies with insulin, food intakes and other factors, fitting the characteristics of each individual or patient. This paper proposes the application of evolutionary computation techniques to obtain customized models of patients, unlike most of previous approaches which obtain averaged models. The proposal is based on a kind of genetic programming based on grammars known as Grammatical Evolution (GE). The proposal has been tested with in-silico patient data and results are clearly positive. We present also a study of four different grammars and five objective functions. In the test phase the models characterized the glucose with a mean percentage average error of 13.69\%, modeling well also both hyper and hypoglycemic situations.