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Stochastic parareal (SParareal) is a probabilistic variant of the popular parallel-in-time algorithm known as parareal. Similarly to parareal, it combines fine- and coarse-grained solutions to an ordinary differential equation (ODE) using a predictor-corrector (PC) scheme. The key difference is that carefully chosen random perturbations are added to the PC to try to accelerate the location of a stochastic solution to the ODE. In this paper, we derive superlinear and linear mean-square error bounds for SParareal applied to nonlinear systems of ODEs using different types of perturbations. We illustrate these bounds numerically on a linear system of ODEs and a scalar nonlinear ODE, showing a good match between theory and numerics.

We consider a variant of pursuit-evasion games where a single defender is tasked to defend a static target from a sequence of periodically arriving intruders. The intruders' objective is to breach the boundary of a circular target without being captured and the defender's objective is to capture as many intruders as possible. At the beginning of each period, a new intruder appears at a random location on the perimeter of a fixed circle surrounding the target and moves radially towards the target center to breach the target. The intruders are slower in speed compared to the defender and they have their own sensing footprint through which they can perfectly detect the defender if it is within their sensing range. Considering the speed and sensing limitations of the agents, we analyze the entire game by dividing it into partial information and full information phases. We address the defender's capturability using the notions of engagement surface and capture circle. We develop and analyze three efficient strategies for the defender and derive a lower bound on the capture fraction. Finally, we conduct a series of simulations and numerical experiments to compare and contrast the three proposed approaches.

We propose a new approach for large-scale high-dynamic range computational imaging. Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) trained end-to-end can solve linear inverse imaging problems almost instantaneously. While unfolded architectures provide robustness to measurement setting variations, embedding large-scale measurement operators in DNN architectures is impractical. Alternative Plug-and-Play (PnP) approaches, where the denoising DNNs are blind to the measurement setting, have proven effective to address scalability and high-dynamic range challenges, but rely on highly iterative algorithms. We propose a residual DNN series approach, also interpretable as a learned version of matching pursuit, where the reconstructed image is a sum of residual images progressively increasing the dynamic range, and estimated iteratively by DNNs taking the back-projected data residual of the previous iteration as input. We demonstrate on radio-astronomical imaging simulations that a series of only few terms provides a reconstruction quality competitive with PnP, at a fraction of the cost.

The heterogeneous, geographically distributed infrastructure of fog computing poses challenges in data replication, data distribution, and data mobility for fog applications. Fog computing is still missing the necessary abstractions to manage application data, and fog application developers need to re-implement data management for every new piece of software. Proposed solutions are limited to certain application domains, such as the IoT, are not flexible in regard to network topology, or do not provide the means for applications to control the movement of their data. In this paper, we present FReD, a data replication middleware for the fog. FReD serves as a building block for configurable fog data distribution and enables low-latency, high-bandwidth, and privacy-sensitive applications. FReD is a common data access interface across heterogeneous infrastructure and network topologies, provides transparent and controllable data distribution, and can be integrated with applications from different domains. To evaluate our approach, we present a prototype implementation of FReD and show the benefits of developing with FReD using three case studies of fog computing applications.

Most COVID-19 studies commonly report figures of the overall infection at a state- or county-level. This aggregation tends to miss out on fine details of virus propagation. In this paper, we analyze a high-resolution COVID-19 dataset in Cali, Colombia, that records the precise time and location of every confirmed case. We develop a non-stationary spatio-temporal point process equipped with a neural network-based kernel to capture the heterogeneous correlations among COVID-19 cases. The kernel is carefully crafted to enhance expressiveness while maintaining model interpretability. We also incorporate some exogenous influences imposed by city landmarks. Our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art in forecasting new COVID-19 cases with the capability to offer vital insights into the spatio-temporal interaction between individuals concerning the disease spread in a metropolis.

Both Bayesian optimization and active learning realize an adaptive sampling scheme to achieve a specific learning goal. However, while the two fields have seen an exponential growth in popularity in the past decade, their dualism has received relatively little attention. In this paper, we argue for an original unified perspective of Bayesian optimization and active learning based on the synergy between the principles driving the sampling policies. This symbiotic relationship is demonstrated through the substantial analogy between the infill criteria of Bayesian optimization and the learning criteria in active learning, and is formalized for the case of single information source and when multiple sources at different levels of fidelity are available. We further investigate the capabilities of each infill criteria both individually and in combination on a variety of analytical benchmark problems, to highlight benefits and limitations over mathematical properties that characterize real-world applications.

Generative Autoregressive Neural Networks (ARNN) have recently demonstrated exceptional results in image and language generation tasks, contributing to the growing popularity of generative models in both scientific and commercial applications. This work presents a physical interpretation of the ARNNs by reformulating the Boltzmann distribution of binary pairwise interacting systems into autoregressive form. The resulting ARNN architecture has weights and biases of its first layer corresponding to the Hamiltonian's couplings and external fields, featuring widely used structures like the residual connections and a recurrent architecture with clear physical meanings. However, the exponential growth, with system size, of the number of parameters of the hidden layers makes its direct application unfeasible. Nevertheless, its architecture's explicit formulation allows using statistical physics techniques to derive new ARNNs for specific systems. As examples, new effective ARNN architectures are derived from two well-known mean-field systems, the Curie-Weiss and Sherrington-Kirkpatrick models, showing superior performances in approximating the Boltzmann distributions of the corresponding physics model compared to other commonly used ARNN architectures. The connection established between the physics of the system and the ARNN architecture provides a way to derive new neural network architectures for different interacting systems and interpret existing ones from a physical perspective.

Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) is a well-known technique for feature extraction and dimension reduction. The performance of classical LDA, however, significantly degrades on the High Dimension Low Sample Size (HDLSS) data for the ill-posed inverse problem. Existing approaches for HDLSS data classification typically assume the data in question are with Gaussian distribution and deal the HDLSS classification problem with regularization. However, these assumptions are too strict to hold in many emerging real-life applications, such as enabling personalized predictive analysis using Electronic Health Records (EHRs) data collected from an extremely limited number of patients who have been diagnosed with or without the target disease for prediction. In this paper, we revised the problem of predictive analysis of disease using personal EHR data and LDA classifier. To fill the gap, in this paper, we first studied an analytical model that understands the accuracy of LDA for classifying data with arbitrary distribution. The model gives a theoretical upper bound of LDA error rate that is controlled by two factors: (1) the statistical convergence rate of (inverse) covariance matrix estimators and (2) the divergence of the training/testing datasets to fitted distributions. To this end, we could lower the error rate by balancing the two factors for better classification performance. Hereby, we further proposed a novel LDA classifier De-Sparse that leverages De-sparsified Graphical Lasso to improve the estimation of LDA, which outperforms state-of-the-art LDA approaches developed for HDLSS data. Such advances and effectiveness are further demonstrated by both theoretical analysis and extensive experiments on EHR datasets.

With the rapid increase of large-scale, real-world datasets, it becomes critical to address the problem of long-tailed data distribution (i.e., a few classes account for most of the data, while most classes are under-represented). Existing solutions typically adopt class re-balancing strategies such as re-sampling and re-weighting based on the number of observations for each class. In this work, we argue that as the number of samples increases, the additional benefit of a newly added data point will diminish. We introduce a novel theoretical framework to measure data overlap by associating with each sample a small neighboring region rather than a single point. The effective number of samples is defined as the volume of samples and can be calculated by a simple formula $(1-\beta^{n})/(1-\beta)$, where $n$ is the number of samples and $\beta \in [0,1)$ is a hyperparameter. We design a re-weighting scheme that uses the effective number of samples for each class to re-balance the loss, thereby yielding a class-balanced loss. Comprehensive experiments are conducted on artificially induced long-tailed CIFAR datasets and large-scale datasets including ImageNet and iNaturalist. Our results show that when trained with the proposed class-balanced loss, the network is able to achieve significant performance gains on long-tailed datasets.