IMPORTANCE The response effectiveness of different large language models (LLMs) and various individuals, including medical students, graduate students, and practicing physicians, in pediatric ophthalmology consultations, has not been clearly established yet. OBJECTIVE Design a 100-question exam based on pediatric ophthalmology to evaluate the performance of LLMs in highly specialized scenarios and compare them with the performance of medical students and physicians at different levels. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This survey study assessed three LLMs, namely ChatGPT (GPT-3.5), GPT-4, and PaLM2, were assessed alongside three human cohorts: medical students, postgraduate students, and attending physicians, in their ability to answer questions related to pediatric ophthalmology. It was conducted by administering questionnaires in the form of test papers through the LLM network interface, with the valuable participation of volunteers. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Mean scores of LLM and humans on 100 multiple-choice questions, as well as the answer stability, correlation, and response confidence of each LLM. RESULTS GPT-4 performed comparably to attending physicians, while ChatGPT (GPT-3.5) and PaLM2 outperformed medical students but slightly trailed behind postgraduate students. Furthermore, GPT-4 exhibited greater stability and confidence when responding to inquiries compared to ChatGPT (GPT-3.5) and PaLM2. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Our results underscore the potential for LLMs to provide medical assistance in pediatric ophthalmology and suggest significant capacity to guide the education of medical students.
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We discuss a class of coupled system of nonlocal balance laws modeling multilane traffic, with the nonlocality present in both convective and source terms. The uniqueness and existence of the entropy solution is proven via doubling of the variables arguments and convergent finite volume approximations, respectively. The numerical approximations are proven to converge to the unique entropy solution of the system at the rate $\sqrt{\Delta t}$. The applicability of the proven theory to a general class of systems of nonlocal balance laws coupled strongly through the convective part and weakly through the source part, is also indicated. Numerical simulations illustrating the theory and the behavior of the entropy solution as the support of the kernel goes to zero(nonlocal to local limit), are shown.
The statistical analysis of group studies in neuroscience is particularly challenging due to the complex spatio-temporal nature of the data, its multiple levels and the inter-individual variability in brain responses. In this respect, traditional ANOVA-based studies and linear mixed effects models typically provide only limited exploration of the dynamic of the group brain activity and variability of the individual responses potentially leading to overly simplistic conclusions and/or missing more intricate patterns. In this study we propose a novel method based on functional Principal Components Analysis and Bayesian model-based clustering to simultaneously assess group effects and individual deviations over the most important temporal features in the data. This method provides a thorough exploration of group differences and individual deviations in neuroscientific group studies without compromising on the spatio-temporal nature of the data. By means of a simulation study we demonstrate that the proposed model returns correct classification in different clustering scenarios under low and high of noise levels in the data. Finally we consider a case study using Electroencephalogram data recorded during an object recognition task where our approach provides new insights into the underlying brain mechanisms generating the data and their variability.
In recent literature, for modeling reasons, fractional differential problems have been considered equipped with anti-symmetric boundary conditions. Twenty years ago the anti-reflective boundary conditions were introduced in a context of signal processing and imaging for increasing the quality of the reconstruction of a blurred signal/image contaminated by noise and for reducing the overall complexity to that of few fast sine transforms i.e. to $O(N\log N)$ real arithmetic operations, where $N$ is the number of pixels. Here we consider the anti-symmetric boundary conditions and we introduce the anti-reflective boundary conditions in the context of nonlocal problems of fractional differential type. In the latter context, we study both types of boundary conditions, which in reality are similar in the essentials, from the perspective of computational efficiency, by considering nontruncated and truncated versions. Several numerical tests, tables, and visualizations are provided and critically discussed.
This study investigates the potential of automated deep learning to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of multi-class classification of bird vocalizations, compared against traditional manually-designed deep learning models. Using the Western Mediterranean Wetland Birds dataset, we investigated the use of AutoKeras, an automated machine learning framework, to automate neural architecture search and hyperparameter tuning. Comparative analysis validates our hypothesis that the AutoKeras-derived model consistently outperforms traditional models like MobileNet, ResNet50 and VGG16. Our approach and findings underscore the transformative potential of automated deep learning for advancing bioacoustics research and models. In fact, the automated techniques eliminate the need for manual feature engineering and model design while improving performance. This study illuminates best practices in sampling, evaluation and reporting to enhance reproducibility in this nascent field. All the code used is available at https: //github.com/giuliotosato/AutoKeras-bioacustic Keywords: AutoKeras; automated deep learning; audio classification; Wetlands Bird dataset; comparative analysis; bioacoustics; validation dataset; multi-class classification; spectrograms.
Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). It is important to evaluate the performance of statistical methods in different scenarios, and simulation studies are a key tool for such evaluations. In such simulation studies, it is common to generate data in such a way that the model of interest is correctly specified, but this is not always straightforward when the model of interest is for potential outcomes, as is an MSM. Methods have been proposed for simulating from MSMs for a survival outcome, but these methods impose restrictions on the data-generating mechanism. Here we propose a method that overcomes these restrictions. The MSM can be a marginal structural logistic model for a discrete survival time or a Cox or additive hazards MSM for a continuous survival time. The hazard of the potential survival time can be conditional on baseline covariates, and the treatment variable can be discrete or continuous. We illustrate the use of the proposed simulation algorithm by carrying out a brief simulation study. This study compares the coverage of confidence intervals calculated in two different ways for causal effect estimates obtained by fitting an MSM via IPTW.
We propose a simple multivariate normality test based on Kac-Bernstein's characterization, which can be conducted by utilising existing statistical independence tests for sums and differences of data samples. We also perform its empirical investigation, which reveals that for high-dimensional data, the proposed approach may be more efficient than the alternative ones. The accompanying code repository is provided at \url{//shorturl.at/rtuy5}.
Scientific claims gain credibility by replicability, especially if replication under different circumstances and varying designs yields equivalent results. Aggregating results over multiple studies is, however, not straightforward, and when the heterogeneity between studies increases, conventional methods such as (Bayesian) meta-analysis and Bayesian sequential updating become infeasible. *Bayesian Evidence Synthesis*, built upon the foundations of the Bayes factor, allows to aggregate support for conceptually similar hypotheses over studies, regardless of methodological differences. We assess the performance of Bayesian Evidence Synthesis over multiple effect and sample sizes, with a broad set of (inequality-constrained) hypotheses using Monte Carlo simulations, focusing explicitly on the complexity of the hypotheses under consideration. The simulations show that this method can evaluate complex (informative) hypotheses regardless of methodological differences between studies, and performs adequately if the set of studies considered has sufficient statistical power. Additionally, we pinpoint challenging conditions that can lead to unsatisfactory results, and provide suggestions on handling these situations. Ultimately, we show that Bayesian Evidence Synthesis is a promising tool that can be used when traditional research synthesis methods are not applicable due to insurmountable between-study heterogeneity.
Most state-of-the-art machine learning techniques revolve around the optimisation of loss functions. Defining appropriate loss functions is therefore critical to successfully solving problems in this field. We present a survey of the most commonly used loss functions for a wide range of different applications, divided into classification, regression, ranking, sample generation and energy based modelling. Overall, we introduce 33 different loss functions and we organise them into an intuitive taxonomy. Each loss function is given a theoretical backing and we describe where it is best used. This survey aims to provide a reference of the most essential loss functions for both beginner and advanced machine learning practitioners.
We derive information-theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on the information contained in predictions rather than in the output of the training algorithm. These bounds improve over the existing information-theoretic bounds, are applicable to a wider range of algorithms, and solve two key challenges: (a) they give meaningful results for deterministic algorithms and (b) they are significantly easier to estimate. We show experimentally that the proposed bounds closely follow the generalization gap in practical scenarios for deep learning.
Graph representation learning for hypergraphs can be used to extract patterns among higher-order interactions that are critically important in many real world problems. Current approaches designed for hypergraphs, however, are unable to handle different types of hypergraphs and are typically not generic for various learning tasks. Indeed, models that can predict variable-sized heterogeneous hyperedges have not been available. Here we develop a new self-attention based graph neural network called Hyper-SAGNN applicable to homogeneous and heterogeneous hypergraphs with variable hyperedge sizes. We perform extensive evaluations on multiple datasets, including four benchmark network datasets and two single-cell Hi-C datasets in genomics. We demonstrate that Hyper-SAGNN significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on traditional tasks while also achieving great performance on a new task called outsider identification. Hyper-SAGNN will be useful for graph representation learning to uncover complex higher-order interactions in different applications.
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