In several branches of the social sciences and humanities, surveys based on standardized questionnaires are a prominent research tool. While there are a variety of ways to analyze the data, some standard procedures have become established. When those surveys want to analyze differences in the answer patterns of different groups (e.g., countries, gender, age, ...), these procedures can only be carried out in a meaningful way if there is measurement invariance, i.e., the measured construct has psychometric equivalence across groups. As recently raised as an open problem by Sauerwein et al. (2021), new evaluation methods that work in the absence of measurement invariance are needed. This paper promotes an unsupervised learning-based approach to such research data by proposing a procedure that works in three phases: data preparation, clustering of questionnaires, and measuring similarity based on the obtained clustering and the properties of each group. We generate synthetic data in three data sets, which allows us to compare our approach with the PCA approach under measurement invariance and under violated measurement invariance. As a main result, we obtain that the approach provides a natural comparison between groups and a natural description of the response patterns of the groups. Moreover, it can be safely applied to a wide variety of data sets, even in the absence of measurement invariance. Finally, this approach allows us to translate (violations of) measurement invariance into a meaningful measure of similarity.
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Predicting and understanding the changes in cognitive performance, especially after a longitudinal intervention, is a fundamental goal in neuroscience. Longitudinal brain stimulation-based interventions like transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) induce short-term changes in the resting membrane potential and influence cognitive processes. However, very little research has been conducted on predicting these changes in cognitive performance post-intervention. In this research, we intend to address this gap in the literature by employing different EEG-based functional connectivity analyses and machine learning algorithms to predict changes in cognitive performance in a complex multitasking task. Forty subjects were divided into experimental and active-control conditions. On Day 1, all subjects executed a multitasking task with simultaneous 32-channel EEG being acquired. From Day 2 to Day 7, subjects in the experimental condition undertook 15 minutes of 2mA anodal tDCS stimulation during task training. Subjects in the active-control condition undertook 15 minutes of sham stimulation during task training. On Day 10, all subjects again executed the multitasking task with EEG acquisition. Source-level functional connectivity metrics, namely phase lag index and directed transfer function, were extracted from the EEG data on Day 1 and Day 10. Various machine learning models were employed to predict changes in cognitive performance. Results revealed that the multi-layer perceptron and directed transfer function recorded a cross-validation training RMSE of 5.11% and a test RMSE of 4.97%. We discuss the implications of our results in developing real-time cognitive state assessors for accurately predicting cognitive performance in dynamic and complex tasks post-tDCS intervention
Identifying patients who benefit from a treatment is a key aspect of personalized medicine, which allows the development of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Many machine learning methods have been proposed to create such rules. However, to what extent the methods lead to similar ITRs, i.e., recommending the same treatment for the same individuals is unclear. In this work, we compared 22 of the most common approaches in two randomized control trials. Two classes of methods can be distinguished. The first class of methods relies on predicting individualized treatment effects from which an ITR is derived by recommending the treatment evaluated to the individuals with a predicted benefit. In the second class, methods directly estimate the ITR without estimating individualized treatment effects. For each trial, the performance of ITRs was assessed by various metrics, and the pairwise agreement between all ITRs was also calculated. Results showed that the ITRs obtained via the different methods generally had considerable disagreements regarding the patients to be treated. A better concordance was found among akin methods. Overall, when evaluating the performance of ITRs in a validation sample, all methods produced ITRs with limited performance, suggesting a high potential for optimism. For non-parametric methods, this optimism was likely due to overfitting. The different methods do not lead to similar ITRs and are therefore not interchangeable. The choice of the method strongly influences for which patients a certain treatment is recommended, drawing some concerns about their practical use.
We demonstrate that large language models can produce reasonable numerical ratings of the logical consistency of claims. We also outline a mathematical approach based on sheaf theory for lifting such ratings to hypertexts such as laws, jurisprudence, and social media and evaluating their consistency globally. This approach is a promising avenue to increasing consistency in and of government, as well as to combating mis- and disinformation and related ills.
The detection of toxic language in the Arabic language has emerged as an active area of research in recent years, and reviewing the existing datasets employed for training the developed solutions has become a pressing need. This paper offers a comprehensive survey of Arabic datasets focused on online toxic language. We systematically gathered a total of 54 available datasets and their corresponding papers and conducted a thorough analysis, considering 18 criteria across four primary dimensions: availability details, content, annotation process, and reusability. This analysis enabled us to identify existing gaps and make recommendations for future research works. For the convenience of the research community, the list of the analysed datasets is maintained in a GitHub repository (//github.com/Imene1/Arabic-toxic-language).
Extracting consistent statistics between relevant free-energy minima of a molecular system is essential for physics, chemistry and biology. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can aid in this task but are computationally expensive, especially for systems that require quantum accuracy. To overcome this challenge, we develop an approach combining enhanced sampling with deep generative models and active learning of a machine learning potential (MLP). We introduce an adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo framework that enables the training of one Normalizing Flow (NF) and one MLP per state. We simulate several Markov chains in parallel until they reach convergence, sampling the Boltzmann distribution with an efficient use of energy evaluations. At each iteration, we compute the energy of a subset of the NF-generated configurations using Density Functional Theory (DFT), we predict the remaining configuration's energy with the MLP and actively train the MLP using the DFT-computed energies. Leveraging the trained NF and MLP models, we can compute thermodynamic observables such as free-energy differences or optical spectra. We apply this method to study the isomerization of an ultrasmall silver nanocluster, belonging to a set of systems with diverse applications in the fields of medicine and catalysis.
A popular method for variance reduction in observational causal inference is propensity-based trimming, the practice of removing units with extreme propensities from the sample. This practice has theoretical grounding when the data are homoscedastic and the propensity model is parametric (Yang and Ding, 2018; Crump et al. 2009), but in modern settings where heteroscedastic data are analyzed with non-parametric models, existing theory fails to support current practice. In this work, we address this challenge by developing new methods and theory for sample trimming. Our contributions are three-fold: first, we describe novel procedures for selecting which units to trim. Our procedures differ from previous work in that we trim not only units with small propensities, but also units with extreme conditional variances. Second, we give new theoretical guarantees for inference after trimming. In particular, we show how to perform inference on the trimmed subpopulation without requiring that our regressions converge at parametric rates. Instead, we make only fourth-root rate assumptions like those in the double machine learning literature. This result applies to conventional propensity-based trimming as well and thus may be of independent interest. Finally, we propose a bootstrap-based method for constructing simultaneously valid confidence intervals for multiple trimmed sub-populations, which are valuable for navigating the trade-off between sample size and variance reduction inherent in trimming. We validate our methods in simulation, on the 2007-2008 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, and on a semi-synthetic Medicare dataset and find promising results in all settings.
Faithfully summarizing the knowledge encoded by a deep neural network (DNN) into a few symbolic primitive patterns without losing much information represents a core challenge in explainable AI. To this end, Ren et al. (2023c) have derived a series of theorems to prove that the inference score of a DNN can be explained as a small set of interactions between input variables. However, the lack of generalization power makes it still hard to consider such interactions as faithful primitive patterns encoded by the DNN. Therefore, given different DNNs trained for the same task, we develop a new method to extract interactions that are shared by these DNNs. Experiments show that the extracted interactions can better reflect common knowledge shared by different DNNs.
Mixtures of regression are a powerful class of models for regression learning with respect to a highly uncertain and heterogeneous response variable of interest. In addition to being a rich predictive model for the response given some covariates, the parameters in this model class provide useful information about the heterogeneity in the data population, which is represented by the conditional distributions for the response given the covariates associated with a number of distinct but latent subpopulations. In this paper, we investigate conditions of strong identifiability, rates of convergence for conditional density and parameter estimation, and the Bayesian posterior contraction behavior arising in finite mixture of regression models, under exact-fitted and over-fitted settings and when the number of components is unknown. This theory is applicable to common choices of link functions and families of conditional distributions employed by practitioners. We provide simulation studies and data illustrations, which shed some light on the parameter learning behavior found in several popular regression mixture models reported in the literature.
We study the problem of parameter estimation for large exchangeable interacting particle systems when a sample of discrete observations from a single particle is known. We propose a novel method based on martingale estimating functions constructed by employing the eigenvalues and eigenfunctions of the generator of the mean field limit, where the law of the process is replaced by the (unique) invariant measure of the mean field dynamics. We then prove that our estimator is asymptotically unbiased and asymptotically normal when the number of observations and the number of particles tend to infinity, and we provide a rate of convergence towards the exact value of the parameters. Finally, we present several numerical experiments which show the accuracy of our estimator and corroborate our theoretical findings, even in the case the mean field dynamics exhibit more than one steady states.
Artificial neural networks thrive in solving the classification problem for a particular rigid task, acquiring knowledge through generalized learning behaviour from a distinct training phase. The resulting network resembles a static entity of knowledge, with endeavours to extend this knowledge without targeting the original task resulting in a catastrophic forgetting. Continual learning shifts this paradigm towards networks that can continually accumulate knowledge over different tasks without the need to retrain from scratch. We focus on task incremental classification, where tasks arrive sequentially and are delineated by clear boundaries. Our main contributions concern 1) a taxonomy and extensive overview of the state-of-the-art, 2) a novel framework to continually determine the stability-plasticity trade-off of the continual learner, 3) a comprehensive experimental comparison of 11 state-of-the-art continual learning methods and 4 baselines. We empirically scrutinize method strengths and weaknesses on three benchmarks, considering Tiny Imagenet and large-scale unbalanced iNaturalist and a sequence of recognition datasets. We study the influence of model capacity, weight decay and dropout regularization, and the order in which the tasks are presented, and qualitatively compare methods in terms of required memory, computation time, and storage.
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