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The Shannon entropy of a random variable $X$ has much behaviour analogous to a signed measure. Previous work has concretized this connection by defining a signed measure $\mu$ on an abstract information space $\tilde{X}$, which is taken to represent the information that $X$ contains. This construction is sufficient to derive many measure-theoretical counterparts to information quantities such as the mutual information $I(X; Y) = \mu(\tilde{X} \cap \tilde{Y})$, the joint entropy $H(X,Y) = \mu(\tilde{X} \cup \tilde{Y})$, and the conditional entropy $H(X|Y) = \mu(\tilde{X}\, \setminus \, \tilde{Y})$. We demonstrate that there exists a much finer decomposition with intuitive properties which we call the logarithmic decomposition (LD). We show that this signed measure space has the useful property that its logarithmic atoms are easily characterised with negative or positive entropy, while also being coherent with Yeung's $I$-measure. We present the usability of our approach by re-examining the G\'acs-K\"orner common information from this new geometric perspective and characterising it in terms of our logarithmic atoms. We then highlight that our geometric refinement can account for an entire class of information quantities, which we call logarithmically decomposable quantities.

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as calibration, of a model, common approaches entail the addition of either data-dependent or data-independent regularization terms to the training loss. Data-dependent regularizers have been recently introduced in the context of conventional frequentist learning to penalize deviations between confidence and accuracy. In contrast, data-independent regularizers are at the core of Bayesian learning, enforcing adherence of the variational distribution in the model parameter space to a prior density. The former approach is unable to quantify epistemic uncertainty, while the latter is severely affected by model misspecification. In light of the limitations of both methods, this paper proposes an integrated framework, referred to as calibration-aware Bayesian neural networks (CA-BNNs), that applies both regularizers while optimizing over a variational distribution as in Bayesian learning. Numerical results validate the advantages of the proposed approach in terms of expected calibration error (ECE) and reliability diagrams.

A Bayesian treatment of deep learning allows for the computation of uncertainties associated with the predictions of deep neural networks. We show how the concept of Errors-in-Variables can be used in Bayesian deep regression to also account for the uncertainty associated with the input of the employed neural network. The presented approach thereby exploits a relevant, but generally overlooked, source of uncertainty and yields a decomposition of the predictive uncertainty into an aleatoric and epistemic part that is more complete and, in many cases, more consistent from a statistical perspective. We discuss the approach along various simulated and real examples and observe that using an Errors-in-Variables model leads to an increase in the uncertainty while preserving the prediction performance of models without Errors-in-Variables. For examples with known regression function we observe that this ground truth is substantially better covered by the Errors-in-Variables model, indicating that the presented approach leads to a more reliable uncertainty estimation.

Inverse problems are in many cases solved with optimization techniques. When the underlying model is linear, first-order gradient methods are usually sufficient. With nonlinear models, due to nonconvexity, one must often resort to second-order methods that are computationally more expensive. In this work we aim to approximate a nonlinear model with a linear one and correct the resulting approximation error. We develop a sequential method that iteratively solves a linear inverse problem and updates the approximation error by evaluating it at the new solution. This treatment convexifies the problem and allows us to benefit from established convex optimization methods. We separately consider cases where the approximation is fixed over iterations and where the approximation is adaptive. In the fixed case we show theoretically under what assumptions the sequence converges. In the adaptive case, particularly considering the special case of approximation by first-order Taylor expansion, we show that with certain assumptions the sequence converges to a critical point of the original nonconvex functional. Furthermore, we show that with quadratic objective functions the sequence corresponds to the Gauss-Newton method. Finally, we showcase numerical results superior to the conventional model correction method. We also show, that a fixed approximation can provide competitive results with considerable computational speed-up.

Code verification plays an important role in establishing the credibility of computational simulations by assessing the correctness of the implementation of the underlying numerical methods. In computational electromagnetics, the numerical solution to integral equations incurs multiple interacting sources of numerical error, as well as other challenges, which render traditional code-verification approaches ineffective. In this paper, we provide approaches to separately measure the numerical errors arising from these different error sources for the method-of-moments implementation of the combined-field integral equation. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these approaches for cases with and without coding errors.

We obtain bounds to quantify the distributional approximation in the delta method for vector statistics (the sample mean of $n$ independent random vectors) for normal and non-normal limits, measured using smooth test functions. For normal limits, we obtain bounds of the optimal order $n^{-1/2}$ rate of convergence, but for a wide class of non-normal limits, which includes quadratic forms amongst others, we achieve bounds with a faster order $n^{-1}$ convergence rate. We apply our general bounds to derive explicit bounds to quantify distributional approximations of an estimator for Bernoulli variance, several statistics of sample moments, order $n^{-1}$ bounds for the chi-square approximation of a family of rank-based statistics, and we also provide an efficient independent derivation of an order $n^{-1}$ bound for the chi-square approximation of Pearson's statistic. In establishing our general results, we generalise recent results on Stein's method for functions of multivariate normal random vectors to vector-valued functions and sums of independent random vectors whose components may be dependent. These bounds are widely applicable and are of independent interest.

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a measure of uncertainty is necessary when change point methods are deployed in sensitive applications, for example, when one is interested in determining whether an organ is viable for transplant. The key of our proposal is framing the problem as a product of multiple single changes in the scale parameter. We fit the model through an iterative procedure similar to what is done for additive models. The novelty is that each iteration returns a probability distribution on time instances, which captures the uncertainty in the change point location. Leveraging a recent result in the literature, we can show that our proposal is a variational approximation of the exact model posterior distribution. We study the algorithm's convergence and the change point localization rate. Extensive experiments in simulation studies illustrate the performance of our method and the possibility of generalizing it to more complex data-generating mechanisms. We apply the new model to an experiment involving a novel technique to assess the viability of a liver and oceanographic data.

In this paper, we present a novel stochastic normal map-based algorithm ($\mathsf{norM}\text{-}\mathsf{SGD}$) for nonconvex composite-type optimization problems and discuss its convergence properties. Using a time window-based strategy, we first analyze the global convergence behavior of $\mathsf{norM}\text{-}\mathsf{SGD}$ and it is shown that every accumulation point of the generated sequence of iterates $\{\boldsymbol{x}^k\}_k$ corresponds to a stationary point almost surely and in an expectation sense. The obtained results hold under standard assumptions and extend the more limited convergence guarantees of the basic proximal stochastic gradient method. In addition, based on the well-known Kurdyka-{\L}ojasiewicz (KL) analysis framework, we provide novel point-wise convergence results for the iterates $\{\boldsymbol{x}^k\}_k$ and derive convergence rates that depend on the underlying KL exponent $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ and the step size dynamics $\{\alpha_k\}_k$. Specifically, for the popular step size scheme $\alpha_k=\mathcal{O}(1/k^\gamma)$, $\gamma \in (\frac23,1]$, (almost sure) rates of the form $\|\boldsymbol{x}^k-\boldsymbol{x}^*\| = \mathcal{O}(1/k^p)$, $p \in (0,\frac12)$, can be established. The obtained rates are faster than related and existing convergence rates for $\mathsf{SGD}$ and improve on the non-asymptotic complexity bounds for $\mathsf{norM}\text{-}\mathsf{SGD}$.

Minimum flow decomposition (MFD) is the NP-hard problem of finding a smallest decomposition of a network flow/circulation $X$ on a directed graph $G$ into weighted source-to-sink paths whose superposition equals $X$. We show that, for acyclic graphs, considering the \emph{width} of the graph (the minimum number of paths needed to cover all of its edges) yields advances in our understanding of its approximability. For the version of the problem that uses only non-negative weights, we identify and characterise a new class of \emph{width-stable} graphs, for which a popular heuristic is a \gwsimple-approximation ($|X|$ being the total flow of $X$), and strengthen its worst-case approximation ratio from $\Omega(\sqrt{m})$ to $\Omega(m / \log m)$ for sparse graphs, where $m$ is the number of edges in the graph. We also study a new problem on graphs with cycles, Minimum Cost Circulation Decomposition (MCCD), and show that it generalises MFD through a simple reduction. For the version allowing also negative weights, we give a $(\lceil \log \Vert X \Vert \rceil +1)$-approximation ($\Vert X \Vert$ being the maximum absolute value of $X$ on any edge) using a power-of-two approach, combined with parity fixing arguments and a decomposition of unitary circulations ($\Vert X \Vert \leq 1$), using a generalised notion of width for this problem. Finally, we disprove a conjecture about the linear independence of minimum (non-negative) flow decompositions posed by Kloster et al. [ALENEX 2018], but show that its useful implication (polynomial-time assignments of weights to a given set of paths to decompose a flow) holds for the negative version.

We consider $t$-Lee-error-correcting codes of length $n$ over the residue ring $\mathbb{Z}_m := \mathbb{Z}/m\mathbb{Z}$ and determine upper and lower bounds on the number of $t$-Lee-error-correcting codes. We use two different methods, namely estimating isolated nodes on bipartite graphs and the graph container method. The former gives density results for codes of fixed size and the latter for any size. This confirms some recent density results for linear Lee metric codes and provides new density results for nonlinear codes. To apply a variant of the graph container algorithm we also investigate some geometrical properties of the balls in the Lee metric.