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A novel and comprehensive methodology designed to tackle the challenges posed by extreme values in the context of random censorship is introduced. The main focus is on the analysis of integrals based on the product-limit estimator of normalized upper order statistics, called extreme Kaplan--Meier integrals. These integrals allow for the transparent derivation of various important asymptotic distributional properties, offering an alternative approach to conventional plug-in estimation methods. Notably, this methodology demonstrates robustness and wide applicability within the scope of max-domains of attraction. A noteworthy by-product is the extension of generalized Hill-type estimators of extremes to encompass all max-domains of attraction, which is of independent interest.

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In the context of interactive theorem provers based on a dependent type theory, automation tactics (dedicated decision procedures, call of automated solvers, ...) are often limited to goals which are exactly in some expected logical fragment. This very often prevents users from applying these tactics in other contexts, even similar ones. This paper discusses the design and the implementation of pre-processing operations for automating formal proofs in the Coq proof assistant. It presents the implementation of a wide variety of predictible, atomic goal transformations, which can be composed in various ways to target different backends. A gallery of examples illustrates how it helps to expand significantly the power of automation engines.

We perturb a real matrix $A$ of full column rank, and derive lower bounds for the smallest singular values of the perturbed matrix, in terms of normwise absolute perturbations. Our bounds, which extend existing lower-order expressions, demonstrate the potential increase in the smallest singular values, and represent a qualitative model for the increase in the small singular values after a matrix has been downcast to a lower arithmetic precision. Numerical experiments confirm the qualitative validity of this model and its ability to predict singular values changes in the presence of decreased arithmetic precision.

New biological assays like Perturb-seq link highly parallel CRISPR interventions to a high-dimensional transcriptomic readout, providing insight into gene regulatory networks. Causal gene regulatory networks can be represented by directed acyclic graph (DAGs), but learning DAGs from observational data is complicated by lack of identifiability and a combinatorial solution space. Score-based structure learning improves practical scalability of inferring DAGs. Previous score-based methods are sensitive to error variance structure; on the other hand, estimation of error variance is difficult without prior knowledge of structure. Accordingly, we present $\texttt{dotears}$ [doo-tairs], a continuous optimization framework which leverages observational and interventional data to infer a single causal structure, assuming a linear Structural Equation Model (SEM). $\texttt{dotears}$ exploits structural consequences of hard interventions to give a marginal estimate of exogenous error structure, bypassing the circular estimation problem. We show that $\texttt{dotears}$ is a provably consistent estimator of the true DAG under mild assumptions. $\texttt{dotears}$ outperforms other methods in varied simulations, and in real data infers edges that validate with higher precision and recall than state-of-the-art methods through differential expression tests and high-confidence protein-protein interactions.

Differential privacy is often studied under two different models of neighboring datasets: the add-remove model and the swap model. While the swap model is frequently used in the academic literature to simplify analysis, many practical applications rely on the more conservative add-remove model, where obtaining tight results can be difficult. Here, we study the problem of one-dimensional mean estimation under the add-remove model. We propose a new algorithm and show that it is min-max optimal, achieving the best possible constant in the leading term of the mean squared error for all $\epsilon$, and that this constant is the same as the optimal algorithm under the swap model. These results show that the add-remove and swap models give nearly identical errors for mean estimation, even though the add-remove model cannot treat the size of the dataset as public information. We also demonstrate empirically that our proposed algorithm yields at least a factor of two improvement in mean squared error over algorithms frequently used in practice. One of our main technical contributions is a new hour-glass mechanism, which might be of independent interest in other scenarios.

Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have rapidly evolved to be one of the predominant generative models for the simulation of synthetic data, for instance, for computer vision, audio, natural language processing, or biomolecule generation. Here, we propose using DPMs for the generation of synthetic individual location trajectories (ILTs) which are sequences of variables representing physical locations visited by individuals. ILTs are of major importance in mobility research to understand the mobility behavior of populations and to ultimately inform political decision-making. We represent ILTs as multi-dimensional categorical random variables and propose to model their joint distribution using a continuous DPM by first applying the diffusion process in a continuous unconstrained space and then mapping the continuous variables into a discrete space. We demonstrate that our model can synthesize realistic ILPs by comparing conditionally and unconditionally generated sequences to real-world ILPs from a GNSS tracking data set which suggests the potential use of our model for synthetic data generation, for example, for benchmarking models used in mobility research.

Local variable selection aims to discover localized effects by assessing the impact of covariates on outcomes within specific regions defined by other covariates. We outline some challenges of local variable selection in the presence of non-linear relationships and model misspecification. Specifically, we highlight a potential drawback of common semi-parametric methods: even slight model misspecification can result in a high rate of false positives. To address these shortcomings, we propose a methodology based on orthogonal cut splines that achieves consistent local variable selection in high-dimensional scenarios. Our approach offers simplicity, handles both continuous and discrete covariates, and provides theory for high-dimensional covariates and model misspecification. We discuss settings with either independent or dependent data. Our proposal allows including adjustment covariates that do not undergo selection, enhancing flexibility in modeling complex scenarios. We illustrate its application in simulation studies with both independent and functional data, as well as with two real datasets. One dataset evaluates salary gaps associated with discrimination factors at different ages, while the other examines the effects of covariates on brain activation over time. The approach is implemented in the R package mombf.

This paper focuses on a semiparametric regression model in which the response variable is explained by the sum of two components. One of them is parametric (linear), the corresponding explanatory variable is measured with additive error and its dimension is finite ($p$). The other component models, in a nonparametric way, the effect of a functional variable (infinite dimension) on the response. $k$-NN based estimators are proposed for each component, and some asymptotic results are obtained. A simulation study illustrates the behaviour of such estimators for finite sample sizes, while an application to real data shows the usefulness of our proposal.

In a regression model with multiple response variables and multiple explanatory variables, if the difference of the mean vectors of the response variables for different values of explanatory variables is always in the direction of the first principal eigenvector of the covariance matrix of the response variables, then it is called a multivariate allometric regression model. This paper studies the estimation of the first principal eigenvector in the multivariate allometric regression model. A class of estimators that includes conventional estimators is proposed based on weighted sum-of-squares matrices of regression sum-of-squares matrix and residual sum-of-squares matrix. We establish an upper bound of the mean squared error of the estimators contained in this class, and the weight value minimizing the upper bound is derived. Sufficient conditions for the consistency of the estimators are discussed in weak identifiability regimes under which the difference of the largest and second largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix decays asymptotically and in ``large $p$, large $n$" regimes, where $p$ is the number of response variables and $n$ is the sample size. Several numerical results are also presented.

In this article we aim to obtain the Fisher Riemann geodesics for nonparametric families of probability densities as a weak limit of the parametric case with increasing number of parameters.

Graph-centric artificial intelligence (graph AI) has achieved remarkable success in modeling interacting systems prevalent in nature, from dynamical systems in biology to particle physics. The increasing heterogeneity of data calls for graph neural architectures that can combine multiple inductive biases. However, combining data from various sources is challenging because appropriate inductive bias may vary by data modality. Multimodal learning methods fuse multiple data modalities while leveraging cross-modal dependencies to address this challenge. Here, we survey 140 studies in graph-centric AI and realize that diverse data types are increasingly brought together using graphs and fed into sophisticated multimodal models. These models stratify into image-, language-, and knowledge-grounded multimodal learning. We put forward an algorithmic blueprint for multimodal graph learning based on this categorization. The blueprint serves as a way to group state-of-the-art architectures that treat multimodal data by choosing appropriately four different components. This effort can pave the way for standardizing the design of sophisticated multimodal architectures for highly complex real-world problems.

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