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We consider the numerical approximation of variational problems with orthotropic growth, that is those where the integrand depends strongly on the coordinate directions with possibly different growth in each direction. Under realistic regularity assumptions we derive optimal error estimates. These estimates depend on the existence of an orthotropically stable interpolation operator. Over certain meshes we construct an orthotropically stable interpolant that is also a projection. Numerical experiments illustrate and explore the limits of our theory.

Adaptive first-order optimizers are fundamental tools in deep learning, although they may suffer from poor generalization due to the nonuniform gradient scaling. In this work, we propose AdamL, a novel variant of the Adam optimizer, that takes into account the loss function information to attain better generalization results. We provide sufficient conditions that together with the Polyak-Lojasiewicz inequality, ensure the linear convergence of AdamL. As a byproduct of our analysis, we prove similar convergence properties for the EAdam, and AdaBelief optimizers. Experimental results on benchmark functions show that AdamL typically achieves either the fastest convergence or the lowest objective function values when compared to Adam, EAdam, and AdaBelief. These superior performances are confirmed when considering deep learning tasks such as training convolutional neural networks, training generative adversarial networks using vanilla convolutional neural networks, and long short-term memory networks. Finally, in the case of vanilla convolutional neural networks, AdamL stands out from the other Adam's variants and does not require the manual adjustment of the learning rate during the later stage of the training.

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). It is important to evaluate the performance of statistical methods in different scenarios, and simulation studies are a key tool for such evaluations. In such simulation studies, it is common to generate data in such a way that the model of interest is correctly specified, but this is not always straightforward when the model of interest is for potential outcomes, as is an MSM. Methods have been proposed for simulating from MSMs for a survival outcome, but these methods impose restrictions on the data-generating mechanism. Here we propose a method that overcomes these restrictions. The MSM can be a marginal structural logistic model for a discrete survival time or a Cox or additive hazards MSM for a continuous survival time. The hazard of the potential survival time can be conditional on baseline covariates, and the treatment variable can be discrete or continuous. We illustrate the use of the proposed simulation algorithm by carrying out a brief simulation study. This study compares the coverage of confidence intervals calculated in two different ways for causal effect estimates obtained by fitting an MSM via IPTW.

We present a simple unifying treatment of a large class of applications from statistical mechanics, econometrics, mathematical finance, and insurance mathematics, where stable (possibly subordinated) L\'evy noise arises as a scaling limit of some form of continuous-time random walk (CTRW). For each application, it is natural to rely on weak convergence results for stochastic integrals on Skorokhod space in Skorokhod's J1 or M1 topologies. As compared to earlier and entirely separate works, we are able to give a more streamlined account while also allowing for greater generality and providing important new insights. For each application, we first make clear how the fundamental conclusions for J1 convergent CTRWs emerge as special cases of the same general principles, and we then illustrate how the specific settings give rise to different results for strictly M1 convergent CTRWs.

This paper presents the first application of the direct parametrisation method for invariant manifolds to a fully coupled multiphysics problem involving the nonlinear vibrations of deformable structures subjected to an electrostatic field. The formulation proposed is intended for model order reduction of electrostatically actuated resonating Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS). The continuous problem is first rewritten in a manner that can be directly handled by the parametrisation method, which relies upon automated asymptotic expansions. A new mixed fully Lagrangian formulation is thus proposed which contains only explicit polynomial nonlinearities, which is then discretised in the framework of finite element procedures. Validation is performed on the classical parallel plate configuration, where different formulations using either the general framework, or an approximation of the electrostatic field due to the geometric configuration selected, are compared. Reduced-order models along these formulations are also compared to full-order simulations operated with a time integration approach. Numerical results show a remarkable performance both in terms of accuracy and wealth of nonlinear effects that can be accounted for. In particular, the transition from hardening to softening behaviour of the primary resonance while increasing the constant voltage component of the electric actuation, is recovered. Secondary resonances leading to superharmonic and parametric resonances are also investigated with the reduced-order model.

As in many fields of medical research, survival analysis has witnessed a growing interest in the application of deep learning techniques to model complex, high-dimensional, heterogeneous, incomplete, and censored medical data. Current methods often make assumptions about the relations between data that may not be valid in practice. In response, we introduce SAVAE (Survival Analysis Variational Autoencoder), a novel approach based on Variational Autoencoders. SAVAE contributes significantly to the field by introducing a tailored ELBO formulation for survival analysis, supporting various parametric distributions for covariates and survival time (as long as the log-likelihood is differentiable). It offers a general method that consistently performs well on various metrics, demonstrating robustness and stability through different experiments. Our proposal effectively estimates time-to-event, accounting for censoring, covariate interactions, and time-varying risk associations. We validate our model in diverse datasets, including genomic, clinical, and demographic data, with varying levels of censoring. This approach demonstrates competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art techniques, as assessed by the Concordance Index and the Integrated Brier Score. SAVAE also offers an interpretable model that parametrically models covariates and time. Moreover, its generative architecture facilitates further applications such as clustering, data imputation, and the generation of synthetic patient data through latent space inference from survival data.

High-order tensor methods for solving both convex and nonconvex optimization problems have generated significant research interest, leading to algorithms with optimal global rates of convergence and local rates that are faster than Newton's method. On each iteration, these methods require the unconstrained local minimization of a (potentially nonconvex) multivariate polynomial of degree higher than two, constructed using third-order (or higher) derivative information, and regularized by an appropriate power of regularization. Developing efficient techniques for solving such subproblems is an ongoing topic of research, and this paper addresses the case of the third-order tensor subproblem. We propose the CQR algorithmic framework, for minimizing a nonconvex Cubic multivariate polynomial with Quartic Regularisation, by minimizing a sequence of local quadratic models that incorporate simple cubic and quartic terms. The role of the cubic term is to crudely approximate local tensor information, while the quartic one controls model regularization and progress. We provide necessary and sufficient optimality conditions that fully characterise the global minimizers of these cubic-quartic models. We then turn these conditions into secular equations that can be solved using nonlinear eigenvalue techniques. We show, using our optimality characterisations, that a CQR algorithmic variant has the optimal-order evaluation complexity of $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-3/2})$ when applied to minimizing our quartically-regularised cubic subproblem, which can be further improved in special cases. We propose practical CQR variants that use local tensor information to construct the local cubic-quartic models. We test these variants numerically and observe them to be competitive with ARC and other subproblem solvers on typical instances and even superior on ill-conditioned subproblems with special structure.

Artificial neural networks thrive in solving the classification problem for a particular rigid task, acquiring knowledge through generalized learning behaviour from a distinct training phase. The resulting network resembles a static entity of knowledge, with endeavours to extend this knowledge without targeting the original task resulting in a catastrophic forgetting. Continual learning shifts this paradigm towards networks that can continually accumulate knowledge over different tasks without the need to retrain from scratch. We focus on task incremental classification, where tasks arrive sequentially and are delineated by clear boundaries. Our main contributions concern 1) a taxonomy and extensive overview of the state-of-the-art, 2) a novel framework to continually determine the stability-plasticity trade-off of the continual learner, 3) a comprehensive experimental comparison of 11 state-of-the-art continual learning methods and 4 baselines. We empirically scrutinize method strengths and weaknesses on three benchmarks, considering Tiny Imagenet and large-scale unbalanced iNaturalist and a sequence of recognition datasets. We study the influence of model capacity, weight decay and dropout regularization, and the order in which the tasks are presented, and qualitatively compare methods in terms of required memory, computation time, and storage.

Machine-learning models have demonstrated great success in learning complex patterns that enable them to make predictions about unobserved data. In addition to using models for prediction, the ability to interpret what a model has learned is receiving an increasing amount of attention. However, this increased focus has led to considerable confusion about the notion of interpretability. In particular, it is unclear how the wide array of proposed interpretation methods are related, and what common concepts can be used to evaluate them. We aim to address these concerns by defining interpretability in the context of machine learning and introducing the Predictive, Descriptive, Relevant (PDR) framework for discussing interpretations. The PDR framework provides three overarching desiderata for evaluation: predictive accuracy, descriptive accuracy and relevancy, with relevancy judged relative to a human audience. Moreover, to help manage the deluge of interpretation methods, we introduce a categorization of existing techniques into model-based and post-hoc categories, with sub-groups including sparsity, modularity and simulatability. To demonstrate how practitioners can use the PDR framework to evaluate and understand interpretations, we provide numerous real-world examples. These examples highlight the often under-appreciated role played by human audiences in discussions of interpretability. Finally, based on our framework, we discuss limitations of existing methods and directions for future work. We hope that this work will provide a common vocabulary that will make it easier for both practitioners and researchers to discuss and choose from the full range of interpretation methods.