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Population-based structural health monitoring (PBSHM) aims to share valuable information among members of a population, such as normal- and damage-condition data, to improve inferences regarding the health states of the members. Even when the population is comprised of nominally-identical structures, benign variations among the members will exist as a result of slight differences in material properties, geometry, boundary conditions, or environmental effects (e.g., temperature changes). These discrepancies can affect modal properties and present as changes in the characteristics of the resonance peaks of the frequency response function (FRF). Many SHM strategies depend on monitoring the dynamic properties of structures, so benign variations can be challenging for the practical implementation of these systems. Another common challenge with vibration-based SHM is data loss, which may result from transmission issues, sensor failure, a sample-rate mismatch between sensors, and other causes. Missing data in the time domain will result in decreased resolution in the frequency domain, which can impair dynamic characterisation. The hierarchical Bayesian approach provides a useful modelling structure for PBSHM, because statistical distributions at the population and individual (or domain) level are learnt simultaneously to bolster statistical strength among the parameters. As a result, variance is reduced among the parameter estimates, particularly when data are limited. In this paper, combined probabilistic FRF models are developed for a small population of nominally-identical helicopter blades under varying temperature conditions, using a hierarchical Bayesian structure. These models address critical challenges in SHM, by accommodating benign variations that present as differences in the underlying dynamics, while also considering (and utilising), the similarities among the blades.

The ability to detect and analyze failed executions automatically is crucial for an explainable and robust robotic system. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong reasoning abilities on textual inputs. To leverage the power of LLM for robot failure explanation, we introduce a framework REFLECT, which queries LLM to identify and explain robot failures given a hierarchical summary of robot past experiences generated from multi-sensory data. Conditioned on the explanation, a task planner will generate an executable plan for the robot to correct the failure and complete the task. To systematically evaluate the framework, we create the RoboFail dataset with a variety of tasks and failure scenarios. We demonstrate that the LLM-based framework is able to generate informative failure explanations that assist successful correction planning. Videos and code available at: //roboreflect.github.io/.

Inference algorithms for probabilistic programming are complex imperative programs with many moving parts. Efficient inference often requires customising an algorithm to a particular probabilistic model or problem, sometimes called inference programming. Most inference frameworks are implemented in languages that lack a disciplined approach to side effects, which can result in monolithic implementations where the structure of the algorithms is obscured and inference programming is hard. Functional programming with typed effects offers a more structured and modular foundation for programmable inference, with monad transformers being the primary structuring mechanism explored to date. This paper presents an alternative approach to inference programming based on algebraic effects. Using effect signatures to specify the key operations of the algorithms, and effect handlers to modularly interpret those operations for specific variants, we develop two abstract algorithms, or inference patterns, representing two important classes of inference: Metropolis-Hastings and particle filtering. We show how our approach reveals the algorithms' high-level structure, and makes it easy to tailor and recombine their parts into new variants. We implement the two inference patterns as a Haskell library, and discuss the pros and cons of algebraic effects vis-a-vis monad transformers as a structuring mechanism for modular imperative algorithm design.

We present an algorithm to solve the dispersive depth-averaged Serre-Green-Naghdi (SGN) equations using patch-based adaptive mesh refinement. These equations require adding additional higher derivative terms to the nonlinear shallow water equations. This has been implemented as a new component of the open source GeoClaw software that is widely used for modeling tsunamis, storm surge, and related hazards, improving its accuracy on shorter wavelength phenomena. The equations require the solution of an elliptic system at each time step. The adaptive algorithm allows different time steps on different refinement levels, and solves the implicit equations level by level. Computational examples are presented to illustrate the stability and accuracy on a radially symmetric test case and two realistic tsunami modeling problems, including a hypothetical asteroid impact creating a short wavelength tsunami for which dispersive terms are necessary.

Explainability of neural network prediction is essential to understand feature importance and gain interpretable insight into neural network performance. However, explanations of neural network outcomes are mostly limited to visualization, and there is scarce work that looks to use these explanations as feedback to improve model performance. In this work, model explanations are fed back to the feed-forward training to help the model generalize better. To this extent, a custom weighted loss where the weights are generated by considering the Euclidean distances between true LIME (Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations) explanations and model-predicted LIME explanations is proposed. Also, in practical training scenarios, developing a solution that can help the model learn sequentially without losing information on previous data distribution is imperative due to the unavailability of all the training data at once. Thus, the framework incorporates the custom weighted loss with Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC) to maintain performance in sequential testing sets. The proposed custom training procedure results in a consistent enhancement of accuracy ranging from 0.5% to 1.5% throughout all phases of the incremental learning setup compared to traditional loss-based training methods for the keyword spotting task using the Google Speech Commands dataset.

Over the past decades, discrete dislocation dynamics simulations have been shown to reliably predict the evolution of dislocation microstructures for micrometer-sized metallic samples. Such simulations provide insight into the governing deformation mechanisms and the interplay between different physical phenomena such as dislocation reactions or cross-slip. This work is focused on a detailed analysis of the influence of the cross-slip on the evolution of dislocation systems. A tailored data mining strategy using the ``\ab*{discrete-to-continuous} framework'' allows to quantify differences and to quantitatively compare dislocation structures. We analyze the quantitative effects of the cross-slip on the microstructure in the course of a tensile test and a subsequent relaxation to present the role of cross-slip in the microstructure evolution. The precision of the extracted quantitative information using D2C strongly depends on the resolution of the domain averaging. We also analyze how the resolution of the averaging influences the distribution of total dislocation density and curvature fields of the specimen. Our analyzes are important approaches for interpreting the resulting structures calculated by dislocation dynamics simulations.

Data in Knowledge Graphs often represents part of the current state of the real world. Thus, to stay up-to-date the graph data needs to be updated frequently. To utilize information from Knowledge Graphs, many state-of-the-art machine learning approaches use embedding techniques. These techniques typically compute an embedding, i.e., vector representations of the nodes as input for the main machine learning algorithm. If a graph update occurs later on -- specifically when nodes are added or removed -- the training has to be done all over again. This is undesirable, because of the time it takes and also because downstream models which were trained with these embeddings have to be retrained if they change significantly. In this paper, we investigate embedding updates that do not require full retraining and evaluate them in combination with various embedding models on real dynamic Knowledge Graphs covering multiple use cases. We study approaches that place newly appearing nodes optimally according to local information, but notice that this does not work well. However, we find that if we continue the training of the old embedding, interleaved with epochs during which we only optimize for the added and removed parts, we obtain good results in terms of typical metrics used in link prediction. This performance is obtained much faster than with a complete retraining and hence makes it possible to maintain embeddings for dynamic Knowledge Graphs.

Large-scale pre-trained models (PTMs) such as BERT and GPT have recently achieved great success and become a milestone in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). Owing to sophisticated pre-training objectives and huge model parameters, large-scale PTMs can effectively capture knowledge from massive labeled and unlabeled data. By storing knowledge into huge parameters and fine-tuning on specific tasks, the rich knowledge implicitly encoded in huge parameters can benefit a variety of downstream tasks, which has been extensively demonstrated via experimental verification and empirical analysis. It is now the consensus of the AI community to adopt PTMs as backbone for downstream tasks rather than learning models from scratch. In this paper, we take a deep look into the history of pre-training, especially its special relation with transfer learning and self-supervised learning, to reveal the crucial position of PTMs in the AI development spectrum. Further, we comprehensively review the latest breakthroughs of PTMs. These breakthroughs are driven by the surge of computational power and the increasing availability of data, towards four important directions: designing effective architectures, utilizing rich contexts, improving computational efficiency, and conducting interpretation and theoretical analysis. Finally, we discuss a series of open problems and research directions of PTMs, and hope our view can inspire and advance the future study of PTMs.

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.