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With the rise in popularity of digital Atlases to communicate spatial variation, there is an increasing need for robust small-area estimates. However, current small-area estimation methods suffer from various modelling problems when data are very sparse or when estimates are required for areas with very small populations. These issues are particularly heightened when modelling proportions. Additionally, recent work has shown significant benefits in modelling at both the individual and area levels. We propose a two-stage Bayesian hierarchical small area estimation model for proportions that can: account for survey design; use both individual-level survey-only covariates and area-level census covariates; reduce direct estimate instability; and generate prevalence estimates for small areas with no survey data. Using a simulation study we show that, compared with existing Bayesian small area estimation methods, our model can provide optimal predictive performance (Bayesian mean relative root mean squared error, mean absolute relative bias and coverage) of proportions under a variety of data conditions, including very sparse and unstable data. To assess the model in practice, we compare modeled estimates of current smoking prevalence for 1,630 small areas in Australia using the 2017-2018 National Health Survey data combined with 2016 census data.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have sparked significant interest in their generative capabilities, leading to the development of various commercial applications. The high cost of using the models drives application builders to maximize the value of generation under a limited inference budget. This paper presents a study of optimizing inference hyperparameters such as the number of responses, temperature and max tokens, which significantly affects the utility/cost of text generation. We design a framework named EcoOptiGen which leverages economical hyperparameter optimization and cost-based pruning. Experiments with the GPT-3.5/GPT-4 models on a variety of tasks verify its effectiveness. EcoOptiGen is implemented in the `autogen' package of the FLAML library: \url{//aka.ms/autogen}.

The lack of ethnic diversity in data has been a limiting factor of face recognition techniques in the literature. This is particularly the case for children where data samples are scarce and presents a challenge when seeking to adapt machine vision algorithms that are trained on adult data to work on children. This work proposes the utilization of image-to-image transformation to synthesize data of different races and thus adjust the ethnicity of children's face data. We consider ethnicity as a style and compare three different Image-to-Image neural network based methods, specifically pix2pix, CycleGAN, and CUT networks to implement Caucasian child data and Asian child data conversion. Experimental validation results on synthetic data demonstrate the feasibility of using image-to-image transformation methods to generate various synthetic child data samples with broader ethnic diversity.

In the last decades, people have been consuming and combining more drugs than before, increasing the number of Drug-Drug Interactions (DDIs). To predict unknown DDIs, recently, studies started incorporating Knowledge Graphs (KGs) since they are able to capture the relationships among entities providing better drug representations than using a single drug property. In this paper, we propose the medicX end-to-end framework that integrates several drug features from public drug repositories into a KG and embeds the nodes in the graph using various translation, factorisation and Neural Network (NN) based KG Embedding (KGE) methods. Ultimately, we use a Machine Learning (ML) algorithm that predicts unknown DDIs. Among the different translation and factorisation-based KGE models, we found that the best performing combination was the ComplEx embedding method with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, which obtained an F1-score of 95.19% on a dataset based on the DDIs found in DrugBank version 5.1.8. This score is 5.61% better than the state-of-the-art model DeepDDI. Additionally, we also developed a graph auto-encoder model that uses a Graph Neural Network (GNN), which achieved an F1-score of 91.94%. Consequently, GNNs have demonstrated a stronger ability to mine the underlying semantics of the KG than the ComplEx model, and thus using higher dimension embeddings within the GNN can lead to state-of-the-art performance.

The vulnerability to adversarial perturbations is a major flaw of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) that raises question about their reliability when in real-world scenarios. On the other hand, human perception, which DNNs are supposed to emulate, is highly robust to such perturbations, indicating that there may be certain features of the human perception that make it robust but are not represented in the current class of DNNs. One such feature is that the activity of biological neurons is correlated and the structure of this correlation tends to be rather rigid over long spans of times, even if it hampers performance and learning. We hypothesize that integrating such constraints on the activations of a DNN would improve its adversarial robustness, and, to test this hypothesis, we have developed the Self-Consistent Activation (SCA) layer, which comprises of neurons whose activations are consistent with each other, as they conform to a fixed, but learned, covariability pattern. When evaluated on image and sound recognition tasks, the models with a SCA layer achieved high accuracy, and exhibited significantly greater robustness than multi-layer perceptron models to state-of-the-art Auto-PGD adversarial attacks \textit{without being trained on adversarially perturbed data

We consider the problem of estimating the false-/ true-positive-rate (FPR/TPR) for a binary classification model when there are incorrect labels (label noise) in the validation set. Our motivating application is fraud prevention where accurate estimates of FPR are critical to preserving the experience for good customers, and where label noise is highly asymmetric. Existing methods seek to minimize the total error in the cleaning process - to avoid cleaning examples that are not noise, and to ensure cleaning of examples that are. This is an important measure of accuracy but insufficient to guarantee good estimates of the true FPR or TPR for a model, and we show that using the model to directly clean its own validation data leads to underestimates even if total error is low. This indicates a need for researchers to pursue methods that not only reduce total error but also seek to de-correlate cleaning error with model scores.

Parallel datasets are vital for performing and evaluating any kind of multilingual task. However, in the cases where one of the considered language pairs is a low-resource language, the existing top-down parallel data such as corpora are lacking in both tally and quality due to the dearth of human annotation. Therefore, for low-resource languages, it is more feasible to move in the bottom-up direction where finer granular pairs such as dictionary datasets are developed first. They may then be used for mid-level tasks such as supervised multilingual word embedding alignment. These in turn can later guide higher-level tasks in the order of aligning sentence or paragraph text corpora used for Machine Translation (MT). Even though more approachable than generating and aligning a massive corpus for a low-resource language, for the same reason of apathy from larger research entities, even these finer granular data sets are lacking for some low-resource languages. We have observed that there is no free and open dictionary data set for the low-resource language, Sinhala. Thus, in this work, we introduce three parallel English-Sinhala word dictionaries (En-Si-dict-large, En-Si-dict-filtered, En-Si-dict-FastText) which help in multilingual Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks related to English and Sinhala languages. In this paper, we explain the dataset creation pipeline as well as the experimental results of the tests we have carried out to verify the quality of the data sets. The data sets and the related scripts are available at //github.com/kasunw22/sinhala-para-dict.

Wireless localization is essential for tracking objects in indoor environments. Internet of Things (IoT) enables localization through its diverse wireless communication protocols. In this paper, a hybrid section-based indoor localization method using a developed Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) tracking device and multiple IoT wireless technologies is proposed. In order to reduce the cost of the RFID tags, the tags are installed only on the borders of each section. The RFID tracking device identifies the section, and the proposed wireless hybrid method finds the location of the object inside the section. The proposed hybrid method is analytically driven by linear location estimates obtained from different IoT wireless technologies. The experimental results using developed RFID tracking device and RSSI-based localization for Bluetooth, WiFi and ZigBee technologies verifies the analytical results.

Recently, a considerable literature has grown up around the theme of Graph Convolutional Network (GCN). How to effectively leverage the rich structural information in complex graphs, such as knowledge graphs with heterogeneous types of entities and relations, is a primary open challenge in the field. Most GCN methods are either restricted to graphs with a homogeneous type of edges (e.g., citation links only), or focusing on representation learning for nodes only instead of jointly propagating and updating the embeddings of both nodes and edges for target-driven objectives. This paper addresses these limitations by proposing a novel framework, namely the Knowledge Embedding based Graph Convolutional Network (KE-GCN), which combines the power of GCNs in graph-based belief propagation and the strengths of advanced knowledge embedding (a.k.a. knowledge graph embedding) methods, and goes beyond. Our theoretical analysis shows that KE-GCN offers an elegant unification of several well-known GCN methods as specific cases, with a new perspective of graph convolution. Experimental results on benchmark datasets show the advantageous performance of KE-GCN over strong baseline methods in the tasks of knowledge graph alignment and entity classification.

Collaborative filtering often suffers from sparsity and cold start problems in real recommendation scenarios, therefore, researchers and engineers usually use side information to address the issues and improve the performance of recommender systems. In this paper, we consider knowledge graphs as the source of side information. We propose MKR, a Multi-task feature learning approach for Knowledge graph enhanced Recommendation. MKR is a deep end-to-end framework that utilizes knowledge graph embedding task to assist recommendation task. The two tasks are associated by cross&compress units, which automatically share latent features and learn high-order interactions between items in recommender systems and entities in the knowledge graph. We prove that cross&compress units have sufficient capability of polynomial approximation, and show that MKR is a generalized framework over several representative methods of recommender systems and multi-task learning. Through extensive experiments on real-world datasets, we demonstrate that MKR achieves substantial gains in movie, book, music, and news recommendation, over state-of-the-art baselines. MKR is also shown to be able to maintain a decent performance even if user-item interactions are sparse.